Jackson Strong

CF West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 23 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420ADET36.312/.371/.4060369—.242/.286/.303
202521A+/ADET412.264/.372/.43492066—.193/.281/.313
202622A+DET435.198/.327/.384172251—.156/.252/.293
2027PROJMLE23MLBDET1.167/.258/.2910059-0.0
2028PROJ22% MLB24MLBDET85.173/.263/.3012264-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$3M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
BB%81
Chase%80
ISO67
Speed65
wRC+40
wOBA34
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%
CompsGavin Cross (age 23) · Alex Iadisernia (age 23) · Cam Gibson (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .258 / .291
PA1
HR0
K%35
BB%10
BABIP239
ISO124
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -10.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.12728
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202420 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 3632 10300 281 30 312371406778 94400 226 342 69 — — — — — —
202521 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 9481 18404 13320 20 222330420750 198311 3414 336 51 — — — — — —
202521 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 318267 741665 39878 185 277384438822 161388 2712 366 70 — — — — — —
202622 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 435359 7112217 681301 225 198327384712 187248 3016 318 51 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202420 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 3633 8200 1111 30 242286303589 61341 313 270 69 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 9486 14303 8420 20 163234302536 140263 459 243 51 — — — — — —
202521 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 318278 561244 291198 185 201295317612 115317 379 271 70 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 435379 599213 481651 225 156252293545 137213 3811 244 51 — — — — — —
202420 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 3633 8200 1111 30 242286303589 61348 313 270 69 — — — — — —
202420 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 3632 10300 281 30 312371406778 94400 226 342 69 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 412364 701548 371618 205 192281321603 129313 399 265 65 — — — — — —
202521 A RAW2 teams — 412348 922069 521198 205 264372434806 170372 2913 359 65 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 435379 599213 481651 225 156252293545 137222 3811 244 51 — — — — — —
202622 A+ RAWWest Michigan Whitecaps — 435359 7112217 681301 225 198327384712 187248 3016 318 51 — — — — — —
202420 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 3634 8200 1111 30 235286294580 59341 313 270 69 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 412364 701548 371618 205 192281321603 129305 399 265 65 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 435383 599213 481651 225 154252290542 136213 3811 244 51 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 3634 8200 1111 30 235286294580 59341 313 270 69 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 412364 701548 371618 205 192281321603 129305 399 265 65 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 435383 599213 481651 225 154252290542 136213 3811 244 51 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEDET 0% 532469 8015313 541854 154 171261299560 128243 3510 256 59 -26 +1 +1 +2 +12 -0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXDET 0% 11 0000 000 00 167258291550 124239 00 252 59 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEDET 22% 383338 6011210 391303 113 176266310576 133246 3410 262 64 -17 +1 +1 +1 +8 -0.5
202824 MLB CTXDET 22% 8575 12202 9291 21 173263301565 129242 3411 258 64 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 8575 12202 9291 21 160259267525 107227 3411 258 60 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650574 9115015 692228 158 159258263522 105226 3411 258 60 -28 +0 +2 +2 +14 -1.0
Career— MLE — 14761299 22843936 14654015 6214 176266306572 130261 3710 257 60 -27 +2 +2 +2 +13 -0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 10119416 642387 276 177267308575 131262 3710 257 60 -29 +2 +2 +2 +14 -0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 435 PAwOBA .315 → .244 (−71)K% 29.9% → 38.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.89%÷1.000×1.270——37.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.63%÷1.000×0.710—×0.99811.08%
HBP% /PA0.23%—×0.790—×0.9980.18%
Singles /BIP17.47%÷1.000×0.920×0.981×0.99815.74%
Doubles /BIP5.24%÷1.000×0.810×0.981×0.9984.16%
Triples /BIP0.87%÷1.000×0.850×0.981×0.9980.73%
Home runs /BIP7.42%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9985.93%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .315 → .244; ISO .187 → .144; BABIP .248 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 318 PAwOBA .360 → .271 (−89)K% 27.4% → 37.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.36%÷0.998×1.360——37.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.26%÷0.945×0.690——8.96%
HBP% /PA2.52%—×0.780——1.96%
Singles /BIP26.11%÷1.051×0.920×0.950—21.71%
Doubles /BIP8.89%÷0.971×0.830×0.950—7.22%
Triples /BIP3.33%÷1.150×0.910×0.950—2.51%
Home runs /BIP2.78%÷0.864×0.800——2.57%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .360 → .271; ISO .161 → .123; BABIP .388 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 94 PAwOBA .327 → .243 (−84)K% 34.0% → 45.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.04%÷0.960×1.270——45.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.83%÷1.106×0.710—×1.0128.98%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP20.41%÷1.027×0.920×0.950×1.01217.57%
Doubles /BIP8.16%÷0.948×0.810×0.950×1.0126.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850×0.950×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP8.16%÷0.850×0.800—×1.0127.78%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 92, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .327 → .243; ISO .198 → .160; BABIP .311 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 36 PAwOBA .343 → .270 (−73)K% 22.2% → 29.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷1.028×1.360——29.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.56%÷1.061×0.690—×1.0153.67%
HBP% /PA2.78%—×0.780—×1.0152.20%
Singles /BIP29.17%÷0.980×0.920—×1.01527.80%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.351×0.830—×1.0157.79%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.106×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.099×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 170, 3B 121, K 106, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .343 → .270; ISO .094 → .057; BABIP .400 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).