Jackson Strong — OGILVIE

Jackson StrongOF West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 22 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION302 act + 201 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.152 / .246 / .259

PA201

HR4

SB8

K%38

BB%10

BABIP236

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	36	33	8	2	0	0	1	11	1	3	0	242	286	303	589	61	348	31	3	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	36	32	10	3	0	0	2	8	1	3	0	312	371	406	778	94	400	22	6	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	412	361	66	16	3	9	40	171	8	20	5	183	279	319	597	136	310	42	10	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	412	348	92	20	6	9	52	119	8	20	5	264	372	434	806	170	372	29	13	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	DET	—	302	264	39	6	1	7	31	124	1	16	4	148	240	258	497	110	232	41	10	228	33	-23	+2	+0	-2	+9	-1.5
YTD	22	A+	DET	—	302	251	50	8	2	9	44	92	1	16	4	199	321	355	676	155	265	30	15	304	91	-3	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.5
ROS	22	A+	DET	0%	201	177	27	5	1	4	20	77	2	8	2	152	246	259	505	107	232	38	10	236	39	-14	+1	-0	-1	+6	-0.9
ROS	22	MLB	DET	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						229	0	0	226	31	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	DET	—	303	265	39	6	1	7	31	124	1	16	4	147	239	257	496	109	230	41	10	228	33	-23	+2	-0	-2	+9	-1.5
TOT	22	A+	DET	—	503	441	66	11	2	11	51	201	3	24	6	150	242	258	501	109	234	40	10	231	35	-37	+2	-0	-3	+14	-2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	DET	25%	530	468	79	15	3	13	52	193	5	16	4	169	259	297	556	128	243	36	10	251	50	-30	+2	-0	-3	+15	-1.7
2028	24	MLB	DET	36%	544	480	84	16	3	14	54	191	5	17	4	175	265	308	574	133	249	35	10	260	57	-27	+2	-0	-3	+15	-1.3
2027	23	MLB	DET	25%	133	118	20	4	1	3	13	48	1	4	1	169	258	297	554	127	239	36	10	240	42	-9	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.6
2028	24	MLB	DET	36%	198	174	31	6	1	5	20	69	2	6	1	178	270	310	581	132	245	35	10	248	48	-12	+1	-0	-1	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	332	293	51	10	2	8	33	117	3	10	2	174	264	304	568	130	253	35	10	245	46	-20	+1	-0	-2	+9	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	101	20	4	16	65	229	6	20	4	176	267	308	575	132	255	35	10	245	46	-40	+2	-0	-4	+18	-2.4
Career	—			—	1723	1519	264	54	10	40	167	643	21	64	15	174	265	301	566	128	264	37	10	256	54	-89	+7	-0	-10	+49	-4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	99	20	4	15	63	243	8	24	6	173	264	300	564	127	263	37	10	256	54	-33	+2	-0	-4	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	36	32	10	3	0	0	2	8	1	3	0	312	371	406	778	94	400	22	6	342	120	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	94	81	18	4	0	4	13	32	0	2	0	222	330	420	750	198	311	34	14	336	115	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	318	267	74	16	6	5	39	87	8	18	5	277	384	438	822	161	388	27	12	366	138	+14	+2	—	—	+9	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	333	8	10	172	259	300	-2	+3	-0.9	-0.5
	/162	664	17	20	172	259	300	-4.0	+5.3	-1.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jackson Strong (OGILVIE)	22	20→37	40→44	60	50	150/242/258	109	234	11	24	40%	10%	35	-2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	36→41	43→45	53→55	40	184/244/291	108	267	11	17	34%	7%	44	-2.1	196/257/315	119	271	11	17	30%	7%	56	-1.3	191/254/304	113	261	10	19	29%	7%	49	-1.4
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	36	42→55	50	39	182/240/287	105	275	9	13	36%	7%	41	-2.3	183/249/284	101	305	9	14	40%	7%	44	-2.1	110/193/203	93	185	13	21	46%	8%	1	-1.4
✕Cody Rogers 2011 · A	22	39	47→40	56→50	42	202/265/336	134	274	15	14	31%	7%	65	-0.7	191/253/287	96	272	7	16	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/244/268	87	259	6	18	31%	6%	36	-2.1
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→31	43→45	51→50	41	190/257/298	109	284	11	12	35%	8%	52	-1.6	205/269/317	112	309	11	12	35%	7%	62	-0.9	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A	23	39→36	42→45	56→50	41	194/256/303	109	270	8	20	30%	7%	53	-1.5	193/258/292	99	265	7	15	28%	7%	50	-1.7	183/250/273	91	246	7	15	27%	7%	41	-1.6
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	37→44	39→45	55→60	42	180/250/266	86	268	7	25	34%	8%	40	-2.4	205/275/310	105	272	10	30	27%	8%	62	-0.9	206/277/305	99	268	10	33	25%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Mitchell Hansen 2018 · A	22	40→37	44→45	51→50	38	201/248/315	115	282	11	10	32%	6%	52	-1.6	195/242/297	102	293	8	9	34%	5%	44	-2.1	159/200/249	89	247	6	8	37%	4%	11	-1.9
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	38→43	43→45	51→50	39	190/263/305	115	288	11	13	36%	7%	57	-1.2	212/286/344	132	314	13	12	34%	8%	76	+0.1	211/289/350	139	310	15	12	34%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Joe Naranjo 2023 · A	22	39→46	42→40	51→45	46	192/276/290	97	284	10	6	34%	10%	58	-1.2	191/272/274	83	295	7	4	34%	9%	53	-1.5	185/268/254	70	287	5	2	34%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Alexis Rivera 2016 · A	22	41	43→45	49→50	40	204/260/316	111	281	11	10	31%	6%	57	-1.2	225/266/327	102	309	9	8	29%	5%	62	-0.9	239/266/322	83	324	6	6	27%	3%	57	-0.6
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	40→48	42→45	56→55	37	198/247/304	106	299	10	21	36%	6%	48	-1.9	206/251/309	103	330	10	20	39%	5%	51	-1.7	204/249/303	99	331	10	22	40%	4%	46	-1.0
✕Sammy Siani 2022 · A	21	40→46	41→45	52→55	47	192/277/288	96	289	8	11	34%	10%	58	-1.2	188/258/275	87	318	8	18	40%	8%	46	-2.0	196/252/301	105	259	11	21	28%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Michael Crouse 2013 · A	22	35→37	46→50	52→55	36	176/243/300	124	293	14	19	43%	7%	46	-2.0	194/256/309	115	309	10	18	38%	7%	54	-1.4	191/257/319	128	297	12	19	38%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	35→45	41→40	51→50	42	177/250/275	97	266	9	13	35%	8%	43	-2.2	197/270/288	91	301	7	12	34%	8%	55	-1.4	193/271/278	85	293	6	13	33%	8%	49	-1.1
✕Stephen Chapman 2009 · A	23	35→37	49→50	53→50	35	187/240/335	147	281	16	11	39%	5%	54	-1.4	186/238/303	117	298	12	14	40%	5%	44	-2.1	157/204/254	97	248	12	20	41%	5%	14	-2.2
✕Stefan Sabol 2015 · A	23	33→40	45	50	42	174/243/297	123	259	12	12	36%	8%	46	-2.0	194/263/293	99	307	9	9	37%	8%	53	-1.5	188/261/274	87	300	8	7	37%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	40	40	52→40	41	192/259/281	89	288	7	8	34%	7%	48	-1.9	189/254/288	99	297	8	6	37%	7%	48	-1.9	161/231/261	100	250	9	3	37%	7%	29	-1.0
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→38	43→50	55	35	192/249/294	102	300	11	14	38%	5%	47	-1.9	197/249/320	123	286	14	19	35%	5%	54	-1.4	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7