Jackson Strong — OGILVIE

Jackson StrongCF West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 22 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION435 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP221

ISO120

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	36	32	10	3	0	0	2	8	1	3	0	312	371	406	778	94	400	22	6	342	118	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	94	81	18	4	0	4	13	32	0	2	0	222	330	420	750	198	311	34	14	336	113	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	318	267	74	16	6	5	39	87	8	18	5	277	384	438	822	161	388	27	12	366	134	+13	+2	—	—	+7	2.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	36	33	8	2	0	0	1	11	1	3	0	242	286	303	589	61	347	31	3	274	72	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	21	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	94	86	13	3	0	3	8	45	0	2	0	151	223	291	514	140	260	48	9	232	43	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	318	276	54	13	3	4	31	124	8	18	5	196	295	308	603	112	326	39	10	276	73	-10	+2	—	—	+7	-0.2
2024	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	36	33	8	2	0	0	1	11	1	3	0	242	286	303	589	61	348	31	3	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	36	32	10	3	0	0	2	8	1	3	0	312	371	406	778	94	400	22	6	342	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	412	362	68	16	3	8	39	169	8	20	5	188	281	315	596	127	319	41	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	412	348	92	20	6	9	52	119	8	20	5	264	372	434	806	170	372	29	13	359	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	36	34	8	2	0	0	1	11	1	3	0	235	286	294	580	59	347	31	3	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	412	362	68	16	3	8	39	169	8	20	5	188	281	315	596	127	311	41	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	36	34	8	2	0	0	1	11	1	3	0	235	286	294	580	59	347	31	3	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	412	362	68	16	3	8	39	169	8	20	5	188	281	315	596	127	311	41	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	DET	—	435	379	56	9	1	13	48	175	1	22	5	148	245	280	525	132	218	40	11	238	47	-27	+2	+0	+2	+9	-1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	DET	—	435	359	71	12	2	17	68	130	1	22	5	198	327	384	712	187	248	30	16	318	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	DET	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		225	40	10	242	50	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	DET	—	445	388	57	9	1	13	49	179	1	22	5	147	244	276	520	129	218	40	11	238	47	-28	+2	-0	+2	+10	-1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	DET	25%	470	415	69	13	2	13	49	171	3	14	3	166	259	301	560	135	236	36	10	256	60	-23	+2	-0	+2	+10	-1.0
2028	24	MLB MLE	DET	36%	507	445	77	14	2	15	53	177	4	16	4	173	267	315	582	142	242	35	10	265	65	-21	+2	-0	+2	+11	-0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	DET	43%	535	470	83	15	2	16	56	183	4	16	4	177	270	319	589	143	246	34	10	270	69	-20	+2	-0	+2	+12	-0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	DET	47%	545	479	87	16	2	17	57	184	4	17	4	182	274	330	604	148	247	34	10	273	71	-19	+2	-0	+2	+12	-0.4
2027	23	MLB CTX	DET	25%	118	104	17	3	1	3	12	43	1	4	1	163	256	298	554	135	232	36	10	247	60	-6	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	DET	36%	184	162	28	5	1	5	19	64	1	6	1	173	264	309	572	136	238	35	10	255	65	-8	+1	-0	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	DET	43%	229	201	35	6	1	7	24	78	2	7	2	174	269	318	587	144	241	34	10	260	69	-8	+1	-0	+1	+5	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	DET	47%	254	223	39	7	1	7	27	86	2	8	2	175	270	309	579	135	243	34	11	262	71	-9	+1	-0	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	785	690	119	21	4	22	82	271	6	25	6	172	266	310	576	138	242	35	10	257	66	-31	+3	-0	+3	+17	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	98	17	3	18	68	224	5	21	5	172	265	306	572	135	241	34	10	257	66	-25	+2	-0	+2	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2515	2213	393	76	11	69	256	899	24	86	20	178	270	315	585	138	257	36	10	266	66	-83	+7	-1	+7	+45	-2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	102	20	3	18	66	232	6	22	5	178	270	318	588	140	258	36	10	266	66	-26	+2	-0	+2	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.2	787	23	24	177	267	321	-5	+5	-1.1	-0.5
/162	664	20	20	-4.0	+4.5	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jackson Strong (OGILVIE)	22	20→37	40→44	60	50	151/246/274	123	225	8	13	38%	10%	50	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	38→41	42→45	51→50	40	186/261/292	106	285	9	13	36%	7%	58	-1.7	207/280/332	125	310	12	12	35%	8%	74	-0.5	204/280/338	134	302	14	12	35%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Nick Schnell 2022 · A	22	36→44	43→50	52→50	37	174/249/279	106	310	12	14	45%	8%	51	-2.3	186/247/301	115	332	13	8	44%	7%	54	-2.0	204/256/352	148	300	17	13	36%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	194/259/307	113	262	9	19	28%	7%	58	-1.3
✕Cody Rogers 2011 · A	22	39→41	47→45	56→50	41	201/264/334	133	273	15	14	31%	7%	68	-1.0	197/257/299	102	279	8	16	31%	6%	57	-1.8	190/251/284	94	271	7	18	31%	6%	49	-1.9
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	47→50	58→55	46	200/276/339	139	268	15	19	30%	9%	74	-0.5	213/284/345	132	280	14	17	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→40	55→60	42	185/255/269	84	272	7	25	33%	8%	50	-2.3	206/277/304	98	273	9	30	26%	8%	65	-1.2	207/279/299	92	270	8	33	25%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→32	43→45	51→50	42	190/258/298	108	281	10	12	34%	8%	57	-1.8	205/269/314	109	303	11	12	34%	7%	65	-1.2	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	38→41	45	54→55	46	193/280/319	126	273	13	17	32%	9%	72	-0.7	199/280/314	115	273	11	17	29%	8%	70	-0.8	190/275/299	108	260	10	19	29%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	194/277/307	113	282	11	9	33%	9%	68	-1.0	224/272/334	110	313	11	8	30%	6%	70	-0.8	234/286/330	96	304	9	3	25%	6%	72	-0.3
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→40	44→50	55	35	194/253/305	111	300	12	14	38%	6%	57	-1.8	201/254/323	122	287	13	19	34%	5%	61	-1.5	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	36	49→50	54→50	37	192/251/336	144	277	17	14	36%	6%	64	-1.3	200/259/334	134	299	16	13	36%	7%	67	-1.1	181/245/299	117	275	13	12	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A	23	40→38	43→45	56→50	42	200/263/314	115	273	9	20	29%	7%	63	-1.4	197/262/295	98	268	7	15	28%	7%	58	-1.7	187/254/275	87	252	6	15	27%	7%	49	-1.6
✕D.J. Wilson 2018 · A	21	38	45→50	53→50	39	192/248/324	132	272	12	13	33%	6%	59	-1.6	177/240/272	95	289	8	14	39%	7%	45	-2.7	141/211/206	65	240	6	17	41%	8%	17	-1.7
✕Mike Papi 2015 · A	22	38→47	41→45	50→45	49	188/265/282	94	249	9	7	27%	9%	57	-1.8	199/278/306	107	280	9	5	30%	9%	67	-1.1	208/291/327	119	275	12	4	27%	10%	76	-0.3
✕Jeremy Moore 2009 · A	22	36→46	49→50	56→55	32	190/228/342	152	287	17	18	40%	4%	56	-1.9	228/265/370	142	334	14	17	34%	4%	76	-0.4	240/276/387	147	339	13	19	32%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	36→31	43→50	50	37	187/233/300	113	268	11	14	34%	5%	48	-2.5	188/238/287	99	315	9	13	41%	6%	47	-2.5	172/224/263	91	318	8	13	46%	6%	34	-1.1
✕Grant Witherspoon 2019 · A	22	40→46	41→50	52→50	36	194/244/288	94	292	8	9	35%	5%	49	-2.4	199/249/307	108	281	11	12	32%	6%	56	-1.9	213/273/363	150	289	18	14	32%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	40→38	47→50	54→55	44	202/275/339	137	273	14	17	30%	8%	74	-0.6	192/271/310	118	266	11	17	30%	8%	66	-1.1	166/252/265	99	226	9	19	29%	8%	47	-1.4
✕Sammy Siani 2023 · A	22	39→48	40→45	53→55	41	179/261/266	87	317	9	20	43%	10%	52	-2.2	198/263/292	94	302	9	17	35%	8%	58	-1.7	207/262/311	103	268	10	21	26%	7%	59	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps