Ryan Cesarini

OF Akron RubberDucks

Age 24 L/R 5'10" / 211 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP40ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+CLE	110	.292/.376/.469	3	7	83	—	.232/.303/.354
2025	22	ALynchburg Hil…	315	.235/.364/.319	2	33	51	—	.179/.284/.238
2026	23	AACLE	184	.316/.397/.627	13	14	140	—	.293/.352/.549
2026	23	A+CLE	142	.260/.333/.472	7	7	68	—	.198/.255/.344
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBCLE	6	.247/.313/.419	0	0	105	0.0
2028PROJ32% MLB	25	MLBCLE	109	.248/.314/.421	4	4	106	0.3
2029PROJ49% MLB	26	MLBCLE	190	.247/.315/.420	7	6	106	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$1M2034Arb-2$1M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wRC+97

ISO96

K%96

wOBA95

Chase%89

Z-Con%88

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 8, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 82%

CompsJosh Smith (age 24) · Daulton Varsho (age 24) · Dustin Harris (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†105

AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .313 / .419

PA6

HR0

K%17

BB%8

BABIP279

ISO171

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	54	46	13	4	4	0	7	10	0	3	1	283	377	543	921	261	351	19	13	389	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	110	96	28	6	1	3	11	18	2	7	0	292	376	469	845	177	329	16	10	373	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	315	260	61	8	4	2	44	42	9	33	7	235	364	319	683	85	271	13	14	320	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	184	158	50	10	0	13	19	25	2	14	2	316	397	627	1.023	310	298	14	10	430	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	142	127	33	6	0	7	14	29	0	7	0	260	333	472	806	213	283	20	10	353	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	54	48	11	3	4	0	5	14	0	3	1	229	302	458	760	229	322	26	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	110	99	23	4	1	2	8	22	2	7	0	232	303	354	656	121	270	20	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	315	273	49	7	3	1	31	58	9	33	7	179	284	238	522	59	220	18	10	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	184	164	48	9	0	11	13	31	2	14	2	293	352	549	901	256	279	17	7	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	142	131	26	4	0	5	10	37	0	7	0	198	255	344	599	145	234	26	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	54	48	11	3	4	0	5	14	0	3	1	229	302	458	760	229	314	26	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	54	46	13	4	4	0	7	10	0	3	1	283	377	543	921	261	351	19	13	389	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	425	372	73	11	4	4	39	80	11	40	7	196	291	280	571	83	237	19	9	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	425	356	89	14	5	5	55	60	11	40	7	250	367	360	727	110	286	14	13	333	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	326	295	74	14	0	16	23	67	2	21	2	251	309	461	770	210	267	21	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	326	285	83	16	0	20	33	54	2	21	2	291	369	558	927	267	292	17	10	396	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	54	49	11	3	4	0	5	14	0	3	1	224	302	449	751	224	322	26	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	425	372	73	11	4	4	39	80	11	40	7	196	291	280	571	83	233	19	9	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	326	298	74	14	0	16	23	67	2	21	2	248	309	456	766	208	259	21	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	54	49	11	3	4	0	5	14	0	3	1	224	302	449	751	224	322	26	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	425	372	73	11	4	4	39	80	11	40	7	196	291	280	571	83	233	19	9	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	326	298	74	14	0	16	23	67	2	21	2	248	309	456	766	208	259	21	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CLE	2%	376	340	84	15	2	13	29	76	4	14	2	247	313	420	733	173	278	20	8	324	105	+2	+2	-0	-2	+8	1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	CLE	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	247	313	419	732	172	279	17	0	323	105	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	32%	344	311	77	14	2	12	27	70	3	12	2	248	314	422	736	174	279	20	8	325	106	+2	+2	-0	-2	+7	1.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	49%	389	351	87	16	2	14	31	79	4	12	2	247	314	421	735	173	280	20	8	325	106	+3	+2	-0	-2	+8	1.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	407	368	91	17	2	14	32	84	4	12	2	246	314	417	731	171	280	21	8	323	105	+2	+2	-0	-2	+9	1.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	CLE	61%	417	377	92	17	2	14	33	87	4	11	1	244	312	412	724	168	279	21	8	321	103	+2	+2	-1	-3	+9	0.9
2032	29	MLB MLE	CLE	62%	415	375	91	17	2	14	33	88	4	10	1	242	310	406	715	164	278	21	8	317	101	+0	+2	-2	-2	+9	0.7
2033	30	MLB MLE	CLE	63%	410	371	88	16	2	13	32	88	4	9	1	239	306	398	704	159	277	21	8	312	98	-1	+1	-2	-2	+9	0.4
2034	31	MLB MLE	CLE	63%	399	362	84	16	1	12	31	87	3	7	1	234	301	388	689	153	273	22	8	306	93	-3	+1	-3	-2	+9	0.1
2035	32	MLB MLE	CLE	70%	382	347	79	14	1	11	29	86	3	6	1	229	294	375	669	146	269	23	8	298	88	-5	+1	-4	-2	+8	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	32%	109	98	25	5	0	4	9	22	1	4	0	248	314	421	735	173	280	20	8	325	106	+1	+1	-0	-1	+2	0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	49%	190	171	43	8	1	7	15	39	2	6	1	247	315	420	734	172	280	21	8	325	106	+1	+1	-0	-1	+4	0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	229	207	52	10	1	8	18	47	2	7	1	246	314	416	730	170	280	21	8	323	105	+1	+1	-0	-1	+5	0.6
2031	28	MLB CTX	CLE	61%	254	230	57	11	1	9	20	53	2	7	1	245	312	411	724	167	280	21	8	321	103	+1	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	CLE	62%	257	233	56	11	1	8	20	55	2	6	1	242	310	405	715	163	279	21	8	317	101	+0	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	CLE	63%	257	233	55	10	1	8	20	55	2	5	1	239	306	397	703	158	277	21	8	312	98	-1	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	CLE	63%	252	228	54	10	1	8	20	55	2	4	1	235	301	387	689	153	274	22	8	306	93	-2	+0	-2	-2	+5	0.1
2035	32	MLB CTX	CLE	70%	266	242	56	10	1	8	20	60	2	4	1	229	295	374	669	145	270	23	8	298	88	-4	+0	-3	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1814	1642	398	75	7	60	142	386	15	43	7	242	309	406	715	164	281	21	8	315	97	-2	+6	-7	-11	+39	2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	143	27	3	21	51	138	5	15	3	243	309	406	715	163	282	21	8	315	97	-1	+2	-3	-4	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4278	3857	916	168	23	135	339	893	45	154	22	237	307	398	705	160	273	21	8	312	97	+2	+13	-12	-21	+75	5.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	140	26	3	21	52	136	7	23	3	239	309	401	710	162	275	21	8	312	97	+0	+2	-2	-4	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jody Gerutlast yr '10 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,992 PA	3.0	1,992	59	30	262	325	433	-11	+0	7.3	7.3
/162	664	20	10	-3.6	+0.1	2.4	pk7: 7
#2Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	4.0	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
/162	664	27	9	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#3Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.7	1,819	60	43	241	305	404	-11	+0	4.1	4.0
/162	664	22	16	-4.0	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Cesarini (OGILVIE)	24	45→49	25→41	65	55	245/310/416	171	278	11	11	20%	8%	105	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Smith 2022 · AA	24	50→53	50→45	56→50	48	247/333/406	159	303	17	23	24%	8%	111	+2.1	232/323/356	124	290	11	13	22%	9%	96	+1.0	240/326/364	124	289	12	10	20%	9%	98	+0.9
✕Daulton Varsho 2020 · AA	24	49→50	51→60	55→50	46	248/306/409	161	285	19	19	20%	6%	101	+1.4	236/301/422	186	274	22	15	22%	8%	102	+1.5	227/293/421	194	258	25	15	23%	8%	100	+1.1
✕Dustin Harris 2023 · AA	24	46→56	53→50	54→60	47	241/304/414	173	279	22	19	23%	7%	102	+1.5	232/304/361	129	298	13	29	25%	8%	89	+0.5	253/317/371	118	309	11	34	21%	7%	94	+0.7
●Josh Lowe 2022 · AAA	24	48→57	51→55	58→60	46	239/306/402	163	322	19	25	31%	9%	99	+1.3	253/309/420	167	358	18	28	32%	7%	104	+1.6	254/307/424	170	356	18	33	32%	7%	104	+1.4
✕Tyler Black 2024 · AAA	24	51→53	48→50	63→60	54	248/344/409	162	313	13	33	23%	11%	115	+2.4	235/325/365	130	309	11	28	25%	10%	98	+1.2	225/318/339	114	302	9	27	26%	10%	86	+0.2
●Jakob Marsee 2024 · AA	23	47→49	47→45	58→60	58	234/337/363	130	285	15	28	22%	12%	103	+1.5	219/318/347	128	277	12	34	24%	11%	92	+0.7	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Ryan Kalish 2012 · MLB	24	49→53	47→50	56→55	48	246/305/387	142	295	14	24	22%	8%	95	+1.0	226/278/329	103	300	9	19	26%	7%	71	-0.8	217/264/312	94	293	8	20	27%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Akil Baddoo 2022 · MLB	23	50→53	50	58→55	49	248/318/415	167	325	17	20	28%	9%	106	+1.8	229/307/372	143	303	14	23	27%	10%	93	+0.8	213/293/369	156	278	16	28	28%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	54→55	46	237/301/384	147	305	16	24	27%	8%	93	+0.8	233/299/358	125	300	12	15	25%	8%	86	+0.3	230/298/342	112	290	10	18	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Parker Meadows 2024 · MLB	24	43→48	49→55	57→55	46	219/284/373	154	279	17	17	28%	8%	84	+0.2	234/303/394	160	302	16	20	26%	9%	96	+1.0	236/310/408	171	300	16	22	26%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	54→59	50	56→55	43	270/334/430	160	327	18	21	22%	5%	116	+2.5	250/309/378	128	289	13	24	18%	5%	95	+1.0	238/297/349	111	274	11	26	17%	5%	85	+0.2
●Corey Patterson 2004 · MLB	24	52→54	51→55	57→60	39	265/297/430	166	316	18	20	22%	4%	102	+1.5	253/292/419	166	305	19	27	23%	5%	98	+1.2	248/287/408	160	295	19	33	23%	4%	94	+0.9
✕Leo Heras 2014 · AAA	24	54→64	48→50	55	48	266/324/412	146	317	14	18	20%	7%	107	+1.9	226/297/342	116	289	9	18	23%	9%	82	-0.0	242/316/372	130	313	11	18	24%	9%	93	+0.5
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A	24	46→41	47→50	62→55	51	228/308/371	143	270	13	24	21%	9%	93	+0.8	215/288/341	126	275	11	14	24%	8%	79	-0.2	207/276/315	108	283	7	9	27%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Austin Wells 2023 · AA	24	43→44	52→55	57→50	48	221/305/386	165	294	19	14	30%	10%	96	+1.0	218/292/386	168	268	20	8	26%	9%	91	+0.7	211/285/386	175	250	21	5	25%	8%	89	+0.4
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	52→51	51→60	56→50	47	259/321/431	172	315	18	23	23%	7%	112	+2.2	258/315/457	199	302	27	14	24%	7%	116	+2.5	245/300/432	188	279	27	12	23%	7%	105	+1.0
●Kolten Wong 2015 · MLB	24	52→58	46→50	58→55	45	258/301/387	128	291	13	23	16%	5%	93	+0.8	257/319/390	133	291	12	16	16%	7%	101	+1.4	272/342/411	139	310	13	20	16%	7%	116	+1.7
✕DJ Stewart 2018 · AA	24	47→49	47→60	52→50	49	235/309/374	139	289	15	16	24%	8%	94	+0.9	228/305/390	162	277	19	11	24%	9%	97	+1.1	215/319/403	188	257	24	4	25%	12%	104	+0.8
●Jake McCarthy 2022 · MLB	25	43→53	49→50	63→60	43	217/282/372	156	302	15	30	32%	8%	83	+0.1	264/327/402	138	323	13	34	21%	7%	107	+1.8	277/340/401	125	327	11	37	18%	7%	111	+1.8
✕Graham Pauley 2024 · AA	23	50→52	52→55	53→50	48	253/317/427	174	298	20	14	22%	8%	109	+2.0	220/288/373	153	268	17	10	24%	8%	86	+0.3	202/274/352	149	245	16	9	24%	8%	75	-0.3

Ryan Cesarini

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps