Francisco De Marchena

C DSL Brewers Gold

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Brewers G…	81	.273/.400/.288	0	1	42	—	.191/.312/.206
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	191	.215/.289/.271	1	2	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	57	.219/.294/.284	0	1	67	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	151	.222/.299/.295	1	2	71	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%65

Chase%50

wOBA44

Whiff%44

wRC+36

Z-Con%34

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCarlos Cauro (age 18) · Andrés Nolaya (age 18) · Adrian De Leon (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 74 proj PA

wRC+62

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .287 / .269

PA74

HR0

K%25

BB%7

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	81	66	18	1	0	0	8	15	6	1	0	273	400	288	688	15	346	19	10	329	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	81	68	13	1	0	0	6	18	6	1	0	191	312	206	518	15	238	22	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	81	68	13	1	0	0	6	18	6	1	0	191	312	206	518	15	255	22	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	81	66	18	1	0	0	8	15	6	1	0	273	400	288	688	15	346	19	10	329	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	81	69	13	1	0	0	6	18	6	1	0	188	312	203	515	14	238	22	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	81	69	13	1	0	0	6	18	6	1	0	188	312	203	515	14	238	22	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	191	171	37	4	1	1	13	48	5	2	1	215	289	271	560	56	290	25	7	260	62	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	167	149	33	4	1	1	12	42	4	2	1	219	294	284	578	64	292	25	7	267	67	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	311	278	62	8	2	3	22	77	8	4	2	222	299	295	594	73	293	25	7	274	71	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	421	377	85	11	2	5	30	103	11	5	3	225	302	305	608	80	294	24	7	279	75	-12	-0	+0	+8	+9	0.4
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	500	447	102	13	3	7	36	121	13	6	3	228	305	315	619	87	295	24	7	284	78	-13	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	464	107	14	3	8	38	125	13	6	3	230	307	323	629	93	295	24	7	287	81	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	464	107	14	3	8	38	125	13	6	3	231	308	326	633	94	296	24	7	289	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	464	107	14	3	8	38	125	13	6	3	232	308	327	635	96	296	24	7	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	464	107	14	3	8	38	125	13	6	3	232	308	328	636	97	296	24	7	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	464	107	14	3	8	38	126	13	6	3	230	307	325	632	95	295	24	7	289	81	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	464	107	14	3	8	38	127	13	6	4	229	305	321	626	92	294	24	7	286	80	-13	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	464	104	14	2	7	38	129	13	5	5	226	302	314	616	88	293	25	7	282	77	-14	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	465	103	13	2	7	38	130	12	5	6	223	298	306	604	83	291	25	7	277	74	-16	-1	-2	+9	+11	0.1
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	60%	504	451	99	13	2	6	36	128	12	4	14	219	293	296	589	77	288	25	7	271	70	-18	-5	-3	+9	+11	-0.6
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	57	51	10	1	0	0	4	14	2	1	0	219	294	284	578	64	292	25	7	267	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	151	135	30	4	1	1	11	37	4	2	1	222	299	295	594	73	293	25	7	274	71	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	228	204	46	6	1	3	16	56	6	3	1	225	302	305	608	80	294	25	7	279	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	283	254	58	8	1	4	20	69	7	3	2	228	305	315	619	87	295	24	7	284	78	-7	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	267	61	8	2	4	22	72	8	4	2	230	307	323	629	93	295	24	7	287	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	265	62	8	2	5	22	71	7	4	2	231	308	326	633	94	296	24	7	289	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	264	62	8	2	5	22	71	7	3	2	232	308	327	635	96	296	24	7	290	82	-6	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	263	61	8	2	5	22	71	7	3	2	232	308	328	636	97	296	24	7	290	82	-6	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	289	259	60	8	1	5	21	70	7	3	2	230	307	325	632	95	295	24	7	289	81	-6	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	286	256	58	8	1	4	21	70	7	3	2	229	305	321	626	92	294	24	7	286	80	-7	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	278	249	56	7	1	4	20	69	7	3	3	226	302	314	616	88	293	25	7	282	77	-8	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	57%	297	266	59	8	1	4	22	74	7	3	4	223	298	306	604	83	291	25	7	277	74	-9	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.0
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	60%	300	269	58	7	1	4	21	76	7	3	8	219	293	296	589	77	288	25	7	271	70	-11	-3	-2	+5	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3353	3002	681	89	16	48	244	820	83	38	31	227	303	315	618	88	295	24	7	283	77	-88	-5	-4	+60	+73	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	131	17	3	9	47	159	16	7	6	225	301	311	612	86	293	24	7	283	77	-17	-1	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6218	5550	1257	163	32	84	451	1520	159	69	53	226	303	313	616	86	295	24	7	282	77	-164	-8	-7	+110	+133	6.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	131	17	3	9	47	159	17	7	6	226	303	312	615	86	293	24	7	282	77	-17	-1	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Mike Tresh'38-'49 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,637 PA	5.5	3,637	2	19	239*	319*	306*	+65	+0	6.9	6.6
/162	664	0	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,428	48	38	228	301	316	+61	+32	6.0	5.4
/162	664	9	7	+11.9	+6.2	1.2	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco De Marchena (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	213/287/269	55	290	0	1	25%	7%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	41	35→40	45	44	190/263/252	62	283	3	5	32%	8%	49	-2.4	198/278/298	100	289	10	5	32%	9%	65	-1.2	191/283/288	97	272	12	4	31%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	41	37→40	49→45	44	196/271/269	73	275	4	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	203/293/278	75	310	5	6	33%	9%	68	-1.0	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	40	36→50	45	37	191/233/259	68	269	3	6	30%	5%	38	-3.2	213/252/332	119	284	13	5	29%	5%	62	-1.4	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→44	36→50	50→45	44	203/264/273	70	257	3	6	22%	6%	54	-2.0	227/274/332	105	258	10	5	16%	5%	71	-0.8	232/277/359	127	262	15	5	18%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Freuddy Batista 2018 · A	18	42	37→50	47→40	43	199/266/272	73	284	3	5	29%	7%	55	-2.0	179/240/265	86	269	7	4	34%	6%	43	-2.8	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	36	35→50	46→50	50	171/258/234	63	226	2	8	23%	9%	44	-2.8	181/253/251	70	223	3	7	19%	8%	45	-2.7	218/259/314	97	279	5	8	23%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Jesus Galiz 2022 · A	18	39	35→45	51→40	43	183/237/246	63	234	2	7	22%	5%	37	-3.3	199/256/302	103	288	9	4	32%	6%	57	-1.8	195/253/292	98	300	8	2	36%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	35	36→55	47→40	42	171/238/236	65	267	3	6	35%	8%	36	-3.4	187/255/285	98	291	9	5	36%	8%	53	-2.1	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	40	37→45	45→30	42	191/256/259	68	246	4	5	24%	6%	48	-2.5	210/260/300	90	277	8	4	26%	4%	58	-1.7	184/228/264	80	253	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2018 · A	18	44→41	37→45	48→40	42	209/253/286	77	268	4	4	23%	5%	51	-2.2	219/265/293	74	276	5	4	22%	5%	58	-1.7	232/296/314	82	290	6	2	21%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Johanfran Garcia 2023 · A	18	41	35→50	45	49	193/261/252	59	248	2	4	22%	8%	48	-2.5	208/273/317	109	307	11	5	34%	6%	68	-1.0	211/266/350	139	310	20	5	37%	5%	71	-0.4
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	43	37→45	49→30	44	204/271/279	75	283	4	6	28%	7%	58	-1.7	206/255/291	85	265	6	4	24%	5%	54	-2.0	198/245/281	83	248	7	1	22%	4%	49	-0.8
✕Enderson Delgado 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	45→30	44	187/258/242	55	249	2	6	24%	6%	45	-2.7	176/259/260	84	258	7	4	32%	7%	51	-2.3	177/262/262	85	246	8	2	29%	7%	51	-0.7
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8

Francisco De Marchena

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps