Victor Familia — OGILVIE

Victor FamiliaC DSL Pirates Gold

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 196 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION87 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP284

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	85	21	9	2	0	17	38	7	1	3	247	413	400	813	153	438	35	15	371	137	+5	-1	—	—	+2	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	91	14	6	1	0	11	55	7	1	3	154	294	242	535	88	337	50	10	235	45	-7	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	91	14	6	1	0	11	55	7	1	3	154	294	242	535	88	378	50	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	85	21	9	2	0	17	38	7	1	3	247	413	400	813	153	438	35	15	371	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	91	14	6	1	0	11	55	7	1	3	154	294	242	535	88	337	50	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	110	91	14	6	1	0	11	55	7	1	3	154	294	242	535	88	337	50	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	PIT	—	87	69	12	2	1	0	9	26	7	3	0	174	329	232	561	58	273	30	10	240	49	-5	+1	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	PIT	—	87	63	13	2	1	0	15	18	7	3	0	206	412	270	682	63	283	21	17	332	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	PIT	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		286	25	12	263	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	PIT	—	95	76	13	2	1	0	10	28	7	3	0	171	323	224	546	53	265	29	11	242	50	-6	+1	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	183	160	32	6	2	2	16	54	5	6	2	200	293	300	593	100	284	30	9	271	69	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	319	279	57	11	3	4	28	92	9	11	3	204	297	308	606	104	286	29	9	279	75	-9	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	419	369	77	15	3	7	36	119	11	14	4	209	298	322	621	114	287	28	9	285	79	-10	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	485	427	91	17	4	9	42	137	13	17	5	213	303	335	638	122	288	28	9	289	82	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	520	456	98	19	4	10	45	146	14	18	5	215	305	340	645	125	289	28	9	292	84	-10	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	520	455	98	19	4	10	46	146	14	18	5	215	307	341	647	125	289	28	9	294	85	-9	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	520	455	97	18	4	10	46	146	14	18	5	213	305	336	641	123	289	28	9	295	86	-9	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	455	97	18	4	10	46	147	14	18	5	213	305	336	641	123	289	28	9	295	86	-9	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	454	97	18	4	10	47	147	14	18	5	214	307	337	644	123	288	28	9	294	85	-9	+2	-1	+9	+11	1.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	520	454	96	18	4	10	47	148	14	17	5	211	305	335	640	123	287	28	9	292	84	-10	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	520	454	96	18	4	10	47	150	14	17	5	211	305	335	640	123	286	29	9	289	82	-11	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.9
2038	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	504	440	91	17	4	9	46	147	13	16	4	207	301	325	626	118	283	29	9	285	79	-12	+2	-3	+9	+11	0.6
2039	32	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	489	429	86	16	3	8	44	144	13	16	4	200	294	308	602	107	280	29	9	280	76	-14	+2	-4	+9	+11	0.3
2040	33	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	448	393	77	14	3	7	40	134	12	14	4	196	290	300	590	104	276	30	9	273	71	-15	+1	-4	+8	+10	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	63	56	12	2	1	1	5	19	2	2	1	214	302	339	641	125	282	30	8	247	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	155	137	27	5	1	2	13	45	4	5	1	197	286	292	578	95	284	29	8	256	75	-5	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	227	199	41	8	2	3	20	65	6	8	2	206	298	312	609	106	285	29	9	262	79	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	275	242	51	10	2	5	24	78	7	9	3	211	300	331	631	120	286	28	9	266	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	294	258	54	10	2	5	26	83	8	10	3	209	301	322	623	112	287	28	9	268	84	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	294	258	54	10	2	5	26	83	8	10	3	209	301	322	623	112	287	28	9	270	85	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	294	258	54	10	2	5	26	83	8	10	3	209	301	322	623	112	287	28	9	271	86	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	288	252	53	10	2	5	26	81	8	10	3	210	304	325	630	115	287	28	9	271	86	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	285	249	52	10	2	5	26	81	8	10	3	209	304	325	629	116	286	28	9	270	85	-5	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	278	244	51	10	2	5	25	79	7	9	3	209	301	328	629	119	285	28	9	269	84	-5	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2037	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	274	240	50	9	2	5	25	79	7	9	2	208	301	325	626	117	284	29	9	266	82	-6	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2038	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	263	230	47	9	2	4	24	77	7	9	2	204	299	313	612	109	281	29	9	262	79	-7	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2039	32	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	275	241	48	9	2	4	25	81	7	9	2	199	293	303	596	104	278	29	9	257	76	-8	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2040	33	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	243	213	42	7	2	4	22	73	6	8	2	197	290	305	596	108	274	30	9	251	71	-8	+1	-2	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3508	3077	636	119	26	58	313	1007	93	118	33	207	299	319	618	112	285	29	9	265	80	-78	+10	-8	+63	+76	6.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	118	22	5	11	58	187	17	22	6	207	299	321	620	114	286	29	9	265	80	-15	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6605	5778	1205	230	51	116	588	1914	181	219	64	209	302	326	628	118	288	29	9	287	80	-147	+19	-15	+116	+141	11.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	119	23	5	11	58	188	18	22	6	209	303	325	628	116	289	29	9	287	80	-15	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.4	3,601	65	120	211	299	330	+64	+32	9.0	7.6
/162	664	12	22	+11.9	+5.9	1.7	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Familia (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	191/286/273	81	286	1	3	31%	8%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	45→49	37→55	49→50	43	209/275/287	78	306	4	12	31%	8%	61	-1.5	237/274/370	133	286	14	15	22%	4%	80	-0.2	245/282/403	158	315	17	11	27%	4%	89	+0.5
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→43	41→50	51→50	44	205/270/309	104	282	7	12	28%	7%	64	-1.3	200/251/288	88	282	6	11	30%	6%	52	-2.2	208/265/349	141	264	16	14	28%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→50	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	51	-2.3	202/252/306	104	278	9	7	29%	5%	57	-1.8	161/223/251	90	239	8	7	35%	7%	32	-1.1
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	195/252/281	86	270	8	16	30%	6%	51	-2.2	228/294/330	102	309	8	38	27%	7%	78	-0.3	236/312/340	103	313	6	38	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	40	37→50	50→45	41	186/263/256	70	295	4	13	35%	8%	50	-2.3	197/264/292	95	299	9	5	35%	6%	59	-1.6	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2018 · A	19	42	37→40	54→60	45	200/270/270	70	284	4	22	29%	8%	55	-1.9	208/268/293	85	302	6	18	31%	7%	59	-1.6	157/239/224	68	251	6	32	37%	8%	33	-0.9
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	36	36→45	51→50	41	173/241/239	66	265	4	16	34%	7%	38	-3.2	220/268/311	91	310	5	12	29%	5%	63	-1.4	226/270/319	93	319	4	12	29%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	41→51	40→55	47→55	39	198/251/292	94	281	7	13	31%	6%	53	-2.1	220/268/333	113	304	9	16	29%	6%	69	-0.9	224/286/367	142	294	14	21	28%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	37	38→45	46→50	37	179/239/262	83	292	6	10	38%	7%	42	-2.9	183/273/286	103	276	11	8	35%	9%	62	-1.4	165/268/271	106	240	13	6	34%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	54	-2.0	216/266/306	90	282	7	10	24%	6%	61	-1.5	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→40	36→45	51→60	46	196/275/269	73	281	3	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/270/288	87	311	7	23	35%	7%	60	-1.6	204/257/327	123	302	13	35	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	40	-3.0	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	74	-0.6	220/275/339	119	277	13	9	24%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Victor Soto 2008 · A	19	39	39→45	48→60	39	189/241/283	94	268	6	12	31%	5%	47	-2.6	194/247/269	75	274	3	21	28%	5%	46	-2.6	184/234/247	64	257	1	30	27%	5%	34	-0.9
✕Brayan Buelvas 2021 · A	19	43	39→45	50→55	41	202/262/298	95	295	5	12	32%	6%	59	-1.7	187/247/312	125	259	13	14	32%	6%	57	-1.8	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps