Santiago Martinez

SS DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	168	.270/.461/.303	0	17	62	—	.187/.339/.209
2026	18	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	208	.231/.388/.338	2	20	38	—	.142/.279/.195
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBHOU	318	.211/.295/.283	2	8	67	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBHOU	88	.219/.303/.304	1	2	73	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBHOU	182	.223/.307/.317	2	5	78	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%90

Z-Con%90

Speed90

K%83

Chase%81

ISO44

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCristofer Torin (age 19) · José Mejía (age 18) · Jose Astudillo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 177 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .293 / .281

PA177

HR1

K%24

BB%9

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$25M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	122	33	4	0	0	39	27	4	17	8	270	461	303	764	33	337	16	23	366	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	160	37	7	2	2	28	30	13	20	4	231	388	338	726	106	263	14	13	332	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	134	25	3	0	0	27	34	4	17	8	187	339	209	548	22	226	20	16	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	169	24	4	1	1	19	37	13	20	4	142	279	195	474	53	163	18	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	134	25	3	0	0	27	34	4	17	8	187	339	209	548	22	243	20	16	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	122	33	4	0	0	39	27	4	17	8	270	461	303	764	33	337	16	23	366	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	169	24	4	1	1	19	37	13	20	4	142	279	195	474	53	169	18	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	160	37	7	2	2	28	30	13	20	4	231	388	338	726	106	263	14	13	332	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	135	25	3	0	0	27	34	4	17	8	185	339	207	547	22	226	20	16	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	174	24	4	1	1	19	37	13	20	4	138	279	190	468	52	163	18	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	135	25	3	0	0	27	34	4	17	8	185	339	207	547	22	226	20	16	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	208	174	24	4	1	1	19	37	13	20	4	138	279	190	468	52	163	18	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	318	281	60	10	2	2	28	75	6	8	1	211	295	283	579	72	278	24	9	268	67	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	256	226	49	8	2	2	23	60	5	6	1	216	301	300	600	83	280	23	9	276	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	376	333	74	12	3	5	33	88	7	9	2	220	305	313	618	93	282	23	9	283	78	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	462	410	92	15	3	7	41	107	8	12	3	224	308	324	632	101	283	23	9	289	81	-10	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	518	458	103	17	3	8	46	119	9	13	3	226	310	333	643	107	285	23	9	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	554	490	113	19	4	10	49	127	10	14	3	229	311	340	652	112	286	23	9	296	86	-9	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	576	510	116	19	4	10	51	132	10	14	3	229	312	342	654	113	286	23	9	297	87	-9	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	587	520	120	20	4	11	52	134	10	14	3	229	312	343	654	114	286	23	9	297	87	-9	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	60%	589	521	119	20	4	10	53	136	10	14	3	228	311	340	651	112	285	23	9	296	86	-10	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	62%	586	519	117	19	4	10	52	136	10	13	3	226	309	336	645	109	285	23	9	293	84	-11	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	63%	577	512	115	19	4	9	51	136	9	12	3	224	306	330	636	106	284	24	9	290	82	-12	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	HOU	63%	567	503	111	18	3	9	50	135	9	11	3	221	303	322	625	101	282	24	9	285	79	-14	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	553	491	106	17	3	8	48	134	9	9	4	217	298	313	611	96	279	24	9	279	75	-16	+0	-3	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	88	78	18	3	1	1	8	21	2	2	0	219	303	304	607	85	284	24	9	279	73	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	182	161	35	6	1	2	16	42	3	5	1	223	307	317	624	94	286	23	9	286	78	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	251	222	51	9	2	4	22	58	5	6	1	226	310	328	638	102	287	23	9	291	81	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	293	260	60	10	2	5	26	67	5	7	2	229	312	337	649	108	289	23	9	295	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	313	277	64	11	2	5	28	72	5	8	2	231	314	344	657	112	290	23	9	298	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	325	287	67	12	2	6	29	74	6	8	2	232	314	345	659	114	290	23	9	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	332	293	68	12	2	6	30	76	6	8	2	232	314	346	660	114	290	23	9	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	60%	352	311	71	12	2	6	32	81	6	8	2	231	313	343	657	113	290	23	9	298	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	62%	362	321	73	13	2	6	32	84	6	8	2	229	311	339	650	110	289	23	9	295	84	-7	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	63%	362	321	73	13	2	6	32	85	6	7	2	227	309	333	642	106	288	23	9	292	82	-8	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	HOU	63%	360	319	71	12	2	5	32	86	6	7	2	224	305	326	631	102	286	24	9	288	79	-9	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	359	319	70	12	2	5	31	87	6	6	2	220	300	316	617	96	283	24	9	282	75	-11	+0	-2	+4	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3579	3169	721	125	22	57	318	833	62	80	20	228	310	335	645	107	289	23	9	293	80	-73	+8	-4	+38	+78	4.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	131	23	4	10	58	151	11	15	4	227	310	333	643	106	289	23	9	293	80	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6754	5952	1316	215	43	101	611	1557	126	182	47	221	307	323	630	101	280	23	9	287	80	-135	+15	-7	+68	+138	8.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	127	21	4	10	59	150	12	18	5	222	307	325	632	103	281	23	9	287	80	-14	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.7	3,757	58	86	225	304	330	+40	+24	7.3	6.4
/162	664	10	15	+7.1	+4.2	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Martinez (OGILVIE)	19	45	20	60	60	210/293/281	71	278	1	4	24%	9%	67	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	43	36→40	54→55	48	199/259/271	71	239	3	14	17%	6%	51	-2.3	231/283/301	70	265	2	14	13%	5%	66	-1.1	281/326/362	81	310	5	22	11%	5%	93	+0.3
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	48	37→45	53→50	53	218/293/303	85	243	3	11	12%	7%	72	-0.7	240/312/325	85	281	5	9	16%	7%	84	+0.1	232/299/348	116	287	12	10	23%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→40	52→65	44	215/281/268	53	304	1	15	28%	7%	59	-1.7	198/257/271	73	304	5	8	34%	6%	51	-2.3	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	44	34→30	52→60	50	201/303/251	50	270	2	16	24%	9%	66	-1.1	204/286/251	47	269	1	19	22%	8%	58	-1.7	200/279/232	31	261	0	26	21%	8%	48	-0.7
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2024 · A	19	45→36	39→40	55→60	56	209/320/298	89	285	6	19	26%	12%	82	-0.0	221/297/305	84	297	7	25	26%	9%	74	-0.6	206/283/289	83	268	8	31	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Dameury Pena 2024 · A	18	49→59	36→30	53→55	51	226/285/298	73	256	2	16	13%	7%	67	-1.1	228/286/308	80	252	6	15	12%	7%	70	-0.9	241/299/311	70	264	6	18	11%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	51→58	34→40	50→55	44	236/285/290	53	305	2	14	22%	6%	64	-1.3	241/294/285	44	301	1	9	19%	6%	67	-1.1	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Victor Rodrigues 2024 · A	19	42	37→30	47→50	51	198/275/273	75	246	5	10	21%	9%	58	-1.7	215/298/280	65	272	5	7	21%	10%	69	-0.9	213/306/263	50	270	4	5	20%	11%	66	-0.5
✕Jermaine Palacios 2015 · A	19	42→50	36→45	55→50	53	194/287/270	75	252	1	13	22%	10%	63	-1.4	231/274/324	93	290	5	10	21%	5%	68	-1.0	241/273/344	103	303	7	10	22%	3%	70	-0.5
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0

Santiago Martinez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps