Stainer Valdez

P FCL Pirates

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 150 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Pirates B…	12	1	16	2.87	3.99	16.1%	11.3%	—	K 11.0% · BB 14.1% · FIP 5.29
2026	19	ROKPIT	20	0	30	4.45	4.98	12.3%	16.2%	—	K 8.4% · BB 20.2% · FIP 6.13
2027PROJ	20	MLBPIT	14	0	15	5.74	5.74	17.7%	16.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBPIT	13	0	14	5.41	5.29	19.2%	14.5%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMichael Perez (age 21) · Elison Joseph (age 20) · Jackson Rose (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.74

FIP5.74

K%17.7%

BB%16.8%

K-BB%0.9%

Proj IP15

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	12	1	16	62	10	7	1	8%	1.3	11.0%	14.1%	-3.1%	2.4%	2.87	5.29	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	12	1	16	62	10	7	1	8%	1.3	11.0%	14.1%	-3.1%	2.4%	2.87	5.29	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	12	1	16	62	10	7	1	8%	1.3	16.1%	11.3%	4.8%	1.6%	2.87	3.99	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	20	0	30	130	16	21	2	0%	1.5	8.4%	20.2%	-11.8%	2.2%	4.45	6.13	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	20	0	30	130	16	21	2	0%	1.5	8.4%	20.2%	-11.8%	2.2%	4.45	6.13	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	20	0	30	130	16	21	2	0%	1.5	12.3%	16.2%	-3.8%	1.5%	4.45	4.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	PIT	14	0	15	63	11	11	2	0%	1.1	17.7%	16.8%	0.9%	3.0%	5.74	5.74	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	27	0	29	121	23	18	4	0%	1.1	19.2%	14.5%	4.7%	2.9%	5.41	5.29	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	13	0	14	59	11	9	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	14.5%	4.7%	2.9%	5.41	5.29	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	60	11	9	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	14.5%	4.7%	2.9%	5.41	4.91	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	156	128	28	0%	1.1	19.2%	14.5%	4.7%	2.9%	5.41	4.91	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		32	1	46	192	18	35	4	3%	1.4	9.2%	18.2%	-9.0%	2.2%	3.91	5.86	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	4	200	835	77	152	19	3%	1.4	9.2%	18.2%	-9.0%	2.2%	3.91	5.86	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Stainer Valdez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.74	17.7%	16.8%	3.0%	—	5.29	19.2%	4.7%	29	-0.45	—	—	—
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	93
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	89
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	89
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	88
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	87
Alejandro Méndez R 2021 · 5.70 FIP	20	SU	5.70	14.6%	14.5%	3.6%	.321	5.60	15.8%	-7.5%	91	-0.10	4.65	136	87
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	87
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	86
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	85
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	85
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	85
Luis Ramirez R 2022 · 4.92 FIP	20	SU	4.92	14.0%	16.5%	1.7%	.273	5.05	15.6%	-1.9%	68	+0.13	3.72	123	85
Johan Quezada R 2015 · 4.65 FIP	20	SU	4.65	18.0%	17.2%	1.6%	.255	4.39	14.1%	-3.0%	53	-0.26	3.78	234	85
Ismael Aquino R 2019 · 4.89 FIP	20	SU	4.89	17.0%	16.5%	2.1%	.354	5.58	14.1%	-1.5%	14	+0.69	3.99	122	85
Angel Reyes R 2018 · 4.91 FIP	20	SU	4.91	16.5%	19.4%	1.4%	.328	4.51	17.1%	5.7%	119	-0.40	3.99	308	85
Ryan Harbin R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	20	SU	5.47	14.4%	18.9%	2.2%	.317	4.18	24.0%	8.1%	156	-1.29	3.82	185	84
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	487	84
Jesse Stallings R 2016 · 6.02 FIP	21	SU	6.02	13.2%	15.0%	3.9%	.296	4.10	11.6%	5.0%	128	-1.92	3.48	151	84
Jairo Beras R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	22	SU	6.07	16.4%	16.9%	4.0%	.237	4.35	20.7%	4.5%	96	-1.72	3.48	110	84
Samuel Fabian R 2023 · 6.61 FIP	20	SU	6.61	16.8%	27.4%	2.7%	.352	4.33	17.2%	4.8%	64	-2.28	4.21	120	84