Pablo Castillo

C FCL Twins

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 189 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1393ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKMIN	95	.315/.474/.411	1	2	76	—	.221/.368/.299
2026	18	ROKMIN	32	.333/.438/.370	0	0	69	—	.250/.344/.286
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBMIN	142	.208/.290/.276	1	1	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIN	29	.212/.295/.290	0	0	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIN	85	.216/.299/.302	1	1	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

wOBA95

wRC+93

Z-Con%75

BB%58

ISO49

Whiff%43

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 1.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsAndres Regnault (age 19) · Luis Vázquez (age 19) · Denzer Guzman (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 29 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .288 / .274

PA29

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	95	73	23	4	0	1	14	22	8	2	4	315	474	411	885	96	440	23	15	412	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	32	27	9	1	0	0	4	7	1	0	0	333	438	370	808	37	450	22	12	377	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	77	17	3	0	1	10	27	8	2	4	221	368	299	667	78	300	28	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	32	28	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	344	286	629	36	372	31	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	77	17	3	0	1	10	27	8	2	4	221	368	299	667	78	327	28	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	95	73	23	4	0	1	14	22	8	2	4	315	474	411	885	96	440	23	15	412	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	32	28	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	344	286	629	36	389	31	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	32	27	9	1	0	0	4	7	1	0	0	333	438	370	808	37	450	22	12	377	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	77	17	3	0	1	10	27	8	2	4	221	368	299	667	78	300	28	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	32	28	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	344	286	629	36	372	31	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	77	17	3	0	1	10	27	8	2	4	221	368	299	667	78	300	28	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	32	28	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	344	286	629	36	372	31	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	142	127	26	4	1	1	11	40	3	1	0	208	290	276	566	68	290	28	8	263	64	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	84	75	15	2	0	1	7	23	2	1	0	212	295	290	585	78	292	27	8	270	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	175	155	33	5	1	2	14	47	4	1	1	216	299	302	600	86	293	27	8	277	73	-6	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	286	254	55	9	1	4	23	76	7	2	1	219	302	312	614	93	294	27	8	282	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	379	336	75	12	2	6	31	100	9	3	1	222	304	321	625	100	294	26	8	286	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	439	390	87	14	2	7	36	115	10	3	1	224	306	329	635	105	295	26	8	290	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	445	396	88	14	2	8	36	117	10	3	1	225	307	332	638	107	295	26	8	291	83	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	445	396	88	14	2	8	36	117	10	3	2	225	307	333	640	108	295	26	8	291	83	-9	-0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	445	395	88	14	2	8	37	117	10	3	2	224	306	330	636	107	294	26	8	290	82	-9	-0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	445	396	88	14	2	8	36	118	10	3	2	222	304	326	629	104	293	27	8	287	80	-10	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	445	396	87	14	2	7	36	119	10	3	3	219	301	319	620	100	292	27	8	283	78	-12	-1	-1	+8	+10	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	445	396	85	13	2	7	36	121	10	3	6	216	297	311	608	95	290	27	8	279	75	-13	-2	-2	+8	+10	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	29	26	5	1	0	0	2	8	1	0	0	212	295	290	585	78	292	28	7	271	69	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	85	76	16	3	0	1	7	23	2	1	0	216	299	302	601	86	293	27	8	277	73	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	155	137	30	5	1	2	13	41	4	1	1	219	302	313	614	94	294	26	8	282	77	-4	-0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	215	191	42	7	1	3	17	57	5	2	1	222	304	322	626	100	294	27	8	286	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	248	220	49	8	1	4	20	65	6	2	1	224	306	330	636	105	295	26	8	290	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	251	222	49	8	1	4	21	66	6	2	1	225	307	332	639	107	295	26	8	291	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	251	222	50	8	1	5	21	66	6	2	1	225	307	334	640	109	295	26	8	292	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	247	219	49	8	1	4	20	65	6	2	1	224	306	331	637	107	294	26	8	290	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	244	217	48	8	1	4	20	65	5	2	1	222	304	326	630	104	293	27	8	287	80	-6	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	238	212	46	7	1	4	19	64	5	1	2	219	301	319	620	100	292	27	8	284	78	-6	-1	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	234	208	45	7	1	4	19	64	5	1	3	216	297	311	609	95	290	27	8	279	75	-7	-1	-1	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2197	1950	429	70	9	35	179	584	51	16	12	220	302	319	621	99	294	27	8	286	79	-53	-2	-2	+39	+48	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	127	21	3	10	53	173	15	5	4	220	302	319	621	99	295	27	8	286	79	-16	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4189	3716	818	130	18	67	343	1115	102	30	24	220	304	319	622	99	294	27	8	286	79	-99	-2	-4	+73	+88	5.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	127	20	3	10	53	173	16	5	4	220	304	317	621	97	295	27	8	286	79	-16	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Twins · 32 PAwOBA .368 → .270 (−98)K% 21.9% → 31.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.88%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	31.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	7.92%
HBP% /PA	3.12%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	2.30%
Singles /BIP	40.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.022	33.54%
Doubles /BIP	5.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.022	3.68%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .368 → .270; ISO .037 → .025; BABIP .450 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Twins · 95 PAwOBA .403 → .280 (−122)K% 23.2% → 28.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.16%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	28.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.74%	÷0.995	×0.700	—	×1.022	10.60%
HBP% /PA	8.42%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	6.03%
Singles /BIP	35.29%	÷0.991	×0.680	—	×1.022	24.76%
Doubles /BIP	7.84%	÷0.982	×0.600	—	×1.022	4.90%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	—	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.96%	÷0.953	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.99%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .403 → .280; ISO .096 → .056; BABIP .440 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.4	2,226	36	15	222	301	324	+40	+28	4.7	4.4
/162	664	11	5	+11.9	+8.4	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Castillo (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	206/288/274	68	290	0	0	28%	8%	64	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Riley Unroe 2015 · A	19	39→47	37→45	47→55	46	189/257/263	74	257	4	8	27%	8%	49	-2.4	200/264/264	64	286	4	10	29%	8%	51	-2.2	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	40	36→50	45	37	191/233/259	68	269	3	6	30%	5%	38	-3.2	213/252/332	119	284	13	5	29%	5%	62	-1.4	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Marco Guzman 2014 · A	19	37	35→50	44→50	52	173/258/237	64	224	2	8	22%	9%	45	-2.7	189/250/263	74	224	4	7	16%	7%	46	-2.6	218/259/314	97	279	5	8	23%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Martin Cervenka 2012 · A	19	40→47	36→45	50→40	39	191/243/261	71	284	3	6	33%	6%	42	-2.9	194/259/254	60	308	3	5	34%	8%	47	-2.5	214/259/323	109	288	12	2	29%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	42	172/250/235	63	266	3	6	34%	8%	40	-3.0	198/264/283	85	295	7	4	33%	8%	57	-1.8	188/259/268	80	276	7	3	32%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Danny De Andrade 2023 · A	19	39→41	37→45	47→50	44	189/252/264	75	237	5	7	22%	6%	47	-2.5	201/275/306	105	275	9	12	28%	7%	67	-1.1	193/271/306	113	267	10	13	29%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	41	37→45	51→45	45	196/255/276	80	259	4	6	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/250/290	79	273	4	8	23%	5%	51	-2.2	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Tyler Marlette 2012 · A	19	41→43	37→50	49→45	33	193/232/265	72	306	4	6	37%	4%	39	-3.1	231/265/343	112	314	11	7	29%	4%	70	-0.9	243/287/380	137	309	15	7	26%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	41→44	36→50	48→45	43	194/262/264	70	258	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.2	218/281/363	145	322	16	4	35%	7%	81	-0.1	210/279/360	150	310	18	4	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2018 · A	19	37	36→45	48→40	46	175/245/241	65	211	3	3	18%	6%	40	-3.1	184/250/248	64	235	4	4	22%	7%	43	-2.8	198/251/279	81	242	7	1	21%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Dale Burdick 2015 · A	19	39	37→45	42→50	47	186/273/256	70	260	5	7	28%	9%	55	-2.0	179/255/267	88	296	7	6	38%	8%	50	-2.3	160/237/256	96	273	8	4	41%	7%	39	-1.0
✕Raul Beracierta 2018 · A	19	44	35→45	46→50	40	209/258/267	58	287	3	7	27%	5%	49	-2.4	214/280/300	86	302	6	8	29%	7%	66	-1.1	212/267/336	123	303	13	5	33%	6%	65	-0.5

Pablo Castillo

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps