Pablo Castillo — OGILVIE

Pablo CastilloC FCL Twins

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 189 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 51 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .255 / .196

PA51

HR0

K%29

BB%8

BABIP258

ISO22

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$40M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	95	78	18	3	0	1	9	32	8	2	4	231	368	308	676	77	378	34	9	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	95	73	23	4	0	1	14	22	8	2	4	315	474	411	885	96	440	23	15	412	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIN	—	32	29	7	1	0	0	2	10	1	0	0	241	312	276	588	34	368	31	6	265	61	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
YTD	18	ROK	MIN	—	32	27	9	1	0	0	4	7	1	0	0	333	438	370	808	37	450	22	12	377	146	+2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
ROS	18	ROK	MIN	0%	51	46	8	1	0	0	4	15	1	1	0	174	255	196	451	22	296	29	8	264	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
ROS	18	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	246	47	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIN	—	32	30	7	1	0	0	2	10	1	0	0	233	312	267	579	33	350	31	6	265	61	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
TOT	18	ROK	MIN	—	83	75	15	2	0	0	6	25	2	1	0	200	277	227	504	27	300	30	7	264	61	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIN	34%	176	156	34	5	1	2	14	49	4	2	1	218	299	301	600	83	298	28	8	275	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2028	20	MLB	MIN	48%	318	282	62	10	1	5	25	88	8	3	1	220	302	316	617	96	299	28	8	283	75	-9	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.6
2029	21	MLB	MIN	54%	427	380	85	14	2	7	34	116	10	4	1	224	304	326	631	103	300	27	8	288	79	-10	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.0
2030	22	MLB	MIN	57%	505	447	101	16	2	9	41	136	12	5	2	226	308	331	639	105	301	27	8	292	82	-10	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.3
2031	23	MLB	MIN	58%	520	460	105	17	2	10	42	139	13	5	2	228	311	339	650	111	301	27	8	294	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2032	24	MLB	MIN	57%	520	460	105	17	2	10	42	139	13	5	2	228	311	339	650	111	302	27	8	296	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2033	25	MLB	MIN	57%	520	460	105	17	2	10	42	139	13	5	2	228	311	339	650	111	302	27	8	298	86	-8	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2034	26	MLB	MIN	57%	520	460	106	17	2	11	42	139	13	5	2	230	313	348	660	117	302	27	8	298	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2035	27	MLB	MIN	55%	520	459	105	17	2	10	43	139	13	5	2	229	313	340	652	111	302	27	8	298	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2036	28	MLB	MIN	55%	520	459	105	17	2	10	43	140	13	5	2	229	313	340	652	111	302	27	8	297	86	-8	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2037	29	MLB	MIN	53%	520	458	103	16	2	10	44	141	13	5	2	225	311	334	645	109	301	27	8	295	84	-9	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2038	30	MLB	MIN	53%	520	458	103	16	2	10	44	142	13	4	1	225	311	334	645	109	299	27	8	293	82	-11	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.2
2039	31	MLB	MIN	52%	504	445	98	15	2	9	42	139	12	4	1	220	305	324	628	103	297	28	8	289	79	-12	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.9
2040	32	MLB	MIN	56%	489	433	93	14	2	8	41	137	12	3	1	215	300	312	612	97	294	28	8	283	75	-14	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.6
2027	19	MLB	MIN	34%	60	54	12	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	222	300	315	615	93	298	28	8	257	55	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	MIN	48%	154	137	30	5	1	2	12	42	4	2	1	219	301	314	615	95	299	27	8	265	61	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	21	MLB	MIN	54%	232	205	46	7	1	4	19	63	6	2	1	224	309	327	636	102	300	27	8	271	65	-9	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB	MIN	57%	286	254	57	9	1	5	23	77	7	3	1	224	306	327	633	102	301	27	8	275	68	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	MIN	58%	299	266	61	10	1	6	24	80	7	3	1	229	310	342	652	113	302	27	8	277	70	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2032	24	MLB	MIN	57%	296	263	60	10	1	6	24	79	7	3	1	228	310	342	652	114	302	27	8	279	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2033	25	MLB	MIN	57%	295	262	60	10	1	6	24	79	7	3	1	229	311	344	654	115	303	27	8	280	72	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2034	26	MLB	MIN	57%	294	261	60	10	1	6	24	79	7	3	1	230	312	345	656	115	302	27	8	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2035	27	MLB	MIN	55%	289	256	58	9	1	6	24	77	7	3	1	227	310	340	650	113	302	27	8	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2036	28	MLB	MIN	55%	286	253	58	9	1	6	24	77	7	3	1	229	313	344	657	115	302	27	8	280	72	-9	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.4
2037	29	MLB	MIN	53%	278	246	55	9	1	5	23	75	7	3	1	224	308	329	637	106	301	27	8	278	71	-9	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.3
2038	30	MLB	MIN	53%	274	242	55	9	1	5	23	75	7	2	1	227	312	335	647	107	300	27	8	275	69	-10	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.2
2039	31	MLB	MIN	52%	263	233	52	8	1	5	22	73	6	2	1	223	307	330	637	107	297	28	8	271	66	-10	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.0
2040	32	MLB	MIN	56%	275	243	53	8	1	5	23	77	7	2	1	218	304	321	625	103	294	28	8	266	62	-12	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3581	3176	717	115	13	68	294	970	87	35	13	226	309	334	643	109	302	27	8	275	69	-126	+2	-6	+64	+101	3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	130	21	2	12	53	176	16	6	2	226	308	332	640	106	303	27	8	275	69	-23	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	6725	5941	1336	212	26	122	552	1830	171	63	26	225	309	331	640	106	302	27	8	293	82	-136	+2	-10	+120	+191	16.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	129	20	3	12	53	177	17	6	3	225	309	333	642	108	301	27	8	293	82	-13	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	95	73	23	4	0	1	14	22	8	2	4	315	474	411	885	96	440	23	15	412	174	+8	-1	—	—	+3	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#4Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,664	67	35	226	306	334	+65	+32	9.5	7.9
	/162	664	12	6	226	306	334	+11.9	+5.8	1.7	pk7: 6
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Castillo (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	200/277/227	27	300	0	1	30%	7%	61	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	42	202/274/283	81	295	6	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	204/293/283	79	316	6	6	34%	9%	64	-0.8	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→47	36→55	49→30	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	43	-2.2	204/277/283	79	275	6	5	26%	8%	56	-1.3	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
●José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→50	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	48	-1.9	201/251/277	76	239	4	11	17%	4%	43	-2.2	256/343/399	143	276	14	28	13%	10%	110	+1.2
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	42→44	37→45	47→60	37	197/271/278	80	298	4	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	219/295/319	100	315	8	15	31%	6%	74	-0.1	224/303/332	108	321	10	20	31%	6%	76	+0.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	49	-1.8	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	34	-2.8	189/233/266	77	239	5	3	22%	4%	32	-3.0	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→46	39→45	48→45	46	210/278/294	84	284	6	8	27%	8%	59	-1.1	225/302/319	94	296	6	8	24%	10%	76	+0.0	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Yojhan Quevedo 2012 · A	18	43→52	36→45	49→50	46	204/267/271	67	276	4	6	26%	8%	48	-1.9	223/265/308	85	255	7	7	15%	5%	56	-1.3	225/260/307	83	250	6	7	13%	4%	51	-0.4
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	47	-1.9	210/260/302	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	53	-1.5	184/227/264	80	254	7	0	30%	3%	27	-1.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Jhonny Pereda 2014 · A	18	39→45	37→45	47→40	44	187/241/258	71	246	5	3	25%	6%	33	-2.9	194/251/258	64	233	4	3	17%	6%	38	-2.6	279/349/386	107	370	8	0	25%	9%	107	+1.0