Pablo Castillo — OGILVIE

Pablo CastilloC FCL Twins

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 189 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP296

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	95	73	23	4	0	1	14	22	8	2	4	315	474	411	885	96	440	23	15	412	165	+7	-1	—	—	+2	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	78	18	3	0	1	9	32	8	2	4	231	368	308	676	77	355	34	9	291	83	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	78	18	3	0	1	9	32	8	2	4	231	368	308	676	77	378	34	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	95	73	23	4	0	1	14	22	8	2	4	315	474	411	885	96	440	23	15	412	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	78	18	3	0	1	9	32	8	2	4	231	368	308	676	77	355	34	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	78	18	3	0	1	9	32	8	2	4	231	368	308	676	77	355	34	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	MIN	—	32	29	7	1	0	0	2	10	1	0	0	241	312	276	588	34	368	31	6	265	65	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	MIN	—	32	27	9	1	0	0	4	7	1	0	0	333	438	370	808	37	450	22	12	377	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	MIN	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		296	25	12	265	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	MIN	—	40	36	8	1	0	0	3	12	1	0	0	222	300	250	550	28	333	30	8	265	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	176	156	34	5	1	2	14	49	4	1	0	218	299	301	600	83	298	28	8	276	73	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	318	282	62	10	1	5	25	87	8	2	1	220	302	316	617	96	299	27	8	284	78	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	427	380	85	14	2	7	34	115	10	3	1	224	304	326	631	103	299	27	8	289	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.8
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	505	447	101	16	2	9	41	135	12	4	1	226	308	331	639	105	300	27	8	293	84	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	520	460	105	17	2	10	42	138	13	4	1	228	311	339	650	111	301	27	8	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	520	460	105	17	2	10	42	138	13	4	1	228	311	339	650	111	302	27	8	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	520	460	105	17	2	10	42	138	13	4	1	228	311	339	650	111	302	27	8	298	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	520	460	105	17	2	10	42	138	13	4	1	228	311	339	650	111	302	27	8	299	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	520	459	105	17	2	10	43	138	13	4	1	229	313	340	652	111	302	27	8	299	89	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	520	459	105	17	2	10	43	139	13	4	1	229	313	340	652	111	301	27	8	298	88	-8	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	520	458	104	16	2	10	44	140	13	4	1	227	313	336	649	109	300	27	8	296	86	-8	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	520	458	103	16	2	10	44	141	13	4	1	225	311	334	645	109	299	27	8	293	85	-10	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.9
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	504	445	98	15	2	9	42	138	12	4	1	220	305	324	628	103	297	27	8	289	82	-11	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.7
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	489	433	94	14	2	8	41	136	12	3	1	217	302	314	617	97	293	28	8	284	78	-13	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.3
2041	33	MLB MLE	MIN	59%	473	420	90	13	2	8	39	134	11	3	1	214	298	312	610	98	289	28	8	277	74	-15	+0	-4	+8	+10	-0.0
2042	34	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	432	383	78	11	1	6	36	125	10	3	1	204	289	285	574	81	284	29	8	269	68	-16	+0	-5	+8	+9	-0.4
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	60	54	12	2	0	1	5	17	1	0	0	222	300	315	615	93	298	28	8	258	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	154	137	30	5	1	2	12	42	4	1	0	219	301	314	615	95	299	27	8	266	78	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	232	205	46	7	1	4	19	62	6	2	1	224	309	327	636	102	300	27	8	271	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	286	254	57	9	1	5	23	76	7	2	1	224	306	327	633	102	300	27	8	275	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	299	266	61	10	1	6	24	79	7	2	1	229	310	342	652	113	301	26	8	277	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	296	263	61	10	1	6	24	78	7	2	1	232	313	346	659	114	302	26	8	279	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	295	262	60	10	1	6	24	78	7	2	1	229	311	344	654	115	302	26	8	280	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	294	261	60	10	1	6	24	78	7	2	1	230	312	345	656	115	302	27	8	281	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	289	256	58	9	1	6	24	77	7	2	1	227	310	340	650	113	302	27	8	281	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	286	253	58	9	1	6	24	76	7	2	1	229	313	344	657	115	301	27	8	280	88	-4	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	278	246	55	9	1	5	23	75	7	2	1	224	308	329	637	106	300	27	8	278	86	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	274	242	55	9	1	5	23	74	7	2	1	227	312	335	647	107	299	27	8	276	85	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	263	233	52	8	1	5	22	72	6	2	1	223	307	330	637	107	297	27	8	272	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	275	243	53	8	1	5	23	77	7	2	1	218	304	321	625	103	293	28	8	266	78	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2041	33	MLB CTX	MIN	59%	279	247	52	8	1	4	23	79	7	2	1	211	296	300	596	89	289	28	8	260	74	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.0
2042	34	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	235	209	43	6	1	3	19	68	5	2	0	206	288	287	575	81	284	29	8	252	68	-9	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4095	3631	813	129	15	75	336	1108	99	29	13	224	307	330	637	106	300	27	8	273	83	-82	+1	-11	+73	+89	7.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	128	20	2	12	53	176	16	5	2	222	305	326	631	104	297	27	8	273	83	-13	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7587	6705	1498	235	29	135	624	2063	191	57	19	223	308	328	635	104	300	27	8	291	83	-152	+5	-20	+134	+162	13.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	128	20	2	12	53	177	16	5	2	223	306	328	633	105	298	27	8	291	83	-13	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.3	4,178	75	30	225	305	331	+75	+40	10.5	8.6
/162	664	12	5	+11.9	+6.4	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Castillo (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	208/287/279	71	296	1	1	29%	8%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→51	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	54	-2.0	203/252/278	75	241	4	11	17%	4%	50	-2.3	244/330/367	123	265	11	26	12%	10%	98	+0.7
✕Jhonny Pereda 2014 · A	18	39→47	37→40	47→40	44	187/241/258	71	246	5	3	25%	6%	41	-3.0	194/251/258	64	233	4	3	17%	6%	45	-2.7	272/342/370	98	361	7	0	25%	9%	101	+0.6
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→50	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	58	-1.7	242/287/359	117	276	12	5	17%	5%	82	-0.0	243/286/377	134	275	16	5	18%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→41	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	58	-1.7	196/241/316	120	278	11	5	32%	5%	55	-2.0	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Yairo Muñoz 2013 · A	18	41→51	37→45	48→55	41	195/247/274	79	274	2	8	29%	6%	47	-2.6	202/253/288	86	262	6	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	263/305/392	130	320	14	17	22%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	53	-2.1	211/261/303	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	59	-1.6	185/229/266	80	254	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	42	36→45	45	41	193/263/257	64	306	3	5	35%	8%	50	-2.3	206/281/320	114	312	12	5	35%	8%	72	-0.7	198/283/308	110	288	14	4	34%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	41	202/274/282	81	298	6	6	32%	7%	60	-1.6	205/294/284	79	319	6	6	34%	9%	69	-0.9	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	55	-2.0	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	67	-1.1	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→49	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	57	-1.8	209/260/301	92	287	8	8	28%	6%	58	-1.7	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2018 · A	18	43	37→45	48→40	42	207/251/284	76	266	4	4	23%	5%	51	-2.3	217/262/290	73	274	5	4	22%	5%	56	-1.9	218/296/319	101	289	9	2	26%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	43	37→45	48→60	37	200/274/282	82	301	4	8	32%	5%	61	-1.5	219/296/323	104	314	8	15	31%	6%	78	-0.3	223/301/336	113	317	11	20	31%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	38→40	42→45	44	193/266/276	83	281	5	6	31%	8%	55	-1.9	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	71	-0.8	193/314/286	93	255	5	7	23%	13%	76	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps