Angel Rosario — OGILVIE

Angel Rosario P DSL Marlins

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 190 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 132

ERA5.21

FIP5.21

K%23.2%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%6.9%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	10	0	16	69	20	12	0	0%	1.6	19.7%	21.7%	-2.0%	0.0%	4.02	4.19	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	10	0	16	69	20	12	0	0%	1.6	19.7%	21.7%	-2.0%	0.0%	4.02	4.19	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	10	0	16	69	20	12	0	0%	1.6	29.0%	17.4%	11.6%	0.0%	4.02	2.84	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	0	19	88	30	16	0	0%	1.7	23.2%	22.7%	0.5%	0.0%	4.82	4.02	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	0	19	88	30	16	0	0%	1.7	23.2%	22.7%	0.5%	0.0%	4.82	4.02	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	0	19	88	30	16	0	0%	1.7	34.1%	18.2%	15.9%	0.0%	4.82	2.46	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIA	10	0	11	46	11	8	1	0%	1.1	23.2%	16.4%	6.9%	3.0%	5.21	5.21	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	20	12	2	0%	1.1	23.6%	14.2%	9.4%	2.9%	4.99	4.90	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	9	0	9	38	9	5	1	0%	1.0	23.6%	14.2%	9.4%	2.9%	4.99	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	9	5	1	0%	1.1	23.6%	14.2%	9.4%	2.9%	4.99	4.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	211	117	23	0%	1.1	23.6%	14.2%	9.4%	2.9%	4.99	4.52	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		21	0	34	157	34	35	0	0%	1.6	21.7%	22.3%	-0.6%	0.0%	4.46	4.10	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	0	200	915	198	204	0	0%	1.6	21.7%	22.3%	-0.6%	0.0%	4.46	4.10	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Rosario (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	23.2%	16.4%	3.0%	—	4.90	23.6%	9.4%	20	-0.31	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	93
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	85
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	85
Renyel Pinto L 2006 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	26.7%	20.0%	2.2%	.246	4.42	21.2%	7.6%	185	-0.18	3.58	231	84
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	83
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	83
Ben Harris L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	23.8%	19.6%	3.8%	.291	4.74	21.1%	0.9%	30	-0.92	3.06	183	82
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	81
Ty Damron L 2018 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	24.3%	14.0%	2.6%	.358	4.30	19.7%	10.3%	134	+0.03	3.29	346	81
Jimmy Burnette L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	25.2%	16.3%	2.3%	.336	3.48	19.9%	5.1%	59	-0.81	3.00	158	81
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	80
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	80
Bailey Horn L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	24	SU	4.71	24.7%	15.6%	3.1%	.320	4.35	22.0%	11.5%	163	-0.36	3.90	265	80
Andrew Walling L 2024 · 4.05 FIP	24	SU	4.05	23.4%	13.2%	2.3%	.281	3.73	20.8%	7.5%	52	-0.32	3.14	161	80
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	80
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	79
Gabriel Sequeira L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	19.3%	13.1%	2.7%	.294	3.57	21.4%	10.0%	63	-1.03	2.62	160	79
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	79
Matt Thornton L 2004 · 4.18 FIP	27	SU	4.18	20.3%	16.2%	1.4%	.304	4.18	21.8%	11.5%	167	-0.00	1.71	663	79
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	79