Edwardo Melendez
P
Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 22
RHP
6'0" / 177 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 165156vR 147
ERA6.57
FIP6.57
K%14.7%
BB%21.8%
K-BB%-7.1%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 14 | 3 | 30 | 139 | 33 | 20 | 0 | 21% | 2.2 | 16.1% | 18.0% | -1.8% | 0.0% | 7.71 | 4.01 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 14 | 3 | 30 | 139 | 33 | 20 | 0 | 21% | 2.2 | 23.7% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 7.71 | 2.90 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 8 | 61 | 282 | 63 | 54 | 3 | 44% | 3.4 | 15.4% | 23.6% | -8.2% | 1.9% | 5.46 | 5.83 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 8 | 61 | 282 | 63 | 54 | 3 | 44% | 3.4 | 22.3% | 19.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 5.46 | 4.33 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 20 | 3 | 47 | 201 | 56 | 27 | 4 | 15% | 2.4 | 20.6% | 15.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.04 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CHC | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 33 | 48 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.7% | 21.8% | -7.1% | 2.9% | 6.57 | 6.57 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.7% | 21.8% | -7.1% | 2.9% | 6.57 | 6.57 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 100 | 423 | 89 | 75 | 10 | — | — | 21.0% | 17.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.90 | 5.72 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 39 | 43 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 18.9% | -2.1% | 2.8% | 6.14 | 6.01 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 42 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 17.0% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 5.80 | 5.66 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 19 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 18.9% | -2.1% | 2.8% | 6.14 | 6.01 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 30 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 17.0% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 5.80 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 63 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 49 | 49 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 17.8% | -0.3% | 2.8% | 5.94 | 5.42 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 149 | 149 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 17.8% | -0.3% | 2.8% | 5.94 | 5.42 | -0.0 | ||
| Career | — | 52 | 14 | 139 | 622 | 107 | 124 | 11 | 27% | 2.7 | 17.3% | 19.9% | -2.6% | 1.7% | 5.13 | 5.09 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 20 | 200 | 897 | 155 | 178 | 15 | 27% | 2.7 | 17.3% | 19.9% | -2.6% | 1.7% | 5.13 | 5.09 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Edwardo Melendez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.57 | 14.7% | 21.8% | 2.9% | — | 5.83 | 17.4% | -0.6% | 110 | -0.74 | — | — | — |
| Johsson Arias R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.43 | 8.5% | 17.1% | 1.6% | .244 | 3.64 | 15.9% | 4.4% | 77 | -1.79 | 3.46 | 117 | 82 |
| Ted Stuka R 2028 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 82 |
| Justin Ferrell R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.48 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 3.4% | .261 | 4.31 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 173 | -1.17 | 3.80 | 300 | 82 |
| Drew Conover R 2027 · 6.30 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.30 | 15.6% | 29.8% | 1.4% | .272 | 5.34 | 11.7% | -3.6% | 96 | -0.96 | 4.52 | 135 | 79 |
| Austin Amaral R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.80 | 12.1% | 14.4% | 3.4% | .254 | 3.65 | 17.6% | 5.7% | 99 | -2.15 | 3.55 | 122 | 79 |
| Garrett Nuss R 2026 · 5.91 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.91 | 14.1% | 14.9% | 3.8% | .352 | 4.67 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 92 | -1.24 | 4.56 | 174 | 79 |
| Kendy Richard R 2025 · 5.98 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.98 | 12.0% | 16.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 141 | 79 |
| Alberto Tirado R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.62 | 14.7% | 18.5% | 2.6% | .294 | 3.82 | 16.5% | -0.2% | 33 | -1.80 | 3.82 | 247 | 78 |
| Miguel Mora R 2025 · 7.01 FIP | 21 | SU | 7.01 | 10.5% | 26.8% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 151 | 77 |
| Jordan Brink R 2027 · 5.96 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.96 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 3.6% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 132 | 76 |
| Elian Rodriguez R 2026 · 7.63 FIP | 22 | SW | 7.63 | 14.2% | 25.0% | 4.7% | .388 | 5.43 | 18.3% | -3.6% | 40 | -2.20 | 5.43 | 109 | 76 |
| Dominic Pipkin R 2026 · 5.69 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.69 | 14.7% | 17.5% | 2.9% | .304 | 4.60 | 23.3% | 13.7% | 20 | -1.09 | 4.60 | 266 | 76 |
| Josh White R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.45 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.8% | .244 | 3.02 | 28.9% | 17.7% | 167 | -2.43 | 1.95 | 232 | 75 |
| Eury Rosado R 2026 · 6.29 FIP | 22 | SW | 6.29 | 17.8% | 18.2% | 4.4% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 109 | 75 |
| Diogenes Almengo R 2025 · 6.34 FIP | 21 | SW | 6.34 | 8.2% | 18.3% | 2.9% | .235 | 4.55 | 21.0% | 5.1% | 70 | -1.79 | 2.12 | 242 | 75 |
| Jol Concepcion R 2026 · 6.53 FIP | 22 | SW | 6.53 | 12.2% | 20.0% | 3.5% | .272 | 4.65 | 23.9% | 3.9% | 50 | -1.88 | 4.65 | 154 | 75 |
| Ismael Maldonado R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.94 | 15.7% | 18.2% | 3.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.87 | 119 | 75 |
| Cole Aker R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.51 | 19.5% | 20.6% | 2.6% | .239 | 6.10 | 12.0% | -9.9% | 28 | +0.59 | 3.60 | 147 | 74 |
| Josh Gessner R 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.68 | 17.0% | 15.0% | 3.9% | .299 | 5.31 | 12.0% | -10.1% | 34 | -0.37 | 2.98 | 126 | 74 |
| Zach Willeman R 2027 · 5.55 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.55 | 10.8% | 15.0% | 2.6% | .296 | 5.10 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 108 | -0.45 | 4.15 | 264 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 16.5% | 19.2% | 1.09 | 6.16 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |