Nick Howard
P
Mississippi Braves
Age 33
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 7 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
K%23.0%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP7
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 24 | 5 | 38 | 189 | 31 | 50 | 0 | 21% | 1.6 | 12.6% | 30.4% | -17.8% | 0.0% | 6.63 | 5.89 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 24 | 5 | 38 | 189 | 31 | 50 | 0 | 21% | 1.6 | 16.4% | 26.5% | -10.1% | 0.0% | 6.63 | 5.42 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 25 | 0 | 20 | 112 | 20 | 31 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 13.8% | 31.8% | -18.1% | 1.0% | 6.75 | 6.51 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 25 | 0 | 20 | 112 | 20 | 31 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 17.9% | 27.7% | -9.8% | 0.9% | 6.75 | 6.40 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 53 | 242 | 39 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 12.6% | 14.1% | -1.5% | 2.5% | 5.13 | 5.17 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 53 | 242 | 39 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.1% | 12.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 5.13 | 4.56 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 9.5% | 14.3% | -4.8% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 4.11 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 9.5% | 14.3% | -4.8% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 4.60 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 44 | 198 | 51 | 36 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 19.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 5.27 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 44 | 198 | 51 | 36 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 18.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 4.50 | 4.71 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 14 | 0 | 13 | 80 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.4% | 18.4% | -3.0% | 0.9% | 10.80 | 4.61 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 14 | 0 | 13 | 80 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 1.2% | 10.80 | 5.12 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 21 | 96 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 11.4% | 20.6% | -9.2% | 3.2% | 3.92 | 6.51 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 21 | 96 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.7% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 3.92 | 3.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 4.55 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 4.55 | 4.66 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 162 | 5 | 192 | 938 | 137 | 203 | 16 | 3% | 1.2 | 14.7% | 21.7% | -7.0% | 1.7% | 5.81 | 5.56 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 169 | 5 | 200 | 977 | 143 | 212 | 17 | 3% | 1.2 | 14.7% | 21.7% | -7.0% | 1.7% | 5.81 | 5.56 | -0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Howard (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.66 | 22.5% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 92 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 86 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 81 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 80 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 79 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 79 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.77 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | .286 | 3.18 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.59 | 2.27 | 426 | 78 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 78 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2024 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 76 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.44 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .356 | 4.68 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.24 | 2.73 | 410 | 76 |
| Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 76 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 75 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 75 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 75 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 75 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 227 | 75 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 75 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 75 |