Salvador Casado

P FCL Orioles

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 198 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Orioles O…	11	10	40	3.60	3.40	19.3%	15.0%	—	K 13.1% · BB 18.7% · FIP 4.37
2026	20	ROKBAL	7	5	19	5.12	3.46	17.8%	14.4%	—	K 12.1% · BB 18.1% · FIP 4.37
2027PROJ	21	MLBBAL	7	7	36	6.43	6.43	13.5%	20.0%	-0.6
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBBAL	4	4	19	6.01	5.87	16.0%	17.4%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control20Command20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%

CompsRubén Menes (age 21) · Kyle Larsen (age 21) · Chad Bryant (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 155147vR 139

ERA6.43

FIP6.43

K%13.5%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-6.6%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	15	6	30	139	32	23	0	40%	2.0	15.7%	20.7%	-5.0%	0.0%	6.07	4.40	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	15	6	30	139	32	23	0	40%	2.0	15.7%	20.7%	-5.0%	0.0%	6.07	4.40	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	15	6	30	139	32	23	0	40%	2.0	23.0%	16.5%	6.5%	0.0%	6.07	3.27	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	11	10	40	187	36	28	0	91%	3.6	13.1%	18.7%	-5.6%	0.0%	3.60	4.37	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	11	10	40	187	36	28	0	91%	3.6	13.1%	18.7%	-5.6%	0.0%	3.60	4.37	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	11	10	40	187	36	28	0	91%	3.6	19.3%	15.0%	4.3%	0.0%	3.60	3.40	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	7	5	19	90	16	13	0	71%	2.8	12.1%	18.1%	-6.0%	0.0%	5.12	4.37	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	7	5	19	90	16	13	0	71%	2.8	12.1%	18.1%	-6.0%	0.0%	5.12	4.37	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	7	5	19	90	16	13	0	71%	2.8	17.8%	14.4%	3.3%	0.0%	5.12	3.46	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	BAL	7	7	36	152	20	30	4	100%	5.1	13.5%	20.0%	-6.6%	2.8%	6.43	6.43	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	7	7	38	160	26	28	4	100%	5.4	16.0%	17.4%	-1.5%	2.8%	6.01	5.87	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	4	4	19	80	13	14	2	100%	4.8	16.0%	17.4%	-1.5%	2.8%	6.01	5.87	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	78	13	14	2	100%	4.6	16.0%	17.4%	-1.5%	2.8%	6.01	5.49	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	140	151	22	100%	5.1	16.0%	17.4%	-1.5%	2.8%	6.01	5.49	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		33	21	89	416	57	80	0	64%	2.7	13.7%	19.2%	-5.5%	0.0%	4.75	4.38	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	47	200	935	128	180	0	64%	2.7	13.7%	19.2%	-5.5%	0.0%	4.75	4.38	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Salvador Casado (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.43	13.5%	20.0%	2.8%	—	5.87	16.0%	-1.5%	38	-0.56	—	—	—
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	89
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	88
Chad Bryant R 2021 · 6.29 FIP	21	SP-	6.29	14.8%	20.7%	3.3%	.337	5.59	16.0%	-3.4%	81	-0.70	3.93	136	87
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	87
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	85
Felipito Santos R 2019 · 7.57 FIP	20	SP-	7.57	4.3%	25.3%	3.0%	.358	5.32	13.7%	-5.9%	58	-2.25	4.83	106	84
Gillian Wernet R 2018 · 5.46 FIP	19	SP-	5.46	11.2%	16.6%	2.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	107	84
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	83
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	82
Jatnk Diaz R 2024 · 7.33 FIP	19	SP-	7.33	12.1%	24.0%	4.0%	.318	5.06	13.9%	-0.8%	102	-2.27	4.97	117	82
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	82
Kevin Gowdy R 2019 · 5.31 FIP	21	SP-	5.31	11.1%	17.0%	1.8%	.321	5.50	16.3%	6.0%	130	+0.19	3.11	333	82
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	81
Samuel Vásquez R 2021 · 6.05 FIP	21	SP-	6.05	11.2%	21.6%	2.1%	.353	5.15	16.0%	-2.8%	111	-0.90	4.01	273	81
Jhonly Taveras R 2024 · 6.59 FIP	19	SP	6.59	13.0%	27.1%	2.1%	.311	5.00	12.1%	-11.0%	34	-1.59	5.00	133	81
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	80
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	80
Yuliangel De La Cruz R 2024 · 6.64 FIP	19	SP-	6.64	11.7%	28.7%	1.6%	.348	5.51	14.2%	-11.6%	38	-1.13	4.50	123	80
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	80
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	14.8%	18.7%	1.09	6.21
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*