Ryan Dromboski — OGILVIE

Ryan Dromboski P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

+0.6 WAR

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 220 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.6 · 2029

ERA4.29

FIP4.29

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.4%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%12.6%

IP80

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.6peak

2029

K†5055

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	22	13	80	323	76	24	4	17.6%	8.7%	1.5%	2.69	3.53	+1.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	2	2	8	40	7	8	0	—	—	—	5.40	—	—
ROS	23	MLB	PHI	15	15	80	339	73	30	9	21.4%	8.9%	2.7%	4.29	4.29	+0.8
2026 Total	23	MLB	PHI	—	—	89	379	80	38	9	21.0%	10.1%	2.4%	4.39	3.89	+1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	24	MLB	PHI	18	18	98	415	92	35	11	22.1%	8.5%	2.7%	4.23	4.19	+1.2
2028	25	MLB	PHI	20	20	112	471	106	39	13	22.4%	8.3%	2.7%	4.17	4.13	+1.5
2029	26	MLB	PHI	22	22	118	500	113	41	14	22.6%	8.2%	2.7%	4.14	4.12	+1.6
2030	27	MLB	PHI	22	22	122	513	116	42	14	22.6%	8.2%	2.8%	4.14	4.13	+1.6
2031	28	MLB	PHI	22	22	122	514	116	43	14	22.6%	8.3%	2.8%	4.15	4.16	+1.6
2032	29	MLB	PHI	22	22	119	503	113	42	14	22.4%	8.4%	2.8%	4.18	4.20	+1.5
2033	30	MLB	PHI	21	21	116	488	108	41	14	22.2%	8.5%	2.9%	4.23	4.27	+1.3
2034	31	MLB	PHI	20	20	112	471	104	40	14	22.0%	8.6%	3.0%	4.30	4.34	+1.2
2035	32	MLB	PHI	19	19	107	452	98	39	14	21.7%	8.7%	3.0%	4.38	4.43	+1.1
2036	33	MLB	PHI	19	19	102	432	92	38	14	21.4%	8.9%	3.1%	4.47	4.52	+0.9
2037	34	MLB	PHI	18	18	97	410	86	37	13	21.1%	9.1%	3.2%	4.57	4.63	+0.7
2038	35	MLB	PHI	17	17	92	386	80	36	13	20.7%	9.3%	3.3%	4.68	4.76	+0.5
2039	36	MLB	PHI	16	16	86	361	73	35	13	20.2%	9.6%	3.5%	4.81	4.89	+0.3
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			24	15	89	363	64	36	5	17.6%	10.0%	1.3%	2.94	3.60	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—			54	34	200	819	144	81	11	17.6%	10.0%	1.3%	2.94	3.60	+3.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Dromboski (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	21.4%	8.9%	2.7%	—	4.14	22.4%	14.0%	328	-0.15	—	—	—
Tyler Uberstine R 2026 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	19.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.302	4.38	23.2%	14.7%	121	+0.23	4.15	212	93
Ian Bedell R 2026 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	21.0%	10.1%	2.0%	.285	5.74	19.4%	9.6%	160	+2.02	3.72	256	93
Kenten Egbert R 2026 · 4.23 FIP	23	SP-	4.23	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.02	10.6%	4.0%	101	-0.21	4.02	199	92
Cooper Chandler R 2027 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP-	4.30	17.8%	9.3%	2.8%	.300	3.77	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.53	3.77	107	91
Rorik Maltrud R 2027 · 3.89 FIP	24	SP-	3.89	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.44	18.2%	7.0%	78	+0.55	3.89	183	91
Blake Beers R 2027 · 4.61 FIP	24	SP-	4.61	18.9%	9.0%	3.6%	.298	4.96	17.7%	8.5%	323	+0.35	4.41	416	91
Cameron Foster R 2027 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP-	4.30	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	3.95	21.4%	10.8%	118	-0.35	2.58	199	91
Jake Christianson R 2026 · 3.99 FIP	23	SP-	3.99	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.73	3.99	188	91
Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.65 FIP	23	SP-	3.65	21.8%	10.4%	1.9%	.261	4.41	21.9%	10.5%	63	+0.76	3.65	156	91
Nick Dean R 2026 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	17.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.275	3.99	21.6%	13.8%	65	+0.16	3.83	155	90
Kaleb Fontenot R 2027 · 4.49 FIP	24	SP-	4.49	20.7%	8.6%	3.7%	.264	3.71	14.7%	5.2%	69	-0.78	3.71	155	89
Zach Peek R 2026 · 3.60 FIP	23	SP-	3.60	22.8%	10.1%	2.1%	.339	3.55	17.5%	9.8%	45	-0.05	3.55	205	89
Zack Lee R 2026 · 3.52 FIP	23	SP-	3.52	19.2%	7.0%	2.1%	.293	5.37	11.6%	2.7%	93	+1.85	3.52	175	89
Tate Scioneaux R 2026 · 3.70 FIP	23	SP-	3.70	19.8%	7.9%	2.3%	.236	4.02	19.6%	13.5%	184	+0.32	3.11	321	89
Shelby Lackey R 2025 · 4.45 FIP	22	SP-	4.45	18.2%	10.0%	2.9%	.323	3.96	20.6%	5.7%	65	-0.49	2.91	175	89
Austin Cates R 2025 · 3.95 FIP	22	SP-	3.95	19.7%	9.0%	2.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	110	89
Luke Russo R 2026 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	21.7%	11.1%	1.9%	.326	3.92	21.5%	10.2%	38	+0.20	3.72	139	89
Mitch Spence R 2026 · 4.12 FIP	23	SP-	4.12	20.3%	9.5%	2.8%	.314	4.52	19.2%	11.6%	445	+0.40	4.07	663	88
Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.72 FIP	23	SP-	4.72	20.2%	12.2%	3.3%	.269	4.89	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.28	448	88
Joey Mancini R 2026 · 4.18 FIP	23	SP-	4.18	18.1%	10.0%	2.5%	.354	4.39	15.8%	5.6%	221	+0.21	3.65	316	88

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.6	$14M	+$14M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.6	$15M	+$14M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.5	$14M	+$13M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.4	$14M	+$11M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.2	$12M	+$9M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.1	$11M	+$7M
Totals		$13M		$81M	+$68M