Ryan Dromboski

P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 220 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.6 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

OGV OFP35OGV rank#952ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX2 levels	22	13	80	2.69	2.75	23.5%	7.4%	—	K 17.6% · BB 8.7% · FIP 3.53
2026	23	MIX2 levels	19	18	81	5.56	3.73	22.3%	11.1%	—	K 17.0% · BB 11.6% · FIP 4.00
2027PROJ	24	MLBPHI	—	—	0	4.94	4.94	16.4%	11.2%	—
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBPHI	4	4	25	4.91	4.87	17.6%	10.6%	0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBPHI	6	6	35	4.85	4.82	18.2%	10.4%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control45Command45

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 2.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsJeremy Lee (age 22) · Cameron Foster (age 24) · Tyler Uberstine (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%16.4%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%5.2%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.1M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	13	80	323	76	24	4	59%	3.7	17.6%	8.7%	8.9%	1.5%	2.69	3.53	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	13	80	323	76	24	4	59%	3.7	17.6%	8.7%	8.9%	1.5%	2.69	3.53	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	13	80	323	76	24	4	59%	3.7	23.5%	7.4%	16.1%	1.2%	2.69	2.75	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	18	81	359	80	40	7	95%	4.3	17.0%	11.6%	5.4%	1.6%	5.56	4.00	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	18	81	359	80	40	7	95%	4.3	17.0%	11.6%	5.4%	1.6%	5.56	4.00	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	18	81	359	80	40	7	95%	4.3	22.3%	11.1%	11.1%	1.9%	5.56	3.73	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	PHI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.4%	11.2%	5.2%	2.6%	4.94	4.94	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	10	10	58	244	43	26	6	100%	5.8	17.6%	10.6%	7.1%	2.6%	4.81	4.77	+0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	PHI	9	9	53	223	41	23	6	100%	5.9	18.2%	10.4%	7.8%	2.7%	4.74	4.71	+0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	PHI	8	8	50	212	39	22	6	100%	6.3	18.5%	10.4%	8.1%	2.7%	4.73	4.73	+0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	PHI	8	8	47	200	37	21	6	100%	5.9	18.5%	10.5%	7.9%	2.8%	4.77	4.81	+0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	PHI	7	7	44	185	34	20	5	100%	6.2	18.2%	10.8%	7.5%	3.0%	4.87	4.94	+0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	PHI	7	7	40	167	30	18	5	100%	5.6	17.9%	11.1%	6.8%	3.2%	5.02	5.11	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	4	4	25	106	19	11	3	100%	6.2	17.6%	10.6%	7.1%	2.8%	4.91	4.87	+0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	PHI	6	6	35	148	27	15	4	100%	5.8	18.2%	10.4%	7.8%	2.8%	4.85	4.82	+0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	PHI	6	6	39	165	30	17	5	100%	6.5	18.5%	10.4%	8.1%	2.9%	4.84	4.84	+0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	PHI	7	7	40	169	31	18	5	100%	5.7	18.5%	10.5%	7.9%	3.0%	4.88	4.92	+0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	PHI	6	6	38	160	29	17	5	100%	6.3	18.2%	10.8%	7.5%	3.2%	4.99	5.06	+0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	PHI	6	6	36	152	27	17	5	100%	6.0	17.9%	11.1%	6.8%	3.4%	5.15	5.24	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		35	35	212	897	163	95	27	100%	6.1	18.2%	10.6%	7.6%	3.0%	4.94	4.58	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	154	89	25	100%	6.0	18.2%	10.6%	7.6%	3.0%	4.94	4.58	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		41	31	161	682	118	70	10	76%	3.9	17.3%	10.2%	7.1%	1.5%	4.13	3.78	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	38	200	845	146	87	13	76%	3.9	17.3%	10.2%	7.1%	1.5%	4.13	3.78	+1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 74 IPFIP 3.21 → 4.00 (+0.79)K% 22.1% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.08%	—	×0.770	17.00%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.09%	—	×1.150	11.61%
HR / BF /BF	1.26%	÷1.000	×1.250	1.58%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.21 → 4.00, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAReading Fightin Phils · 7 IPFIP 7.42 → 8.83 (+1.41)K% 23.8% → 19.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.81%	—	×0.810	19.29%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	19.05%	—	×1.100	20.95%
HR / BF /BF	7.14%	÷1.000	×1.200	8.57%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 7.42 → 8.83, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AClearwater Threshers · 55 IPFIP 2.91 → 3.79 (+0.88)K% 24.2% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	24.20%	—	×0.740	17.91%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.68%	—	×1.180	10.24%
HR / BF /BF	1.37%	÷1.083	×1.300	1.64%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 117).

Result: FIP 2.91 → 3.79, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 26 IPFIP 2.37 → 2.99 (+0.62)K% 22.1% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.12%	—	×0.770	17.03%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	4.81%	—	×1.150	5.53%
HR / BF /BF	0.96%	÷1.045	×1.250	1.15%

Result: FIP 2.37 → 2.99, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Dromboski (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	16.4%	11.2%	2.6%	—	4.74	18.1%	7.6%	161	-0.20	—	—	—
Jeremy Lee R 2024 · 4.17 FIP	22	SP-	4.17	16.8%	11.5%	1.9%	.318	5.21	11.2%	-0.5%	46	+1.04	4.17	125	88
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.03	21.1%	11.2%	132	-0.28	2.50	213	85
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	84
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	84
Nick Dean R 2024 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP-	3.86	17.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.275	3.47	21.7%	14.6%	111	-0.39	2.73	202	84
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	84
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	83
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	83
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	83
Paxton Schultz R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	24	SP-	5.27	17.5%	12.2%	3.8%	.293	4.31	21.9%	11.8%	274	-0.96	3.83	543	83
Dylan Burns R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP	4.21	17.1%	10.8%	2.2%	.300	4.87	11.6%	-2.4%	41	+0.66	4.21	120	83
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	83
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	83
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	82
Logan Martin R 2024 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP-	3.95	16.9%	8.9%	2.1%	.278	4.58	17.6%	5.0%	140	+0.63	3.95	242	82
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	82
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	82
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	82
Trenton Toplikar R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	23	SP-	4.32	14.8%	10.1%	2.2%	.248	5.39	16.5%	6.4%	123	+1.07	4.32	232	82
Hayden Minton R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	23	SP	4.04	19.7%	12.3%	1.9%	.357	4.53	19.4%	10.3%	187	+0.49	4.04	280	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	51	17.8%	10.7%	1.07	4.84
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Mike Munoz ('89-'00, 1 WAR*)	1.8	46	17.6%*	10.2%*	0.93*	4.46*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*