Ryan Dromboski
P
Jersey Shore BlueClaws
Age 23
RHP
6'2" / 220 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.9 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126116vR 107
ERA4.71
FIP4.71
K%17.0%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%7.7%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 117 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 13 | 80 | 323 | 76 | 24 | 4 | 59% | 3.7 | 17.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 1.4% | 2.69 | 3.48 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 13 | 80 | 323 | 76 | 24 | 4 | 59% | 3.7 | 23.5% | 7.4% | 16.1% | 1.2% | 2.69 | 2.75 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 13 | 12 | 55 | 250 | 54 | 29 | 4 | 92% | 4.3 | 17.3% | 12.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 6.83 | 4.10 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 62 | 260 | 44 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 4.71 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.74 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 117 | 510 | 98 | 53 | 11 | — | — | 19.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 5.71 | 4.42 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 49 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 4.61 | 4.57 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 51 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 4.54 | 4.50 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 52 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.49 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 52 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 4.50 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 50 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 58 | 246 | 47 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 55 | 231 | 43 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 5 | 5 | 27 | 114 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 44 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 44 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 43 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 40 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 18.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 56 | 56 | 332 | 1402 | 268 | 128 | 41 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.26 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 161 | 77 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 35 | 25 | 136 | 573 | 100 | 59 | 9 | 71% | 3.9 | 17.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 4.38 | 3.75 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 37 | 200 | 845 | 148 | 87 | 13 | 71% | 3.9 | 17.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 4.38 | 3.75 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Dromboski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 17.0% | 9.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.51 | 18.9% | 9.9% | 191 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Nick Dean R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.5% | .275 | 3.50 | 21.7% | 14.6% | 111 | -0.50 | 2.73 | 202 | 89 |
| Michael Ross R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.05 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .275 | 5.83 | 12.5% | 3.6% | 64 | +0.78 | 5.05 | 146 | 88 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 88 |
| Ricky Castro R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 87 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 86 |
| Nick Payero R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.06 | 16.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .285 | 5.72 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 107 | +1.66 | 4.06 | 178 | 86 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 86 |
| Logan Martin R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.93 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 2.1% | .278 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.7% | 121 | +0.54 | 3.93 | 223 | 86 |
| Derek True R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.76 | 18.5% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .333 | 4.67 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 73 | -0.09 | 4.50 | 170 | 85 |
| Garrett Burhenn R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.60 | 13.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | .312 | 4.38 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 247 | -0.22 | 4.19 | 433 | 85 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 85 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 85 |
| Kenten Egbert R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.6% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .257 | 4.28 | 11.0% | 3.6% | 131 | -0.16 | 3.95 | 229 | 84 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 84 |
| Nick Fraze R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.68 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .271 | 4.64 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 162 | -0.04 | 3.81 | 278 | 84 |
| Bradley Brehmer R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.40 | 14.6% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .349 | 2.88 | 21.3% | 13.7% | 82 | -1.52 | 2.76 | 153 | 84 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 84 |
| Matt Ager R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 146 | 84 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.25 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .251 | 4.81 | 18.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.56 | 3.93 | 268 | 84 |
| Cameron Foster R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 61 | 18.8% | 9.2% | 1.10 | 4.60 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Luis Cessa ('23) | 8 | 53 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 1.40 | 4.43 |