J.T. Etheridge
P
Tampa Tarpons
Age 24
RHP
6'6" / 225 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
K%22.9%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%12.7%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 5 | 41 | 186 | 56 | 23 | 2 | 56% | 4.5 | 21.6% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 5.53 | 4.29 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 5 | 41 | 186 | 56 | 23 | 2 | 56% | 4.5 | 30.1% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 1.1% | 5.53 | 2.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 13 | 6 | 44 | 199 | 62 | 21 | 2 | 46% | 3.4 | 23.1% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 1.3% | 5.15 | 3.45 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYY | 23 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.45 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 68 | 301 | 85 | 31 | 5 | — | — | 28.3% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 1.7% | 4.90 | 3.80 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 3.96 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 76 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 22 | 11 | 84 | 385 | 86 | 52 | 6 | 50% | 3.8 | 22.3% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 5.34 | 3.85 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 26 | 200 | 913 | 204 | 124 | 15 | 50% | 3.8 | 22.3% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 5.34 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| J.T. Etheridge (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.35 | 23.3% | 13.7% | 24 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Brett Gillis R 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 85 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 83 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 81 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .380 | 4.51 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.25 | 4.50 | 119 | 81 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 81 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 81 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 80 |
| Blair Henley R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 79 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 77 |
| Keith Rogalla R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.55 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.62 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 65 | +0.07 | 3.00 | 113 | 76 |
| Noah Gotsis R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.38 | 16.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% | .296 | 4.26 | 15.9% | 8.6% | 90 | +0.88 | 3.38 | 138 | 75 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 75 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 74 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 74 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 74 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 74 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 74 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 73 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 73 |
| Sean Mooney R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 73 |