Brandon Butterworth

SS Chesapeake Baysox

Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 168 lbs AA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #675MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP40ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AABAL	143	.215/.326/.355	2	8	68	—	.200/.291/.304
2025	22	A+SD	377	.267/.329/.455	11	13	65	—	.209/.262/.350
2026	23	AAABAL	109	.208/.296/.396	5	6	51	—	.180/.241/.330
2026	23	AABAL	231	.269/.377/.497	10	12	97	—	.227/.311/.404
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBBAL	6	.216/.288/.364	0	0	80	0.0
2028PROJ32% MLB	25	MLBBAL	116	.218/.291/.369	3	3	82	0.3
2029PROJ49% MLB	26	MLBBAL	197	.219/.293/.371	6	5	83	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$2M2033Arb-2$3M2034Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed93

Z-Con%56

BB%48

Whiff%41

K%24

Chase%22

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 11, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 83%

CompsJeter Downs (age 24) · Ryan Cordell (age 24) · Trey Sweeney (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .288 / .364

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP278

ISO142

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	110	96	21	6	0	0	11	20	3	8	3	219	318	281	599	62	276	18	10	283	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	143	121	26	9	1	2	16	21	4	8	2	215	326	355	682	140	240	15	11	308	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	377	341	91	17	7	11	26	78	6	13	2	267	329	455	783	188	314	21	7	343	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	109	96	20	1	1	5	12	30	0	6	0	208	296	396	692	187	246	28	11	307	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	231	193	52	10	2	10	30	53	4	12	1	269	377	497	875	228	321	23	13	381	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	17	12	8	1	1	0	5	1	0	2	1	667	765	917	1.681	250	727	6	29	695	244	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	46	36	7	3	0	1	10	12	0	2	1	194	370	361	731	167	261	26	22	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	110	99	16	4	0	0	8	27	3	8	3	162	245	202	447	40	224	25	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	143	125	25	8	1	1	12	25	4	8	2	200	291	304	595	104	229	17	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	377	349	73	12	5	9	19	100	6	13	2	209	262	350	612	140	260	27	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	109	100	18	1	1	4	8	36	0	6	0	180	241	330	571	150	233	33	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	231	203	46	8	2	8	21	65	4	12	1	227	311	404	715	177	286	28	9	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	17	14	7	1	1	0	3	1	0	2	1	500	588	714	1.303	214	552	6	18	529	244	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	110	99	16	4	0	0	8	27	3	8	3	162	245	202	447	40	222	25	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	110	96	21	6	0	0	11	20	3	8	3	219	318	281	599	62	276	18	10	283	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	520	474	98	20	6	10	31	125	10	21	4	207	270	338	607	131	256	24	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	520	462	117	26	8	13	42	99	10	21	4	253	328	429	757	175	293	19	8	333	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	403	359	80	11	4	13	36	115	4	22	3	223	301	384	685	162	289	29	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	4 teams	—	403	337	87	15	4	16	57	96	4	22	3	258	371	469	840	211	314	24	14	369	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	110	98	16	4	0	0	8	27	3	8	3	163	245	204	450	41	224	25	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	520	474	98	20	6	10	31	125	10	21	4	207	270	338	607	131	251	24	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	403	360	80	11	4	13	36	115	4	22	3	222	301	383	684	161	282	29	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	110	98	16	4	0	0	8	27	3	8	3	163	245	204	450	41	224	25	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	520	474	98	20	6	10	31	125	10	21	4	207	270	338	607	131	251	24	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	403	360	80	11	4	13	36	115	4	22	3	222	301	383	684	161	282	29	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	2%	380	342	72	13	3	10	30	107	5	12	2	212	285	355	640	144	274	28	8	287	80	-9	+2	+3	+4	+8	0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	216	288	364	652	149	278	33	0	291	80	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	32%	367	330	71	13	3	10	29	102	5	11	2	214	287	360	648	146	275	28	8	290	82	-8	+1	+3	+4	+8	0.9
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	405	364	78	14	3	11	33	111	5	11	2	216	289	362	652	147	275	27	8	291	83	-8	+1	+3	+4	+9	1.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	418	376	81	15	3	11	34	114	5	11	2	216	290	362	652	146	276	27	8	292	84	-8	+1	+3	+4	+9	1.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	61%	424	382	82	15	3	11	34	116	5	10	1	216	289	360	650	144	276	27	8	291	83	-9	+2	+3	+5	+9	1.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	BAL	62%	419	377	81	15	3	11	34	114	5	8	1	215	288	357	645	142	276	27	8	289	82	-9	+1	+2	+4	+9	0.8
2033	30	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	414	373	79	14	3	10	33	114	5	7	1	212	285	350	635	137	274	28	8	285	79	-10	+1	+1	+4	+9	0.5
2034	31	MLB MLE	BAL	69%	401	362	77	14	3	10	32	112	4	5	1	209	280	340	621	132	271	28	8	279	75	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	32%	116	105	22	4	1	3	9	32	1	3	0	218	291	369	660	151	279	28	8	295	82	-2	+1	+1	+1	+3	0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	197	177	40	7	2	6	16	54	2	5	1	219	293	371	664	152	280	27	8	296	83	-4	+1	+2	+2	+4	0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	235	211	48	9	2	7	19	64	3	6	1	220	293	371	665	151	280	27	8	297	84	-5	+1	+2	+3	+5	0.6
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	61%	258	232	51	9	2	7	21	70	3	6	1	220	293	369	662	149	280	27	8	296	83	-5	+1	+2	+3	+6	0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	BAL	62%	260	234	51	9	2	7	21	71	3	5	1	219	292	366	657	147	280	27	8	294	82	-6	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	259	233	51	9	2	7	21	72	3	5	1	216	288	358	646	142	278	28	8	289	79	-7	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	BAL	69%	278	251	54	10	2	7	22	78	3	4	1	212	284	349	632	136	275	28	8	284	75	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1603	1443	317	57	13	44	129	441	18	34	6	220	292	369	661	149	283	28	8	292	79	-37	+4	+8	+17	+35	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	128	23	5	18	52	179	7	14	2	219	290	368	657	149	281	28	8	292	79	-15	+2	+3	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4201	3784	804	146	34	105	329	1140	55	124	21	212	285	352	637	140	273	27	8	284	79	-71	+10	+18	+34	+69	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	124	23	5	16	51	176	9	19	3	212	285	350	636	138	273	27	8	284	79	-15	+2	+4	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.4	1,610	42	34	215	285	357	+17	+16	2.9	2.9
/162	664	17	14	+7.1	+6.6	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brandon Butterworth (OGILVIE)	24	32→36	32→41	58	47	210/282/352	142	274	8	10	28%	8%	80	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Ryan Cordell 2016 · AA	24	46→42	48→50	55→50	41	234/280/377	144	297	16	15	27%	5%	84	+0.1	217/263/360	143	281	16	14	28%	5%	74	-0.6	205/250/346	141	263	15	14	28%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Trey Sweeney 2024 · AA	24	42→45	47→50	54→55	49	213/293/347	134	271	14	19	26%	9%	82	+0.0	222/286/356	134	295	15	16	28%	8%	82	-0.0	219/281/356	137	291	16	15	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	44	46→40	49→50	49	214/312/344	129	290	14	11	29%	10%	89	+0.5	212/309/310	98	304	8	14	30%	10%	80	-0.1	207/293/299	92	288	9	15	29%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Kenedy Corona 2024 · AA	24	41→42	48→50	54→55	41	211/269/351	141	285	16	24	31%	7%	74	-0.5	207/273/312	105	285	10	24	29%	7%	67	-1.1	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA	24	41	45	55	46	204/286/328	124	274	13	16	29%	8%	76	-0.4	199/283/311	112	277	10	18	30%	9%	71	-0.8	172/267/273	101	245	8	23	30%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Craig Stansberry 2006 · AA	24	44→47	51→50	57→50	43	227/284/400	173	287	17	15	27%	6%	91	+0.6	221/292/360	139	275	13	13	23%	8%	84	+0.2	215/294/343	127	265	12	11	22%	9%	79	-0.2
✕Bryan Lavastida 2023 · MLB	24	44	44→45	50→55	44	216/281/334	118	281	11	12	27%	7%	75	-0.5	220/289/334	114	283	11	21	25%	8%	78	-0.3	221/293/333	112	282	11	27	24%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	42→44	42→45	52→65	44	208/270/316	107	274	9	20	27%	7%	65	-1.2	229/287/323	94	314	7	28	27%	7%	74	-0.6	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Ryan Kreidler 2023 · MLB	25	42→46	46→45	52→55	44	210/289/340	130	299	14	17	33%	8%	80	-0.2	189/271/308	119	275	13	20	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/264/299	117	260	11	19	32%	9%	59	-1.0
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA	24	42→46	43→45	53→55	44	207/280/319	112	291	11	19	31%	8%	71	-0.8	220/271/337	117	294	13	14	28%	6%	71	-0.8	221/260/336	115	281	15	15	27%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Tyler Saladino 2013 · AAA	24	46→47	42→45	54→55	48	220/296/330	110	289	9	19	26%	8%	79	-0.2	228/289/327	99	286	8	23	22%	7%	75	-0.5	258/304/376	118	306	11	25	19%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA	24	47→50	44→45	56→50	43	228/290/353	125	303	9	17	27%	7%	82	-0.0	210/272/316	106	316	9	15	34%	7%	67	-1.1	193/260/287	93	304	8	16	37%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Chad Hinshaw 2015 · A	24	44→42	47→45	56→55	39	217/292/359	142	298	14	23	31%	6%	85	+0.2	211/284/312	101	305	8	24	31%	7%	71	-0.8	197/271/276	80	293	6	25	32%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Andrew Navigato 2023 · AA	25	42→41	48→55	49→50	43	216/280/356	141	266	16	14	26%	6%	80	-0.2	218/276/377	159	279	17	15	28%	6%	83	+0.1	207/267/370	164	270	18	17	30%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Lolo Sanchez 2023 · AA	24	43→45	44→45	50→55	50	214/293/323	108	257	12	18	21%	9%	77	-0.3	206/277/287	81	252	7	10	20%	8%	62	-1.4	191/265/252	61	231	5	7	18%	8%	47	-1.0
✕Denzel Clarke 2024 · AA	24	44	51→50	58→55	42	212/299/377	164	333	18	19	39%	9%	92	+0.7	219/288/349	130	338	12	24	36%	7%	80	-0.1	215/283/336	120	333	10	29	36%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	41→40	47→50	54→55	44	208/283/351	143	281	14	17	30%	8%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	275	12	17	30%	8%	71	-0.8	173/262/276	103	236	10	19	29%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Rowdey Jordan 2024 · AA	25	42	43→45	54→55	46	205/281/318	113	276	10	20	28%	8%	71	-0.8	207/267/318	111	293	11	18	31%	7%	65	-1.2	196/251/297	102	279	11	20	33%	6%	52	-1.2

Brandon Butterworth

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps