Saul Gomez

3B FCL Orioles
Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 178 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Orioles O…144.294/.408/.3611543—.176/.275/.200
202619ROKBAL47.200/.289/.22501-1—.143/.200/.167
2027PROJMLE20MLBBAL157.206/.274/.2751257-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBBAL30.214/.282/.2950063-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Z-Con%99
Whiff%65
Speed21
K%18
BB%18
ISO5
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsIsmael Alcantara (age 20) · Ricardo Rosario (age 20) · Neyfy Castillo (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj PA
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .272 / .273
PA33
HR0
K%28
BB%7
ISO69
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +0.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Orioles Orange — 144119 35501 18285 50 294408361770 67370 1912 354 43 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Orioles — 4740 8100 5140 10 200289225514 25296 3011 236 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 144125 22300 12355 50 176275200475 24235 248 232 43 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 4742 6100 3200 10 143200167367 24240 436 166 -1 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 144125 22300 12355 50 176275200475 24239 248 232 43 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Orange — 144119 35501 18285 50 294408361770 67370 1912 354 43 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 4742 6100 3200 10 143200167367 24261 436 166 -1 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Orioles — 4740 8100 5140 10 200289225514 25296 3011 236 -1 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 144126 22300 12355 50 175275198473 24235 248 232 43 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 4744 6100 3200 10 136200159359 23240 436 166 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 144126 22300 12355 50 175275198473 24235 248 232 43 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 4744 6100 3200 10 136200159359 23240 436 166 -1 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEBAL 0% 157143 30511 11442 21 206274275549 69288 287 253 57 -8 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEBAL 34% 8881 17301 6251 10 211279290569 79289 287 261 63 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
202821 MLB CTXBAL 34% 3028 5100 280 00 214282295577 82293 277 264 63 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3028 5100 280 00 179233214448 36250 277 264 43 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 1092200 431730 00 180234216450 36251 277 264 43 -29 +0 +0 +2 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 312279 51801 23896 70 183260222482 39260 297 232 43 -6 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 1071702 4818512 150 184260224484 40263 287 232 43 -30 +1 +0 +2 +14 -1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Orioles · 47 PAwOBA .236 → .166 (−70)K% 29.8% → 42.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.79%÷1.000×1.440——42.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.64%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0086.65%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP26.92%÷1.000×0.820—×1.00822.24%
Doubles /BIP3.85%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0082.79%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .236 → .166; ISO .025 → .017; BABIP .296 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 144 PAwOBA .351 → .232 (−118)K% 19.4% → 24.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.44%÷0.981×1.220——24.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷1.041×0.700—×1.0228.60%
HBP% /PA3.47%—×0.700—×1.0222.49%
Singles /BIP31.87%÷1.082×0.680×0.990×1.02220.29%
Doubles /BIP5.49%÷0.924×0.600×0.990×1.0223.61%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600×0.990×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP1.10%÷0.992×0.470—×1.0220.53%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 116, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .351 → .232; ISO .067 → .041; BABIP .370 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).