Jorge Rodriguez

C FCL Red Sox
Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 147 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#577ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Red Sox R…105.258/.337/.2800815—.168/.240/.179
202519ROKBOS92.289/.359/.4103860—.221/.272/.337
202620ROKBOS124.289/.444/.52641489—.202/.331/.365
2027PROJMLE21MLBBOS234.221/.288/.33146750.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBBOS40.230/.298/.35011800.1
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBBOS94.233/.301/.36023830.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO91
Whiff%89
Speed88
wOBA87
wRC+87
K%83
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%
CompsCayden Wallace (age 21) · Ceddanne Rafaela (age 21) · Evan Van Hoosier (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .286 / .328
PA64
HR1
K%27
BB%7
ISO110
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.40.50.70.70.50.40.30.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 51
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT52
scouting grade only
POWER51
scouting grade only
EYE54
scouting grade only
SPEED66
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.4M
2036Arb-1$2M+0.3$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$1M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Arb-3$7M———
Totals $3M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202418 ROKDSL Red Sox Red — 10593 24200 7254 81 258337280616 22348 247 289 15 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Red Sox — 9283 24103 8171 85 289359410768 120333 189 347 60 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Red Sox — 12497 28914 19188 144 289444526969 237320 1515 430 89 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 10595 16100 5324 81 168240179419 11240 305 190 15 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 9286 19103 5251 85 221272337609 116275 275 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 124104 21613 12268 144 202331365696 163233 2110 300 89 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 10595 16100 5324 81 168240179419 11250 305 190 15 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox Red — 10593 24200 7254 81 258337280616 22348 247 289 15 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 9286 19103 5251 85 221272337609 116276 275 257 60 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 9283 24103 8171 85 289359410768 120333 189 347 60 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 124104 21613 12268 144 202331365696 163240 2110 300 89 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 12497 28914 19188 144 289444526969 237320 1515 430 89 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 10595 16100 5324 81 168240179419 11240 305 190 15 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 9286 19103 5251 85 221272337609 116275 275 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 124103 21613 12268 144 204331369700 165233 2110 300 89 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 10595 16100 5324 81 168240179419 11240 305 190 15 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 9286 19103 5251 85 221272337609 116275 275 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 124103 21613 12268 144 204331369700 165233 2110 300 89 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEBOS 0% 234212 46814 16624 61 221288331619 110288 267 280 75 -7 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEBOS 34% 115104 23412 8302 31 224293343635 118289 267 286 80 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.2
202923 MLB MLEBOS 48% 194175 40714 14503 51 228296352648 125290 267 291 83 -4 +1 +0 +3 +4 0.5
203024 MLB MLEBOS 53% 279253 591027 20714 82 230299360659 130291 257 296 86 -5 +1 +0 +5 +6 0.7
203125 MLB MLEBOS 55% 340307 711228 25865 92 232301366667 134292 257 299 88 -5 +1 +0 +6 +7 1.0
203226 MLB MLEBOS 56% 375339 7913210 28955 102 233302370672 137291 257 301 90 -5 +1 +0 +7 +8 1.2
203327 MLB MLEBOS 55% 391353 8214210 29996 112 232301367668 136291 257 299 89 -5 +1 +0 +7 +8 1.2
203428 MLB MLEBOS 55% 396357 8214210 301016 102 230299363661 133290 268 297 87 -6 +1 -1 +7 +9 1.0
203529 MLB MLEBOS 53% 391354 801329 291015 92 227296356652 129288 267 293 84 -7 +1 -1 +7 +8 0.8
203630 MLB MLEBOS 53% 382346 781329 281005 92 224292348641 124286 267 288 81 -9 +1 -2 +7 +8 0.6
203731 MLB MLEBOS 56% 351317 701128 26935 72 220287338626 119283 267 282 77 -10 +1 -3 +6 +8 0.2
203832 MLB MLEBOS 54% 314285 611016 22854 63 215281326607 111279 277 274 72 -11 +0 -4 +6 +7 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXBOS 34% 4036 8101 3101 10 230298350648 120298 258 292 80 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.1
202923 MLB CTXBOS 48% 9486 21412 7241 31 233301360661 126299 267 297 83 -2 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.2
203024 MLB CTXBOS 53% 147133 31613 11382 41 236304368672 132300 267 301 86 -2 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.4
203125 MLB CTXBOS 55% 186167 40715 14473 51 238306373679 136301 258 304 88 -3 +1 +0 +3 +4 0.5
203226 MLB CTXBOS 56% 209188 44815 16533 61 239307377685 139301 258 306 90 -3 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.7
203327 MLB CTXBOS 55% 215194 45815 16553 61 237306375681 137300 267 305 89 -3 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.7
203428 MLB CTXBOS 55% 216195 45815 16553 51 236304370674 134299 257 302 87 -3 +1 -0 +4 +5 0.5
203529 MLB CTXBOS 53% 209188 44815 16543 51 233301364665 131297 268 298 84 -4 +1 -1 +4 +5 0.4
203630 MLB CTXBOS 53% 201181 42715 15533 51 230298356653 126295 267 293 81 -5 +1 -1 +4 +4 0.3
203731 MLB CTXBOS 56% 198179 40714 14533 41 226293346638 120292 277 287 77 -5 +0 -2 +4 +4 0.1
203832 MLB CTXBOS 54% 171155 34613 12462 31 220286333620 113288 277 280 72 -6 +0 -2 +3 +4 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 18861702 394701043 14048827 4710 231300360660 129297 267 297 81 -36 +5 -6 +34 +41 3.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 13524315 481689 163 230298358656 128295 267 297 81 -12 +2 -2 +12 +14 1.3
Career— MLE — 39133533 7931312090 286101164 11931 224294349644 125287 267 289 81 -70 +9 -10 +64 +78 7.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650587 13222315 4816811 205 225296349645 124287 267 289 81 -13 +2 -2 +12 +14 1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Red Sox · 124 PAwOBA .419 → .300 (−119)K% 14.5% → 20.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.52%÷1.000×1.440——20.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.32%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9959.45%
HBP% /PA6.45%—×0.720—×0.9954.62%
Singles /BIP17.72%÷1.000×0.820×0.950×0.99513.74%
Doubles /BIP11.39%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9957.75%
Triples /BIP1.27%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9950.86%
Home runs /BIP5.06%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9953.93%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .419 → .300; ISO .237 → .177; BABIP .320 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Red Sox · 92 PAwOBA .338 → .257 (−81)K% 18.5% → 27.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.48%÷0.965×1.440——27.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.70%÷0.988×0.620—×1.0085.50%
HBP% /PA1.09%—×0.720—×1.0080.79%
Singles /BIP30.30%÷1.033×0.820×1.043×1.00825.27%
Doubles /BIP1.52%÷1.101×0.720×1.043×1.0081.04%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720×1.043×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷0.815×0.780—×1.0084.38%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 107, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .338 → .257; ISO .120 → .104; BABIP .333 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Red Sox Red · 105 PAwOBA .284 → .190 (−94)K% 23.8% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.81%÷0.965×1.220——30.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.67%÷1.044×0.700—×1.0084.50%
HBP% /PA3.81%—×0.700—×1.0082.69%
Singles /BIP32.35%÷1.000×0.680×1.025×1.00822.71%
Doubles /BIP2.94%÷1.124×0.600×1.025×1.0081.62%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×1.025×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.953×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 80, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .284 → .190; ISO .022 → .011; BABIP .348 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).