Jorge Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Jorge RodriguezC FCL Red Sox

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 147 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION124 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP277

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$40M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	105	93	24	2	0	0	7	25	4	8	1	258	337	280	616	22	348	24	7	289	81	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	92	83	24	1	0	3	8	17	1	8	5	289	359	410	768	120	333	18	9	347	121	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	105	96	17	1	0	0	4	37	4	8	1	177	240	188	428	10	286	35	4	201	22	-10	+1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	92	86	19	1	0	3	5	25	1	8	5	221	272	337	609	116	273	27	5	256	59	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	105	96	17	1	0	0	4	37	4	8	1	177	240	188	428	10	283	35	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	105	93	24	2	0	0	7	25	4	8	1	258	337	280	616	22	348	24	7	289	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	92	86	19	1	0	3	5	25	1	8	5	221	272	337	609	116	276	27	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	92	83	24	1	0	3	8	17	1	8	5	289	359	410	768	120	333	18	9	347	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	105	96	17	1	0	0	4	37	4	8	1	177	240	188	428	10	286	35	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	92	86	19	1	0	3	5	25	1	8	5	221	272	337	609	116	273	27	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	105	96	17	1	0	0	4	37	4	8	1	177	240	188	428	10	286	35	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	92	86	19	1	0	3	5	25	1	8	5	221	272	337	609	116	273	27	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	BOS	—	124	104	21	6	1	3	12	26	8	14	4	202	331	365	696	163	240	21	10	301	90	-1	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	BOS	—	124	97	28	9	1	4	19	18	8	14	4	289	444	526	969	237	320	15	15	430	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	BOS	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		272	27	9	284	78	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	BOS	—	135	114	22	6	1	3	13	29	8	14	4	193	319	342	661	149	232	21	10	300	89	-2	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	193	172	37	7	1	4	15	47	4	6	1	215	293	337	630	122	273	24	8	288	81	-4	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	320	285	63	12	2	7	25	77	7	9	2	221	300	351	651	130	275	24	8	293	85	-6	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2029	23	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	406	363	81	15	2	10	32	97	8	11	3	223	300	358	658	135	277	24	8	297	87	-6	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	464	415	94	18	3	11	36	111	10	13	3	227	304	364	668	137	278	24	8	299	88	-6	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	497	445	100	19	3	12	39	118	10	14	3	225	302	362	663	137	278	24	8	300	89	-7	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	516	459	105	20	3	13	41	123	11	14	3	229	307	370	678	142	278	24	8	300	89	-7	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	520	462	105	20	3	13	42	124	11	14	3	227	307	368	675	141	277	24	8	300	89	-7	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	520	462	105	20	3	13	42	125	11	14	3	227	307	368	675	141	277	24	8	299	88	-7	+2	-1	+9	+11	1.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	516	458	102	19	3	12	42	125	11	13	3	223	303	356	659	133	276	24	8	297	87	-8	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	507	451	101	19	3	12	41	124	10	12	3	224	303	359	662	135	275	24	8	294	85	-9	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.0
2037	31	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	479	427	92	17	2	11	39	119	10	11	3	215	296	342	638	126	272	25	8	290	82	-10	+1	-3	+9	+10	0.7
2038	32	MLB MLE	BOS	59%	448	400	85	16	2	9	36	113	9	10	2	212	292	330	622	118	269	25	8	284	79	-11	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.4
2039	33	MLB MLE	BOS	61%	408	364	75	13	2	8	33	105	8	9	2	206	286	319	605	113	265	26	8	278	74	-13	+1	-4	+7	+9	0.0
2040	34	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	354	316	64	11	2	7	28	93	7	7	2	203	282	316	599	114	259	26	8	269	68	-13	+1	-5	+6	+8	-0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	66	60	13	3	0	1	5	16	1	2	0	217	288	317	605	100	278	24	8	274	81	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	155	139	31	6	1	3	12	37	3	4	1	223	299	345	644	122	280	24	8	280	85	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	220	196	45	9	1	5	17	53	5	6	1	230	307	362	670	133	282	24	8	284	87	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	257	230	52	10	1	6	20	61	5	7	2	226	302	357	658	130	283	24	8	286	88	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2031	25	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	278	248	57	11	1	7	22	66	6	8	2	230	308	367	675	137	283	24	8	287	89	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2032	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	290	259	59	12	1	7	23	69	6	8	2	228	306	363	668	135	283	24	8	287	89	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	288	257	59	12	1	7	23	69	6	8	2	230	308	366	673	136	283	24	8	287	89	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2034	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	285	254	57	11	1	7	23	68	6	7	2	224	304	358	662	134	282	24	8	286	88	-4	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	276	246	55	11	1	6	22	67	6	7	2	224	303	350	653	126	281	24	8	284	87	-4	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2036	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	267	238	53	10	1	6	22	65	5	7	2	223	302	349	651	126	280	24	8	281	85	-5	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2037	31	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	271	242	53	10	1	6	22	67	5	6	2	219	297	343	640	124	277	25	8	277	82	-6	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2038	32	MLB CTX	BOS	59%	265	237	51	10	1	5	21	67	5	6	1	215	293	329	622	114	274	25	8	272	79	-7	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2039	33	MLB CTX	BOS	61%	249	222	47	9	1	5	20	64	5	5	1	212	291	329	620	117	270	26	8	265	74	-8	+1	-3	+4	+5	0.0
2040	34	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	200	178	37	7	1	4	16	53	4	4	1	208	288	326	614	118	264	26	8	257	68	-8	+0	-3	+4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3367	3006	669	131	13	75	268	822	68	85	21	223	301	350	650	127	280	24	8	280	83	-63	+9	-11	+60	+73	6.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	129	25	3	14	52	159	13	16	4	222	301	348	649	126	280	24	8	280	83	-12	+2	-2	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6356	5671	1246	228	34	145	501	1566	132	173	42	220	298	349	647	129	276	25	8	291	83	-115	+17	-20	+110	+133	12.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	127	23	3	15	51	160	13	18	4	219	296	347	643	128	275	25	8	291	83	-12	+2	-2	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.2	3,460	78	88	221	296	350	+62	+36	9.8	8.3
/162	664	15	17	+11.9	+6.9	1.9	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	20	39→44	40→45	59→64	50	211/291/328	117	272	2	4	25%	7%	78	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→52	46→55	59→55	39	213/256/347	134	267	12	15	26%	4%	68	-1.0	239/275/393	154	305	16	22	27%	4%	85	+0.2	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	46→47	44→50	56→50	44	227/279/354	127	284	10	10	23%	6%	78	-0.3	229/273/336	107	306	6	9	26%	5%	70	-0.8	232/274/341	110	322	5	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→48	42→50	56→50	42	223/275/338	115	301	9	15	28%	6%	72	-0.7	214/270/329	115	284	10	12	27%	6%	69	-0.9	226/275/366	139	277	16	14	24%	5%	77	-0.3
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	48→56	42→45	53→60	41	234/277/341	106	294	10	12	24%	5%	74	-0.6	244/290/338	94	290	7	24	18%	5%	78	-0.3	258/299/357	99	298	7	36	16%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Adan Velazquez 2010 · A	20	44→52	43→45	54→50	43	215/277/331	116	278	9	11	25%	6%	72	-0.7	207/259/299	92	291	6	10	29%	5%	58	-1.7	232/277/328	96	293	7	7	23%	5%	68	-0.4
✕Jared Serna 2022 · A	20	42→48	39→45	56→50	53	200/298/293	93	253	6	22	22%	10%	72	-0.7	217/285/340	123	274	12	17	24%	7%	78	-0.3	217/277/347	130	268	14	15	24%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Jorge Vega-Rosado 2012 · A	20	47	41→45	55	41	224/275/324	100	304	8	19	28%	6%	69	-0.9	205/261/286	81	310	6	14	33%	6%	55	-1.9	175/234/232	57	275	4	15	36%	6%	31	-1.4
✕José Caballero 2018 · A	21	47→46	39→45	54→70	39	224/275/317	93	301	6	7	27%	5%	68	-1.0	223/292/328	105	281	8	19	23%	7%	77	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	79	-0.2	202/270/304	102	302	9	11	34%	7%	63	-1.3	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2022 · A	20	47→49	45→55	52→50	40	231/262/356	125	263	12	15	18%	3%	72	-0.7	243/280/390	147	305	16	13	25%	4%	86	+0.3	245/282/403	158	315	17	11	27%	4%	89	+0.5
✕Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	43→53	41→50	53→50	48	209/283/307	98	259	8	11	22%	8%	70	-0.9	206/261/321	115	251	13	9	23%	6%	63	-1.3	248/292/385	137	277	15	10	16%	5%	89	+0.4
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	45→49	41→60	55→50	47	218/288/314	96	268	8	16	21%	7%	73	-0.6	216/264/320	104	282	9	16	26%	6%	64	-1.3	259/321/470	211	301	29	14	24%	8%	118	+1.2
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	74	-0.5	227/292/341	114	308	10	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Ryan Brett 2012 · A	20	48→57	40→45	57→60	47	227/276/330	103	266	5	18	16%	6%	70	-0.8	249/292/350	101	305	7	26	20%	5%	81	-0.1	262/302/367	105	319	8	30	20%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	197/265/289	92	278	8	16	30%	8%	58	-1.7	238/299/342	104	319	7	24	25%	8%	82	+0.0	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	45→54	40→45	55→60	40	215/275/310	96	298	6	17	29%	6%	66	-1.1	221/275/319	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	68	-1.0	234/289/348	114	310	11	32	27%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Luisangel Acuña 2022 · A	20	45→55	42→45	55→60	43	222/280/325	103	301	11	25	29%	7%	72	-0.7	238/289/342	104	317	10	34	26%	7%	78	-0.3	244/291/343	98	312	9	39	24%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps