Jorge Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Jorge RodriguezC FCL Red Sox

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 147 lbs ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION112 act + 74 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .281 / .285

PA74

HR1

K%27

BB%8

BABIP263

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.3M
Totals		$13M		$33M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	105	96	17	1	0	0	4	39	4	8	1	177	240	188	428	10	293	37	4	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	105	93	24	2	0	0	7	25	4	8	1	258	337	280	616	22	348	24	7	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	92	86	19	1	0	3	5	26	1	8	5	221	272	337	609	116	281	28	5	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	92	83	24	1	0	3	8	17	1	8	5	289	359	410	768	120	333	18	9	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	BOS	—	112	93	17	6	1	2	12	26	7	10	4	183	321	333	655	151	231	23	11	290	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
YTD	20	ROK	BOS	—	112	86	23	9	1	3	19	18	7	10	4	267	438	500	938	233	308	16	17	418	178	+10	+0	+0	+2	+3	1.6
ROS	20	ROK	BOS	0%	74	66	13	3	0	1	6	20	2	3	1	195	281	285	566	90	269	27	8	277	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
ROS	20	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	263	59	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	BOS	—	112	94	17	6	1	2	12	26	7	10	4	181	321	330	651	149	227	23	11	290	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
TOT	20	ROK	BOS	—	186	159	30	9	1	3	18	46	9	13	5	188	305	313	619	125	244	25	10	285	76	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	BOS	34%	222	198	42	8	1	5	17	57	5	6	2	212	291	338	629	126	270	26	8	283	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2028	22	MLB	BOS	48%	342	305	65	13	2	7	27	86	7	9	3	213	292	338	630	125	272	25	8	289	79	-8	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.8
2029	23	MLB	BOS	54%	421	376	82	16	2	10	34	105	8	11	3	218	297	351	648	133	274	25	8	292	82	-9	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.2
2030	24	MLB	BOS	55%	474	424	93	18	3	11	38	117	9	13	3	219	297	354	651	134	275	25	8	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.5
2031	25	MLB	BOS	56%	504	449	99	19	3	12	40	125	10	13	4	220	299	356	655	136	275	25	8	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.6
2032	26	MLB	BOS	56%	520	463	102	20	3	12	42	129	10	14	4	220	299	354	653	134	275	25	8	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2033	27	MLB	BOS	55%	520	462	102	20	3	12	43	129	10	14	4	221	301	355	656	134	275	25	8	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2034	28	MLB	BOS	55%	520	462	102	20	3	12	43	130	10	13	4	221	301	355	656	134	274	25	8	294	84	-10	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2035	29	MLB	BOS	53%	517	459	100	19	3	12	43	130	10	13	4	218	299	351	650	133	274	25	8	293	82	-10	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2036	30	MLB	BOS	53%	508	451	97	19	3	11	42	129	10	12	3	215	296	344	640	129	272	25	8	290	80	-12	+1	-2	+9	+14	1.1
2037	31	MLB	BOS	57%	480	428	90	18	2	10	40	123	9	11	3	210	291	332	623	121	270	26	8	286	77	-13	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.8
2027	21	MLB	BOS	34%	76	68	15	3	0	2	6	19	2	2	1	221	303	353	656	132	275	25	8	271	66	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	22	MLB	BOS	48%	166	149	33	7	1	4	13	42	3	4	1	221	297	362	659	141	278	25	8	278	71	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2029	23	MLB	BOS	54%	228	203	45	9	1	5	18	57	5	6	2	222	301	350	651	128	280	25	8	282	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	24	MLB	BOS	55%	263	235	52	11	1	6	21	65	5	7	2	221	299	353	652	132	282	25	8	284	76	-7	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.6
2031	25	MLB	BOS	56%	282	251	57	11	2	7	23	70	6	7	2	227	307	371	678	143	282	25	8	285	76	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	26	MLB	BOS	56%	292	260	59	12	2	7	24	72	6	8	2	227	307	369	676	142	281	25	8	285	76	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	27	MLB	BOS	55%	288	256	59	12	2	7	24	71	6	8	2	230	311	375	686	145	281	25	8	285	76	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	28	MLB	BOS	55%	285	253	56	11	1	7	24	71	6	7	2	221	304	356	660	134	281	25	8	284	76	-8	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2035	29	MLB	BOS	53%	276	246	54	11	1	6	23	69	5	7	2	220	299	346	645	126	280	25	8	282	74	-8	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2036	30	MLB	BOS	53%	267	238	52	11	1	6	22	68	5	6	2	218	298	349	647	130	278	25	8	280	72	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.3
2037	31	MLB	BOS	57%	271	241	52	10	1	6	23	70	5	6	2	216	297	340	638	124	276	26	8	275	69	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2694	2401	534	108	13	63	221	674	54	68	20	222	302	357	659	135	281	25	8	282	74	-79	+6	-4	+48	+76	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	128	26	3	15	53	163	13	16	5	221	300	354	654	133	280	25	8	282	74	-19	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	5299	4725	1023	195	28	118	424	1345	105	148	44	216	295	345	640	128	275	25	8	290	80	-121	+12	-7	+95	+150	13.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	125	24	3	14	52	165	13	18	5	216	295	340	634	124	275	25	8	290	80	-15	+2	-1	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	105	93	24	2	0	0	7	25	4	8	1	258	337	280	616	22	348	24	7	289	79	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	92	83	24	1	0	3	8	17	1	8	5	289	359	410	768	120	333	18	9	347	124	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,802	64	72	219	295	351	+50	+28	7.5	6.6
	/162	664	15	17	219	295	351	+11.9	+6.6	1.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	20	36→41	40→45	58→63	50	188/305/313	125	244	3	13	25%	10%	76	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→48	47→55	59→55	38	216/258/360	144	272	14	15	26%	4%	68	-0.5	239/275/399	160	304	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	40→50	57→55	42	201/257/293	92	281	6	22	30%	7%	50	-1.8	232/286/367	135	290	12	21	23%	7%	82	+0.5	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0
✕Adan Velazquez 2010 · A	20	44→52	43→45	54→50	43	215/277/331	116	278	9	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	210/261/303	93	295	7	10	30%	5%	54	-1.4	248/287/342	94	301	8	6	20%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	48→49	43→50	56→50	45	232/286/358	126	292	9	10	23%	6%	79	+0.3	228/273/336	108	306	6	9	26%	5%	66	-0.6	227/270/341	114	317	5	10	29%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Christian Lopes 2013 · A	20	42→50	42→45	53→50	42	207/256/324	117	265	8	8	25%	5%	57	-1.2	204/258/280	76	260	4	4	22%	6%	46	-2.0	218/301/343	126	271	13	13	23%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Jorge Vega-Rosado 2012 · A	20	47	41→45	55	41	224/275/324	100	304	8	19	28%	6%	65	-0.7	205/261/286	81	311	6	14	34%	6%	50	-1.8	174/233/231	57	275	4	15	36%	6%	21	-1.4
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Jose Ramos 2023 · A	20	41	41→40	57→60	48	201/274/306	105	261	8	20	25%	8%	61	-1.0	183/262/263	80	276	4	22	32%	8%	45	-2.1	166/252/237	72	256	4	27	33%	9%	33	-1.3
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	46→41	40→45	57→60	42	218/276/313	95	301	7	17	29%	7%	63	-0.9	213/275/311	98	289	7	22	27%	7%	63	-0.9	205/269/314	109	262	10	34	25%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	45→50	40→45	55→60	40	215/275/310	96	298	6	17	29%	6%	62	-0.9	217/271/314	97	290	8	26	27%	5%	61	-1.0	225/280/337	113	299	11	32	28%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	69	-0.4	201/299/281	80	274	6	17	26%	10%	66	-0.6	179/307/226	46	224	4	30	20%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	196/264/288	92	278	8	16	31%	8%	52	-1.6	236/297/340	104	317	6	24	26%	7%	79	+0.3	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	49→56	43→45	52→60	41	238/280/347	109	301	10	12	24%	5%	72	-0.2	245/290/342	97	292	8	24	18%	5%	76	+0.0	263/301/369	107	303	9	35	16%	4%	85	+0.5
✕José Caballero 2018 · A	21	47→45	39→45	54→70	39	224/275/317	93	301	6	7	27%	5%	63	-0.8	223/291/334	111	281	10	19	23%	7%	76	+0.0	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.1	200/266/306	106	300	10	11	34%	7%	57	-1.2	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8