Oliver Tejada — OGILVIE

Oliver TejadaOF ACL Giants

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 189 lbs ROK HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION127 act + 89 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .270 / .317

PA89

HR1

K%27

BB%6

BABIP281

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	205	177	36	6	2	3	15	57	10	13	9	203	302	311	613	107	275	28	7	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	205	170	51	11	3	5	22	38	10	13	9	300	411	488	899	188	354	19	11	395	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Giants	—	230	199	35	11	2	1	12	63	15	7	1	176	274	266	541	90	246	27	5	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Giants	—	230	190	49	16	3	1	21	48	15	7	1	258	376	389	766	132	333	21	9	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	SF	—	127	118	23	8	1	2	5	45	4	3	2	195	252	331	582	136	296	35	4	257	55	-6	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
YTD	19	ROK	SF	—	127	115	34	12	2	3	8	32	4	3	2	296	362	513	875	217	388	25	6	384	152	+7	-0	+0	-1	+4	1.0
ROS	19	ROK	SF	0%	89	82	17	4	1	1	5	24	2	2	1	207	270	317	587	110	279	27	6	263	59	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
ROS	19	MLB	SF	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	242	43	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	SF	—	127	119	23	8	1	2	5	45	4	3	2	193	252	328	580	134	292	35	4	257	55	-6	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
TOT	19	ROK	SF	—	216	200	40	12	2	3	10	69	6	5	3	200	259	325	584	125	289	32	5	260	57	-11	-0	+0	-1	+6	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	SF	34%	298	273	59	13	2	5	17	77	6	5	2	216	277	333	610	117	282	26	6	276	69	-10	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2028	21	MLB	SF	48%	408	372	82	18	3	8	24	104	9	7	2	220	284	349	633	129	284	25	6	284	76	-11	+1	+0	-2	+12	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	SF	54%	485	442	99	22	3	10	30	121	10	8	3	224	288	355	644	131	285	25	6	290	80	-11	+0	+0	-3	+14	0.0
2030	23	MLB	SF	57%	535	485	110	24	4	11	34	132	11	9	3	227	292	361	653	134	286	25	6	293	82	-11	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.2
2031	24	MLB	SF	57%	567	514	117	26	4	12	36	140	12	9	3	228	294	364	657	136	287	25	6	295	84	-10	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.3
2032	25	MLB	SF	60%	585	531	122	27	4	13	37	144	12	9	3	230	295	369	664	139	287	25	6	296	85	-10	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.4
2033	26	MLB	SF	62%	594	539	123	27	4	13	38	146	12	10	3	228	294	365	659	137	286	25	6	296	85	-10	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.4
2027	20	MLB	SF	34%	102	93	20	4	1	2	6	26	2	2	1	215	277	344	621	129	277	25	6	255	54	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	21	MLB	SF	48%	198	180	40	9	1	4	12	50	4	3	1	222	286	350	636	128	278	25	6	264	60	-9	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
2029	22	MLB	SF	54%	263	240	53	12	2	5	16	66	5	4	2	221	284	350	634	129	280	25	6	269	64	-11	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
2030	23	MLB	SF	57%	303	275	61	13	2	6	19	75	6	5	2	222	287	349	636	127	281	25	6	273	67	-11	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.4
2031	24	MLB	SF	57%	321	291	65	14	2	7	20	79	7	5	2	223	289	357	647	134	281	25	6	275	68	-11	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.4
2032	25	MLB	SF	60%	353	320	71	16	2	7	23	87	7	6	2	222	289	350	639	128	281	25	7	275	69	-12	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.4
2033	26	MLB	SF	62%	371	336	76	16	3	8	24	91	8	6	2	226	293	363	657	137	281	25	6	276	69	-13	+0	+0	-2	+11	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1911	1736	386	84	13	39	120	474	39	31	12	222	288	353	641	131	281	25	6	272	66	-73	+1	+0	-11	+54	-2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	131	29	4	13	41	161	13	11	4	222	287	351	638	129	281	25	6	272	66	-25	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	3996	3614	800	178	29	77	248	1008	99	79	30	221	290	351	640	129	283	25	6	286	77	-104	+4	+0	-24	+113	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	131	29	5	13	40	164	16	13	5	223	290	355	646	133	284	25	6	286	77	-17	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	205	170	51	11	3	5	22	38	10	13	9	300	411	488	899	188	354	19	11	395	161	+14	-1	—	—	+6	1.9
2025	18	ROK	ACL Giants	—	230	190	49	16	3	1	21	48	15	7	1	258	376	389	766	132	333	21	9	345	122	+6	+1	—	—	+7	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,126	42	34	226	287	357	-13	+0	-0.0	0.3
	/162	664	13	11	226	287	357	-4.0	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Oliver Tejada (OGILVIE)	19	40	30	45	30	200/259/325	125	289	3	5	32%	5%	57	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Albert Hernandez 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	49→45	46	207/270/299	92	260	6	7	22%	7%	57	-1.2	226/286/317	91	285	6	7	22%	6%	68	-0.5	230/289/314	84	291	6	6	22%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	50	-1.7	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	63	-0.9	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	69	-0.1
✕Ivan Gonzalez 2015 · A	19	47	38→40	45→50	44	221/272/301	80	266	4	10	18%	5%	58	-1.2	219/270/297	78	290	4	12	24%	6%	56	-1.3	253/300/334	81	307	5	17	18%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Jimmy Mojica 2019 · A	19	44	36→40	46→50	40	207/258/276	69	268	4	8	24%	4%	45	-2.1	206/259/283	77	272	5	7	25%	5%	47	-1.9	185/240/257	72	241	7	5	25%	4%	32	-0.8
✕Randy Romero 2019 · A	19	43	36→40	50→60	45	203/252/272	69	247	3	12	19%	6%	42	-2.3	229/271/302	73	269	3	22	15%	5%	56	-1.3	223/260/283	60	275	2	30	19%	4%	47	-0.6
✕Felix G. Santana 2015 · A	20	46	37→40	47→50	41	215/279/288	73	293	4	10	26%	5%	58	-1.2	218/270/308	90	289	6	7	26%	5%	59	-1.1	224/254/306	82	289	7	0	24%	2%	46	-0.4
✕Mikey Edie 2016 · A	19	48	35→30	49→50	42	224/295/281	56	296	3	13	24%	5%	64	-0.8	212/267/270	58	314	2	15	31%	4%	48	-1.9	187/236/240	52	281	2	10	32%	3%	22	-1.4
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	61	-1.0	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	13	-0.9
✕Jose Bellorin 2010 · A	19	43	38→40	48→50	39	207/257/287	81	288	5	10	29%	5%	48	-1.9	216/271/299	83	268	6	10	21%	6%	57	-1.2	219/276/293	74	257	6	10	17%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Jesus Alastre 2016 · A	19	49	34→30	44→50	41	228/288/285	57	285	1	10	20%	4%	61	-1.0	227/275/300	73	301	3	9	24%	4%	59	-1.1	249/282/342	92	348	4	9	28%	2%	67	-0.1
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Juan Rodriguez 2015 · A	20	45	38→45	46→55	41	217/264/301	85	288	5	8	26%	6%	54	-1.4	241/278/336	95	291	6	14	18%	5%	69	-0.4	280/305/386	106	318	6	22	14%	4%	89	+0.4
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2009 · A	19	44	39→40	48→55	47	209/298/288	79	282	7	17	26%	8%	68	-0.5	199/266/274	75	327	6	12	38%	7%	49	-1.8	173/232/231	58	316	6	11	44%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Miguel Flames 2017 · A	19	46	37→40	48→30	43	218/264/295	77	270	5	3	21%	5%	53	-1.5	207/257/283	76	276	4	4	25%	5%	46	-2.0	177/233/244	67	240	4	0	26%	5%	27	-1.2
✕Emilio King 2009 · A	19	38	37→45	44→40	41	184/245/258	74	245	5	6	26%	6%	36	-2.7	196/261/279	83	281	5	6	30%	5%	49	-1.8	206/259/300	94	298	6	4	31%	4%	49	-0.8
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2