Armando Sierra — OGILVIE

Armando SierraOF FCL Red Sox

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 189 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .258 / .293

PA5

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	193	169	48	10	0	2	21	41	3	0	2	284	373	379	752	95	365	21	11	344	119	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	218	188	59	15	0	5	25	22	3	3	1	314	403	473	876	160	331	10	11	388	149	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2023	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	113	98	26	7	0	2	14	30	1	0	1	265	363	398	761	133	364	27	12	345	120	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	114	104	28	4	2	3	6	29	1	0	0	269	315	433	748	163	338	25	5	322	104	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	193	177	36	7	0	1	13	60	3	0	2	203	269	260	529	56	301	31	7	238	47	-12	-1	—	—	+4	-0.9
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	218	197	48	10	0	4	16	31	3	3	1	244	310	355	666	112	264	14	7	296	86	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	113	103	18	4	0	1	9	43	1	0	1	175	248	243	491	68	300	38	8	234	45	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	114	106	21	3	1	2	4	41	1	0	0	198	234	302	536	104	277	36	4	234	45	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	193	177	36	7	0	1	13	60	3	0	2	203	269	260	529	56	302	31	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	—	193	169	48	10	0	2	21	41	3	0	2	284	373	379	752	95	365	21	11	344	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	218	197	48	10	0	4	16	31	3	3	1	244	310	355	666	112	268	14	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	—	218	188	59	15	0	5	25	22	3	3	1	314	403	473	876	160	331	10	11	388	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	113	103	18	4	0	1	9	43	1	0	1	175	248	243	491	68	288	38	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	113	98	26	7	0	2	14	30	1	0	1	265	363	398	761	133	364	27	12	345	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	114	106	21	3	1	2	4	41	1	0	0	198	234	302	536	104	292	36	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	114	104	28	4	2	3	6	29	1	0	0	269	315	433	748	163	338	25	5	322	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	193	175	36	7	0	1	13	60	3	0	2	206	269	263	532	57	301	31	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	218	197	48	10	0	4	16	31	3	3	1	244	310	355	666	112	264	14	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	113	102	18	4	0	1	9	43	1	0	1	176	248	245	493	69	300	38	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	114	108	21	3	1	2	4	41	1	0	0	194	234	296	531	102	277	36	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	113	102	18	4	0	1	9	43	1	0	1	176	248	245	493	69	300	38	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	114	108	21	3	1	2	4	41	1	0	0	194	234	296	531	102	277	36	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		285	40	0	252	57	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	109	100	22	4	1	2	7	33	1	1	0	220	278	340	618	120	287	30	6	263	64	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	37	34	7	1	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	206	270	324	594	118	291	30	8	259	64	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	37	34	7	1	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	206	270	324	594	118	273	30	8	259	60	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	124	18	0	18	53	193	0	0	0	208	272	328	601	121	275	30	8	259	60	-28	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	752	688	146	28	2	10	49	210	9	4	4	212	273	302	576	90	288	28	7	257	60	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	127	24	2	9	42	182	8	3	3	213	274	306	580	92	289	28	6	257	60	-28	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Armando Sierra (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	199/258/293	94	285	1	1	31%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	39→37	42→45	47→45	41	193/251/298	105	275	9	8	32%	7%	55	-2.0	204/254/315	111	308	12	9	36%	6%	59	-1.6	189/234/301	112	286	14	10	38%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Edison Sanchez 2013 · A	22	37	40→45	45	39	179/248/272	93	284	7	3	37%	7%	48	-2.5	197/262/288	91	332	7	4	40%	6%	57	-1.8	191/259/274	83	332	7	3	41%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→35	39→50	49→30	41	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	197/250/365	168	291	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	177/231/332	154	254	22	1	39%	5%	54	-1.4
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/338	130	278	13	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	207/287/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕J.V. Martinez 2021 · A	22	40→36	42→45	44→30	41	196/256/298	102	275	9	3	31%	6%	57	-1.8	202/258/314	112	287	10	4	31%	6%	61	-1.5	189/245/303	114	266	10	1	32%	5%	52	-0.9
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	174/222/255	81	277	7	4	39%	5%	34	-3.5	184/241/265	81	306	8	5	40%	6%	44	-2.8	141/191/216	75	260	9	0	47%	5%	11	-1.0
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	58	-1.7	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	50	-2.3	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	29	-1.2
✕Jhon Torres 2022 · A	22	41→39	40→45	41→45	37	198/249/291	93	288	6	5	32%	5%	52	-2.2	206/258/308	102	309	9	6	34%	6%	59	-1.6	176/220/274	99	276	12	0	40%	5%	34	-0.7
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	39	201/255/297	96	286	8	8	32%	6%	55	-1.9	198/263/285	87	291	7	9	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/254/257	75	267	7	8	32%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Ben Johnson 2016 · A	22	43→30	44→50	46→45	42	212/271/334	121	268	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	172/224/252	80	321	6	9	45%	5%	34	-3.5	140/191/204	64	287	5	10	50%	4%	8	-2.5
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	36→38	42→50	44→30	43	178/268/281	103	279	10	3	37%	9%	59	-1.7	196/278/333	137	279	16	3	34%	8%	74	-0.5	193/274/341	148	264	18	1	32%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	44	189/248/258	70	262	5	5	29%	7%	45	-2.7	208/274/288	80	306	4	7	31%	7%	61	-1.5	208/281/288	80	312	4	8	32%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Rigoberto Rangel 2011 · A	22	40	37→45	48→40	40	192/252/263	71	277	4	6	31%	6%	47	-2.6	196/258/268	72	296	4	8	33%	7%	50	-2.3	156/229/203	46	231	3	10	31%	7%	22	-1.0
✕Daniel Berg 2007 · A	22	37	42→40	44→40	41	186/254/294	107	267	9	4	32%	7%	55	-1.9	194/262/277	83	296	6	4	34%	7%	55	-2.0	187/259/259	72	291	5	2	35%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	44→45	44→50	40	196/267/309	113	301	11	8	37%	7%	64	-1.3	197/281/314	117	297	12	10	35%	9%	71	-0.8	181/276/311	130	263	15	9	35%	10%	66	-0.8
✕Connor Goedert 2016 · A	22	40	40→45	44→30	38	196/243/288	92	271	7	3	30%	5%	49	-2.4	188/231/282	94	284	8	3	35%	5%	43	-2.8	147/181/234	87	225	9	0	38%	4%	13	-2.3
✕Ramon Beltre 2019 · A	22	44→29	40	49→50	37	217/250/308	91	286	8	7	27%	4%	55	-1.9	183/212/266	83	282	6	6	36%	3%	31	-3.7	152/174/228	76	239	4	6	38%	2%	4	-4.5
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→34	40	49→55	33	186/229/277	91	285	8	9	37%	4%	41	-3.0	175/226/265	90	273	8	12	37%	5%	38	-3.2	148/203/228	80	231	8	13	38%	5%	19	-2.4
✕Skyler Ewing 2015 · A	22	44→39	41→45	49→30	41	210/269/311	101	298	7	6	31%	6%	65	-1.2	196/263/301	105	266	9	3	28%	7%	61	-1.5	188/261/307	119	250	12	1	28%	7%	59	-1.1