Armando Sierra — OGILVIE

Armando SierraOF FCL Red Sox

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 189 lbs ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .259 / .293

PA63

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	193	177	36	7	0	1	13	61	3	0	2	203	269	260	529	56	304	32	7	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	193	169	48	10	0	2	21	41	3	0	2	284	373	379	752	95	365	21	11	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	218	196	48	9	0	5	17	31	3	3	1	245	315	367	682	122	265	14	8	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	218	188	59	15	0	5	25	22	3	3	1	314	403	473	876	160	331	10	11	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	113	103	19	4	0	1	9	44	1	0	1	184	257	252	509	68	310	39	8	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	113	98	26	7	0	2	14	30	1	0	1	265	363	398	761	133	364	27	12	345	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	114	106	20	2	1	2	4	40	1	0	0	189	225	283	508	94	273	35	4	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	114	104	28	4	2	3	6	29	1	0	0	269	315	433	748	163	338	25	5	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	BOS	—	63	58	11	2	0	1	4	20	1	1	0	190	254	276	530	86	285	32	6	252	51	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	BOS	34%	109	100	22	4	1	2	7	33	1	1	0	220	278	340	618	120	287	30	6	264	60	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	BOS	46%	239	218	47	8	2	5	17	71	2	2	1	216	278	339	618	124	288	30	7	272	66	-9	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.4
2027	23	MLB	BOS	34%	37	34	7	1	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	206	270	324	594	118	293	30	8	261	58	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	BOS	46%	110	100	22	4	1	2	8	32	1	1	0	220	284	340	624	120	294	29	7	269	64	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	147	134	29	5	1	3	11	43	1	1	0	216	281	336	617	119	292	29	7	267	63	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	127	22	4	13	49	190	4	4	0	214	279	331	609	116	289	29	8	267	63	-28	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	1049	958	203	36	4	17	71	300	12	7	5	212	275	311	586	99	287	29	7	260	57	-51	-1	+0	-6	+30	-2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	125	22	2	11	44	186	7	4	3	210	273	310	583	99	284	29	7	260	57	-31	-0	+0	-4	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	193	169	48	10	0	2	21	41	3	0	2	284	373	379	752	95	365	21	11	344	122	+5	-1	—	—	+5	1.0
2022	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	218	188	59	15	0	5	25	22	3	3	1	314	403	473	876	160	331	10	11	388	155	+14	+0	—	—	+6	2.0
2023	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	113	98	26	7	0	2	14	30	1	0	1	265	363	398	761	133	364	27	12	345	123	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	114	104	28	4	2	3	6	29	1	0	0	269	315	433	748	163	338	25	5	322	105	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	211	4	2	209	268	317	-1	+0	-0.5	-0.2
	/162	664	12	6	209	268	317	-4.0	+0.0	-1.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Armando Sierra (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	199/259/293	94	285	1	1	31%	7%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	37→34	42→45	47→45	40	188/245/295	107	268	10	8	33%	7%	46	-2.0	203/253/315	112	302	12	9	35%	6%	54	-1.4	191/237/303	112	281	15	10	37%	5%	43	-1.2
✕J.V. Martinez 2021 · A	22	39→34	42→45	44→30	40	193/252/295	103	276	9	3	32%	6%	49	-1.8	199/255/310	111	282	10	4	31%	6%	53	-1.5	184/241/297	113	256	10	1	31%	6%	42	-1.0
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→36	39→55	49→30	41	203/264/290	86	289	7	6	30%	6%	52	-1.6	200/253/377	177	299	25	3	40%	6%	72	-0.2	180/234/343	163	262	24	1	40%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Edison Sanchez 2013 · A	22	36	40→45	45	39	175/245/267	92	285	7	3	39%	7%	39	-2.5	196/260/290	94	335	8	4	41%	6%	51	-1.7	192/258/279	88	335	8	3	42%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	44	189/248/258	70	262	5	5	29%	7%	37	-2.6	210/276/290	80	306	5	7	30%	7%	57	-1.2	212/285/293	81	313	4	8	31%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Ben Johnson 2016 · A	22	43→31	44→50	46→45	42	212/271/334	121	268	11	4	25%	6%	66	-0.6	173/222/248	75	317	5	9	44%	5%	23	-3.6	142/188/200	58	283	4	10	49%	4%	-7	-2.7
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	53	-1.5	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	43	-2.2	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	20	-1.2
✕Gerrion Grim 2016 · A	22	37	40→60	45→40	36	184/237/272	87	288	8	9	38%	6%	36	-2.7	186/227/319	133	290	17	5	41%	4%	44	-2.1	171/208/322	151	249	23	2	41%	4%	34	-1.5
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/333	122	296	14	11	32%	7%	69	-0.4	196/266/321	125	267	17	13	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Rigoberto Rangel 2011 · A	22	40	37→45	48→40	40	192/252/263	71	277	4	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	196/258/268	72	296	4	8	33%	7%	43	-2.2	156/229/203	46	231	3	10	31%	7%	12	-1.0
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	39	204/256/303	99	288	9	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	199/262/282	83	293	7	9	32%	7%	50	-1.8	183/253/253	70	269	6	8	32%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Daniel Berg 2007 · A	22	37	42→40	44→40	41	186/254/294	107	267	9	4	32%	7%	50	-1.8	194/262/277	83	297	6	4	34%	7%	48	-1.9	186/258/258	72	291	5	2	35%	7%	39	-1.3
✕Skyler Ewing 2015 · A	22	44→39	41→50	49→30	41	210/269/311	101	298	7	6	31%	6%	60	-1.0	199/266/313	114	268	11	3	28%	7%	59	-1.1	192/264/325	134	250	15	1	29%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Joe Munoz 2016 · A	22	40→37	43→45	45→40	39	195/256/298	103	298	11	5	37%	7%	51	-1.7	214/278/333	119	314	11	6	33%	7%	69	-0.4	198/260/313	116	283	9	5	32%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Connor Goedert 2016 · A	22	40	40→45	44→30	38	196/243/288	92	271	7	3	30%	5%	43	-2.2	186/228/280	94	282	8	3	35%	5%	33	-2.9	139/173/224	85	213	9	0	39%	4%	-5	-2.6
✕Ramon Beltre 2019 · A	22	44→28	40	49→50	37	216/249/308	91	286	8	7	27%	4%	50	-1.8	183/211/268	85	283	6	6	36%	3%	22	-3.7	151/172/231	79	238	5	6	38%	2%	-8	-4.5
✕Jhon Torres 2022 · A	22	42→40	39→45	41→45	37	200/252/293	93	292	6	5	32%	5%	48	-1.9	207/259/311	104	313	9	6	35%	6%	56	-1.3	173/217/277	104	275	14	0	41%	5%	25	-0.7