Erick Matos — OGILVIE

Erick Matos P ACL Athletics

Age 19 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.59

FIP5.59

K%17.5%

BB%15.9%

K-BB%1.6%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	10	5	34	153	28	28	0	50%	3.4	12.4%	22.9%	-10.4%	0.0%	3.15	4.95	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	10	5	34	153	28	28	0	50%	3.4	12.4%	22.9%	-10.4%	0.0%	3.15	4.95	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	10	5	34	153	28	28	0	50%	3.4	18.3%	18.3%	0.0%	0.0%	3.15	3.92	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	5	32	132	18	15	1	42%	2.6	9.3%	14.2%	-4.9%	1.2%	2.84	4.79	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	5	32	132	18	15	1	42%	2.6	9.3%	14.2%	-4.9%	1.2%	2.84	4.79	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	12	5	32	132	18	15	1	42%	2.6	13.6%	11.4%	2.3%	0.8%	2.84	3.79	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	12	6	30	161	36	27	2	50%	2.5	15.2%	21.0%	-5.8%	1.7%	13.35	5.43	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	12	6	30	161	36	27	2	50%	2.5	15.2%	21.0%	-5.8%	1.7%	13.35	5.43	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	OAK	12	6	30	161	36	27	2	50%	2.5	22.4%	16.8%	5.6%	1.2%	13.35	4.02	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	OAK	31	0	32	137	26	19	4	0%	1.0	19.0%	13.8%	5.2%	2.8%	5.29	5.17	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	OAK	15	0	16	68	13	9	2	0%	1.1	19.0%	13.8%	5.2%	2.8%	5.29	5.17	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	67	13	9	2	0%	1.1	19.0%	13.8%	5.2%	2.8%	5.29	4.79	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	113	25	0%	1.1	19.0%	13.8%	5.2%	2.8%	5.29	4.79	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		34	16	96	446	56	88	4	47%	2.8	12.5%	19.6%	-7.1%	1.0%	6.21	5.07	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	33	200	932	117	183	9	47%	2.8	12.5%	19.6%	-7.1%	1.0%	6.21	5.07	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Erick Matos (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.59	17.5%	15.9%	2.9%	—	5.17	19.0%	5.2%	32	-0.42	—	—	—
Joseph Hernandez R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	18	SW	5.37	15.6%	15.0%	3.1%	.296	4.39	24.7%	8.0%	31	-0.98	4.39	260	89
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	89
Yosber Sanchez R 2019 · 5.58 FIP	18	SP-	5.58	14.6%	14.9%	3.3%	.315	4.61	20.2%	-5.2%	13	-0.97	3.21	199	88
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	85
Eliazar Dishmey R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	18	SW	6.05	17.9%	15.1%	4.6%	.302	3.83	21.9%	9.2%	268	-2.22	3.40	311	85
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	20.1%	17.3%	3.7%	.354	5.04	17.9%	4.8%	118	-0.57	2.84	220	85
Edinzo Marquez R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	17	SW	4.97	20.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.250	3.90	13.2%	0.4%	119	-1.07	3.26	188	85
Sandy Ozuna R 2023 · 5.42 FIP	17	SW	5.42	15.1%	17.4%	2.5%	.303	4.77	18.3%	7.9%	71	-0.65	3.03	103	85
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	84
Luis Reyes R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	17	SP-	6.24	18.4%	20.7%	3.8%	.333	4.28	17.1%	5.1%	129	-1.96	4.02	167	84
Josue Panacual R 2021 · 4.81 FIP	19	SW	4.81	17.5%	15.6%	2.2%	.286	4.41	14.2%	0.8%	91	-0.40	4.41	164	83
Ronny Oliver R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	19	SP-	4.47	15.5%	16.8%	1.0%	.309	4.16	16.3%	-1.3%	72	-0.31	3.67	167	82
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	82
Yeriel Santos R 2023 · 5.89 FIP	19	SW	5.89	17.4%	22.9%	2.5%	.239	5.80	16.0%	-0.9%	276	-0.09	4.44	351	82
Jaydenn Estanista R 2021 · 4.72 FIP	19	SP-	4.72	18.1%	19.2%	1.3%	.254	5.35	21.0%	2.6%	109	+0.63	4.59	230	82
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	82
Jose Olivares R 2022 · 4.99 FIP	19	SW	4.99	18.4%	14.4%	2.9%	.276	4.78	18.6%	4.1%	222	-0.21	3.05	308	81
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	81
Jose Alberto Rivera R 2017 · 5.65 FIP	20	SW	5.65	16.1%	19.2%	2.7%	.185	3.68	20.3%	9.9%	115	-1.97	3.39	163	81
Yorman Galindez R 2022 · 4.93 FIP	19	SW	4.93	19.1%	18.3%	2.1%	.374	3.77	22.9%	6.2%	96	-1.16	3.63	201	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	18.4%	14.6%	1.10	5.40
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99