Alver Medina — OGILVIE

Alver MedinaSS DSL Twins

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .259 / .255

PA62

HR0

K%33

BB%7

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	110	97	14	1	1	0	8	49	4	7	2	144	239	175	414	31	286	45	7	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	110	92	21	2	1	0	13	34	4	7	2	228	349	272	620	43	356	31	12	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	MIN	—	62	57	10	2	0	0	4	21	1	1	0	175	242	211	452	35	290	34	6	240	42	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIN	34%	120	108	21	3	1	1	9	38	2	2	0	194	269	269	537	74	292	32	8	252	51	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2027	20	MLB	MIN	34%	41	37	7	1	0	0	3	13	1	1	0	189	268	216	485	27	292	32	7	241	43	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	41	37	7	1	0	0	3	13	1	1	0	189	268	216	485	27	292	32	7	241	43	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	111	16	0	0	48	206	16	16	0	189	269	216	486	27	291	32	7	241	43	-42	+3	+0	+7	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	292	262	45	6	2	1	21	108	7	10	2	172	252	221	473	50	284	37	7	225	31	-23	+1	+0	+3	+8	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	99	13	4	2	47	240	16	22	4	170	251	216	467	46	281	37	7	225	31	-51	+3	+0	+7	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	110	92	21	2	1	0	13	34	4	7	2	228	349	272	620	43	356	31	12	295	84	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alver Medina (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	189/259/255	65	290	0	1	33%	7%	42	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	37	38→45	50	37	178/235/261	83	285	5	10	37%	6%	32	-3.0	200/249/307	107	347	11	5	43%	6%	50	-1.7	161/215/285	124	297	17	1	50%	6%	30	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	42	179/250/257	78	271	5	10	34%	8%	39	-2.5	184/236/265	81	290	6	7	36%	5%	33	-2.9	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	4	-1.2
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	36→39	38→40	49→55	39	176/241/254	78	265	5	10	34%	6%	33	-2.9	183/258/278	95	267	8	13	32%	8%	47	-1.9	169/247/259	90	238	8	18	31%	8%	36	-1.4
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Yowelfy Rosario 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	53→45	40	186/251/280	95	295	4	7	36%	7%	44	-2.1	185/245/267	82	320	4	7	40%	6%	38	-2.6	131/183/181	50	249	3	5	46%	5%	-13	-1.6
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2018 · A	19	36	37→40	46→50	43	170/272/245	75	268	5	9	35%	8%	47	-1.9	177/263/273	96	284	8	9	38%	7%	50	-1.8	145/224/227	82	287	8	19	48%	6%	18	-1.3
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	48→40	35	180/236/252	72	281	4	8	36%	5%	30	-3.1	196/258/274	78	286	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.0	177/237/252	75	275	4	2	35%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Nicolas Febres 2018 · A	19	38	36→30	51→45	33	181/234/249	68	298	3	8	38%	4%	29	-3.2	201/274/256	55	248	1	6	18%	8%	47	-1.9	195/278/231	36	232	0	5	14%	9%	40	-0.8
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	36	39→45	49→50	41	180/246/264	84	259	7	12	32%	7%	39	-2.5	198/245/300	102	329	8	12	40%	5%	46	-2.0	173/231/277	105	327	9	25	47%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Hans Montero 2023 · A	19	35	34→45	52→55	42	157/254/208	51	292	2	18	42%	10%	29	-3.2	170/258/258	88	293	8	16	41%	9%	43	-2.2	164/251/285	121	279	13	20	43%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Justin Twine 2015 · A	19	39→31	37→45	53→50	30	183/230/261	78	310	3	8	40%	4%	30	-3.1	173/209/238	65	277	3	7	37%	3%	14	-4.2	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
✕Aneudis Mordán 2023 · A	19	37→29	35→45	47→40	37	173/235/229	56	286	3	6	38%	6%	24	-3.5	183/246/290	107	271	13	5	35%	7%	45	-2.1	163/229/272	108	231	15	3	35%	7%	31	-1.3
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	38	184/237/267	83	263	7	6	32%	5%	34	-2.8	198/237/320	122	278	14	7	33%	4%	49	-1.8	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	56	-0.3
✕Alexander Benua 2022 · A	18	36	35→40	54→55	39	170/242/232	61	261	2	13	33%	6%	28	-3.2	190/257/267	77	288	5	16	34%	6%	44	-2.1	181/251/262	81	286	6	17	36%	6%	38	-0.9
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Christian Olivo 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	52→55	39	185/254/242	58	277	2	14	32%	6%	36	-2.7	185/251/249	64	276	4	16	32%	7%	37	-2.7	174/241/233	59	257	5	21	32%	6%	26	-1.6
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2016 · A	19	39	36→40	52→60	41	180/254/245	64	298	3	18	37%	8%	37	-2.7	181/251/259	78	274	5	14	33%	8%	39	-2.5	161/234/234	74	233	6	16	31%	8%	24	-1.2