Christian Olivo — OGILVIE

Christian OlivoSS South Bend Cubs

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 168 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION292 act + 194 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .270 / .281

PA194

HR2

SB7

K%27

BB%7

BABIP265

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	0	0	0	0	0	12	1	0	0		67		67			80	0	55	-100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	1	0	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	71	133	71	205		167	53	0	109	-58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	107	94	14	1	1	0	6	30	5	10	2	149	238	181	419	32	219	28	6	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	107	88	17	1	1	0	12	20	5	10	2	193	324	227	551	34	250	19	11	267	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	111	97	18	5	0	1	10	33	3	7	3	186	282	268	550	82	270	30	9	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	111	91	24	7	0	1	16	23	3	7	3	264	391	374	765	110	343	21	14	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	3 teams	—	442	403	65	4	1	3	23	158	5	22	5	161	216	199	414	37	252	36	5	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	3 teams	—	442	388	78	5	2	4	38	109	5	22	5	201	281	255	536	54	265	25	9	246	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	311	60	14	1	3	24	100	11	28	10	193	275	273	548	80	271	29	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	288	69	17	1	3	47	64	11	28	10	240	367	337	704	97	296	18	14	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	CHC	—	292	258	47	10	1	4	24	76	8	14	1	182	272	275	548	93	239	26	8	243	44	-18	+2	+0	+3	+8	-0.5
YTD	22	A+	CHC	—	292	248	54	12	1	5	34	56	8	14	1	218	331	335	666	117	259	19	12	307	93	-2	+2	+0	+3	+8	1.2
ROS	22	A+	CHC	0%	194	174	34	7	1	2	14	53	4	7	1	195	270	281	550	86	255	27	7	249	49	-11	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	CHC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						256	0	0	234	37	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	CHC	—	293	259	47	10	1	4	24	76	8	14	1	181	271	274	546	93	238	26	8	243	44	-18	+2	+0	+3	+8	-0.5
TOT	22	A+	CHC	—	486	432	81	17	2	6	38	129	12	21	2	187	271	277	549	90	249	27	8	246	46	-30	+3	+0	+5	+14	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CHC	35%	441	395	78	15	1	7	34	115	9	13	3	197	276	294	570	96	257	26	8	262	59	-20	+1	+0	+5	+12	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	CHC	46%	484	434	89	17	2	9	38	123	9	14	3	205	283	316	598	111	261	25	8	272	66	-18	+2	+0	+5	+14	0.2
2029	25	MLB	CHC	52%	504	450	94	18	2	10	40	127	9	14	3	209	287	324	611	116	263	25	8	277	70	-17	+2	+0	+5	+14	0.4
2030	26	MLB	CHC	54%	514	458	96	18	2	11	42	129	9	14	3	210	289	330	618	120	264	25	8	280	72	-16	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.6
2031	27	MLB	CHC	54%	516	460	96	18	2	11	42	130	9	14	3	209	288	328	616	120	263	25	8	280	72	-16	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.6
2027	23	MLB	CHC	35%	152	136	26	5	0	2	12	40	3	5	1	191	272	272	544	81	258	26	8	249	49	-9	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	CHC	46%	224	200	41	8	1	4	18	57	4	7	1	205	284	315	599	110	262	25	8	259	57	-11	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	CHC	52%	261	233	48	9	1	5	21	66	5	7	1	206	286	318	603	112	264	25	8	265	61	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2030	26	MLB	CHC	54%	279	249	52	10	1	6	23	70	5	8	1	209	289	329	618	120	265	25	8	267	63	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.0
2031	27	MLB	CHC	54%	280	250	52	10	1	6	23	70	5	8	1	208	288	328	616	120	265	25	8	267	63	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1197	1069	219	42	4	23	97	303	22	35	5	205	285	316	601	111	262	25	8	263	59	-55	+5	+0	+13	+34	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	118	23	2	12	53	165	12	19	3	203	284	312	596	109	261	25	8	263	59	-30	+3	+0	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	3676	3290	644	117	13	57	273	1010	74	143	36	196	272	291	564	95	262	27	7	256	54	-192	+14	+0	+39	+104	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	114	21	2	10	48	179	13	25	6	196	272	290	563	95	262	28	7	256	54	-34	+3	+0	+7	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	1	0	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	71	133	71	205		167	53	0	109	-58	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	107	88	17	1	1	0	12	20	5	10	2	193	324	227	551	34	250	19	11	267	62	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.0
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	111	91	24	7	0	1	16	23	3	7	3	264	391	374	765	110	343	21	14	351	126	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	51	47	4	0	0	0	3	13	0	0	0	85	140	85	225		118	25	6	112	-56	-9	+0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2024	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	334	293	66	5	2	3	29	82	4	20	4	225	304	287	590	61	297	25	9	269	64	-14	+2	—	—	+9	-0.2
2024	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	57	48	8	0	0	1	6	14	1	2	1	167	273	229	502	62	212	25	11	234	37	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	288	69	17	1	3	47	64	11	28	10	240	367	337	704	97	296	18	14	328	109	+3	+2	—	—	+10	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,197	24	34	207	283	321	+13	+6	0.9	1.0
	/162	664	13	19	207	283	321	+7.1	+3.3	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Olivo (OGILVIE)	22	40	25	60	55	187/271/277	90	249	6	21	27%	8%	46	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	38→40	53→60	49	182/289/262	80	287	6	16	35%	11%	58	-1.2	202/293/281	79	297	5	23	30%	10%	63	-0.8	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Joe Munoz 2008 · A	22	43	36→30	51→55	44	202/275/270	69	257	2	16	21%	6%	53	-1.5	204/255/269	65	274	3	9	25%	4%	42	-2.3	197/231/226	29	265	0	9	25%	2%	17	-1.1
✕Kristopher Negrón 2008 · A	22	42→51	37→45	55	43	202/266/271	69	272	4	18	26%	6%	48	-1.9	225/285/322	97	290	7	20	24%	6%	69	-0.4	230/293/333	103	294	9	23	23%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	37→40	56→60	41	213/266/295	82	298	4	14	28%	6%	54	-1.4	239/296/340	101	343	9	30	31%	6%	79	+0.3	247/300/330	83	351	7	39	30%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Jordan Sprinkle 2023 · A	22	43	38→30	53→65	39	207/262/284	76	294	6	16	30%	6%	50	-1.8	189/252/255	66	280	5	26	32%	7%	38	-2.6	193/265/244	51	275	3	50	28%	8%	39	-1.4
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→38	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	63	-0.9	207/276/283	76	320	2	18	33%	8%	55	-1.4	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Franklin Rollin 2018 · A	22	47	39→40	53→55	40	224/262/317	93	276	6	18	21%	4%	57	-1.2	200/247/282	82	259	6	15	24%	5%	42	-2.3	185/236/253	68	236	6	17	24%	5%	27	-1.4
✕Erlin Cerda 2016 · A	22	45	35→40	53→55	47	208/277/280	72	264	1	14	20%	7%	55	-1.4	198/248/269	71	293	2	9	31%	5%	39	-2.5	163/196/205	43	251	0	8	34%	3%	-4	-1.3
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→40	39→45	52→55	39	205/259/290	85	285	6	20	29%	5%	50	-1.8	206/268/333	127	294	13	23	33%	7%	66	-0.6	198/265/322	124	280	13	27	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→46	37→45	50→60	41	199/250/266	67	260	5	15	25%	5%	40	-2.4	204/263/297	93	276	7	19	27%	7%	53	-1.5	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Dionis Hinojosa 2013 · A	22	44	36→30	54→60	41	204/267/268	64	302	3	21	32%	6%	47	-1.9	203/255/272	69	284	4	12	28%	6%	43	-2.2	192/240/249	57	257	3	13	25%	5%	27	-0.8
✕Tyreace House 2010 · A	22	46→43	36→30	53→55	46	214/282/276	61	301	3	14	28%	8%	56	-1.3	196/282/239	43	275	1	19	26%	10%	48	-1.9	184/275/215	31	259	1	22	26%	10%	36	-2.1
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Derrik Gibson 2012 · A	22	44→54	34→40	53→55	44	205/261/258	54	277	2	19	26%	6%	42	-2.3	214/272/275	61	296	2	15	26%	7%	51	-1.7	236/301/308	72	311	3	11	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	39	-2.5	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	61	-1.0	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	64	-0.4
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	43	204/254/284	80	263	5	21	24%	6%	46	-2.0	243/304/321	78	311	4	31	21%	7%	76	+0.1	252/314/329	77	319	3	36	20%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Erick Brito 2023 · A	21	45→43	35→30	52→55	47	212/278/275	63	281	2	16	24%	8%	54	-1.4	210/271/275	65	269	3	20	22%	6%	51	-1.7	214/271/281	67	280	3	23	23%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Lolo Sanchez 2021 · A	22	43	39→45	54→55	45	207/270/301	93	254	6	21	20%	6%	57	-1.2	209/281/312	103	254	11	18	21%	8%	66	-0.6	196/272/287	90	235	10	17	21%	8%	53	-0.9