Christian Olivo — OGILVIE

Christian OlivoSS South Bend Cubs

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 168 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION306 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP257

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	1	0	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	71	133	71	205		167	53	0	109	-40	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	107	88	17	1	1	0	12	20	5	10	2	193	324	227	551	34	250	19	11	267	67	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	111	91	24	7	0	1	16	23	3	7	3	264	391	374	765	110	343	21	14	351	123	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	51	47	4	0	0	0	3	13	0	0	0	85	140	85	225		118	25	6	112	-38	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2024	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	334	293	66	5	2	3	29	82	4	20	4	225	304	287	590	61	297	25	9	269	68	-13	+2	—	—	+7	-0.3
2024	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	57	48	8	0	0	1	6	14	1	2	1	167	273	229	502	62	212	25	11	234	45	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	288	69	17	1	3	47	64	11	28	10	240	367	337	704	97	296	18	14	328	108	+3	+2	—	—	+8	1.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	0	0	0	0	0	12	1	0	0		67		67		136	80	0	56	-76	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	107	93	14	1	1	0	7	29	5	10	2	151	248	183	430	32	199	27	7	185	11	-11	+1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	111	97	18	5	0	1	10	33	3	7	3	186	282	268	550	82	257	30	9	237	47	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	51	48	3	0	0	0	2	17	0	0	0	62	100	62	163		110	33	4	88	-54	-9	+0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2024	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	334	304	55	4	1	3	18	118	4	20	4	181	236	230	466	49	265	35	5	207	26	-29	+2	—	—	+7	-2.0
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	308	59	13	1	3	27	95	11	28	10	192	280	269	550	78	259	27	8	247	53	-19	+2	—	—	+8	-1.0
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	0	0	0	0	0	12	1	0	0		67		67			80	0	56	-76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	1	0	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	71	133	71	205		167	53	0	109	-76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	107	93	14	1	1	0	7	29	5	10	2	151	248	183	430	32	219	27	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	107	88	17	1	1	0	12	20	5	10	2	193	324	227	551	34	250	19	11	267	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	111	97	18	5	0	1	10	33	3	7	3	186	282	268	550	82	270	30	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	111	91	24	7	0	1	16	23	3	7	3	264	391	374	765	110	343	21	14	351	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	442	403	66	4	1	3	23	156	5	22	5	164	218	201	419	37	254	35	5	191	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	442	388	78	5	2	4	38	109	5	22	5	201	281	255	536	54	265	25	9	246	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	308	59	13	1	3	27	95	11	28	10	192	280	269	550	78	264	27	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	288	69	17	1	3	47	64	11	28	10	240	367	337	704	97	296	18	14	328	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	0	0	0	0	0	12	1	0	0		67		67		136	80	0	56	-76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	107	94	14	1	1	0	7	29	5	10	2	149	248	181	428	32	199	27	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	111	97	18	5	0	1	10	33	3	7	3	186	282	268	550	82	257	30	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	442	411	66	4	1	3	23	156	5	22	5	161	218	197	415	36	244	35	5	191	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	307	59	13	1	3	27	95	11	28	10	192	280	270	551	78	259	27	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	111	97	18	5	0	1	10	33	3	7	3	186	282	268	550	82	257	30	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	442	411	66	4	1	3	23	156	5	22	5	161	218	197	415	36	244	35	5	191	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	307	59	13	1	3	27	95	11	28	10	192	280	270	551	78	259	27	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	CHC	—	306	269	49	10	2	4	27	80	8	18	1	182	276	279	555	97	241	26	9	248	54	-17	+3	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	CHC	—	306	258	57	13	2	5	38	59	8	18	1	221	339	345	684	124	265	19	12	314	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	CHC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		255	22	11	253	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	CHC	—	315	277	50	10	2	4	28	82	8	18	1	181	275	274	549	94	238	26	9	248	54	-17	+3	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	35%	384	343	68	13	2	6	31	99	7	13	2	198	278	300	579	102	258	26	8	265	66	-16	+2	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	46%	445	397	82	16	2	8	37	112	8	14	2	207	287	317	605	111	262	25	8	275	72	-15	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	479	427	89	17	2	10	40	119	9	15	2	208	290	328	618	119	263	25	8	280	76	-14	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	498	444	93	18	2	10	42	123	9	15	2	209	291	327	617	117	264	25	8	283	77	-13	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	505	448	93	18	2	10	43	125	9	14	2	208	290	324	614	116	264	25	9	283	77	-14	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	505	447	93	18	2	10	44	126	9	13	2	208	292	324	616	116	263	25	9	282	77	-14	+2	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	498	443	92	18	2	10	43	125	9	12	2	208	291	325	616	117	263	25	9	280	76	-14	+2	-1	+5	+11	0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	489	434	90	17	2	10	43	124	9	11	2	207	292	325	617	118	262	25	9	278	74	-15	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	CHC	35%	133	118	24	5	1	2	11	34	3	4	1	203	288	314	601	110	260	26	8	252	66	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	46%	206	183	38	7	1	4	17	52	4	6	1	208	289	322	612	115	263	25	8	262	72	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	248	220	46	9	1	5	21	62	5	8	1	209	293	327	620	118	265	25	8	267	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	270	240	50	10	1	5	23	67	5	8	1	208	291	321	612	113	266	25	9	269	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	274	243	50	10	1	5	24	68	5	8	1	206	290	317	607	111	266	25	9	270	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	274	243	50	10	1	5	24	68	5	7	1	206	290	317	607	111	265	25	9	269	77	-8	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	264	234	48	9	1	5	23	66	5	7	1	205	290	316	606	111	264	25	9	267	76	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	256	227	47	9	1	5	22	65	5	6	1	207	291	322	613	115	263	25	9	265	74	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1925	1708	353	69	8	36	165	482	37	54	8	207	291	320	610	113	265	25	9	266	65	-57	+8	-2	+21	+42	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	119	23	3	12	56	163	12	18	3	206	290	319	609	113	264	25	9	266	65	-19	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4835	4306	858	158	19	81	391	1280	94	174	36	199	280	301	582	102	262	26	8	265	65	-115	+15	-4	+41	+83	2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	116	21	3	11	53	172	13	23	5	200	283	304	587	104	263	26	8	265	65	-20	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.9	1,927	38	54	208	288	325	+21	+12	2.4	2.4
/162	664	13	19	+7.1	+4.1	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Olivo (OGILVIE)	22	40	25	60	55	188/270/270	82	255	3	14	27%	8%	57	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	185/273/254	70	286	2	24	33%	10%	54	-2.0	204/289/287	83	310	5	17	32%	9%	68	-1.0	191/292/252	60	291	4	23	31%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Erlin Cerda 2016 · A	22	45	35→40	53→55	47	208/277/280	72	264	1	14	20%	7%	60	-1.6	198/248/268	70	295	2	9	32%	5%	46	-2.6	164/198/208	44	258	0	8	35%	4%	9	-1.2
✕Kristopher Negrón 2008 · A	22	42→50	37→45	55	43	202/266/271	69	272	4	18	26%	6%	54	-2.0	225/286/321	96	289	7	20	23%	6%	73	-0.6	226/289/352	126	323	14	14	32%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	44	204/256/283	80	261	5	21	23%	6%	53	-2.1	242/303/317	75	307	4	31	21%	6%	78	-0.3	242/306/332	90	291	7	29	18%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	63	-1.4	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	74	-0.5	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	86	+0.1
✕Joe Munoz 2008 · A	22	43	36→30	51→55	44	202/275/270	69	257	2	16	21%	6%	58	-1.7	204/255/269	65	274	3	9	25%	4%	49	-2.4	197/231/226	29	265	0	9	25%	2%	27	-1.1
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→41	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	67	-1.1	208/276/283	75	319	2	18	32%	8%	60	-1.6	215/287/293	78	329	2	26	32%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Tyreace House 2010 · A	22	46	36→30	53→55	46	214/282/276	61	301	3	14	28%	8%	61	-1.5	200/287/242	42	277	1	19	25%	10%	56	-1.9	189/281/218	29	262	1	22	25%	10%	46	-2.0
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	56→60	41	213/266/296	82	298	4	14	29%	6%	59	-1.6	243/300/346	103	343	9	30	30%	7%	84	+0.1	253/307/340	88	352	8	39	29%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Derrik Gibson 2012 · A	22	44→54	35→40	52→55	44	206/263/262	56	276	2	19	25%	6%	50	-2.3	218/277/281	63	294	2	15	25%	7%	59	-1.6	246/309/315	68	310	3	11	20%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	39→40	53→60	49	181/288/262	81	287	6	16	35%	11%	63	-1.4	203/293/281	78	295	5	23	30%	10%	68	-1.0	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	56	-1.9	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	65	-1.2	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Lolo Sanchez 2021 · A	22	44→43	39→45	54→55	45	209/272/300	91	255	6	21	20%	6%	63	-1.4	210/285/316	106	253	11	18	21%	8%	72	-0.7	198/277/292	93	235	11	17	20%	8%	62	-0.8
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	54	-2.0	206/257/291	85	297	7	10	31%	5%	55	-1.9	189/234/268	78	291	9	9	37%	3%	38	-0.8
✕Franklin Rollin 2018 · A	22	46	40→45	54→55	40	224/262/318	94	276	6	18	21%	4%	62	-1.4	201/248/285	84	259	7	15	24%	5%	50	-2.3	185/237/257	72	234	6	17	23%	5%	37	-1.4
✕D.J. Burt 2018 · A	22	44→51	35→40	54→65	44	204/269/268	64	294	2	24	29%	7%	54	-2.0	212/270/286	74	302	4	26	29%	7%	59	-1.7	221/287/291	70	300	5	46	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Dionis Hinojosa 2013 · A	22	44	36→30	54→60	41	204/267/268	64	302	3	21	32%	6%	53	-2.1	203/255/273	70	283	4	12	28%	6%	50	-2.3	193/241/250	58	258	3	13	25%	5%	37	-0.8
✕Nick Sinay 2017 · A	23	45	36→30	56→60	49	205/317/266	61	285	3	23	26%	9%	75	-0.5	206/321/265	59	291	3	20	28%	8%	77	-0.3	182/323/214	31	272	2	26	28%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Randy Romero 2022 · A	22	46	36→40	59→60	44	214/256/282	68	260	2	21	18%	5%	52	-2.2	200/247/269	69	295	4	13	32%	5%	45	-2.7	168/205/208	40	267	3	19	37%	4%	15	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps