Victor Leal — OGILVIE

Victor LealC FCL Twins

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 174 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION99 act + 66 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .288 / .288

PA66

HR1

K%26

BB%9

BABIP268

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 61 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT61

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$8M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.8	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.7	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$19M		$45M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	154	135	23	3	0	3	12	22	6	4	4	170	268	259	527	89	180	14	8	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	154	126	29	4	0	3	21	15	6	4	4	230	366	333	699	103	239	10	14	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	84	68	8	0	0	0	11	17	2	1	2	118	259	118	377		148	20	13	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	84	62	10	0	0	0	17	12	2	1	2	161	358	161	519		189	14	20	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	MIN	—	99	84	14	4	0	0	11	26	2	1	1	167	278	214	493	48	237	26	11	235	38	-7	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
YTD	19	ROK	MIN	—	99	77	18	6	0	0	18	18	2	1	1	234	392	312	703	78	300	18	18	329	110	+1	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.6
ROS	19	ROK	MIN	0%	66	59	12	2	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	203	288	288	576	85	283	26	9	276	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
ROS	19	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	266	61	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	MIN	—	99	85	14	4	0	0	11	26	2	1	1	165	278	212	490	47	233	26	11	235	38	-7	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
TOT	19	ROK	MIN	—	165	143	26	6	0	1	17	43	3	2	1	182	282	245	527	63	250	26	10	251	51	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIN	34%	167	148	32	6	1	2	15	41	2	3	1	216	297	311	608	95	287	25	9	287	78	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2028	21	MLB	MIN	48%	306	270	62	12	2	5	28	74	5	5	2	230	314	344	658	115	288	24	9	294	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.9
2029	22	MLB	MIN	54%	409	362	83	16	2	8	38	98	6	7	3	229	313	351	664	122	289	24	9	298	86	-6	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.3
2030	23	MLB	MIN	57%	478	424	96	18	2	9	44	114	7	9	3	226	309	342	651	116	290	24	9	301	88	-6	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.7
2031	24	MLB	MIN	57%	520	459	106	20	3	10	48	123	8	10	4	231	315	353	668	122	291	24	9	303	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2032	25	MLB	MIN	57%	520	458	106	20	3	10	49	123	8	10	4	231	317	354	670	122	291	24	9	303	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2033	26	MLB	MIN	56%	520	458	107	20	3	11	49	123	8	10	4	234	318	362	681	129	291	24	9	304	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2034	27	MLB	MIN	55%	520	458	107	20	3	11	49	123	8	10	4	234	318	362	681	129	290	24	9	304	91	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2035	28	MLB	MIN	55%	520	457	105	20	2	10	50	124	8	10	4	230	317	348	664	118	290	24	10	303	90	-6	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2036	29	MLB	MIN	53%	520	457	105	20	2	10	50	125	8	10	4	230	317	348	664	118	289	24	10	301	88	-7	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.7
2037	30	MLB	MIN	53%	520	457	104	19	2	10	50	126	8	9	4	228	315	344	658	116	288	24	10	298	86	-8	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.4
2038	31	MLB	MIN	57%	504	444	99	18	2	9	48	124	7	9	3	223	309	333	642	110	286	25	10	294	83	-10	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.2
2039	32	MLB	MIN	54%	488	431	94	17	2	8	47	122	7	8	3	218	305	323	628	104	283	25	10	289	79	-12	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.8
2040	33	MLB	MIN	58%	446	394	85	15	2	7	43	114	6	7	3	216	302	317	620	102	279	26	10	282	74	-13	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.4
2041	34	MLB	MIN	53%	390	345	71	12	1	6	37	102	5	6	2	206	292	299	591	93	273	26	9	274	68	-14	+0	-5	+7	+11	-0.1
2042	35	MLB	MIN	49%	331	293	57	9	1	4	31	89	4	5	2	195	280	273	554	78	267	27	9	264	61	-15	+0	-6	+6	+9	-0.5
2027	20	MLB	MIN	34%	57	51	11	2	0	1	5	14	1	1	0	216	298	314	612	98	287	25	9	276	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB	MIN	48%	148	131	31	6	1	3	14	36	2	3	1	237	320	366	686	130	288	24	9	283	75	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	22	MLB	MIN	54%	222	196	44	8	1	4	21	53	3	4	2	224	309	337	646	112	289	24	9	288	78	-5	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.5
2030	23	MLB	MIN	57%	271	240	54	10	1	5	25	64	4	5	2	225	309	338	646	113	290	24	9	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2031	24	MLB	MIN	57%	294	261	60	11	1	6	27	70	4	6	2	230	312	349	660	119	291	24	9	292	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2032	25	MLB	MIN	57%	294	261	60	11	1	6	27	69	4	6	2	230	312	349	660	119	291	23	9	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2033	26	MLB	MIN	56%	294	261	60	11	1	6	27	69	4	6	2	230	312	349	660	119	291	23	9	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2034	27	MLB	MIN	55%	288	255	59	11	1	6	27	68	4	6	2	231	315	353	668	122	291	24	9	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2035	28	MLB	MIN	55%	285	252	58	11	1	6	27	68	4	5	2	230	314	353	668	123	290	24	9	292	82	-6	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2036	29	MLB	MIN	53%	278	245	56	11	1	5	27	67	4	5	2	229	315	343	658	114	289	24	10	290	80	-6	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2037	30	MLB	MIN	53%	274	242	54	10	1	5	26	66	4	5	2	223	309	335	644	112	288	24	9	288	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2038	31	MLB	MIN	57%	285	252	55	10	1	5	27	70	4	5	2	218	304	325	629	107	286	25	9	284	75	-8	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.4
2039	32	MLB	MIN	54%	266	235	52	9	1	5	25	66	4	4	2	221	307	332	639	111	283	25	9	278	71	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
2040	33	MLB	MIN	58%	258	227	49	9	1	4	25	66	4	4	2	216	305	317	622	101	279	26	10	272	66	-10	+0	-2	+5	+7	-0.0
2041	34	MLB	MIN	53%	208	183	38	6	1	3	20	54	3	3	1	208	296	301	597	93	274	26	10	264	60	-9	+0	-3	+4	+6	-0.2
2042	35	MLB	MIN	49%	161	143	29	5	1	2	15	43	2	2	1	203	287	294	581	91	268	27	9	255	53	-9	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3883	3436	770	141	15	72	365	943	55	70	27	224	309	337	645	113	287	24	9	285	76	-105	+3	-13	+69	+110	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	130	24	3	12	61	158	9	12	5	226	310	341	651	115	289	24	9	285	76	-17	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	7463	6577	1462	267	33	134	705	1801	114	134	56	222	308	334	642	112	283	24	9	293	82	-151	+4	-25	+133	+211	17.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	128	23	3	12	61	157	10	12	5	223	309	337	646	113	284	24	9	293	82	-13	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	154	126	29	4	0	3	21	15	6	4	4	230	366	333	699	103	239	10	14	327	108	+1	-1	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	84	62	10	0	0	0	17	12	2	1	2	161	358	161	519		189	14	20	266	62	-4	-1	—	—	+2	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	3,958	73	71	226	308	341	+65	+40	10.8	9.0
	/162	664	12	12	226	308	341	+10.9	+6.7	1.8	pk7: 7
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Leal (OGILVIE)	19	56→61	34→39	46→51	62	182/282/245	63	250	1	2	26%	10%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Juan Fernandez 2018 · A	19	48→57	41→40	48→50	47	230/294/335	105	278	8	6	20%	7%	77	+0.1	200/257/274	74	263	4	4	24%	6%	45	-2.1	239/301/332	93	297	10	9	22%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	74	-0.1	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	85	+0.7	245/315/335	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	85	+0.7	225/297/334	109	287	11	10	24%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	49→55	38→45	51→60	51	232/298/315	83	281	5	13	18%	8%	72	-0.2	229/285/335	106	315	11	30	29%	7%	72	-0.2	236/292/342	106	319	11	39	28%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→42	43→50	47→45	50	230/306/345	115	283	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.7	221/273/345	124	289	14	8	27%	6%	70	-0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	79	+0.3	227/281/295	68	275	3	9	18%	6%	60	-1.0	246/313/343	97	286	7	1	15%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	69	-0.4	242/309/331	89	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.5	244/317/320	76	314	4	2	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.1	200/266/306	106	300	10	11	34%	7%	57	-1.2	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	234/311/346	112	300	9	12	24%	8%	87	+0.8	220/282/289	69	304	4	10	27%	6%	59	-1.1	219/279/260	41	287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→40	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	215/317/292	77	291	4	7	25%	10%	77	+0.1	211/334/282	71	273	4	7	21%	12%	79	+0.1
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→59	41→50	49→50	58	241/333/346	105	301	8	10	21%	12%	96	+1.5	249/334/387	138	332	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	244/330/384	140	317	13	15	25%	11%	101	+1.8
✕Henry Henry 2007 · A	20	53	39→40	48→60	52	250/330/338	87	313	5	15	20%	9%	92	+1.2	245/315/330	85	282	6	20	14%	7%	84	+0.6	250/305/317	67	277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	49→56	43→45	52→60	41	238/280/347	109	301	10	12	24%	5%	72	-0.2	245/290/342	97	292	8	24	18%	5%	76	+0.0	263/301/369	107	303	9	35	16%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Christian Arroyo 2014 · A	19	48→54	40→45	49→45	43	230/278/337	107	296	5	6	23%	6%	69	-0.4	232/265/329	97	295	7	4	23%	4%	62	-0.9	250/302/398	148	300	16	7	22%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	72	-0.2	201/244/277	76	295	6	5	32%	5%	39	-2.5	180/204/231	51	257	9	0	33%	2%	11	-0.8
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0