Victor LealC FCL Twins
Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 174 lbs ROK BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 4.2 · 2033
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .301 / .344
PA76
HR1
K%26
BB%9
MLB%0%
BAT: -1.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
6267
PWR
3641
SPD
4651
EYE
5560
trajectory · 10 yrs
4.2peak
2033

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+4.1$39M+$38M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+4.2$41M+$40M
2034Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+4.2$43M+$42M
2035Ext / FA-deal$8M+4.1$43M+$35M
2036Ext / FA-deal$13M+4.0$43M+$30M
2037Ext / FA-deal$18M+3.8$42M+$24M
Totals $42M $251M +$209M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Twins 154135 24303 12226 44 .178.275.267.541 .089.189 148 .238 40 -10 -1 +0 +3 +4 -0.4
202518 ROKFCL Twins 8468 9000 11172 12 .132.272.132.404 .000.167 2013 .198 10 -9 -1 +0 +1 +2 -0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLBMIN 7668 16311 7201 10 .235.316.353.669 .118.296 269 .294 83 -1 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202720 MLB 11%MIN 167147 36614 16412 31 .245.327.381.708 .136.309 2510 .317 101 +0 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.8
202821 MLB 28%MIN 306269 681128 30724 72 .253.337.398.734 .145.313 2410 .327 108 +3 +1 +0 +5 +9 1.8
202922 MLB 48%MIN 409360 9315311 41935 92 .258.342.408.751 .150.316 2310 .334 114 +6 +1 +0 +7 +12 2.7
203023 MLB 65%MIN 478420 10918313 491066 102 .260.345.410.755 .150.317 2210 .340 119 +10 +1 +0 +9 +14 3.4
203124 MLB 82%MIN 520453 12019315 551127 112 .265.353.419.773 .155.319 2211 .346 123 +13 +1 +0 +9 +15 4.0
203225 MLBMIN 520452 12019315 561117 102 .265.355.420.776 .155.320 2111 .350 126 +15 +1 +0 +9 +15 4.1
203326 MLBMIN 520451 12119316 571117 102 .268.359.430.789 .162.321 2111 .351 127 +16 +1 +0 +9 +15 4.2
203427 MLBMIN 520451 12119316 571117 102 .268.359.430.789 .162.321 2111 .352 127 +16 +1 +0 +9 +15 4.2
203528 MLBMIN 520450 12019315 581127 102 .267.359.422.781 .156.321 2211 .351 127 +16 +1 -1 +9 +15 4.1
203629 MLBMIN 520450 11919315 581147 91 .264.357.420.777 .156.321 2211 .349 125 +15 +1 -1 +9 +15 4.0
203730 MLBMIN 520450 11919315 581167 91 .264.357.420.777 .156.320 2211 .346 123 +14 +1 -2 +9 +15 3.8
203831 MLBMIN 504436 11418314 561147 80 .261.355.413.768 .151.320 2311 .343 120 +12 +2 -3 +9 +14 3.4
203932 MLBMIN 488425 10917313 541136 70 .256.348.402.751 .146.319 2311 .338 117 +9 +1 -4 +9 +14 3.0
204033 MLBMIN 446388 9815211 491066 70 .253.345.387.732 .134.319 2411 .333 113 +7 +1 -4 +8 +13 2.5
204134 MLBMIN 390339 841329 43965 60 .248.341.378.719 .130.318 2511 .327 109 +4 +1 -5 +7 +11 1.9
204235 MLBMIN 331288 711028 36854 50 .247.338.378.717 .132.318 2611 .320 103 +1 +1 -6 +6 +9 1.2
204336 MLBMIN 270236 56816 29723 50 .237.328.356.684 .119.317 2711 .312 97 -1 +1 -6 +5 +8 0.6
204437 MLBMIN 209183 43614 22582 40 .235.324.344.668 .109.315 2811 .304 90 -2 +1 -7 +4 +6 0.1
204538 MLBMIN 149131 29412 15422 20 .221.311.313.624 .092.312 2810 .294 83 -3 +0 -8 +3 +4 -0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 81017050 179928046214 8691844110 14825 .255.346.399.745 .144.315 2311 .335 114 +130 +20 -46 +145 +230 48.8
/ 162G 650566 14422417 701489 122 .254.346.398.744 .143.314 2311 .335 114 +10 +2 -4 +12 +18 3.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Twins 154126 29403 21156 44 .230.366.333.699 .103.239 1014 .327 108 +1 -1 +4 0.5
202518 ROKFCL Twins 8462 10000 17122 12 .161.358.161.519 .000.189 1420 .266 62 -4 -1 +2 -0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Victor Leal (OGILVIE) 19 62→67 36→41 46→51 60 .225/.301/.344 .119.296 11 26% 9% 83 +0.1
Lorenzo Cain
2006 · A
20 50→60 42→50 53→55 43 .239/.292/.353 .114.300 810 22% 6% 79 +0.3 .245/.297/.340 .095.323 616 24% 6% 78 +0.2 .299/.370/.422.123.348122516%9%126+3.3
Jesus Rodriguez
2021 · A
19 46→56 42→45 49→50 46 .224/.285/.337 .113.288 99 25% 8% 72 -0.2 .233/.299/.337 .104.295 612 21% 8% 79 +0.3 .254/.316/.360.106.307101619%7%89+0.7
Iván Herrera
2019 · A
19 51→57 38→50 46→50 42 .236/.300/.321 .085.317 45 25% 6% 76 +0.0 .225/.293/.327 .102.297 113 26% 7% 74 -0.1 .278/.371/.439.161.339191322%11%132+2.8
Carlos Correa
2014 · A
19 52→62 42→60 44→55 45 .248/.303/.360 .112.313 87 23% 6% 86 +0.8 .266/.331/.425 .159.323 1516 21% 8% 115 +2.8 .284/.360/.488.204.328241420%10%137+4.4
Bo Bichette
2017 · A
19 50→60 46→60 53→55 40 .243/.287/.379 .136.324 138 28% 6% 85 +0.7 .267/.312/.417 .150.332 1317 23% 6% 105 +2.1 .305/.346/.482.177.358221320%5%135+4.6
Jackson Holliday
2023 · A
19 50→59 41→50 50 56 .236/.325/.340 .104.299 810 22% 12% 91 +1.1 .251/.334/.388 .137.334 1214 26% 11% 107 +2.2 .247/.330/.386.139.319141525%10%103+1.9
Vaughn Grissom
2022 · A
21 52→62 42→50 53→55 48 .250/.318/.360 .110.306 911 21% 7% 93 +1.3 .269/.332/.397 .128.319 1217 19% 7% 108 +2.3 .268/.333/.391.123.317121819%7%103+1.6
Willy Adames
2015 · A
19 48→53 41→60 47→50 46 .224/.293/.338 .114.316 66 29% 8% 76 +0.1 .224/.290/.335 .111.332 78 32% 8% 75 -0.0 .263/.332/.462.199.34124528%9%122+2.4
Luis Robert Jr.
2018 · A
20 48→58 43→60 52→60 46 .224/.316/.343 .119.317 1015 30% 9% 89 +1.0 .228/.285/.372 .144.324 1422 33% 5% 83 +0.6 .284/.330/.497.213.339281724%5%131+2.8
Daniel Robertson
2013 · A
19 46→54 45 52→40 48 .224/.296/.359 .134.268 116 21% 7% 84 +0.6 .237/.302/.349 .112.294 103 22% 7% 84 +0.6 .234/.338/.350.116.30512425%11%96+0.8
J.P. Crawford
2015 · A
20 51→58 41→45 47→50 51 .245/.310/.342 .096.296 815 20% 8% 85 +0.7 .235/.303/.332 .097.280 811 18% 9% 79 +0.3 .263/.355/.386.123.30711217%11%113+2.8
Wilson Ramos
2008 · A
20 47→57 43→55 45→30 41 .233/.274/.344 .111.282 105 22% 4% 70 -0.3 .245/.283/.364 .119.308 122 24% 4% 79 +0.3 .291/.339/.471.180.31824017%7%125+2.3
Gleyber Torres
2017 · A
20 48→54 41→60 47→50 43 .230/.287/.330 .100.315 713 28% 7% 72 -0.2 .252/.314/.415 .163.319 1911 26% 8% 106 +2.2 .258/.343/.395.138.29316617%11%111+2.7
Jean Segura
2009 · A
19 49→59 36→50 52→60 47 .233/.287/.295 .062.281 415 18% 6% 62 -0.9 .255/.293/.356 .101.296 720 16% 5% 80 +0.4 .304/.351/.439.135.338122413%6%123+3.5
William Contreras
2018 · A
20 46→56 39→55 46→45 46 .221/.277/.310 .089.276 64 22% 7% 63 -0.9 .219/.267/.327 .108.291 112 27% 5% 63 -0.9 .274/.362/.430.156.32716620%12%121+3.4
Andrés Giménez
2018 · A
19 50→60 39→50 48→55 48 .235/.303/.327 .092.279 611 18% 6% 78 +0.2 .235/.290/.342 .107.303 722 24% 5% 77 +0.1 .262/.326/.420.159.312172521%5%108+2.1
Alejandro Kirk
2019 · A
20 52→59 48→50 50→40 52 .263/.322/.404 .141.286 165 15% 8% 106 +2.2 .249/.323/.388 .139.281 134 16% 9% 102 +1.9 .271/.356/.402.130.28815011%11%117+1.9
Aaron Hicks
2009 · A
19 48→56 42→60 54→55 47 .230/.289/.338 .108.295 812 24% 8% 75 -0.0 .221/.296/.327 .106.300 712 26% 10% 76 +0.0 .247/.358/.450.204.280251121%14%127+2.4
Julio Rodríguez
2021 · A
20 48→56 47→60 50→55 41 .239/.291/.385 .146.305 146 26% 5% 89 +0.9 .279/.337/.469 .190.351 2322 26% 7% 130 +3.8 .288/.348/.497.209.353272925%7%136+3.8
Jesus Morelli
2009 · A
19 49 42→45 48→50 49 .233/.310/.344 .110.300 912 24% 8% 85 +0.7 .223/.286/.295 .072.303 410 26% 6% 63 -0.9 .219/.279/.260.041.28701422%6%47-0.5