Juan Mateo
SS Augusta GreenJackets| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKATL | 165 | .250/.345/.333 | 1 | 9 | 26 | — | .167/.242/.227 |
| 2025 | 18 | A/ROKATL | 345 | .261/.333/.300 | 0 | 14 | 41 | — | .210/.263/.238 |
| 2026 | 19 | AATL | 427 | .243/.321/.351 | 6 | 22 | 55 | — | .210/.269/.299 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBATL | 537 | .215/.272/.285 | 4 | 12 | 58 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBATL | 128 | .221/.280/.307 | 1 | 3 | 66 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBATL | 203 | .226/.287/.325 | 3 | 5 | 73 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | — | 165 | 144 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 250 | 345 | 333 | 679 | 83 | 276 | 10 | 13 | 314 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 135 | 119 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 32 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 235 | 303 | 269 | 572 | 34 | 311 | 24 | 9 | 261 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Braves | — | 210 | 188 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 34 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 277 | 352 | 319 | 672 | 43 | 338 | 16 | 10 | 312 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 427 | 382 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44 | 78 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 243 | 321 | 351 | 672 | 107 | 292 | 18 | 10 | 306 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 165 | 150 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 167 | 242 | 227 | 469 | 60 | 179 | 12 | 9 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 135 | 123 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 203 | 258 | 228 | 485 | 24 | 295 | 33 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 210 | 196 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 50 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 214 | 267 | 245 | 512 | 31 | 290 | 24 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 427 | 395 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 106 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 210 | 269 | 299 | 568 | 89 | 271 | 25 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 165 | 150 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 167 | 242 | 227 | 469 | 60 | 185 | 12 | 9 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Braves | — | 165 | 144 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 250 | 345 | 333 | 679 | 83 | 276 | 10 | 13 | 314 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 345 | 319 | 67 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 210 | 263 | 238 | 501 | 28 | 294 | 27 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 345 | 307 | 80 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 66 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 261 | 333 | 300 | 633 | 39 | 328 | 19 | 10 | 292 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 427 | 395 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 106 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 210 | 269 | 299 | 568 | 89 | 275 | 25 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 427 | 382 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44 | 78 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 243 | 321 | 351 | 672 | 107 | 292 | 18 | 10 | 306 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 165 | 149 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 168 | 242 | 228 | 471 | 60 | 179 | 12 | 9 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 345 | 319 | 67 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 210 | 263 | 238 | 501 | 28 | 292 | 27 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 427 | 392 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 106 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 212 | 269 | 301 | 570 | 89 | 271 | 25 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 165 | 149 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 168 | 242 | 228 | 471 | 60 | 179 | 12 | 9 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 345 | 319 | 67 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 210 | 263 | 238 | 501 | 28 | 292 | 27 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 427 | 392 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 106 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 212 | 269 | 301 | 570 | 89 | 271 | 25 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | ATL | 0% | 537 | 493 | 106 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 120 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 215 | 272 | 285 | 556 | 70 | 273 | 22 | 7 | 254 | 58 | -27 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +12 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | ATL | 34% | 372 | 341 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 81 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 221 | 280 | 307 | 586 | 86 | 275 | 22 | 7 | 266 | 66 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | ATL | 48% | 418 | 383 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 90 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 226 | 287 | 325 | 612 | 99 | 277 | 22 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | ATL | 54% | 466 | 426 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 99 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 230 | 291 | 338 | 629 | 108 | 278 | 21 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | ATL | 55% | 517 | 470 | 109 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 109 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 232 | 295 | 346 | 641 | 114 | 280 | 21 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | ATL | 56% | 578 | 526 | 123 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 122 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 234 | 297 | 351 | 647 | 117 | 280 | 21 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | ATL | 56% | 596 | 543 | 127 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 126 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 233 | 297 | 350 | 647 | 117 | 280 | 21 | 8 | 290 | 83 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +13 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | ATL | 55% | 594 | 541 | 127 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 126 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 232 | 296 | 348 | 644 | 115 | 280 | 21 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | ATL | 55% | 583 | 531 | 122 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 125 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 231 | 294 | 343 | 637 | 113 | 279 | 21 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -14 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | ATL | 58% | 566 | 515 | 117 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 123 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 228 | 291 | 338 | 629 | 109 | 278 | 22 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -15 | -0 | -1 | +6 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | ATL | 60% | 552 | 503 | 113 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 122 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 226 | 288 | 330 | 618 | 105 | 276 | 22 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -17 | -1 | -2 | +6 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | ATL | 34% | 128 | 118 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 280 | 307 | 586 | 86 | 275 | 22 | 7 | 266 | 66 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | ATL | 48% | 203 | 185 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 226 | 287 | 325 | 612 | 99 | 277 | 22 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | ATL | 54% | 253 | 231 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 54 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 230 | 291 | 338 | 629 | 108 | 278 | 21 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | ATL | 55% | 287 | 262 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 61 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 232 | 295 | 346 | 641 | 114 | 280 | 21 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | ATL | 56% | 324 | 295 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 69 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 234 | 297 | 351 | 647 | 117 | 280 | 21 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | ATL | 56% | 335 | 305 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 71 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 233 | 297 | 350 | 647 | 117 | 280 | 21 | 8 | 290 | 83 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | ATL | 55% | 329 | 299 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 70 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 232 | 296 | 348 | 644 | 115 | 280 | 21 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | ATL | 55% | 320 | 291 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 69 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 231 | 294 | 343 | 637 | 113 | 279 | 22 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -8 | -0 | -0 | +3 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | ATL | 58% | 328 | 299 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 71 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 228 | 291 | 338 | 629 | 109 | 278 | 22 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -9 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | ATL | 60% | 332 | 303 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 73 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 226 | 288 | 330 | 618 | 105 | 276 | 22 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -10 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2839 | 2588 | 596 | 102 | 11 | 54 | 217 | 610 | 9 | 54 | 26 | 230 | 292 | 341 | 633 | 111 | 279 | 21 | 8 | 285 | 73 | -72 | +0 | -2 | +30 | +62 | 1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 136 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 140 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 229 | 292 | 339 | 631 | 110 | 279 | 22 | 8 | 285 | 73 | -16 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6389 | 5836 | 1314 | 223 | 28 | 103 | 485 | 1389 | 19 | 150 | 74 | 225 | 287 | 326 | 613 | 101 | 277 | 22 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -146 | +1 | -4 | +58 | +118 | 2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 134 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 49 | 141 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 226 | 287 | 325 | 612 | 99 | 278 | 22 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAugusta GreenJackets · 427 PAwOBA .298 → .249 (−49)K% 18.3% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 7.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | ×1.045 | 20.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.989 | ×1.045 | 4.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.989 | ×1.045 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 1.65% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .298 → .249; ISO .107 → .088; BABIP .292 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Braves · 210 PAwOBA .304 → .233 (−71)K% 16.2% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.19% | ÷0.980 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 6.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.005 | ×0.820 | ×1.046 | ×1.022 | 24.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.996 | ×0.720 | ×1.046 | ×1.022 | 4.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.046 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.856 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .304 → .233; ISO .043 → .031; BABIP .338 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAugusta GreenJackets · 135 PAwOBA .260 → .223 (−38)K% 23.7% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.70% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.89% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.59% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 26.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.60% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 4.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.281 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 107, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .260 → .223; ISO .034 → .029; BABIP .311 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Braves · 165 PAwOBA .306 → .206 (−100)K% 9.7% → 11.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.70% | ÷1.029 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 9.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.09% | ÷0.996 | ×0.680 | ×0.971 | ×1.022 | 14.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.47% | ÷1.042 | ×0.600 | ×0.971 | ×1.022 | 3.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.971 | ×1.022 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.871 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.43% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .306 → .206; ISO .083 → .047; BABIP .276 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).