Juan Mateo — OGILVIE

Juan MateoSS Augusta GreenJackets

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION427 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP269

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	165	144	36	7	1	1	21	16	0	9	6	250	345	333	679	83	276	10	13	314	98	-0	-1	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	135	119	28	4	0	0	12	32	0	4	1	235	303	269	572	34	311	24	9	261	63	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	210	188	52	8	0	0	21	34	1	10	7	277	352	319	672	43	338	16	10	312	97	-1	-1	—	—	+5	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	165	152	29	5	1	1	13	22	0	9	6	191	255	257	511	66	212	13	8	224	38	-12	-1	—	—	+4	-0.9
2025	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	135	124	24	3	0	0	8	46	0	4	1	194	242	218	460	24	286	34	6	210	28	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	210	196	42	6	0	0	13	50	1	10	7	214	267	245	512	31	283	24	6	229	41	-15	-1	—	—	+5	-1.1
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	165	152	29	5	1	1	13	22	0	9	6	191	255	257	511	66	217	13	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	165	144	36	7	1	1	21	16	0	9	6	250	345	333	679	83	276	10	13	314	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	345	320	66	9	0	0	21	96	1	14	8	206	257	234	492	28	291	28	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	345	307	80	12	0	0	33	66	1	14	8	261	333	300	633	39	328	19	10	292	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	165	151	29	5	1	1	13	22	0	9	6	192	255	258	513	66	212	13	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	345	320	66	9	0	0	21	96	1	14	8	206	257	234	492	28	284	28	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	165	151	29	5	1	1	13	22	0	9	6	192	255	258	513	66	212	13	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	345	320	66	9	0	0	21	96	1	14	8	206	257	234	492	28	284	28	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	ATL	—	427	399	79	13	2	5	28	111	0	22	11	198	251	278	529	80	261	26	7	238	47	-27	+0	+0	+5	+9	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	ATL	—	427	382	93	17	3	6	44	78	0	22	11	243	321	351	672	107	292	18	10	306	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	ATL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		269	22	11	246	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	ATL	—	436	407	80	13	2	5	29	113	0	22	11	197	250	275	525	79	260	26	7	238	47	-27	+0	+0	+5	+9	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	461	425	94	16	2	7	32	106	1	11	5	221	277	318	595	96	274	23	7	266	66	-18	+0	+0	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	498	457	102	17	2	9	36	111	2	11	6	223	283	328	611	105	276	22	7	279	75	-15	-0	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	538	490	112	19	2	11	40	118	3	12	6	229	291	343	634	114	278	22	7	287	80	-13	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	581	529	124	21	3	13	44	125	3	12	6	234	297	359	656	125	279	22	8	292	84	-11	+0	+0	+6	+13	0.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	627	571	135	23	3	15	48	134	3	13	6	236	299	366	665	130	280	21	8	295	86	-11	+0	+0	+7	+14	1.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	639	582	137	23	3	15	49	136	3	13	6	235	298	363	661	127	280	21	8	297	87	-10	+0	+0	+7	+14	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	642	584	138	23	3	16	50	136	3	13	6	236	300	368	668	132	280	21	8	297	87	-10	+0	+0	+7	+14	1.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	639	581	136	23	3	15	50	136	3	12	6	234	298	361	660	127	279	21	8	297	87	-10	+0	+0	+7	+14	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	633	575	135	23	3	15	50	136	3	12	6	235	299	363	663	129	279	21	8	297	87	-10	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	ATL	58%	621	563	132	22	3	15	50	134	3	11	6	234	300	364	664	130	279	22	8	295	86	-11	-0	-1	+7	+13	0.8
2037	30	MLB MLE	ATL	60%	610	553	127	21	2	14	49	134	3	10	5	230	296	351	647	121	278	22	8	292	84	-12	+0	-2	+7	+13	0.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	ATL	62%	595	539	122	20	2	13	48	132	3	9	5	226	293	343	636	117	276	22	8	288	81	-13	-0	-3	+6	+13	0.3
2039	32	MLB MLE	ATL	63%	577	523	117	19	2	12	46	130	3	8	4	224	290	337	627	113	273	23	8	283	78	-15	+0	-4	+6	+13	-0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	158	146	32	5	1	2	11	36	0	4	2	219	274	308	582	89	274	23	7	264	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	241	221	49	8	1	4	17	54	1	5	3	222	280	321	602	100	276	22	7	276	75	-7	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	292	267	61	10	1	6	22	64	1	6	3	228	290	341	630	112	278	22	8	283	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	329	299	69	12	1	7	25	71	2	7	3	231	294	348	642	117	279	22	8	288	84	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	354	322	76	13	2	8	27	76	2	7	4	236	299	363	662	127	280	21	8	291	86	-6	-0	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	361	328	78	13	2	9	28	77	2	7	4	238	302	372	674	134	280	21	8	293	87	-6	-0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	363	330	78	13	2	9	28	77	2	7	4	236	300	370	670	133	280	21	8	293	87	-5	-0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	354	321	77	13	2	9	28	75	2	7	3	240	305	377	682	137	279	21	8	294	87	-5	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	347	314	73	12	1	8	28	74	2	6	3	232	299	354	653	121	279	21	8	293	87	-5	+0	-0	+4	+8	0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	ATL	58%	361	327	76	13	1	8	29	78	2	6	3	232	299	352	651	119	279	22	8	291	86	-6	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	ATL	60%	368	333	76	13	1	8	30	81	2	6	3	228	296	345	641	117	278	22	8	289	84	-7	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	ATL	62%	367	333	76	13	1	8	29	82	2	6	3	228	294	345	639	117	276	22	8	285	81	-8	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	ATL	63%	362	328	74	12	1	8	29	82	2	5	3	226	292	341	634	116	273	23	8	280	78	-10	-0	-2	+4	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4257	3869	895	150	17	94	331	927	22	79	41	231	296	352	647	120	279	22	8	287	80	-85	-1	-6	+46	+92	4.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	137	23	3	14	51	142	3	12	6	232	297	352	649	120	280	22	8	287	80	-13	-0	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	8180	7452	1707	284	34	171	627	1788	37	170	87	229	292	345	637	116	278	22	8	286	80	-158	+0	-10	+82	+166	8.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	137	23	3	14	50	142	3	14	7	231	295	351	646	120	280	22	8	286	80	-13	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.9	4,578	97	88	232	291	350	+49	+24	7.4	6.5
/162	664	14	13	+7.1	+3.5	1.1	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Mateo (OGILVIE)	19	45	20	50	35	207/259/277	70	269	3	12	24%	6%	52	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Reyes 2018 · A	19	45	36→45	55	44	211/255/282	71	259	2	13	19%	5%	51	-2.2	226/279/325	99	265	7	15	17%	6%	70	-0.8	248/303/371	123	270	10	25	12%	7%	87	+0.2
✕James Beresford 2008 · A	19	47→57	34→30	49→45	43	221/267/269	48	287	2	10	23%	6%	53	-2.1	236/282/277	41	301	1	7	20%	6%	60	-1.6	277/309/325	48	326	1	6	15%	4%	78	-0.2
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	55	-1.9	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	72	-0.7	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Rey Fuentes 2010 · A	19	46→56	37→40	48→60	39	218/256/291	74	280	4	11	24%	4%	54	-2.0	220/265/294	74	308	4	25	28%	5%	58	-1.7	275/323/366	91	351	7	33	22%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Ayendy Perez 2013 · A	19	46	35→30	49→60	48	211/290/270	59	283	1	12	24%	8%	63	-1.4	229/292/289	60	291	1	24	20%	7%	67	-1.1	241/299/295	54	302	0	33	19%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Jorge Ruiz 2023 · A	19	51	35→40	51→50	45	235/287/302	67	278	2	13	16%	5%	68	-1.0	227/279/300	73	291	4	12	22%	5%	65	-1.2	221/275/290	68	289	3	13	23%	5%	59	-1.3
✕Peterson Plaz 2018 · A	19	49	33→30	45→50	48	228/279/268	40	271	2	12	16%	6%	57	-1.8	231/284/288	57	282	3	9	18%	6%	63	-1.3	262/308/283	21	302	0	7	12%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Mikey Edie 2016 · A	19	48	35→30	49→50	42	224/295/281	56	296	3	13	24%	5%	68	-1.0	212/267/270	58	314	2	15	31%	4%	54	-2.0	183/233/236	53	275	2	10	32%	3%	30	-1.5
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Carlos Sepulveda 2016 · A	19	47→45	34→30	49→45	44	220/270/267	47	282	2	8	22%	6%	53	-2.1	238/284/291	53	296	2	5	19%	6%	64	-1.3	231/285/269	38	294	0	7	20%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Livan Soto 2019 · A	19	45→55	34→40	47→50	49	208/273/256	49	257	1	10	19%	8%	53	-2.1	191/249/251	60	250	4	9	23%	7%	42	-2.9	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	233/282/341	108	299	5	13	23%	6%	75	-0.5	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Andy Pineda 2016 · A	19	48	34→30	51→55	48	222/297/277	55	296	2	20	24%	8%	67	-1.1	220/275/285	65	292	3	18	24%	6%	60	-1.6	196/229/220	24	256	0	28	22%	3%	24	-1.1
✕Drew Cumberland 2008 · A	19	48	36→45	52→55	46	224/280/288	65	272	3	11	18%	6%	63	-1.4	250/302/333	83	296	5	18	16%	6%	81	-0.1	274/323/376	102	320	7	22	16%	6%	95	+0.5
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	209/268/279	70	271	5	6	24%	7%	56	-1.9	225/291/332	107	274	8	5	20%	8%	77	-0.3	252/305/321	69	287	2	0	12%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	53	-2.1	230/299/329	99	282	6	10	20%	6%	80	-0.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Hancer Vargas 2008 · A	19	46	33→30	46→50	44	217/264/255	38	274	2	11	21%	6%	48	-2.5	209/256/264	55	271	3	11	22%	5%	48	-2.5	198/239/231	32	242	0	15	17%	4%	32	-0.9
✕Juan Hernandez 2015 · A	19	48	34→30	49→55	48	224/282/268	44	273	2	13	18%	7%	59	-1.7	231/297/278	47	292	2	15	20%	8%	67	-1.1	239/311/278	39	297	2	17	18%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	56	-1.9	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	67	-1.1	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	73	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps