Juan Mateo — OGILVIE

Juan MateoSS Augusta GreenJackets

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 165 lbs A BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.0 · 2033

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .277 / .312

PA320

HR4

SB6

K%25

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

20→20

SPD

50→50

EYE

45↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.0peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.7	$25M	+$24M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.9	$28M	+$27M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.0	$30M	+$29M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+3.0	$30M	+$24M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+2.9	$30M	+$21M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+2.6	$28M	+$15M
Totals		$32M		$171M	+$139M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Braves	165	152	28	5	0	1	13	22	0	9	6	.184	.248	.237	.485	.053	.209	13	8	.225	30	-13	-1	+0	+2	+5	-0.7
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	345	320	65	9	0	0	21	97	1	14	8	.203	.254	.231	.486	.028	.288	28	6	.221	27	-28	-0	+0	+4	+10	-1.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	29	28	9	1	0	0	1	9	0	1	1	.321	.345	.357	.702	.036	.474	31	3	.298	86	-0	-0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
ROS	19	MLB	ATL	291	267	58	11	1	4	20	74	2	5	2	.217	.277	.311	.588	.094	.285	25	7	.268	63	-12	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
TOT	19	MLB	ATL	320	295	67	12	1	4	21	83	2	6	3	.227	.283	.315	.598	.088	.301	26	7	.271	66	-12	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	ATL	406	368	84	16	2	7	31	100	4	9	3	.228	.295	.340	.635	.111	.292	25	8	.286	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.6
2028	21	MLB 28%	ATL	492	443	103	19	2	10	41	117	5	11	3	.233	.305	.352	.657	.120	.292	24	8	.297	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.3
2029	22	MLB 48%	ATL	551	492	118	22	3	13	48	127	6	12	3	.240	.315	.376	.691	.136	.293	23	9	.307	93	-4	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.9
2030	23	MLB 65%	ATL	591	527	128	24	3	15	53	133	6	13	3	.243	.319	.385	.704	.142	.293	23	9	.313	98	-2	+1	+0	+6	+17	2.3
2031	24	MLB 82%	ATL	617	549	134	25	3	16	57	137	6	13	3	.244	.322	.388	.710	.144	.293	22	9	.317	101	+1	+1	+0	+7	+17	2.7
2032	25	MLB	ATL	631	560	137	25	3	17	60	139	6	13	3	.245	.324	.391	.715	.146	.294	22	10	.320	103	+2	+1	+0	+7	+18	2.9
2033	26	MLB	ATL	637	563	138	25	3	17	62	140	7	13	3	.245	.328	.391	.718	.146	.295	22	10	.322	104	+3	+1	+0	+7	+18	3.0
2034	27	MLB	ATL	637	563	137	25	3	17	62	141	7	12	3	.243	.326	.389	.715	.146	.295	22	10	.322	105	+3	+1	+0	+7	+18	3.0
2035	28	MLB	ATL	631	558	136	25	3	17	62	141	6	11	2	.244	.326	.391	.717	.147	.294	22	10	.321	104	+3	+1	-1	+7	+18	2.9
2036	29	MLB	ATL	621	548	132	24	3	16	62	140	6	11	2	.241	.325	.383	.708	.142	.293	23	10	.319	102	+1	+1	-1	+7	+18	2.6
2037	30	MLB	ATL	610	538	130	24	3	16	61	140	6	10	1	.242	.326	.387	.712	.145	.292	23	10	.316	100	-0	+2	-2	+7	+17	2.4
2038	31	MLB	ATL	596	526	124	23	2	15	59	139	6	9	1	.236	.320	.373	.692	.137	.291	23	10	.312	97	-2	+1	-3	+6	+17	2.0
2039	32	MLB	ATL	577	509	118	21	2	14	57	138	6	8	0	.232	.316	.363	.680	.132	.289	24	10	.307	93	-4	+2	-4	+6	+16	1.7
2040	33	MLB	ATL	548	484	110	20	2	12	54	135	5	7	0	.227	.311	.351	.662	.124	.288	25	10	.302	89	-7	+1	-4	+6	+16	1.2
2041	34	MLB	ATL	500	443	100	18	2	11	49	127	4	7	0	.226	.308	.350	.658	.124	.286	25	10	.295	84	-9	+1	-5	+5	+14	0.7
2042	35	MLB	ATL	444	394	86	15	2	9	43	117	4	6	0	.218	.302	.335	.637	.117	.284	26	10	.288	78	-11	+1	-6	+5	+13	0.2
2043	36	MLB	ATL	383	340	71	12	1	7	37	105	3	6	0	.209	.292	.312	.604	.103	.281	27	10	.279	72	-12	+1	-6	+4	+11	-0.3
2044	37	MLB	ATL	317	281	58	10	1	5	30	90	3	5	0	.206	.290	.302	.592	.096	.277	28	9	.269	64	-13	+1	-7	+3	+9	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10590	9425	2195	398	44	239	982	2499	99	204	46	.233	.312	.361	.672	.128	.290	24	9	.303	90	-123	+22	-38	+113	+300	28.0
/ 162G	—			650	578	135	24	3	15	60	153	6	13	3	.234	.312	.363	.675	.130	.291	24	9	.303	90	-8	+1	-2	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Braves	165	144	36	7	1	1	21	16	0	9	6	.250	.345	.333	.679	.083	.276	10	13	.314	98	-0	-1	—	—	+5	0.4
2025	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	135	119	28	4	0	0	12	32	0	4	1	.235	.303	.269	.572	.034	.311	24	9	.261	58	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	FCL Braves	210	188	52	8	0	0	21	34	1	10	7	.277	.352	.319	.672	.043	.338	16	10	.312	97	-1	-1	—	—	+6	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Mateo (OGILVIE)	19	45	20	50	35	.217/.277/.312	.095	.285	4	6	25%	7%	63	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	.209/.268/.279	.070	.271	5	6	24%	7%	50	-1.7	.224/.289/.327	.103	.275	7	5	20%	8%	72	-0.2	.253/.306/.321	.068	.288	2	0	12%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Freizer Pedron 2006 · A	19	44	39→40	46→55	39	.209/.263/.293	.084	.303	7	12	32%	6%	52	-1.6	.221/.282/.295	.074	.295	3	15	24%	6%	61	-1.0	.240/.304/.313	.072	.307	1	23	20%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	.199/.262/.281	.083	.258	5	7	24%	6%	50	-1.8	.211/.287/.284	.073	.267	5	9	21%	9%	61	-1.0	.221/.317/.274	.053	.274	5	10	19%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→40	54→50	43	.224/.276/.310	.086	.292	6	13	24%	6%	62	-0.9	.246/.290/.340	.094	.299	7	12	19%	6%	75	-0.0	.269/.318/.358	.090	.312	5	8	15%	6%	90	+0.9
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43	38→30	52→60	41	.205/.262/.288	.083	.287	4	12	29%	6%	50	-1.7	.223/.282/.290	.067	.291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	.224/.333/.269	.045	.305	1	34	23%	14%	74	-0.0
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	47	39→45	51→50	42	.223/.278/.315	.092	.300	5	13	26%	6%	64	-0.8	.211/.257/.296	.085	.311	4	11	32%	5%	50	-1.8	.178/.220/.246	.068	.283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Rey Fuentes 2010 · A	19	46→56	37→40	48→60	39	.217/.257/.292	.075	.281	4	11	24%	4%	49	-1.8	.215/.259/.289	.074	.300	4	25	28%	5%	49	-1.8	.270/.319/.363	.092	.348	8	33	23%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Sergio Burruel 2010 · A	19	45	37→30	46→30	43	.214/.266/.288	.075	.286	4	6	26%	6%	52	-1.6	.205/.273/.267	.062	.297	3	4	29%	8%	50	-1.8	.244/.307/.320	.075	.298	8	1	19%	7%	75	+0.0
●Justin Crawford 2023 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	41	.213/.274/.288	.076	.314	5	17	32%	7%	56	-1.3	.272/.317/.374	.102	.360	6	33	25%	6%	95	+1.4	.294/.339/.402	.108	.380	7	41	23%	6%	107	+1.7
✕Drew Cumberland 2008 · A	19	48	36→45	52→55	46	.223/.279/.290	.067	.273	3	11	19%	6%	58	-1.2	.248/.301/.329	.081	.292	4	17	16%	6%	77	+0.1	.274/.325/.377	.102	.318	7	22	15%	6%	96	+0.7
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	46	38→45	49→50	43	.205/.282/.285	.080	.335	4	11	37%	9%	59	-1.1	.215/.299/.323	.108	.322	9	16	33%	9%	76	+0.1	.219/.297/.335	.116	.314	10	18	31%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Mikey Edie 2016 · A	19	48	35→30	49→50	42	.225/.296/.283	.058	.295	3	13	23%	5%	65	-0.7	.211/.267/.268	.057	.312	2	15	31%	4%	47	-1.9	.179/.227/.230	.052	.265	2	10	32%	3%	16	-1.6
●Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	38→48	38→45	49→55	44	.184/.247/.265	.081	.244	5	12	26%	7%	39	-2.5	.230/.280/.335	.105	.294	5	13	22%	6%	70	-0.3	.255/.310/.365	.110	.340	6	19	25%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→55	40	50→40	46	.221/.288/.315	.094	.293	7	7	26%	8%	69	-0.4	.238/.304/.326	.088	.303	7	5	22%	8%	79	+0.3	.246/.316/.311	.065	.316	4	2	22%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	43	39→40	49→50	44	.204/.268/.293	.089	.282	5	8	28%	7%	54	-1.4	.184/.239/.257	.073	.271	4	6	32%	6%	33	-2.9	.149/.204/.202	.052	.220	3	3	32%	5%	1	-1.4
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	49→58	37→45	50	48	.231/.293/.308	.076	.300	4	13	23%	8%	69	-0.4	.243/.308/.337	.094	.291	8	13	18%	8%	82	+0.5	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	45	43	.210/.282/.319	.109	.281	7	6	27%	6%	68	-0.5	.197/.255/.304	.107	.262	9	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	.132/.175/.242	.109	.157	14	3	27%	3%	1	-1.4
●Brice Turang 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→60	48	.216/.286/.284	.068	.296	4	14	27%	9%	59	-1.1	.213/.287/.280	.067	.286	4	16	24%	9%	59	-1.1	.273/.346/.393	.120	.333	12	35	20%	10%	107	+1.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)