Edward Florentino
OF Greensboro Grasshoppers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Pirates G… | 190 | .260/.432/.459 | 5 | 8 | 60 | — | .153/.300/.261 |
| 2025 | 18 | A/ROKPIT | 351 | .290/.405/.548 | 16 | 35 | 94 | — | .215/.303/.410 |
| 2026 | 19 | A+/APIT | 475 | .235/.370/.509 | 27 | 11 | 87 | — | .187/.281/.408 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBPIT | 9 | .206/.296/.405 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ45% MLB | 21 | MLBPIT | 197 | .212/.303/.418 | 9 | 6 | 106 | 0.5 | |
| 2029PROJ62% MLB | 22 | MLBPIT | 299 | .217/.308/.427 | 13 | 9 | 110 | 0.9 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 190 | 146 | 38 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 36 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 260 | 432 | 459 | 890 | 199 | 314 | 19 | 20 | 402 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 238 | 195 | 51 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 56 | 6 | 29 | 5 | 262 | 385 | 503 | 887 | 241 | 311 | 24 | 14 | 386 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 113 | 95 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 347 | 446 | 642 | 1.089 | 295 | 397 | 19 | 14 | 465 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 435 | 359 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 24 | 65 | 115 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 228 | 357 | 490 | 848 | 262 | 259 | 26 | 15 | 370 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 40 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 321 | 513 | 750 | 1.263 | 429 | 316 | 18 | 28 | 512 | 179 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 190 | 157 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 44 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 153 | 300 | 261 | 561 | 108 | 185 | 23 | 14 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 238 | 205 | 42 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 76 | 6 | 29 | 5 | 205 | 303 | 395 | 699 | 190 | 263 | 32 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 113 | 102 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 235 | 304 | 441 | 745 | 206 | 286 | 28 | 8 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 435 | 384 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 21 | 40 | 151 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 177 | 267 | 383 | 650 | 206 | 214 | 35 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 40 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 290 | 436 | 677 | 1.113 | 387 | 278 | 25 | 20 | 433 | 179 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 190 | 157 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 44 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 153 | 300 | 261 | 561 | 108 | 191 | 23 | 14 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 190 | 146 | 38 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 36 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 260 | 432 | 459 | 890 | 199 | 314 | 19 | 20 | 402 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 351 | 307 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 108 | 7 | 35 | 6 | 215 | 303 | 401 | 704 | 186 | 279 | 31 | 9 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 351 | 290 | 84 | 23 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 78 | 7 | 35 | 6 | 290 | 405 | 548 | 953 | 259 | 340 | 22 | 14 | 411 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 475 | 415 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 24 | 48 | 160 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 186 | 281 | 405 | 686 | 219 | 225 | 34 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 475 | 387 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 27 | 76 | 122 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 235 | 370 | 509 | 879 | 274 | 263 | 26 | 16 | 382 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 190 | 155 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 44 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 155 | 300 | 265 | 565 | 110 | 185 | 23 | 14 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 351 | 309 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 108 | 7 | 35 | 6 | 214 | 303 | 398 | 702 | 184 | 270 | 31 | 9 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 475 | 417 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 24 | 48 | 160 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 185 | 281 | 403 | 684 | 218 | 219 | 34 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 190 | 155 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 44 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 155 | 300 | 265 | 565 | 110 | 185 | 23 | 14 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 351 | 309 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 108 | 7 | 35 | 6 | 214 | 303 | 398 | 702 | 184 | 270 | 31 | 9 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 475 | 417 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 24 | 48 | 160 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 185 | 281 | 403 | 684 | 218 | 219 | 34 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | PIT | 4% | 585 | 514 | 108 | 22 | 3 | 27 | 58 | 177 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 208 | 298 | 418 | 716 | 210 | 255 | 30 | 10 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +13 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB CTX | PIT | 4% | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 296 | 405 | 702 | 200 | 255 | 33 | 11 | 311 | 100 | +0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | PIT | 45% | 437 | 384 | 83 | 17 | 2 | 21 | 44 | 127 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 215 | 305 | 431 | 737 | 217 | 258 | 29 | 10 | 325 | 106 | +3 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | PIT | 62% | 485 | 426 | 94 | 19 | 2 | 24 | 49 | 137 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 220 | 311 | 441 | 751 | 221 | 260 | 28 | 10 | 330 | 110 | +6 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | PIT | 68% | 538 | 471 | 105 | 21 | 3 | 26 | 55 | 148 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 223 | 314 | 446 | 760 | 223 | 262 | 28 | 10 | 334 | 112 | +8 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +12 | 1.7 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | PIT | 70% | 578 | 506 | 115 | 23 | 3 | 28 | 59 | 157 | 8 | 17 | 7 | 226 | 316 | 449 | 765 | 223 | 265 | 27 | 10 | 336 | 114 | +9 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | PIT | 70% | 590 | 517 | 118 | 23 | 3 | 29 | 60 | 158 | 8 | 18 | 7 | 228 | 317 | 449 | 767 | 221 | 266 | 27 | 10 | 337 | 114 | +10 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | PIT | 71% | 599 | 525 | 120 | 24 | 3 | 29 | 61 | 161 | 8 | 18 | 7 | 228 | 317 | 449 | 766 | 221 | 266 | 27 | 10 | 337 | 114 | +10 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +13 | 2.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | PIT | 69% | 596 | 522 | 120 | 24 | 3 | 29 | 61 | 161 | 8 | 17 | 7 | 226 | 316 | 446 | 762 | 220 | 265 | 27 | 10 | 335 | 113 | +9 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | PIT | 69% | 585 | 512 | 116 | 23 | 3 | 28 | 60 | 159 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 225 | 314 | 441 | 756 | 217 | 264 | 27 | 10 | 333 | 111 | +8 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | PIT | 67% | 568 | 498 | 110 | 22 | 2 | 26 | 58 | 156 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 222 | 312 | 435 | 746 | 213 | 263 | 27 | 10 | 329 | 109 | +6 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 66% | 552 | 484 | 106 | 21 | 2 | 25 | 56 | 153 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 219 | 308 | 427 | 734 | 208 | 260 | 28 | 10 | 324 | 106 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | PIT | 65% | 534 | 470 | 101 | 20 | 2 | 24 | 53 | 150 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 215 | 303 | 416 | 719 | 202 | 257 | 28 | 10 | 318 | 102 | +1 | -1 | -3 | -3 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | PIT | 65% | 511 | 450 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 22 | 50 | 146 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 209 | 297 | 403 | 700 | 194 | 253 | 29 | 10 | 310 | 96 | -2 | -1 | -3 | -3 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB MLE | PIT | 65% | 476 | 422 | 85 | 16 | 1 | 20 | 46 | 139 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 289 | 387 | 676 | 184 | 247 | 29 | 10 | 301 | 90 | -6 | -1 | -4 | -3 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | PIT | 45% | 197 | 172 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 212 | 303 | 418 | 721 | 206 | 258 | 29 | 10 | 319 | 106 | +1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | PIT | 62% | 299 | 263 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 84 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 217 | 308 | 427 | 735 | 210 | 260 | 28 | 10 | 325 | 110 | +3 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | PIT | 68% | 368 | 323 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 37 | 101 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 221 | 311 | 433 | 744 | 212 | 263 | 27 | 10 | 328 | 112 | +5 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +8 | 1.2 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | PIT | 70% | 403 | 353 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 109 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 223 | 314 | 436 | 750 | 212 | 265 | 27 | 10 | 330 | 114 | +7 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | PIT | 70% | 415 | 364 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 111 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 225 | 315 | 436 | 751 | 211 | 267 | 27 | 10 | 331 | 114 | +7 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | PIT | 71% | 423 | 371 | 83 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 113 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 225 | 315 | 436 | 750 | 211 | 267 | 27 | 10 | 331 | 114 | +7 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | PIT | 69% | 413 | 363 | 81 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 111 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 224 | 314 | 433 | 747 | 209 | 266 | 27 | 10 | 329 | 113 | +6 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | PIT | 69% | 402 | 353 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 109 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 222 | 312 | 428 | 740 | 206 | 265 | 27 | 10 | 327 | 111 | +5 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | PIT | 67% | 380 | 333 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 104 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 219 | 309 | 422 | 731 | 203 | 263 | 27 | 10 | 323 | 109 | +4 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 66% | 363 | 319 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 101 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 216 | 306 | 414 | 720 | 198 | 261 | 28 | 10 | 319 | 106 | +2 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | PIT | 65% | 348 | 306 | 65 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 35 | 98 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 212 | 301 | 404 | 705 | 192 | 258 | 28 | 10 | 313 | 102 | +1 | -0 | -2 | -2 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | PIT | 65% | 331 | 291 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 95 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 207 | 295 | 391 | 686 | 185 | 253 | 29 | 10 | 305 | 96 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -2 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB CTX | PIT | 65% | 307 | 271 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 90 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 287 | 376 | 663 | 176 | 247 | 29 | 10 | 296 | 90 | -4 | -0 | -3 | -2 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4649 | 4082 | 889 | 185 | 20 | 201 | 470 | 1283 | 60 | 101 | 45 | 218 | 308 | 421 | 728 | 203 | 262 | 28 | 10 | 322 | 105 | +44 | +2 | -10 | -28 | +101 | 11.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 571 | 125 | 26 | 3 | 28 | 66 | 179 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 219 | 309 | 422 | 731 | 203 | 264 | 28 | 10 | 322 | 105 | +6 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8275 | 7250 | 1573 | 316 | 36 | 381 | 840 | 2328 | 114 | 213 | 89 | 217 | 308 | 428 | 736 | 211 | 260 | 28 | 10 | 323 | 105 | +65 | +3 | -16 | -44 | +157 | 17.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 569 | 124 | 25 | 3 | 30 | 66 | 183 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 218 | 309 | 431 | 740 | 213 | 261 | 28 | 10 | 323 | 105 | +6 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 435 PAwOBA .364 → .285 (−79)K% 26.4% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 9.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 13.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 5.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 9.02% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .364 → .285; ISO .262 → .227; BABIP .259 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ABradenton Marauders · 40 PAwOBA .512 → .433 (−79)K% 17.5% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 27.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 19.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 13.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 12.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 11.77% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .512 → .433; ISO .429 → .385; BABIP .316 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ABradenton Marauders · 238 PAwOBA .381 → .301 (−79)K% 23.5% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.87% | ÷1.052 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 9.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.27% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 15.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.23% | ÷1.084 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 9.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.19% | ÷0.932 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 6.45% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .381 → .301; ISO .241 → .197; BABIP .311 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Pirates · 113 PAwOBA .454 → .321 (−134)K% 19.5% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.47% | ÷1.006 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.27% | ÷0.998 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.03% | ÷1.022 | ×0.820 | ×0.953 | ×1.008 | 20.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.22% | ÷1.119 | ×0.720 | ×0.953 | ×1.008 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.74% | ÷0.950 | ×0.720 | ×0.953 | ×1.008 | 1.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 6.46% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 124, 3B 90, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .454 → .321; ISO .295 → .214; BABIP .397 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 190 PAwOBA .391 → .257 (−134)K% 18.9% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.95% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.47% | ÷0.971 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 14.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.16% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.09% | ÷1.024 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 12.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.084 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 4.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.989 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.847 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 2.54% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 105, 2B 117, 3B 98, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .391 → .257; ISO .199 → .115; BABIP .314 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).