Heudy Pena — OGILVIE

Heudy PenaSS DSL LAD Bautista

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 156 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .269 / .262

PA62

HR0

K%31

BB%9

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	129	103	25	5	0	0	25	30	0	6	1	243	391	291	682	49	342	23	19	325	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	111	92	9	2	0	1	16	38	1	6	1	98	239	152	391	54	151	34	14	198	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	129	111	17	3	0	0	17	37	0	6	1	153	266	180	446	27	236	29	13	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	111	97	5	1	0	0	11	46	1	6	1	52	156	62	218	10	90	41	10	122	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	129	111	17	3	0	0	17	37	0	6	1	153	266	180	446	27	230	29	13	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	129	103	25	5	0	0	25	30	0	6	1	243	391	291	682	49	342	23	19	325	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	111	97	5	1	0	0	11	46	1	6	1	52	156	62	218	10	98	41	10	122	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	111	92	9	2	0	1	16	38	1	6	1	98	239	152	391	54	151	34	14	198	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	129	111	17	3	0	0	17	37	0	6	1	153	266	180	446	27	236	29	13	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	111	98	5	1	0	0	11	46	1	6	1	51	156	61	217	10	90	41	10	122	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	129	111	17	3	0	0	17	37	0	6	1	153	266	180	446	27	236	29	13	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	111	98	5	1	0	0	11	46	1	6	1	51	156	61	217	10	90	41	10	122	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	221	199	38	7	1	1	19	68	1	5	1	196	271	265	536	69	286	31	9	248	54	-12	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	119	107	22	4	1	1	10	36	1	3	1	201	277	281	558	80	287	30	8	257	60	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	264	237	48	8	2	3	23	79	2	7	2	205	281	296	577	90	289	30	9	264	65	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	LAD	54%	368	330	70	12	2	6	32	108	3	9	2	210	285	308	594	99	290	29	9	271	69	-13	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	439	394	83	14	2	7	38	127	4	11	3	213	289	319	608	106	291	29	9	276	73	-14	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	481	432	93	16	3	9	42	138	4	12	3	216	291	327	619	112	291	29	9	280	76	-14	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	506	453	99	17	3	10	44	145	4	13	3	216	292	330	622	114	291	29	9	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	517	463	100	17	3	10	45	149	4	13	3	215	291	328	619	113	291	29	9	280	76	-15	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	520	466	100	17	3	10	45	151	4	12	3	213	289	323	612	110	290	29	9	278	74	-16	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	LAD	58%	515	461	98	17	3	9	45	151	4	12	3	211	286	318	604	106	289	29	9	274	72	-17	+1	-1	+6	+11	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	41	37	6	1	0	0	4	12	0	1	0	197	273	275	548	78	281	29	10	253	60	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	128	115	24	4	1	2	11	38	1	3	1	202	278	290	568	88	282	30	9	260	65	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	LAD	54%	200	179	37	6	1	3	17	59	2	5	1	206	282	303	584	97	283	30	8	267	69	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	243	218	46	8	1	4	21	70	2	6	1	209	285	314	599	104	285	29	9	272	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	269	242	50	8	1	5	23	77	2	7	2	212	288	322	610	110	285	29	9	277	76	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	285	256	54	9	1	6	25	82	2	7	2	213	288	325	614	113	285	29	9	278	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	286	257	54	9	1	6	25	82	2	7	2	212	287	323	610	111	284	29	9	277	76	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	285	256	53	9	1	5	25	83	2	7	2	210	285	319	604	109	284	29	9	274	74	-9	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	LAD	58%	299	269	55	9	1	5	26	87	2	7	2	208	283	313	595	105	282	29	9	271	72	-10	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2036	1829	379	63	8	36	177	590	15	50	13	207	283	309	592	102	283	29	9	273	69	-65	+5	-1	+22	+44	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	121	20	3	11	57	188	5	16	4	207	284	308	592	101	284	29	9	273	69	-21	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4031	3608	745	128	22	65	357	1186	31	105	25	206	284	308	592	102	286	29	9	269	69	-124	+9	-2	+41	+82	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	120	21	4	10	58	191	5	17	4	206	284	308	591	101	286	29	9	269	69	-21	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.2	2,098	36	51	213	285	320	+22	+18	1.8	1.8
/162	664	11	16	+7.1	+5.7	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Heudy Pena (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	194/269/262	68	286	0	1	31%	9%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→46	36→45	51→55	38	195/248/268	73	295	3	10	33%	6%	46	-2.6	200/255/265	65	287	3	13	29%	6%	48	-2.5	237/293/355	117	331	8	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jason Denham 2006 · A	20	40→45	35→40	52→55	42	185/249/240	55	292	2	8	35%	8%	40	-3.0	208/270/279	71	290	5	15	28%	8%	57	-1.8	220/282/295	75	288	8	21	25%	8%	64	-0.8
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	40	36→40	45→50	46	190/261/259	69	270	4	9	29%	8%	50	-2.3	191/256/256	65	306	3	10	35%	7%	47	-2.6	156/231/187	31	268	0	14	38%	8%	19	-1.5
✕Manuel Pena 2024 · A	20	43→50	39→50	47→50	39	203/254/293	90	301	6	10	33%	6%	54	-2.0	227/266/337	110	316	10	7	30%	5%	69	-0.9	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Brian Sanchez 2024 · A	20	43→42	36→50	50→55	50	202/282/280	78	270	2	12	24%	9%	62	-1.4	211/280/327	116	302	8	17	30%	8%	72	-0.7	209/280/344	135	298	11	18	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Diomedes Del Rio 2018 · A	20	38	35→55	51→50	45	179/249/238	60	241	2	9	25%	7%	40	-3.0	203/266/309	106	286	5	9	28%	7%	62	-1.4	197/266/356	159	277	6	11	29%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Alexey Lumpuy 2024 · A	20	40→49	36→45	49→60	38	187/255/259	73	281	2	8	32%	6%	48	-2.5	177/255/281	104	291	8	22	39%	7%	53	-2.1	174/251/280	105	304	9	31	42%	7%	48	-1.5
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→49	35→40	48→60	44	184/266/243	59	279	2	9	32%	8%	49	-2.4	191/294/274	83	293	6	15	33%	11%	68	-1.0	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→45	36→50	43→45	48	168/257/234	66	242	4	7	30%	9%	44	-2.8	190/257/296	106	277	8	5	32%	7%	57	-1.8	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Esteban González 2023 · A	20	44→45	36→45	45→55	43	204/277/273	69	286	3	10	28%	7%	59	-1.6	212/274/323	111	302	8	23	31%	6%	69	-0.9	211/269/335	124	294	10	28	30%	5%	68	-0.6
✕Luis Valenzuela 2014 · A	20	40	37→45	53→45	47	191/248/264	73	236	4	9	20%	7%	45	-2.7	228/257/313	85	294	5	8	23%	4%	59	-1.7	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps