Alexey Lumpuy — OGILVIE

Alexey LumpuyCF Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 22 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION466 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP327

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	83	18	2	4	0	7	26	6	3	2	217	323	337	660	120	305	27	7	298	88	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	20	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	148	38	5	12	4	26	42	9	20	8	257	399	534	933	277	330	23	14	401	158	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	382	80	14	6	11	34	154	12	30	9	209	294	364	658	154	318	36	8	297	87	-7	+2	—	—	+9	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	86	12	1	2	0	4	37	6	3	2	140	229	198	427	58	231	38	4	200	22	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	157	26	3	8	3	17	62	9	20	8	166	284	344	628	178	241	34	9	272	70	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	397	55	9	3	8	19	229	12	30	9	139	201	237	438	98	288	53	4	195	18	-42	+2	—	—	+9	-3.1
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	86	12	1	2	0	4	37	6	3	2	140	229	198	427	58	235	38	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	83	18	2	4	0	7	26	6	3	2	217	323	337	660	120	305	27	7	298	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	157	26	3	8	3	17	62	9	20	8	166	284	344	628	178	247	34	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	148	38	5	12	4	26	42	9	20	8	257	399	534	933	277	330	23	14	401	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	397	55	9	3	8	19	229	12	30	9	139	201	237	438	98	294	53	4	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	382	80	14	6	11	34	154	12	30	9	209	294	364	658	154	318	36	8	297	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	88	12	1	2	0	4	37	6	3	2	136	229	193	422	57	231	38	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	157	26	3	8	3	17	62	9	20	8	166	284	344	628	178	241	34	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	395	55	9	3	8	19	229	12	30	9	139	201	238	439	99	288	53	4	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	88	12	1	2	0	4	37	6	3	2	136	229	193	422	57	231	38	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	157	26	3	8	3	17	62	9	20	8	166	284	344	628	178	241	34	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	395	55	9	3	8	19	229	12	30	9	139	201	238	439	99	288	53	4	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A MLE	CHC	—	466	420	90	12	3	8	35	194	10	53	11	214	290	314	605	100	374	42	8	265	65	-19	+6	+0	+2	+10	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	CHC	—	366	310	80	10	2	7	46	107	9	40	9	258	370	371	741	113	371	29	13	340	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ RAW	CHC	—	100	91	31	6	2	3	8	31	1	13	2	341	400	549	949	209	491	31	8	416	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A MLE	CHC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		323	44	11	254	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A MLE	CHC	—	475	428	91	12	3	8	36	198	10	54	11	213	289	311	600	98	372	42	8	265	65	-20	+6	+0	+2	+10	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	487	440	85	12	4	9	34	194	10	23	5	193	267	300	567	107	318	40	7	261	63	-22	+3	+0	+2	+11	-0.7
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	46%	524	471	95	14	4	11	38	200	10	22	5	202	276	318	594	117	316	38	7	269	68	-20	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	544	489	100	15	4	12	40	202	10	21	5	204	278	325	603	121	315	37	7	274	72	-18	+2	+0	+2	+12	-0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	554	496	102	15	4	13	42	204	11	20	5	206	282	331	613	125	314	37	8	277	73	-18	+2	+0	+2	+12	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	556	497	102	15	4	13	43	205	11	19	4	205	283	330	613	125	314	37	8	277	73	-18	+2	+0	+2	+12	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	167	150	29	4	1	3	12	66	3	8	2	193	267	293	560	100	321	40	7	247	63	-7	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	46%	242	217	44	7	2	5	18	92	5	10	2	203	279	323	602	120	319	38	7	256	68	-9	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	281	253	52	8	2	6	21	105	5	11	3	206	280	324	604	119	318	37	7	261	72	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	300	268	56	8	3	7	23	110	6	11	2	209	286	340	626	131	317	37	8	263	73	-10	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	302	270	56	8	3	7	23	111	6	10	2	207	284	337	621	130	317	37	8	263	73	-10	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1292	1158	237	35	11	28	97	484	25	50	11	205	280	326	607	122	320	37	8	259	62	-45	+6	+0	+5	+28	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	120	18	6	14	49	243	13	25	6	206	283	329	612	123	321	37	8	259	62	-23	+3	+0	+2	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3386	3041	578	84	33	69	238	1337	79	159	43	190	267	307	574	117	308	39	7	260	62	-95	+12	+0	+10	+58	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	110	16	6	13	46	257	15	31	8	188	265	303	568	115	306	40	7	260	62	-23	+3	+0	+2	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.4	1,612	34	62	195	267	313	-7	+0	-2.6	-1.3
/162	664	14	26	-2.7	+0.0	-1.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexey Lumpuy (OGILVIE)	22	20	40	60	30	188/262/288	100	323	5	25	42%	7%	58	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Schnell 2022 · A	22	36→44	43→50	52→50	37	174/249/279	106	310	12	14	45%	8%	51	-2.3	186/247/301	115	332	13	8	44%	7%	54	-2.0	204/256/352	148	300	17	13	36%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	38→41	42→45	51→50	40	186/261/292	106	285	9	13	36%	7%	58	-1.7	207/280/332	125	310	12	12	35%	8%	74	-0.5	204/280/338	134	302	14	12	35%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Jeren Kendall 2019 · A	23	34→26	42→50	53→60	35	170/227/273	103	286	10	23	42%	7%	40	-3.0	172/243/312	140	311	16	22	46%	8%	56	-1.9	138/221/277	139	244	17	30	48%	9%	38	-1.6
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	194/259/307	113	262	9	19	28%	7%	58	-1.3
✕Willie Joe Garry Jr. 2022 · A	22	38	39→45	56→55	36	174/244/262	88	321	6	19	45%	8%	44	-2.8	179/247/284	105	317	7	22	42%	7%	50	-2.3	170/240/286	116	307	7	28	44%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	36→31	43→50	50	37	187/233/300	113	268	11	14	34%	5%	48	-2.5	188/238/287	99	315	9	13	41%	6%	47	-2.5	172/224/263	91	318	8	13	46%	6%	34	-1.1
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→40	44→50	55	35	194/253/305	111	300	12	14	38%	6%	57	-1.8	201/254/323	122	287	13	19	34%	5%	61	-1.5	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Tyler Miller 2023 · A	23	36→28	44→45	53→50	34	187/238/294	107	291	13	13	40%	5%	49	-2.4	195/239/300	105	274	11	11	32%	5%	50	-2.3	188/231/292	103	252	9	9	29%	5%	44	-1.6
✕Izzy Wilson 2019 · A	21	38→33	42→45	51→55	36	184/242/283	99	305	10	13	41%	7%	48	-2.5	190/256/299	109	320	12	18	41%	8%	57	-1.8	178/248/306	128	270	16	23	38%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→40	55→60	42	185/255/269	84	272	7	25	33%	8%	50	-2.3	206/277/304	98	273	9	30	26%	8%	65	-1.2	207/279/299	92	270	8	33	25%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	39→45	42→45	56→55	36	192/241/297	105	294	10	21	37%	6%	51	-2.3	209/255/309	100	326	9	20	37%	5%	59	-1.7	212/259/309	96	332	9	22	37%	5%	57	-0.9
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2019 · A	23	43	41→45	59→65	38	199/265/302	103	328	9	30	39%	7%	61	-1.5	189/252/286	97	313	10	26	40%	7%	53	-2.1	229/304/333	104	308	11	52	28%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→32	43→45	51→50	42	190/258/298	108	281	10	12	34%	8%	57	-1.8	205/269/314	109	303	11	12	34%	7%	65	-1.2	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	37	41→50	50	39	183/242/281	98	279	7	13	36%	7%	47	-2.5	183/249/280	97	308	9	14	40%	8%	51	-2.3	104/190/192	88	178	12	21	47%	9%	9	-1.5
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	37→47	40	47→60	36	184/239/270	86	284	8	13	36%	6%	44	-2.8	212/279/303	91	297	8	18	29%	7%	66	-1.1	236/299/323	88	323	7	32	27%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Gage Workman 2022 · A	22	41→49	45→50	54→55	36	193/252/324	131	325	11	18	42%	7%	61	-1.5	195/249/330	135	339	13	21	43%	6%	61	-1.5	216/274/367	152	334	15	22	38%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Grant Witherspoon 2019 · A	22	40→46	41→50	52→50	36	194/244/288	94	292	8	9	35%	5%	49	-2.4	199/249/307	108	281	11	12	32%	6%	56	-1.9	213/273/363	150	289	18	14	32%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	38	38→40	56→55	40	180/254/263	84	299	6	15	39%	8%	49	-2.4	194/254/275	81	302	5	8	35%	6%	50	-2.3	181/235/249	68	265	5	2	32%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Michael Crouse 2013 · A	22	36→39	45→50	52→55	37	180/248/303	123	297	13	19	42%	7%	55	-1.9	197/262/313	116	308	10	18	37%	7%	62	-1.4	195/263/321	126	297	12	19	36%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Duke Ellis 2022 · A	24	37→47	38→40	55→80	36	182/235/256	75	279	7	24	36%	6%	39	-3.1	211/272/295	84	323	7	43	34%	7%	62	-1.4	232/283/327	96	324	8	91	29%	6%	70	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps