Alexey Lumpuy

CF Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 23 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420ROKDSL Cubs Blue185.257/.399/.53442054—.147/.273/.295
202521ACHC429.209/.294/.364113023—.147/.213/.253
202622A+/ACHC466.277/.376/.411105370—.218/.299/.315
2027PROJMLE23MLBCHC576.168/.242/.26292543-0.9
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBCHC128.176/.249/.2792549-0.4
Next 2 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed97
wOBA92
wRC+92
ISO76
Z-Con%47
K%20
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsJeren Kendall (age 23) · Willie Joe Garry Jr. (age 23) · Deivis Nadal (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .240 / .260
PA210
HR3
SB9
K%40
BB%7
ISO94
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -14.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-14BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.90-0.9WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.9-0.42728
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202319 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 9883 18240 7266 32 217323337660 120305 277 298 15 — — — — — —
202420 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 185148 385124 26429 208 257399534933 277330 2314 401 54 — — — — — —
202521 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 429382 8014611 3415412 309 209294364658 154318 368 297 23 — — — — — —
202622 A+South Bend Cubs — 10091 31623 8311 132 341400549949 209491 318 416 101 — — — — — —
202622 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 366310 801027 461079 409 258370371741 113371 2913 340 61 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202319 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 9885 11120 5326 32 129229188417 59192 335 191 15 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 185156 23372 18539 208 147273295568 147195 2910 248 54 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 429395 581048 2121912 309 147213253466 106289 515 202 23 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 10093 25422 6391 132 269320419739 151439 396 317 101 — — — — — —
202622 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 366324 66825 321469 409 204293287580 83341 409 258 61 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 9885 11120 5326 32 129229188417 59200 335 191 15 — — — — — —
202319 ROK RAWDSL Cubs Blue — 9883 18240 7266 32 217323337660 120305 277 298 15 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 185156 23372 18539 208 147273295568 147206 2910 248 54 — — — — — —
202420 ROK RAWDSL Cubs Blue — 185148 385124 26429 208 257399534933 277330 2314 401 54 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 429395 581048 2121912 309 147213253466 106298 515 202 23 — — — — — —
202521 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 429382 8014611 3415412 309 209294364658 154318 368 297 23 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE2 teams — 466417 901237 3818510 5311 216297309606 94367 408 271 69 — — — — — —
202622 A RAW2 teams — 466401 11116410 5413810 5311 277376411788 135398 3012 357 69 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 9887 11120 5326 32 126229184413 57192 335 191 15 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 185156 23372 18539 208 147273295568 147195 2910 248 54 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 429393 581048 2121912 309 148213254467 107289 515 202 23 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE2 teams — 466415 901237 3818510 5311 217297311608 94362 408 271 69 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 185156 23372 18539 208 147273295568 147195 2910 248 54 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 429393 581048 2121912 309 148213254467 107289 515 202 23 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE2 teams — 466415 901237 3818510 5311 217297311608 94362 408 271 69 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLECHC 0% 576520 881449 4022911 256 168242262504 94273 407 232 43 -39 +3 +0 +2 +12 -0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLECHC 30% 425384 681138 301658 174 174248276524 102275 397 240 49 -26 +2 +0 +2 +9 -1.4
202824 MLB CTXCHC 30% 128116 20312 9502 51 176249279528 103279 397 242 49 -8 +1 +0 +0 +3 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 128116 20312 9502 51 172244267511 95277 397 242 46 -8 +1 +0 +0 +3 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 10115510 4625410 255 171243265508 93276 397 242 46 -40 +3 +0 +2 +14 -2.1
Career— MLE — 18131627 281422028 12673849 13236 173253275528 102291 417 236 46 -40 +3 +0 +2 +14 -2.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 10015710 4526518 4713 172252273525 101289 417 236 46 -41 +3 +0 +2 +14 -2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 366 PAwOBA .333 → .258 (−75)K% 29.2% → 39.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.23%÷1.000×1.360——39.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.57%÷1.000×0.690——8.67%
HBP% /PA2.46%—×0.780——1.92%
Singles /BIP30.05%÷1.000×0.920×1.021—28.22%
Doubles /BIP4.93%÷1.000×0.830×1.021—4.17%
Triples /BIP0.99%÷1.000×0.910×1.021—0.92%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷1.000×0.800——2.76%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .333 → .258; ISO .113 → .084; BABIP .371 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+South Bend Cubs · 100 PAwOBA .405 → .317 (−88)K% 31.0% → 39.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.00%÷1.000×1.270——39.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.00%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0125.75%
HBP% /PA1.00%—×0.790—×1.0120.80%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.000×0.920—×1.01231.03%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.810—×1.0128.20%
Triples /BIP3.33%÷1.000×0.850—×1.0122.87%
Home runs /BIP5.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0124.05%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .405 → .317; ISO .209 → .155; BABIP .491 → .439. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 429 PAwOBA .289 → .202 (−88)K% 35.9% → 51.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.90%÷0.956×1.360——51.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.93%÷1.106×0.690—×1.0155.02%
HBP% /PA2.80%—×0.780—×1.0152.21%
Singles /BIP21.49%÷0.990×0.920×0.997×1.01520.22%
Doubles /BIP6.14%÷0.968×0.830×0.997×1.0155.33%
Triples /BIP2.63%÷1.150×0.910×0.997×1.0152.11%
Home runs /BIP4.82%÷0.925×0.800—×1.0154.24%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 91, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .289 → .202; ISO .154 → .104; BABIP .318 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Cubs Blue · 185 PAwOBA .394 → .248 (−146)K% 22.7% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.70%÷0.976×1.220——28.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.05%÷0.968×0.700—×0.98510.01%
HBP% /PA4.86%—×0.700—×0.9853.35%
Singles /BIP16.04%÷1.008×0.680×0.950×0.98510.13%
Doubles /BIP4.72%÷1.028×0.600×0.950×0.9852.58%
Triples /BIP11.32%÷0.963×0.600×0.950×0.9856.60%
Home runs /BIP3.77%÷0.911×0.470—×0.9851.92%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 93, K 95, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .394 → .248; ISO .277 → .157; BABIP .330 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Cubs Blue · 98 PAwOBA .297 → .191 (−106)K% 26.5% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.53%÷1.004×1.220——32.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.14%÷1.022×0.700—×0.9954.87%
HBP% /PA6.12%—×0.700—×0.9954.26%
Singles /BIP21.05%÷0.972×0.680×0.950×0.99513.92%
Doubles /BIP3.51%÷0.996×0.600×0.950×0.9952.00%
Triples /BIP7.02%÷1.017×0.600×0.950×0.9953.91%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 94, 2B 99, 3B 103, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .297 → .191; ISO .120 → .068; BABIP .305 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).