Alexey Lumpuy — OGILVIE

Alexey LumpuyOF Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 22 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION305 act + 203 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .243 / .247

PA203

HR3

SB14

K%43

BB%7

BABIP289

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	86	12	1	2	0	4	37	6	3	2	140	229	198	427	58	235	38	4	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	83	18	2	4	0	7	26	6	3	2	217	323	337	660	120	305	27	7	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	157	27	3	8	4	17	63	9	20	8	172	290	369	659	197	253	34	9	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	148	38	5	12	4	26	42	9	20	8	257	399	534	933	277	330	23	14	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	398	53	9	3	8	18	240	12	30	9	133	194	231	425	98	300	56	4	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	382	80	14	6	11	34	154	12	30	9	209	294	364	658	154	318	36	8	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	CHC	—	305	272	52	6	0	5	25	128	7	35	7	191	276	268	545	77	336	42	8	246	46	-18	+4	+0	-2	+9	-0.8
YTD	22	A	CHC	—	305	257	63	8	0	6	40	90	7	35	7	245	362	346	708	101	352	30	13	328	109	+3	+4	+0	-2	+9	1.5
ROS	22	A	CHC	0%	203	182	30	4	1	3	14	87	5	14	3	165	243	247	490	82	294	43	7	236	39	-14	+2	+0	-1	+6	-0.8
ROS	22	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	220	26	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	22	A	CHC	—	305	273	52	6	0	5	25	128	7	35	7	190	276	267	544	77	333	42	8	246	46	-18	+4	+0	-2	+9	-0.8
TOT	22	A	CHC	—	508	454	82	10	1	8	39	215	12	49	10	180	263	260	523	79	317	42	8	242	44	-32	+6	+0	-3	+14	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CHC	34%	487	439	79	11	3	10	35	196	10	20	5	180	256	287	543	107	296	40	7	250	49	-28	+2	+0	-3	+14	-1.5
2028	24	MLB	CHC	46%	524	469	88	13	3	11	39	203	11	20	5	188	266	299	564	111	296	39	7	259	56	-26	+2	+0	-3	+15	-1.3
2029	25	MLB	CHC	52%	544	487	93	14	3	12	41	205	11	19	4	191	269	306	575	115	296	38	8	264	60	-24	+2	+0	-3	+15	-1.0
2030	26	MLB	CHC	54%	554	496	96	15	3	13	42	207	11	18	4	194	271	315	586	121	296	37	8	266	62	-24	+2	+0	-3	+16	-1.0
2031	27	MLB	CHC	54%	556	497	96	15	3	13	43	208	11	17	4	193	272	314	586	121	296	37	8	266	62	-24	+2	+0	-3	+16	-1.0
2027	23	MLB	CHC	34%	167	149	27	4	1	3	12	67	4	7	2	181	261	282	542	101	297	40	7	235	38	-12	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2028	24	MLB	CHC	46%	242	217	40	6	1	5	18	94	5	9	2	184	263	290	553	106	297	39	7	245	45	-15	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.9
2029	25	MLB	CHC	52%	281	252	48	7	2	6	21	106	6	10	2	190	269	306	574	115	297	38	7	250	50	-16	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.9
2030	26	MLB	CHC	54%	300	268	52	8	2	7	23	112	6	10	2	194	273	317	590	123	297	37	8	253	51	-16	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.9
2031	27	MLB	CHC	54%	302	270	53	8	2	7	23	113	6	9	2	196	274	319	593	122	297	37	8	253	52	-17	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1292	1157	220	33	8	28	97	492	27	45	10	190	269	305	574	115	298	38	8	248	48	-76	+5	+0	-8	+37	-4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	111	17	4	14	49	248	14	23	5	191	271	306	576	115	299	38	8	248	48	-38	+3	+0	-4	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	3580	3211	574	85	29	74	253	1446	86	161	44	179	257	292	550	114	293	40	7	250	50	-204	+15	+0	-21	+101	-11.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	103	15	5	13	46	263	16	29	8	177	256	286	542	110	290	40	7	250	50	-37	+3	+0	-4	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	83	18	2	4	0	7	26	6	3	2	217	323	337	660	120	305	27	7	298	86	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	20	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	148	38	5	12	4	26	42	9	20	8	257	399	534	933	277	330	23	14	401	165	+14	+1	—	—	+5	2.0
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	382	80	14	6	11	34	154	12	30	9	209	294	364	658	154	318	36	8	297	86	-7	+2	—	—	+12	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,612	34	56	184	258	298	-10	+0	-4.5	-2.3
	/162	664	14	23	184	258	298	-4.0	+0.0	-1.9	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexey Lumpuy (OGILVIE)	22	20	40	60	30	180/263/260	79	317	8	49	42%	8%	44	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→38	43→50	55	35	192/249/294	102	300	11	14	38%	5%	47	-1.9	197/249/320	123	286	14	19	35%	5%	54	-1.4	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Jeren Kendall 2019 · A	23	32→23	41→50	53→60	34	164/219/261	97	284	9	23	44%	6%	25	-3.5	167/239/307	140	311	17	22	48%	8%	47	-1.9	132/218/273	141	245	18	30	51%	9%	28	-1.7
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	36→41	43→45	53→55	40	184/244/291	108	267	11	17	34%	7%	44	-2.1	196/257/315	119	271	11	17	30%	7%	56	-1.3	191/254/304	113	261	10	19	29%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	36→31	43→50	50	37	187/233/300	113	268	11	14	34%	5%	41	-2.3	188/238/287	99	315	9	13	41%	6%	40	-2.4	172/224/263	91	318	8	13	46%	6%	25	-1.1
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	37→44	39→45	55→60	42	180/250/266	86	268	7	25	34%	8%	40	-2.4	205/275/310	105	272	10	30	27%	8%	62	-0.9	206/277/305	99	268	10	33	25%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→31	43→45	51→50	41	190/257/298	109	284	11	12	35%	8%	52	-1.6	205/269/317	112	309	11	12	35%	7%	62	-0.9	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	38→43	43→45	51→50	39	190/263/305	115	288	11	13	36%	7%	57	-1.2	212/286/344	132	314	13	12	34%	8%	76	+0.1	211/289/350	139	310	15	12	34%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Willie Joe Garry Jr. 2022 · A	22	38	40→45	56→55	36	171/243/263	92	322	7	19	46%	8%	37	-2.7	178/247/283	105	321	7	22	43%	7%	43	-2.2	169/240/285	117	311	7	28	44%	8%	40	-1.0
✕Izzy Wilson 2019 · A	21	38→33	42→45	51→55	35	182/239/283	101	310	10	13	43%	7%	40	-2.4	189/256/299	110	324	12	18	42%	8%	51	-1.7	177/246/305	129	273	16	23	39%	8%	46	-1.1
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	36	42→55	50	39	182/240/287	105	275	9	13	36%	7%	41	-2.3	183/249/284	101	305	9	14	40%	7%	44	-2.1	110/193/203	93	185	13	21	46%	8%	1	-1.4
✕Marcus Lee Sang 2022 · A	21	40→43	43→45	51→50	35	196/244/306	110	307	11	14	39%	6%	48	-1.9	204/267/321	117	330	12	14	39%	7%	62	-0.9	210/272/336	126	317	13	16	36%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Jordyn Adams 2022 · A	22	38→40	40→45	52→60	35	183/238/269	86	312	8	16	42%	6%	36	-2.7	194/252/291	97	301	8	29	36%	6%	47	-1.9	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Michael Crouse 2013 · A	22	35→37	46→50	52→55	36	176/243/300	124	293	14	19	43%	7%	46	-2.0	194/256/309	115	309	10	18	38%	7%	54	-1.4	191/257/319	128	297	12	19	38%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Tyler Miller 2023 · A	23	36→26	45	53→50	33	182/235/295	113	297	15	13	42%	6%	42	-2.3	189/233/295	106	270	11	11	33%	5%	40	-2.4	181/223/282	101	246	10	9	30%	5%	31	-1.8
✕Nick Schnell 2022 · A	22	37→44	43→55	52→50	36	173/246/276	103	320	12	14	46%	8%	42	-2.3	183/243/295	112	338	13	8	46%	7%	45	-2.1	210/262/374	164	305	20	13	37%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	38	38→40	56→55	40	180/254/263	84	299	6	15	39%	8%	42	-2.3	194/253/277	83	300	5	8	35%	6%	43	-2.2	182/234/254	72	263	5	2	31%	5%	28	-1.1
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A	23	39→36	42→45	56→50	41	194/256/303	109	270	8	20	30%	7%	53	-1.5	193/258/292	99	265	7	15	28%	7%	50	-1.7	183/250/273	91	246	7	15	27%	7%	41	-1.6
✕Shawn Griffin 2009 · A	22	41	40→45	50	38	191/252/282	90	316	7	11	39%	7%	44	-2.1	215/265/307	92	339	6	7	36%	6%	56	-1.3	233/273/330	96	357	6	2	35%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Justin Higley 2016 · A	23	35→39	41→45	53→55	36	171/231/266	95	289	9	15	42%	7%	32	-3.0	187/237/283	96	339	7	13	44%	6%	38	-2.6	175/220/271	96	331	5	13	46%	5%	26	-2.8
✕Max White 2017 · A	23	43→42	43→45	59→60	35	195/257/307	111	342	9	27	43%	7%	53	-1.5	206/268/314	108	317	8	22	35%	7%	59	-1.1	199/266/306	106	293	7	25	32%	8%	53	-1.1