Austin Hendrick — OGILVIE

Austin HendrickOF Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 204 lbs AA HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .220 / .274

PA319

HR8

SB6

K%45

BB%5

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

50→50

SPD

45→45

EYE

38↗40

trajectory · 10 yrs

-1.0peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-15M		$-41M	-$26M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$26M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	266	225	33	11	0	6	35	130	6	4	2	.147	.278	.276	.554	.129	.303	49	13	.251	50	-15	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.9
2022	21	A+	2 teams	444	400	61	13	0	16	31	209	9	16	5	.152	.230	.305	.535	.152	.251	47	7	.232	36	-32	+1	+0	-3	+13	-2.2
2023	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	516	477	71	11	1	10	26	244	7	19	5	.149	.204	.239	.443	.090	.266	47	5	.197	9	-53	+2	+0	-3	+15	-4.1
2024	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	474	445	62	7	0	8	17	224	8	14	7	.139	.185	.209	.394	.070	.250	47	4	.175	-8	-58	+0	+0	-3	+13	-4.8
2025	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	357	325	64	10	0	12	20	150	6	6	3	.197	.256	.338	.595	.142	.308	42	6	.259	56	-18	+0	+0	-2	+10	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	70	67	18	3	0	2	3	27	0	1	1	.269	.300	.403	.703	.134	.421	39	4	.319	102	+0	-0	+0	-0	+2	0.2
ROS	25	MLB	CIN	249	232	43	7	0	6	12	109	3	5	2	.185	.235	.293	.528	.108	.305	44	5	.238	40	-17	+0	+0	-1	+7	-1.1
TOT	25	MLB	CIN	319	299	61	10	0	8	15	136	3	6	3	.204	.249	.318	.567	.114	.340	43	5	.255	54	-17	+0	+0	-2	+9	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 11%	CIN	348	321	63	10	1	9	20	136	4	6	3	.196	.252	.318	.570	.121	.298	39	6	.254	52	-19	+0	+0	-2	+10	-1.1
2028	27	MLB 26%	CIN	377	348	69	11	1	10	22	143	4	7	3	.198	.254	.322	.576	.124	.298	38	6	.259	56	-19	+0	+0	-2	+11	-1.0
2029	28	MLB 38%	CIN	393	362	72	11	1	11	24	147	4	6	3	.199	.256	.326	.582	.127	.297	37	6	.261	58	-19	+0	-1	-2	+11	-1.1
2030	29	MLB 47%	CIN	396	364	74	12	1	11	25	148	4	6	3	.203	.262	.332	.595	.129	.296	37	6	.261	58	-19	+0	-1	-2	+11	-1.2
2031	30	MLB 56%	CIN	395	363	71	11	1	10	25	149	4	5	2	.196	.255	.314	.569	.118	.295	38	6	.258	55	-20	+0	-2	-2	+11	-1.3
2032	31	MLB 73%	CIN	385	354	69	11	1	10	24	146	4	3	2	.195	.254	.316	.570	.121	.293	38	6	.254	52	-21	-0	-3	-2	+11	-1.5
2033	32	MLB 91%	CIN	368	338	64	10	0	9	23	142	4	1	1	.189	.249	.299	.548	.109	.291	39	6	.249	49	-21	-0	-4	-2	+10	-1.7
2034	33	MLB	CIN	340	313	58	9	0	8	21	133	3	0	0	.185	.243	.291	.534	.105	.290	39	6	.244	45	-21	+0	-4	-2	+10	-1.8
2035	34	MLB	CIN	297	274	49	8	0	6	18	119	3	0	0	.179	.237	.274	.511	.095	.288	40	6	.238	40	-20	+0	-5	-2	+8	-1.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5605	5141	923	152	7	142	343	2329	73	98	41	.180	.241	.295	.536	.115	.289	42	6	.240	42	-371	+3	-20	-34	+159	-26.7
/ 162G	—			650	596	107	18	1	16	40	270	8	11	5	.180	.240	.294	.534	.114	.290	42	6	.240	42	-43	+0	-2	-4	+18	-3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	266	209	44	16	0	7	51	100	6	4	2	.211	.380	.388	.767	.177	.363	38	19	.354	129	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2022	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	299	261	58	17	0	14	29	107	6	14	5	.222	.314	.448	.762	.226	.308	36	10	.335	114	+5	+1	—	—	+8	1.4
2022	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	145	127	26	4	0	7	14	58	3	2	0	.205	.299	.402	.700	.197	.302	40	10	.312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	516	465	95	17	1	14	38	185	7	19	5	.204	.275	.335	.610	.131	.298	36	7	.274	68	-19	+2	—	—	+15	-0.2
2024	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	474	437	82	11	0	11	25	173	8	14	7	.188	.245	.288	.533	.101	.277	36	5	.242	43	-30	+0	—	—	+13	-1.7
2025	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	357	313	77	13	0	14	32	116	6	6	3	.246	.328	.422	.749	.176	.333	32	9	.330	111	+4	+0	—	—	+10	1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Hendrick (OGILVIE)	25	35	50	45	40	.167/.220/.274	.107	.283	8	6	45%	5%	31	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	38	44→45	47→50	38	.186/.263/.294	.108	.300	13	8	40%	7%	54	-1.4	.205/.282/.312	.107	.343	12	13	40%	8%	66	-0.6	.202/.287/.300	.098	.353	11	19	41%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	44→50	47→55	38	.183/.247/.298	.115	.269	11	13	35%	6%	48	-1.9	.201/.262/.346	.145	.292	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	.199/.260/.339	.140	.286	17	24	35%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Neil Medchill 2012 · A	25	36→27	47→50	45	38	.184/.250/.313	.129	.297	16	7	42%	8%	53	-1.5	.203/.256/.328	.125	.338	15	7	41%	6%	59	-1.1	.198/.246/.315	.117	.332	14	5	42%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Brenden Webb 2015 · A	25	36→37	44→45	48→50	39	.180/.250/.300	.120	.295	12	9	41%	8%	50	-1.8	.191/.245/.294	.103	.301	10	12	38%	6%	45	-2.1	.184/.232/.281	.097	.278	11	16	37%	5%	33	-1.8
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	45→50	48→50	37	.186/.248/.306	.120	.290	14	12	39%	7%	50	-1.7	.185/.245/.287	.102	.286	9	10	36%	7%	43	-2.2	.153/.212/.244	.092	.224	3	6	32%	7%	14	-1.0
✕Greg Deichmann 2021 · AA	26	36→46	46→50	51→50	37	.185/.244/.308	.124	.294	14	15	40%	7%	49	-1.8	.209/.272/.330	.121	.313	12	14	34%	8%	66	-0.6	.199/.262/.329	.130	.294	14	15	35%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	38→42	43→45	47→50	39	.187/.250/.294	.107	.292	11	6	38%	7%	48	-1.9	.201/.285/.328	.127	.324	14	9	38%	10%	72	-0.2	.191/.281/.316	.125	.300	14	9	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	37	44→45	47→50	36	.186/.256/.298	.111	.288	12	12	38%	6%	53	-1.5	.195/.262/.305	.110	.289	12	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	.178/.246/.285	.106	.257	12	12	34%	5%	41	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Will Robertson 2023 · AA	25	39→42	47→55	39→45	37	.196/.258/.331	.135	.292	14	5	36%	6%	61	-1.0	.202/.263/.363	.161	.288	19	6	35%	7%	72	-0.2	.198/.263/.366	.168	.274	20	5	35%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA	26	40→41	42→45	49→50	41	.190/.265/.290	.099	.310	9	8	39%	8%	53	-1.5	.191/.282/.312	.121	.320	14	13	41%	10%	67	-0.5	.176/.277/.309	.133	.286	16	14	41%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Collin DeLome 2011 · AAA	25	35→37	50→55	52→50	33	.191/.238/.346	.155	.269	19	13	36%	4%	56	-1.3	.198/.249/.325	.127	.297	13	14	36%	5%	55	-1.4	.200/.253/.323	.123	.306	11	16	36%	4%	53	-0.7
✕Ben Norman 2023 · A	25	41	47→50	48→55	35	.201/.253/.331	.130	.327	16	10	42%	6%	58	-1.2	.194/.261/.326	.132	.328	16	16	43%	8%	61	-1.0	.149/.233/.282	.133	.243	20	24	45%	9%	39	-0.9
✕Ronnie Dawson 2021 · AAA	26	37→47	47→45	48→55	36	.190/.255/.321	.132	.294	15	18	39%	6%	58	-1.2	.210/.278/.319	.109	.295	10	15	30%	7%	66	-0.6	.210/.279/.311	.102	.289	9	16	29%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	40→36	41→45	42→45	41	.194/.264/.293	.099	.285	9	6	33%	7%	53	-1.5	.196/.261/.298	.102	.295	10	5	34%	7%	53	-1.5	.200/.262/.311	.111	.288	11	4	33%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Art Charles 2017 · AA	26	38	46→50	48→30	37	.190/.248/.320	.130	.299	14	3	40%	7%	54	-1.4	.230/.294/.418	.188	.324	24	5	34%	8%	98	+1.6	.243/.312/.489	.246	.318	34	0	34%	9%	126	+1.1
✕Drew Vettleson 2017 · AA	26	37→47	44→45	49→50	33	.189/.226/.300	.111	.290	12	10	38%	5%	38	-2.6	.193/.233/.301	.108	.315	12	13	41%	5%	42	-2.3	.136/.157/.214	.079	.232	12	21	47%	2%	-17	-1.1
✕J.D. Roberts 2007 · A	25	38	43→45	49→40	35	.184/.240/.289	.105	.307	11	5	42%	6%	42	-2.3	.184/.232/.256	.072	.302	6	5	38%	5%	29	-3.2	.162/.204/.205	.043	.261	4	3	38%	4%	1	-2.3
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA	25	35→34	45	47→45	31	.179/.230/.302	.123	.296	13	8	42%	5%	41	-2.3	.186/.258/.305	.119	.310	12	9	41%	7%	55	-1.4	.167/.257/.278	.111	.280	12	8	41%	8%	44	-1.4
✕Kyle Martin 2018 · AA	25	35→37	48→50	44→40	39	.189/.246/.326	.138	.253	17	4	32%	6%	55	-1.4	.180/.241/.300	.120	.254	13	5	33%	7%	46	-2.0	.161/.228/.294	.133	.225	15	1	35%	7%	38	-1.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)