Austin Hendrick — OGILVIE

Austin HendrickOF Louisville Bats

Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 204 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION305 act + 203 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .238 / .292

PA203

HR5

K%38

BB%5

BABIP282

ISO106

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	266	225	34	12	0	5	35	126	6	4	2	151	282	271	553	120	309	47	13	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	266	209	44	16	0	7	51	100	6	4	2	211	380	388	767	177	363	38	19	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	2 teams	—	444	398	58	11	0	16	33	211	9	16	5	146	227	294	521	148	240	48	7	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	2 teams	—	444	388	84	21	0	21	43	165	9	16	5	216	309	433	742	216	306	37	10	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	516	477	66	10	1	10	26	263	7	19	5	138	194	226	421	88	267	51	5	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	516	465	95	17	1	14	38	185	7	19	5	204	275	335	610	131	298	36	7	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	474	444	62	5	0	7	18	221	8	14	7	140	187	198	385	59	251	47	4	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	474	437	82	11	0	11	25	173	8	14	7	188	245	288	533	101	277	36	5	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	357	326	67	9	0	12	19	147	6	6	3	206	262	344	606	138	318	41	5	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	357	313	77	13	0	14	32	116	6	6	3	246	328	422	749	176	333	32	9	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	CIN	—	305	281	56	7	0	9	15	105	6	5	2	199	255	320	575	121	280	34	5	254	53	-16	+0	+0	-2	+9	-1.0
YTD	25	AAA	CIN	—	305	272	65	9	0	11	24	84	6	5	2	239	315	393	708	154	303	28	8	316	100	-0	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.7
ROS	25	AAA	CIN	10%	203	188	35	5	0	5	10	78	3	4	1	186	238	292	530	106	276	38	5	240	42	-13	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.9
ROS	25	MLB	CIN	10%	20	19	3	0	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	158	200	316	516	158	278	40	5	231	35	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
FULL	25	AAA	CIN	—	325	300	59	7	0	10	16	113	6	5	2	197	252	320	572	123	275	35	5	253	51	-18	+0	+0	-2	+9	-1.1
TOT	25	AAA	CIN	—	508	469	91	12	0	14	25	183	9	9	3	194	248	309	557	115	281	36	5	248	48	-30	+1	+0	-3	+14	-1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	CIN	35%	365	337	64	9	0	10	19	134	6	6	2	190	246	306	551	116	277	37	5	251	50	-21	+0	+0	-2	+10	-1.2
2028	27	MLB	CIN	44%	388	357	69	10	0	11	22	139	6	6	3	193	252	314	566	120	279	36	6	256	54	-20	+0	+0	-2	+11	-1.2
2029	28	MLB	CIN	49%	401	368	73	11	1	11	24	142	6	6	2	198	259	323	582	125	279	35	6	259	56	-20	+0	-1	-2	+11	-1.1
2027	26	MLB	CIN	35%	127	117	23	3	0	4	7	47	2	2	1	197	254	325	579	128	280	37	6	242	44	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
2028	27	MLB	CIN	44%	171	156	31	5	0	5	10	61	3	3	1	199	260	327	587	128	281	36	6	248	48	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2029	28	MLB	CIN	49%	196	179	35	5	0	6	12	69	3	3	1	196	258	324	582	128	281	35	6	251	50	-11	+0	-0	-1	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	514	471	92	13	0	16	30	185	8	8	3	195	255	325	580	130	278	36	6	247	47	-31	+0	-0	-3	+15	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	116	16	0	20	38	234	10	10	4	195	255	322	577	128	277	36	6	247	47	-39	+0	-0	-4	+18	-2.5
Career	—			—	3414	3120	528	82	2	87	206	1461	57	81	30	169	234	280	514	111	276	43	6	230	34	-254	+4	-1	-20	+97	-17.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	101	16	0	17	39	278	11	15	6	170	234	283	517	113	276	43	6	230	34	-48	+1	-0	-4	+18	-3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	266	209	44	16	0	7	51	100	6	4	2	211	380	388	767	177	363	38	19	354	129	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2022	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	299	261	58	17	0	14	29	107	6	14	5	222	314	448	762	226	308	36	10	335	114	+5	+1	—	—	+8	1.4
2022	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	145	127	26	4	0	7	14	58	3	2	0	205	299	402	700	197	302	40	10	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	516	465	95	17	1	14	38	185	7	19	5	204	275	335	610	131	298	36	7	274	68	-19	+2	—	—	+15	-0.2
2024	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	474	437	82	11	0	11	25	173	8	14	7	188	245	288	533	101	277	36	5	242	43	-30	+0	—	—	+13	-1.7
2025	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	357	313	77	13	0	14	32	116	6	6	3	246	328	422	749	176	333	32	9	330	111	+4	+0	—	—	+10	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	526	15	8	194	249	315	-3	+0	-1.6	-0.8
	/162	664	18	11	194	249	315	-4.0	+0.0	-2.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Hendrick (OGILVIE)	25	35	50	45	40	194/248/309	115	281	14	9	36%	5%	48	-1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	37→36	45	47→50	37	182/259/294	113	303	14	8	42%	7%	53	-1.5	208/285/315	107	351	11	13	40%	8%	69	-0.4	209/294/304	95	361	9	19	40%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA	25	39	44→45	45→50	43	191/276/301	110	289	13	8	36%	9%	62	-0.9	187/281/300	113	283	12	11	35%	10%	64	-0.8	162/269/266	104	242	12	12	35%	10%	50	-0.8
✕Brenden Webb 2015 · A	25	36→42	43→45	47→50	37	177/243/290	112	296	11	9	42%	7%	44	-2.1	192/247/297	105	299	11	12	37%	6%	46	-2.0	183/229/289	107	271	13	16	37%	5%	34	-1.7
✕Collin DeLome 2011 · AAA	25	35→38	49→55	52→50	32	188/233/337	149	273	18	13	38%	4%	52	-1.6	201/251/329	128	308	13	14	37%	4%	57	-1.2	207/258/343	136	323	12	16	38%	4%	61	-0.5
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA	25	34→33	47→50	48→45	30	178/225/314	135	284	15	8	42%	4%	43	-2.2	194/265/328	134	314	15	9	40%	7%	64	-0.8	172/260/302	130	280	15	8	41%	8%	52	-1.1
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA	25	41→32	45→40	44→50	37	193/271/314	121	331	13	8	42%	7%	63	-0.9	206/305/328	122	373	12	11	43%	9%	82	+0.5	182/314/280	98	357	8	16	44%	12%	72	-0.1
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	37	47→45	47→50	37	190/259/319	130	282	15	12	37%	6%	59	-1.1	199/266/320	121	289	13	12	34%	6%	62	-0.9	177/247/292	116	250	14	12	34%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Kyle Martin 2018 · AA	25	34→38	48→50	44→40	39	184/242/319	135	248	16	4	33%	6%	51	-1.7	180/241/293	113	257	12	5	33%	7%	43	-2.2	149/218/264	115	216	13	1	36%	7%	27	-2.0
✕Neil Medchill 2011 · A	24	36→29	44→50	43→45	34	180/237/293	113	299	13	7	43%	6%	42	-2.3	198/257/337	139	322	17	7	41%	7%	62	-0.9	194/252/334	139	310	18	5	41%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Roberto Ramos 2019 · AA	24	39→41	46→45	45→40	36	194/249/316	123	302	14	5	39%	6%	53	-1.5	210/281/348	138	331	17	4	39%	8%	76	+0.0	184/269/325	141	290	19	0	41%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Aaron Shackelford 2022 · A	25	33→31	47→50	50→45	34	177/231/306	129	273	15	5	40%	5%	43	-2.2	184/246/331	147	280	18	9	39%	6%	56	-1.3	172/241/322	150	253	19	10	39%	7%	49	-1.3
✕Courtney Hawkins 2019 · AA	25	35→33	46→50	45→50	32	182/226/301	119	289	15	5	42%	5%	40	-2.4	204/253/375	171	284	23	6	36%	6%	70	-0.3	184/232/379	195	233	28	2	35%	5%	60	-0.7
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	38→36	41→45	41→45	42	188/262/288	99	281	9	6	34%	8%	52	-1.6	194/259/295	101	293	9	6	34%	7%	52	-1.6	194/254/298	105	283	10	4	33%	7%	48	-1.4
✕J.D. Roberts 2007 · A	25	37	42→45	49→40	35	180/236/283	103	305	10	4	42%	6%	39	-2.5	186/234/258	72	303	6	5	38%	5%	30	-3.1	162/204/205	43	261	4	3	38%	4%	1	-2.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Jake Adams 2021 · AA	25	37→36	50	44→45	36	199/250/344	145	282	19	7	36%	6%	61	-1.0	190/246/297	107	374	11	9	49%	5%	47	-1.9	78/133/139	61	214	9	4	66%	3%	-40	-1.4
✕Will Robertson 2023 · AA	25	38→42	47→55	39→45	38	193/259/328	135	287	15	4	36%	7%	61	-1.0	201/261/363	162	288	19	6	36%	7%	71	-0.3	197/260/362	165	276	20	5	35%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	39→41	43→45	47→50	39	191/254/300	109	301	11	6	39%	7%	51	-1.7	203/285/337	134	323	15	9	38%	10%	74	-0.1	193/282/326	133	300	16	9	38%	10%	68	-0.3