Ashton Creal
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A/ROKCIN | 128 | .224/.341/.393 | 3 | 10 | 42 | — | .160/.245/.279 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+/ACIN | 272 | .212/.316/.338 | 4 | 21 | 38 | — | .168/.256/.273 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA/A+CIN | 131 | .176/.305/.241 | 2 | 4 | 18 | — | .141/.242/.175 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Reds | — | 213 | 174 | 48 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 48 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 276 | 406 | 379 | 785 | 103 | 381 | 23 | 15 | 361 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | — | 87 | 76 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 197 | 282 | 263 | 546 | 66 | 357 | 40 | 9 | 250 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Reds | — | 41 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 290 | 463 | 710 | 1.173 | 419 | 316 | 22 | 20 | 492 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 191 | 161 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 52 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 211 | 321 | 317 | 638 | 106 | 288 | 27 | 10 | 291 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Daytona Tortugas | — | 81 | 70 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 214 | 304 | 386 | 690 | 171 | 295 | 31 | 7 | 303 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 71 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 329 | 322 | 651 | 119 | 333 | 38 | 14 | 300 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 60 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 143 | 276 | 143 | 419 | 292 | 42 | 7 | 213 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 213 | 186 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 69 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 183 | 283 | 247 | 530 | 65 | 284 | 32 | 9 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 87 | 79 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 46 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 152 | 212 | 203 | 414 | 51 | 316 | 53 | 6 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 41 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 176 | 317 | 441 | 758 | 265 | 233 | 32 | 12 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 191 | 166 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 63 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 169 | 262 | 253 | 515 | 84 | 231 | 33 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 81 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 167 | 241 | 319 | 560 | 153 | 241 | 41 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 71 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 159 | 243 | 222 | 465 | 63 | 310 | 48 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 60 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 120 | 241 | 120 | 361 | 271 | 55 | 5 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 213 | 186 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 69 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 183 | 283 | 247 | 530 | 65 | 291 | 32 | 9 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Reds | — | 213 | 174 | 48 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 48 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 276 | 406 | 379 | 785 | 103 | 381 | 23 | 15 | 361 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 128 | 113 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 159 | 246 | 274 | 520 | 115 | 302 | 46 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 128 | 107 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 44 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 224 | 341 | 393 | 734 | 168 | 344 | 34 | 12 | 328 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 238 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 96 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 160 | 248 | 248 | 496 | 88 | 243 | 35 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 272 | 231 | 49 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 77 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 212 | 316 | 338 | 653 | 126 | 290 | 28 | 9 | 295 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 131 | 113 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 67 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 133 | 234 | 168 | 403 | 35 | 311 | 51 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 131 | 108 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 176 | 305 | 241 | 545 | 65 | 315 | 40 | 11 | 260 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 213 | 185 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 69 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 184 | 283 | 249 | 532 | 65 | 284 | 32 | 9 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 128 | 114 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 158 | 246 | 272 | 518 | 114 | 289 | 46 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 242 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 96 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 157 | 248 | 244 | 492 | 87 | 234 | 35 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 131 | 115 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 67 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 130 | 234 | 165 | 400 | 35 | 292 | 51 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 744 | 650 | 105 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 291 | 25 | 43 | 11 | 162 | 255 | 238 | 494 | 77 | 276 | 39 | 8 | 224 | 38 | -55 | +4 | +0 | +3 | +16 | -3.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 91 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 254 | 22 | 38 | 10 | 160 | 255 | 234 | 489 | 74 | 274 | 39 | 8 | 224 | 38 | -48 | +4 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 71 PAwOBA .293 → .224 (−69)K% 38.0% → 48.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.03% | ÷0.961 | ×1.220 | — | — | 48.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.08% | ÷1.069 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 9.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 26.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 2.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.017 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.98% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 92, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .293 → .224; ISO .119 → .089; BABIP .333 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Dayton Dragons · 60 PAwOBA .209 → .161 (−48)K% 41.7% → 54.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 41.67% | ÷0.975 | ×1.270 | — | — | 54.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.33% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 6.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.17% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 27.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.916 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 83, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .209 → .161; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .292 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Dayton Dragons · 191 PAwOBA .290 → .224 (−66)K% 27.2% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.23% | ÷1.047 | ×1.270 | — | — | 33.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.95% | ÷0.958 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.66% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 2.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.18% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×0.998 | 17.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.26% | ÷1.217 | ×0.810 | ×0.957 | ×0.998 | 5.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.028 | ×0.850 | ×0.957 | ×0.998 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.83% | ÷1.058 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.38% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 100, 2B 143, 3B 106, K 109, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .290 → .224; ISO .106 → .073; BABIP .288 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADaytona Tortugas · 81 PAwOBA .299 → .225 (−74)K% 30.9% → 41.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.86% | ÷1.021 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.70% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.78% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 15.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.89% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 1.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.883 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 3.99% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 103, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .299 → .225; ISO .171 → .132; BABIP .295 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ADaytona Tortugas · 87 PAwOBA .247 → .181 (−66)K% 40.2% → 52.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.23% | ÷1.038 | ×1.360 | — | — | 52.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.20% | ÷1.009 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.39% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | — | — | 22.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.20% | ÷1.003 | ×0.830 | — | — | 10.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.944 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 89, K 108, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .247 → .181; ISO .066 → .046; BABIP .357 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Reds · 41 PAwOBA .480 → .335 (−145)K% 22.0% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.95% | ÷0.987 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.51% | ÷0.995 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 11.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷0.972 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 11.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.981 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.990 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.026 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 10.11% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 94, 2B 96, 3B 98, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .480 → .335; ISO .419 → .302; BABIP .316 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Reds · 213 PAwOBA .353 → .239 (−114)K% 22.5% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 9.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.82% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 20.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 1.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .353 → .239; ISO .103 → .067; BABIP .381 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).