Givian Sirvania

OF Salem RidgeYaks
Age 19 R/R 5'8" / 150 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202416ROKDSL Red Sox B…148.222/.385/.27401938—.154/.297/.187
202517ROKDSL Red Sox R…179.243/.371/.35111628—.154/.258/.218
202618A+/ABOS154.206/.289/.30931237—.179/.244/.270
2027PROJMLE19MLBBOS264.198/.263/.2863656-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBBOS52.210/.277/.3101163-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed71
Z-Con%38
K%35
Chase%25
Whiff%25
wOBA17
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 3.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 85%
CompsAngel Aponte (age 19) · Esteban Mejia (age 19) · Ricardo Rosario (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 90 proj PA
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .261 / .283
PA90
HR1
K%28
BB%6
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202416 ROKDSL Red Sox Blue — 148117 26600 22269 197 222385274659 51286 1815 323 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROKDSL Red Sox Red — 179148 36541 23357 161 243371351722 108310 2013 333 28 — — — — — —
202618 A+Greenville Drive — 2018 2002 250 00 111200444644 333 2510 278 33 — — — — — —
202618 ASalem RidgeYaks — 134118 26501 9365 122 220303288591 68305 277 273 38 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 148123 19400 16329 197 154297187484 33196 2211 225 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 179156 24321 15447 161 154258218476 64195 258 210 28 — — — — — —
202618 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 2019 2002 170 00 105150421571 316 355 217 33 — — — — — —
202618 A MLESalem RidgeYaks — 134121 23401 6495 122 190258248506 58297 374 225 38 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 148123 19400 16329 197 154297187484 33209 2211 225 38 — — — — — —
202416 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox Blue — 148117 26600 22269 197 222385274659 51286 1815 323 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 179156 24321 15447 161 154258218476 64205 258 210 28 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox Red — 179148 36541 23357 161 243371351722 108310 2013 333 28 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE2 teams — 154139 24402 8555 122 173243245488 72265 365 224 38 — — — — — —
202618 A RAW2 teams — 154136 28503 11415 122 206289309598 103269 277 273 38 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 148122 19400 16329 197 156297189486 33196 2211 225 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 179155 24321 15447 161 155258219478 65195 258 210 28 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE2 teams — 154140 24402 8555 122 171243243486 71258 365 224 38 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 148122 19400 16329 197 156297189486 33196 2211 225 38 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 179155 24321 15447 161 155258219478 65195 258 210 28 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE2 teams — 154140 24402 8555 122 171243243486 71258 365 224 38 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLEBOS 0% 264241 48923 17754 61 198263286549 88270 286 251 56 -14 +1 +0 -2 +6 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLEBOS 34% 151137 28512 10423 41 204271303574 98273 287 261 63 -7 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
202820 MLB CTXBOS 34% 5248 10201 3141 10 210277310587 101282 276 266 63 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5248 10201 3141 10 208269312582 104273 276 266 43 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650600 12525012 3817512 120 208269310579 102274 276 266 43 -29 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.6
Career— MLE — 722638 1121946 5519825 5311 176267246513 71243 278 232 43 -11 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650574 1011745 5017823 4810 176269246515 70244 278 232 43 -31 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASalem RidgeYaks · 134 PAwOBA .268 → .225 (−43)K% 26.9% → 36.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.87%÷1.000×1.360——36.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.72%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0454.84%
HBP% /PA3.73%—×0.780—×1.0453.04%
Singles /BIP24.39%÷1.000×0.920×1.038×1.04524.34%
Doubles /BIP6.10%÷1.000×0.830×1.038×1.0455.49%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.038×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP1.22%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0451.02%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .268 → .225; ISO .068 → .054; BABIP .305 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Greenville Drive · 20 PAwOBA .269 → .217 (−52)K% 25.0% → 32.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.000×1.310——32.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0506.30%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.870—×1.0500.00%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0500.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP15.38%÷1.000×0.880—×1.05014.22%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .269 → .217; ISO .333 → .289; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Red Sox Red · 179 PAwOBA .328 → .210 (−118)K% 19.6% → 24.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.55%÷0.974×1.220——24.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.85%÷1.095×0.700—×1.0088.27%
HBP% /PA3.91%—×0.700—×1.0082.76%
Singles /BIP23.01%÷1.017×0.680×0.979×1.00815.17%
Doubles /BIP4.42%÷0.998×0.600×0.979×1.0082.62%
Triples /BIP3.54%÷1.150×0.600×0.979×1.0081.82%
Home runs /BIP0.88%÷0.880×0.470—×1.0080.48%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 95, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .328 → .210; ISO .108 → .060; BABIP .310 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Red Sox Blue · 148 PAwOBA .316 → .225 (−91)K% 17.6% → 21.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.57%÷1.004×1.220——21.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.86%÷0.976×0.700—×1.02210.90%
HBP% /PA6.08%—×0.700—×1.0224.35%
Singles /BIP21.98%÷0.998×0.680×1.028×1.02215.73%
Doubles /BIP6.59%÷1.080×0.600×1.028×1.0223.85%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.031×0.600×1.028×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.992×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 106, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .316 → .225; ISO .051 → .031; BABIP .286 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).