Demetrio Nadal

OF Carolina Mudcats
Age 23 R/R 5'7" / 125 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202218ROKDSL Brewers 2176.239/.379/.31711732—.148/.270/.181
202319ROKDSL Brewers 2157.342/.487/.52523379—.220/.357/.323
202521A/ROK2 orgs285.223/.358/.32241748—.171/.277/.231
2027PROJMLE23MLBMIL395.192/.275/.2714857-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBMIL32.194/.277/.2810162-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A
BB%83
Chase%73
K%61
Z-Con%53
Speed49
Whiff%45
CompsGrae Kessinger (age 23) · Mike Martin (age 23) · Tyler Palmer (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 93 proj PA
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .273 / .268
PA93
HR1
K%28
BB%9
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202218 ROKDSL Brewers 2 — 176142 34231 222910 173 239379317696 77289 1612 327 32 — — — — — —
202319 ROKDSL Brewers 2 — 157120 41652 241910 3310 3424875251.012 183382 1215 442 79 — — — — — —
202521 ACarolina Mudcats — 171136 28301 27376 113 206361250611 44270 2216 298 52 — — — — — —
202521 ROKACL Brewers — 11497 24423 13203 64 247354423777 175280 1811 346 42 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202218 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 176149 22120 153410 173 148270181451 34184 199 216 32 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 157127 28431 172310 3310 220357323680 102231 1511 285 79 — — — — — —
202521 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 171144 26201 19496 113 181302215517 35256 2911 245 52 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 114102 16212 8303 64 157239255494 98198 267 230 42 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 176149 22120 153410 173 148270181451 34188 199 216 32 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAWDSL Brewers 2 — 176142 34231 222910 173 239379317696 77289 1612 327 32 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 157127 28431 172310 3310 220357323680 102255 1511 285 79 — — — — — —
202319 ROK RAWDSL Brewers 2 — 157120 41652 241910 3310 3424875251.012 183382 1215 442 79 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 285246 43513 27789 177 175280240520 65238 279 239 48 — — — — — —
202521 A RAW2 teams — 285233 52724 40579 177 223358322680 99274 2014 317 48 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 176149 22120 153410 173 148270181451 34184 199 216 32 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 157129 28431 172310 3310 217357318675 101231 1511 285 79 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 285247 43513 27789 177 174280239519 65233 279 239 48 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202521 A MLE2 teams — 285247 43513 27789 177 174280239519 65233 279 239 48 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEMIL 0% 395351 671124 351116 82 192275271546 79266 289 253 57 -20 +1 +0 -2 +9 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEMIL 30% 10796 19311 9301 21 197279284563 87268 288 260 62 -5 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.3
202824 MLB CTXMIL 30% 3229 5100 390 10 194277281558 86264 289 258 62 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3229 5100 390 10 172250207457 34250 289 258 53 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 1012000 611830 200 171249205455 34249 289 258 53 -29 +4 +0 -4 +14 -1.6
Career— MLE — 818702 1291686 7619131 7121 184292255547 71239 239 247 53 -10 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650558 1031365 6015225 5617 185292256549 72240 239 247 53 -31 +1 +0 -4 +14 -2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ACarolina Mudcats · 171 PAwOBA .295 → .245 (−50)K% 21.6% → 28.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.64%÷1.033×1.360——28.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷0.981×0.690—×1.01511.27%
HBP% /PA3.51%—×0.780—×1.0152.78%
Singles /BIP24.24%÷0.948×0.920×0.983×1.01523.48%
Doubles /BIP3.03%÷1.002×0.830×0.983×1.0152.50%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×0.983×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP1.01%÷1.214×0.800—×1.0150.68%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .295 → .245; ISO .044 → .033; BABIP .270 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Brewers · 114 PAwOBA .340 → .230 (−110)K% 17.5% → 26.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.54%÷0.973×1.440——25.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.40%÷1.011×0.620—×0.9856.89%
HBP% /PA2.63%—×0.720—×0.9851.87%
Singles /BIP19.48%÷1.031×0.820×0.950×0.98514.50%
Doubles /BIP5.19%÷1.109×0.720×0.950×0.9853.16%
Triples /BIP2.60%÷1.001×0.720×0.950×0.9851.75%
Home runs /BIP3.90%÷0.971×0.780—×0.9853.08%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 122, 3B 100, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .340 → .230; ISO .175 → .122; BABIP .280 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Brewers 2 · 157 PAwOBA .440 → .285 (−155)K% 12.1% → 14.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.10%÷1.023×1.220——14.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.29%÷0.996×0.700—×0.99510.69%
HBP% /PA6.37%—×0.700—×0.9954.44%
Singles /BIP27.72%÷1.008×0.680×0.950×0.99517.67%
Doubles /BIP5.94%÷0.986×0.600×0.950×0.9953.42%
Triples /BIP4.95%÷1.125×0.600×0.950×0.9952.50%
Home runs /BIP1.98%÷1.904×0.470—×0.9950.49%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 281, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 125, K 105, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .440 → .285; ISO .183 → .091; BABIP .382 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Brewers 2 · 176 PAwOBA .323 → .216 (−107)K% 16.5% → 19.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.48%÷1.051×1.220——19.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷1.012×0.700—×1.0088.71%
HBP% /PA5.68%—×0.700—×1.0084.01%
Singles /BIP24.78%÷0.999×0.680×0.950×1.00816.14%
Doubles /BIP1.77%÷1.024×0.600×0.950×1.0080.99%
Triples /BIP2.65%÷0.992×0.600×0.950×1.0081.54%
Home runs /BIP0.88%÷1.899×0.470—×1.0080.22%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 280, 1B 100, 2B 105, 3B 98, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .323 → .216; ISO .077 → .040; BABIP .289 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).