Demetrio Nadal — OGILVIE

Demetrio NadalOF Carolina Mudcats

Age 22 R/R 5'7" / 125 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 275 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .279 / .268

PA275

HR2

SB6

K%27

BB%9

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	176	151	26	1	2	0	13	38	10	17	3	172	282	205	487	33	226	22	7	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	176	142	34	2	3	1	22	29	10	17	3	239	379	317	696	77	289	16	12	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	157	129	32	5	3	1	15	26	10	33	10	248	370	357	727	109	295	17	10	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	157	120	41	6	5	2	24	19	10	33	10	342	487	525	1.012	183	382	12	15	442	196	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	285	248	44	5	1	3	25	80	9	17	7	177	277	242	519	65	244	28	9	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	285	233	52	7	2	4	40	57	9	17	7	223	358	322	680	99	274	20	14	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	MIL	—	275	244	47	8	2	2	24	74	5	6	2	193	278	266	545	74	267	27	9	257	55	-14	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIL	34%	320	282	57	10	2	4	29	84	6	7	2	202	290	294	585	92	271	26	9	269	64	-13	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
2028	24	MLB	MIL	46%	397	352	73	13	2	6	35	103	7	9	2	207	292	307	599	99	274	26	9	277	70	-14	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.4
2029	25	MLB	MIL	52%	439	390	83	15	3	7	39	112	7	10	2	213	296	321	616	108	275	26	9	281	73	-13	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.2
2030	26	MLB	MIL	54%	465	412	88	16	3	8	42	119	8	10	3	214	299	325	624	112	275	26	9	283	75	-13	+1	+0	-3	+13	-0.2
2031	27	MLB	MIL	54%	475	421	89	16	3	8	43	122	8	10	3	211	297	321	617	109	275	26	9	283	75	-13	+1	+0	-3	+13	-0.2
2027	23	MLB	MIL	34%	110	97	19	3	1	1	10	29	2	3	1	196	284	278	563	82	269	26	9	254	53	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	MIL	46%	183	162	34	6	1	3	16	47	3	4	1	210	293	315	608	105	271	26	9	262	59	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2029	25	MLB	MIL	52%	227	201	42	7	1	4	20	58	4	5	1	209	293	313	607	104	273	26	9	267	62	-10	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
2030	26	MLB	MIL	54%	252	223	46	8	1	4	23	64	4	6	1	206	292	305	597	99	273	25	9	269	64	-10	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.4
2031	27	MLB	MIL	54%	258	228	47	8	1	4	24	66	4	6	1	206	293	303	596	96	273	26	9	269	64	-10	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1030	911	188	32	5	16	93	264	17	24	5	206	292	305	597	99	270	26	9	266	62	-45	+3	+0	-6	+29	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	118	20	3	10	59	167	11	15	3	205	292	303	595	97	269	26	9	266	62	-28	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	2989	2629	539	89	21	39	265	758	70	119	34	205	295	299	594	94	270	25	9	272	66	-114	+10	+0	-18	+85	-3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	117	19	5	8	58	165	15	26	7	205	295	297	592	93	270	25	9	272	66	-25	+2	+0	-4	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	176	142	34	2	3	1	22	29	10	17	3	239	379	317	696	77	289	16	12	327	108	+2	+2	—	—	+5	0.9
2023	19	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	157	120	41	6	5	2	24	19	10	33	10	342	487	525	1.012	183	382	12	15	442	196	+17	+3	—	—	+4	2.5
2025	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	171	136	28	3	0	1	27	37	6	11	3	206	361	250	611	44	270	22	16	298	86	-3	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
2025	21	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	114	97	24	4	2	3	13	20	3	6	4	247	354	423	777	175	280	18	11	346	123	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,305	19	29	208	290	309	-8	+0	-1.4	-0.7
	/162	664	10	15	208	290	309	-4.0	+0.0	-0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Demetrio Nadal (OGILVIE)	22	30	20	55	60	193/279/268	75	267	2	6	27%	9%	55	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Joe Munoz 2008 · A	22	43	36→30	51→55	44	202/275/270	69	257	2	16	21%	6%	53	-1.5	204/255/269	65	274	3	9	25%	4%	42	-2.3	197/231/226	29	265	0	9	25%	2%	17	-1.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Richard Nunez 2017 · A	22	43	36→30	49→55	50	202/280/268	66	261	3	13	22%	9%	54	-1.4	195/269/271	76	274	4	9	28%	8%	50	-1.7	196/275/293	97	250	9	3	24%	9%	56	-0.2
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Juan Montes 2017 · A	22	39	38→30	50→55	43	189/263/266	77	237	6	12	22%	6%	46	-2.0	203/284/273	70	273	5	16	26%	6%	58	-1.2	192/284/244	52	266	4	21	26%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Omar Guerra 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	48→50	45	193/274/246	53	257	2	9	24%	7%	46	-2.0	220/315/279	59	272	2	11	19%	6%	73	-0.1	229/342/268	39	277	0	15	15%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	38→40	53→60	49	182/289/262	80	287	6	16	35%	11%	58	-1.2	202/293/281	79	297	5	23	30%	10%	63	-0.8	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Tyreace House 2010 · A	22	46→43	36→30	53→55	46	214/282/276	61	301	3	14	28%	8%	56	-1.3	196/282/239	43	275	1	19	26%	10%	48	-1.9	184/275/215	31	259	1	22	26%	10%	36	-2.1
✕Melvin Santana 2014 · A	22	42	37→45	51→50	45	200/253/283	83	254	3	11	22%	6%	45	-2.1	203/251/281	78	279	3	11	27%	6%	43	-2.2	195/231/264	69	262	0	19	24%	4%	29	-0.6
✕Nick Sinay 2016 · A	22	45	38→30	47→60	45	207/294/286	79	299	5	10	30%	8%	65	-0.7	203/320/259	56	285	3	22	27%	8%	72	-0.2	187/323/223	36	272	2	30	27%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/333	122	296	14	11	32%	7%	69	-0.4	196/266/321	125	267	17	13	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Erlin Cerda 2016 · A	22	45	35→40	53→55	47	208/277/280	72	264	1	14	20%	7%	55	-1.4	198/248/269	71	293	2	9	31%	5%	39	-2.5	163/196/205	43	251	0	8	34%	3%	-4	-1.3
✕Charcer Burks 2017 · A	22	39→45	39→40	52→50	42	189/255/275	86	267	5	17	30%	7%	45	-2.1	200/273/295	95	285	8	14	30%	8%	57	-1.2	195/270/282	88	278	8	14	30%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→46	37→45	50→60	41	199/250/266	67	260	5	15	25%	5%	40	-2.4	204/263/297	93	276	7	19	27%	7%	53	-1.5	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	39	-2.5	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	61	-1.0	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	64	-0.4
✕Alexis Bastardo 2017 · A	23	41	35→40	50→55	39	192/249/248	56	277	2	10	30%	6%	34	-2.8	199/246/273	74	279	5	13	29%	5%	40	-2.4	187/224/252	66	252	7	20	28%	3%	21	-1.4
✕Estarlin Martinez 2014 · A	22	42→41	40	52→50	43	208/260/302	94	266	8	14	25%	6%	53	-1.5	225/273/291	66	296	3	12	24%	6%	55	-1.4	234/282/282	48	308	1	11	23%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→24	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	54	-1.4	158/251/236	78	308	5	19	45%	9%	35	-2.8	116/220/180	64	246	5	26	49%	10%	6	-2.4
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	40	38→40	52→55	42	193/255/277	85	272	4	9	29%	7%	45	-2.1	209/265/303	94	303	6	7	31%	6%	56	-1.3	218/266/319	101	307	7	4	30%	6%	58	-0.2