Demetrio Nadal — OGILVIE

Demetrio NadalOF Carolina Mudcats

Age 22 R/R 5'7" / 125 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 275 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .278 / .269

PA22

HR0

K%27

BB%9

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	176	142	34	2	3	1	22	29	10	17	3	239	379	317	696	77	289	16	12	327	107	+2	+2	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	19	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	157	120	41	6	5	2	24	19	10	33	10	342	487	525	1.012	183	382	12	15	442	185	+16	+3	—	—	+3	2.2
2025	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	171	136	28	3	0	1	27	37	6	11	3	206	361	250	611	44	270	22	16	298	88	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	21	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	114	97	24	4	2	3	13	20	3	6	4	247	354	423	777	175	280	18	11	346	120	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	176	150	25	1	2	0	14	40	10	17	3	167	282	200	482	33	220	23	8	230	42	-12	+2	—	—	+4	-0.6
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	157	129	31	4	3	1	15	27	10	33	10	240	364	341	705	101	280	17	10	314	99	-0	+3	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	171	146	26	2	0	1	17	51	6	11	3	178	290	212	502	34	258	30	10	239	48	-11	+1	—	—	+4	-0.6
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	114	102	16	2	1	2	8	30	3	6	4	157	239	255	494	98	201	26	7	233	44	-8	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	176	150	25	1	2	0	14	40	10	17	3	167	282	200	482	33	223	23	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	—	176	142	34	2	3	1	22	29	10	17	3	239	379	317	696	77	289	16	12	327	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	157	129	31	4	3	1	15	27	10	33	10	240	364	341	705	101	288	17	10	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	—	157	120	41	6	5	2	24	19	10	33	10	342	487	525	1.012	183	382	12	15	442	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	285	248	43	5	1	3	25	81	9	17	7	173	273	238	511	65	240	28	9	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	285	233	52	7	2	4	40	57	9	17	7	223	358	322	680	99	274	20	14	317	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	176	150	25	1	2	0	14	40	10	17	3	167	282	200	482	33	220	23	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	157	131	31	4	3	1	15	27	10	33	10	237	364	336	700	99	280	17	10	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	285	249	43	5	1	3	25	81	9	17	7	173	273	237	510	64	235	28	9	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	157	131	31	4	3	1	15	27	10	33	10	237	364	336	700	99	280	17	10	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	285	249	43	5	1	3	25	81	9	17	7	173	273	237	510	64	235	28	9	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	22	20	4	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	200	273	250	523	50	267	27	9	256	60	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	320	283	57	10	2	4	28	85	6	7	2	201	287	293	580	92	271	27	9	268	68	-12	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIL	46%	397	352	73	13	2	6	35	104	7	9	2	207	292	307	599	99	273	26	9	276	73	-13	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	439	390	82	15	3	7	39	113	7	10	2	210	294	318	612	108	274	26	9	281	76	-13	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	465	412	88	16	3	8	42	120	8	10	3	214	299	325	624	112	275	26	9	283	77	-12	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	475	421	90	16	3	9	43	123	8	10	3	214	299	330	629	116	275	26	9	283	78	-13	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.5
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	110	97	19	3	1	1	10	29	2	3	1	196	284	278	563	82	269	26	9	255	68	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIL	46%	183	162	34	6	1	3	16	48	3	4	1	210	293	315	608	105	272	26	9	264	73	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	227	201	41	7	1	4	20	59	4	5	1	204	289	308	597	104	273	26	9	269	76	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	252	223	47	8	1	5	23	65	4	6	1	211	296	323	619	112	273	26	9	271	77	-7	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	258	229	48	8	2	5	23	67	4	6	1	210	293	328	620	118	273	26	9	271	78	-7	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1030	912	189	32	6	18	92	268	17	24	5	207	292	315	607	107	271	26	9	268	71	-30	+3	+0	-6	+22	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	119	20	4	11	58	169	11	15	3	207	292	312	604	106	271	26	9	268	71	-19	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2736	2405	493	81	19	38	243	699	65	114	32	205	295	302	597	97	270	26	9	273	71	-64	+5	+0	-13	+46	-2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	117	19	5	9	58	166	15	27	8	205	295	303	598	98	270	26	9	273	71	-20	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,305	20	29	208	289	309	-8	+0	-1.2	-0.6
/162	664	10	15	-4.0	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Demetrio Nadal (OGILVIE)	22	30	20	55	60	192/278/269	76	267	2	6	27%	9%	60	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Joe Munoz 2008 · A	22	43	36→30	51→55	44	202/275/270	69	257	2	16	21%	6%	58	-1.7	204/255/269	65	274	3	9	25%	4%	49	-2.4	197/231/226	29	265	0	9	25%	2%	27	-1.1
✕Richard Nunez 2017 · A	22	43	36→30	49→55	50	202/280/268	66	261	3	13	22%	9%	59	-1.6	195/269/271	76	274	4	9	28%	8%	56	-1.9	196/275/293	97	250	9	3	24%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Juan Montes 2017 · A	22	39	38→30	50→55	43	189/263/266	77	237	6	12	22%	6%	53	-2.1	203/284/273	70	273	5	16	26%	6%	63	-1.4	192/284/244	52	266	4	21	26%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Omar Guerra 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	48→50	45	193/274/246	53	257	2	9	24%	7%	53	-2.1	220/315/279	59	272	2	11	19%	6%	76	-0.4	229/342/268	39	277	0	15	15%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	42	183/275/240	57	297	3	13	36%	8%	52	-2.2	223/279/284	61	291	3	17	23%	6%	61	-1.5	242/289/295	53	301	2	23	19%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	39→40	53→60	49	181/288/262	81	287	6	16	35%	11%	63	-1.4	203/293/281	78	295	5	23	30%	10%	68	-1.0	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Melvin Santana 2014 · A	22	42	37→45	51→50	45	200/253/283	83	254	3	11	22%	6%	51	-2.2	203/251/281	78	279	3	11	27%	6%	50	-2.3	195/231/264	69	262	0	19	24%	4%	37	-0.6
✕Nick Sinay 2016 · A	22	45	38→30	47→60	45	207/294/286	79	299	5	10	30%	8%	69	-0.9	203/321/259	56	283	3	22	27%	8%	76	-0.4	188/325/224	36	271	2	30	26%	8%	67	-0.5
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/276	74	285	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/295/314	104	266	10	15	23%	8%	76	-0.4	205/297/303	98	254	9	15	22%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Tyreace House 2010 · A	22	46	36→30	53→55	46	214/282/276	61	301	3	14	28%	8%	61	-1.5	200/287/242	42	277	1	19	25%	10%	56	-1.9	189/281/218	29	262	1	22	25%	10%	46	-2.0
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2013 · A	23	41	36→40	52→50	47	193/261/264	71	245	3	7	22%	7%	51	-2.3	207/282/289	82	278	6	8	26%	8%	65	-1.2	203/283/282	80	272	6	8	26%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Charcer Burks 2017 · A	22	40→46	39→40	52→50	43	196/262/287	92	272	6	17	29%	7%	57	-1.8	205/277/295	90	285	7	14	28%	8%	64	-1.3	201/275/282	81	279	6	14	28%	8%	59	-1.4
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	46	-2.6	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	65	-1.2	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	68	-0.5
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Erlin Cerda 2016 · A	22	45	35→40	53→55	47	208/277/280	72	264	1	14	20%	7%	60	-1.6	198/248/268	70	295	2	9	32%	5%	46	-2.6	164/198/208	44	258	0	8	35%	4%	9	-1.2
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→28	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	59	-1.6	164/256/247	83	313	6	19	45%	9%	47	-2.6	125/229/196	72	258	5	26	48%	10%	23	-2.1
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	40→44	38→45	50→65	41	197/248/266	70	256	6	15	25%	5%	46	-2.6	206/264/300	94	275	7	19	26%	7%	60	-1.6	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps