Avinson Pinto

SS Salem RidgeYaks
Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 150 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1059ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Red Sox R…172.320/.407/.39311257—.219/.297/.265
202518ROKBOS179.235/.331/.34012135—.168/.234/.242
202619ABOS399.218/.302/.33351351—.197/.259/.295
2027PROJMLE20MLBBOS509.208/.271/.30041261-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBBOS125.220/.284/.3292369-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBBOS198.225/.290/.34435750.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
K%80
Speed72
Z-Con%62
Whiff%60
ISO42
BB%37
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 12, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 79%
CompsLuis Durango (age 20) · Wilbis Santiago (age 20) · Luis Valenzuela (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .268 / .298
PA210
HR2
SB5
K%22
BB%7
ISO92
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.40.50.50.50.30.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Arb-1$2M+0.3$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-2$2M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-3$2M———
Totals $3M $5M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Red Sox Red — 172150 48421 17155 126 320407393800 73351 910 367 57 — — — — — —
202518 ROKFCL Red Sox — 179153 36541 21371 216 235331340671 105294 2112 301 35 — — — — — —
202619 ASalem RidgeYaks — 399354 771655 42721 135 218302333636 116258 1811 289 51 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 172155 34211 12195 126 219297265561 45247 117 252 57 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 179161 27331 13551 216 168234242477 75236 317 220 35 — — — — — —
202619 A MLESalem RidgeYaks — 399366 721454 30981 135 197259295555 98250 258 244 51 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 172155 34211 12195 126 219297265561 45244 117 252 57 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox Red — 172150 48421 17155 126 320407393800 73351 910 367 57 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 179161 27331 13551 216 168234242477 75239 317 220 35 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 179153 36541 21371 216 235331340671 105294 2112 301 35 — — — — — —
202619 A MLESalem RidgeYaks — 399366 721454 30981 135 197259295555 98256 258 244 51 — — — — — —
202619 A RAWSalem RidgeYaks — 399354 771655 42721 135 218302333636 116258 1811 289 51 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 172153 34211 12195 126 222297268564 46247 117 252 57 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 179163 27331 13551 216 166234239474 74236 317 220 35 — — — — — —
202619 A MLESalem RidgeYaks — 399365 721454 30981 135 197259296555 99250 258 244 51 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Red — 172153 34211 12195 126 222297268564 46247 117 252 57 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 179163 27331 13551 216 166234239474 74236 317 220 35 — — — — — —
202619 A MLESalem RidgeYaks — 399365 721454 30981 135 197259296555 99250 258 244 51 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEBOS 0% 509464 961864 381142 124 208271300571 92263 227 259 61 -24 +1 +0 +5 +11 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEBOS 34% 364331 711345 28802 93 214279322601 107266 228 271 69 -13 +1 +0 +4 +8 -0.1
202922 MLB MLEBOS 48% 408371 811547 32882 113 219285337622 118268 228 279 75 -12 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.2
203023 MLB MLEBOS 54% 455414 921758 36982 124 223289348637 125270 228 285 79 -11 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.4
203124 MLB MLEBOS 55% 505457 10319510 401083 134 226292355647 129272 218 290 82 -11 +1 +0 +5 +11 0.7
203225 MLB MLEBOS 56% 558505 11521611 451193 144 227294359653 132273 218 292 84 -11 +1 +0 +6 +12 0.9
203326 MLB MLEBOS 56% 568514 11721612 461223 145 227294358653 131272 218 292 84 -11 +1 +0 +6 +12 0.8
203427 MLB MLEBOS 60% 568514 11621611 461223 145 226293356649 130272 218 291 83 -12 +1 +0 +6 +12 0.8
203528 MLB MLEBOS 62% 561508 11421511 451223 124 224292351643 127271 228 288 81 -13 +1 -1 +6 +12 0.6
203629 MLB MLEBOS 63% 548496 11020510 441213 114 222289346635 124270 228 285 79 -14 +1 -1 +6 +12 0.3
203730 MLB MLEBOS 63% 534484 10619510 431192 104 219285338624 119269 228 280 76 -15 +0 -2 +6 +12 0.0
202821 MLB CTXBOS 34% 125113 25512 10281 31 220284329613 109274 228 276 69 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
202922 MLB CTXBOS 48% 198180 40823 15431 52 225290344634 119276 228 285 75 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
203023 MLB CTXBOS 54% 247224 501024 20531 62 229295355649 126278 218 291 79 -6 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
203124 MLB CTXBOS 55% 280254 591235 22602 72 232298362660 130280 218 295 82 -6 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.4
203225 MLB CTXBOS 56% 312282 661336 25672 82 233300366666 133281 218 297 84 -6 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.5
203326 MLB CTXBOS 56% 319288 671436 26682 83 233300366665 133281 218 297 84 -6 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.5
203427 MLB CTXBOS 60% 339307 711437 27732 83 232299363662 131280 228 296 83 -7 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.5
203528 MLB CTXBOS 62% 346313 731537 28752 83 230297359656 129280 228 293 81 -8 +0 -0 +4 +7 0.3
203629 MLB CTXBOS 63% 344311 711436 28762 73 228294353647 125278 228 290 79 -9 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.2
203730 MLB CTXBOS 63% 339307 701436 27762 63 225291346637 121277 228 286 76 -10 +0 -1 +4 +7 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 28492579 5921192652 22861917 6624 230296356653 127281 228 292 75 -68 +4 -3 +31 +62 2.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 13527612 521414 155 230297357654 128280 228 292 75 -15 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.6
Career— MLE — 60295467 119721362103 476131834 17159 219286337623 118268 228 279 75 -132 +8 -4 +57 +114 4.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650589 12923711 511424 186 219286338624 119268 228 279 75 -16 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASalem RidgeYaks · 399 PAwOBA .283 → .244 (−39)K% 18.0% → 24.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.05%÷1.000×1.360——24.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.53%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0457.59%
HBP% /PA0.25%—×0.780—×1.0450.20%
Singles /BIP18.09%÷1.000×0.920×1.034×1.04517.98%
Doubles /BIP5.67%÷1.000×0.830×1.034×1.0455.09%
Triples /BIP1.77%÷1.000×0.910×1.034×1.0451.74%
Home runs /BIP1.77%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0451.48%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .283 → .244; ISO .116 → .099; BABIP .258 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Red Sox · 179 PAwOBA .301 → .220 (−81)K% 20.7% → 30.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.67%÷0.965×1.440——30.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.73%÷0.988×0.620—×1.0227.53%
HBP% /PA0.56%—×0.720—×1.0220.41%
Singles /BIP22.41%÷1.033×0.820×1.017×1.02218.49%
Doubles /BIP4.31%÷1.101×0.720×1.017×1.0222.93%
Triples /BIP3.45%÷0.900×0.720×1.017×1.0222.87%
Home runs /BIP0.86%÷0.815×0.780—×1.0220.84%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 107, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .301 → .220; ISO .105 → .080; BABIP .294 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Red Sox Red · 172 PAwOBA .358 → .252 (−106)K% 8.7% → 11.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.72%÷0.965×1.220——11.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.88%÷1.044×0.700—×1.0226.77%
HBP% /PA2.91%—×0.700—×1.0222.08%
Singles /BIP30.37%÷1.000×0.680×1.038×1.02221.93%
Doubles /BIP2.96%÷1.124×0.600×1.038×1.0221.68%
Triples /BIP1.48%÷0.900×0.600×1.038×1.0221.05%
Home runs /BIP0.74%÷0.953×0.470—×1.0220.37%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 80, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .358 → .252; ISO .073 → .045; BABIP .351 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).