Yairo Padilla

SS Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

APROSPECTFG #194MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP48ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKSTL	148	.283/.399/.367	0	24	64	—	.228/.315/.283
2026	19	A+STL	16	.143/.250/.357	1	0	27	—	.133/.188/.333
2026	19	ASTL	128	.281/.354/.474	3	10	94	—	.246/.299/.398
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBSTL	254	.226/.290/.348	5	6	80	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSTL	80	.231/.297/.362	2	2	86	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBSTL	170	.235/.301/.375	4	4	91	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$4M2033Arb-2$8M2034Arb-3$11M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed87

K%75

Max EV73

Z-Con%68

Whiff%54

Chase%36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 20, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 75%

CompsPedro Ramírez (age 20) · Juan Brito (age 20) · Alen Hanson (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 137 proj PA

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .288 / .345

PA137

HR3

K%25

BB%7

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2033	Arb-2	$8M	+1.0	$5M	+$1.0M
2034	Arb-3	$11M	+1.0	$5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$15M		$21M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	162	136	39	5	4	1	17	29	7	22	5	287	394	404	798	118	355	18	10	359	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	148	120	34	4	3	0	18	21	5	24	4	283	399	367	765	83	340	14	12	342	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	16	14	2	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	143	250	357	607	214	125	31	12	274	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	128	114	32	9	2	3	13	24	0	10	6	281	354	474	828	193	333	19	10	362	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	162	141	26	3	2	0	12	36	7	22	5	184	281	234	515	50	237	22	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	148	127	29	3	2	0	11	30	5	24	4	228	315	283	598	55	280	20	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	16	15	2	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	133	188	333	521	200	118	38	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	128	118	29	8	2	2	9	33	0	10	6	246	299	398	698	153	324	26	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	162	141	26	3	2	0	12	36	7	22	5	184	281	234	515	50	245	22	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	162	136	39	5	4	1	17	29	7	22	5	287	394	404	798	118	355	18	10	359	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	148	127	29	3	2	0	11	30	5	24	4	228	315	283	598	55	296	20	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	148	120	34	4	3	0	18	21	5	24	4	283	399	367	765	83	340	14	12	342	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	144	132	31	8	2	3	11	39	0	10	6	235	294	394	688	159	311	27	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	144	128	34	9	2	4	15	29	0	10	6	266	343	461	804	195	316	20	10	353	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	162	142	26	3	2	0	12	36	7	22	5	183	281	232	514	49	237	22	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	148	131	29	3	2	0	11	30	5	24	4	221	315	275	589	53	280	20	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	144	132	31	8	2	3	11	39	0	10	6	235	294	394	688	159	301	27	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	162	142	26	3	2	0	12	36	7	22	5	183	281	232	514	49	237	22	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	148	131	29	3	2	0	11	30	5	24	4	221	315	275	589	53	280	20	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	144	132	31	8	2	3	11	39	0	10	6	235	294	394	688	159	301	27	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	0%	254	231	52	9	2	5	18	64	3	6	2	226	290	348	638	122	289	25	7	286	80	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	STL	34%	233	211	49	9	2	5	17	58	3	5	1	231	297	366	662	135	290	25	7	296	86	-4	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	STL	48%	351	318	75	13	3	9	26	86	4	8	2	235	301	380	681	144	291	25	7	303	91	-4	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.7
2030	23	MLB MLE	STL	54%	429	389	93	16	4	12	32	104	5	9	3	238	305	390	695	151	292	24	7	309	95	-2	+1	-1	+5	+9	1.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	STL	55%	481	436	104	18	4	14	37	116	5	10	3	241	308	397	705	157	293	24	8	313	98	-1	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	STL	56%	510	460	111	20	4	15	39	122	6	11	3	242	309	402	711	160	294	24	8	315	100	-0	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	STL	56%	526	474	115	20	4	16	41	126	6	11	3	242	310	404	714	162	293	24	8	317	100	+0	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	STL	55%	532	480	115	20	4	16	41	128	6	11	3	241	309	402	711	161	293	24	8	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	STL	55%	531	479	115	20	4	16	41	129	6	10	3	240	307	398	705	158	292	24	8	313	98	-1	+1	-1	+6	+12	1.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	523	473	113	20	4	15	40	128	5	9	3	237	304	392	696	154	291	24	8	309	95	-3	+1	-1	+6	+11	1.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	STL	57%	514	465	109	19	4	14	39	128	5	8	3	235	301	384	685	150	290	25	8	305	92	-5	+0	-2	+6	+11	1.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	STL	60%	501	453	105	18	4	13	38	127	5	6	4	231	296	375	671	144	287	25	8	299	89	-7	-0	-3	+5	+11	0.6
2039	32	MLB MLE	STL	61%	483	440	99	17	3	12	36	124	4	5	6	226	290	363	653	137	284	26	7	292	84	-9	-1	-3	+5	+10	0.1
2040	33	MLB MLE	STL	62%	454	414	91	15	3	11	33	120	4	5	12	220	283	348	632	129	279	26	7	283	78	-12	-4	-4	+5	+10	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	STL	34%	80	73	17	3	1	2	6	20	1	2	1	231	297	362	659	131	292	25	8	295	86	-1	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	STL	48%	170	153	36	7	1	4	13	42	2	4	1	235	301	375	677	140	293	25	8	302	91	-2	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	STL	54%	233	210	50	9	2	6	18	56	3	5	1	238	305	385	690	147	294	24	8	307	95	-1	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	STL	55%	267	242	58	11	2	7	20	64	3	6	2	240	307	392	699	152	295	24	7	311	98	-1	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.8
2032	25	MLB CTX	STL	56%	286	259	63	12	2	8	22	68	3	6	2	242	309	396	705	155	295	24	8	313	100	-0	+0	+0	+3	+6	1.0
2033	26	MLB CTX	STL	56%	296	268	64	12	2	8	23	71	3	6	2	242	309	399	708	157	295	24	8	314	100	+0	+0	+0	+3	+6	1.0
2034	27	MLB CTX	STL	55%	294	266	64	12	2	8	23	71	3	6	2	241	308	396	705	155	295	24	8	313	99	-0	+0	+0	+3	+6	1.0
2035	28	MLB CTX	STL	55%	291	264	63	12	2	8	22	71	3	5	2	239	307	392	699	153	294	24	8	311	98	-1	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.9
2036	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	279	253	60	11	2	8	21	69	3	5	2	237	304	386	690	149	293	25	8	307	95	-2	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.7
2037	30	MLB CTX	STL	57%	293	266	62	11	2	8	22	73	3	5	2	234	301	379	680	145	292	25	8	303	92	-3	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.6
2038	31	MLB CTX	STL	60%	298	271	61	11	2	7	22	75	3	4	2	231	296	370	666	140	289	25	7	297	89	-4	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.4
2039	32	MLB CTX	STL	61%	296	269	61	11	2	7	22	76	3	3	4	226	290	359	649	133	285	26	7	290	84	-6	-1	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2040	33	MLB CTX	STL	62%	284	259	57	10	2	6	21	75	2	3	8	219	283	344	627	125	281	26	7	281	78	-8	-3	-3	+3	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3367	3053	716	132	24	87	255	831	35	60	31	235	301	379	680	144	293	25	8	304	91	-27	-0	-11	+36	+73	7.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	138	25	5	17	49	160	7	12	6	234	300	380	681	146	292	25	8	304	91	-5	-0	-2	+7	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6659	6017	1408	244	54	174	504	1636	77	167	65	234	301	379	681	145	291	25	8	303	91	-52	+2	-20	+66	+134	13.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	137	24	5	17	49	160	8	16	6	233	301	378	679	145	291	25	8	303	91	-5	+0	-2	+7	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Jack Barry'08-'19 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,902 PA	7.4	4,902	10	153	242*	319*	374*	+43	-16	14.0	14.3
/162	664	1	21	+5.8	-2.2	1.9	pk7: 15
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.3	3,504	97	62	236	299	386	+38	-6	10.3	8.9
/162	664	18	12	+7.1	-1.1	1.9	pk7: 8
#4Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#5Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	4.2	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.7	7.1
/162	664	11	12	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#6Ernie Johnson'12-'25 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,915 PA	4.4	2,915	19	114	245*	298*	380*	+28	-5	5.1	6.5
/162	664	4	26	+6.4	-1.1	1.2	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yairo Padilla (OGILVIE)	20	33→53	39→54	53→52	47	224/288/345	121	289	3	3	25%	7%	80	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Ramírez 2024 · A	20	48→57	42→45	51→55	48	234/298/345	111	291	9	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	255/308/360	105	318	8	17	21%	6%	90	+0.6	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	44→50	41→50	47→45	46	215/282/311	96	276	9	12	25%	8%	70	-0.9	234/317/368	134	286	12	9	21%	10%	96	+1.0	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Alen Hanson 2013 · A	20	49→53	46→50	56→60	45	241/296/389	148	299	11	20	23%	7%	92	+0.7	244/285/377	133	308	10	22	23%	5%	84	+0.2	253/288/390	138	302	12	30	20%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
●Bryan Rincon 2024 · A	20	43→47	43→45	49→55	54	210/307/319	109	268	10	19	24%	11%	82	-0.0	196/286/316	120	277	12	25	31%	10%	73	-0.6	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→48	45→55	51→55	44	213/272/340	128	284	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	233/294/390	157	279	18	13	23%	7%	93	+0.8	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	46→50	45→50	48→50	47	228/296/358	131	289	11	11	25%	8%	86	+0.3	231/289/358	127	289	12	10	23%	7%	82	+0.0	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	49→51	43→60	53→50	45	240/293/355	115	293	11	17	22%	6%	83	+0.1	213/260/318	105	291	9	15	29%	5%	62	-1.4	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	49→51	44→50	48→55	46	237/306/359	122	312	12	12	27%	8%	89	+0.5	247/312/378	131	315	13	16	24%	7%	96	+1.0	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Nick Franklin 2012 · AA	21	47→51	47→50	53→50	42	234/284/366	132	302	14	15	27%	6%	82	+0.0	241/302/376	135	310	13	12	25%	8%	91	+0.7	240/308/375	135	306	13	12	25%	9%	92	+0.7
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	44→54	45→55	49→50	41	220/273/347	128	293	12	11	29%	6%	74	-0.5	259/309/398	139	326	14	13	24%	6%	99	+1.3	267/319/412	145	327	15	13	22%	6%	104	+1.4
●Angel Genao 2024 · A	20	47→57	39→45	48→50	48	224/290/313	89	292	6	9	24%	8%	73	-0.6	262/314/381	119	324	9	12	21%	7%	97	+1.1	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	222/268/341	119	285	11	8	26%	5%	71	-0.8	243/289/351	108	300	10	4	22%	5%	80	-0.1	256/300/415	159	303	18	3	21%	4%	99	+0.9
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA	20	44→53	46→50	56→60	43	214/287/346	132	318	13	20	35%	8%	80	-0.2	243/316/381	138	333	15	28	29%	9%	98	+1.2	252/327/388	136	335	16	33	28%	10%	102	+1.1
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48→50	43→50	52→50	43	227/289/346	119	322	8	10	30%	7%	80	-0.2	205/274/309	104	307	9	11	34%	7%	66	-1.1	246/324/371	124	344	12	15	29%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Brayan Rocchio 2022 · AA	21	47→56	46→45	50	40	230/288/366	136	303	13	16	28%	5%	84	+0.2	237/302/360	123	291	11	15	21%	7%	88	+0.4	235/306/352	117	282	10	15	20%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	51→52	45	49→50	47	249/304/371	122	299	13	11	21%	7%	91	+0.6	242/328/367	125	291	10	13	19%	10%	99	+1.3	240/330/363	124	285	10	12	18%	10%	97	+1.0
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	46→56	41→50	45→55	48	223/287/324	101	278	9	11	23%	8%	74	-0.5	249/327/380	131	292	14	17	19%	9%	102	+1.5	244/325/378	134	283	16	23	19%	10%	99	+0.9
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	48→55	46→50	55	52	233/315/374	141	290	12	21	23%	10%	96	+1.0	239/326/389	150	309	14	21	25%	10%	103	+1.6	237/330/391	154	306	15	24	25%	10%	104	+0.9

Yairo Padilla

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps