Frailin Alejo — OGILVIE

Frailin Alejo P DSL Cubs Blue

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 150 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 8 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%21.2%

BB%14.6%

K-BB%6.6%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	10	10	22	112	10	25	0	100%	2.2	6.1%	27.9%	-21.8%	0.0%	7.89	6.12	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	10	10	22	112	10	25	0	100%	2.2	6.1%	27.9%	-21.8%	0.0%	7.89	6.12	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	10	10	22	112	10	25	0	100%	2.2	8.9%	22.3%	-13.4%	0.0%	7.89	5.64	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	6	1	10	50	8	6	0	17%	1.6	10.9%	15.0%	-4.1%	0.0%	2.79	4.08	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	6	1	10	50	8	6	0	17%	1.6	10.9%	15.0%	-4.1%	0.0%	2.79	4.08	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	6	1	10	50	8	6	0	17%	1.6	16.0%	12.0%	4.0%	0.0%	2.79	3.31	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	CHC	1	1	8	34	7	5	1	100%	8.0	21.2%	14.6%	6.6%	3.0%	5.16	5.16	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CHC	4	4	20	84	18	11	2	100%	5.0	21.9%	12.9%	9.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.86	+0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	CHC	2	2	10	42	9	5	1	100%	5.0	21.9%	12.9%	9.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.86	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	9	5	1	100%	4.9	21.8%	12.9%	9.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.48	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	183	102	20	100%	4.8	21.8%	12.9%	9.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.48	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		16	11	31	162	12	39	0	69%	2.0	7.6%	23.9%	-16.4%	0.0%	6.32	5.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		102	70	200	1034	78	247	0	69%	2.0	7.6%	23.9%	-16.4%	0.0%	6.32	5.49	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Frailin Alejo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	21.2%	14.6%	3.0%	—	4.86	21.9%	9.0%	20	-0.30	—	—	—
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	81
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	80
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	80
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	80
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	78
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	78
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	77
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	76
Accimias Morales R 2024 · 4.24 FIP	19	SP-	4.24	18.5%	13.0%	1.9%	.362	5.25	18.6%	-2.1%	75	+1.01	2.52	129	76
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	76
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	76
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	75
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	75
Alfred Vega R 2021 · 4.56 FIP	20	SP-	4.56	20.5%	16.0%	2.1%	.203	4.66	13.4%	0.6%	81	+0.10	2.07	234	75
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	75
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	75
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	75
Grayson Long R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	21	SP	4.38	17.6%	14.7%	1.7%	.346	3.91	19.0%	9.9%	192	-0.47	3.46	211	75
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	75
Jonawel Valdez R 2024 · 4.13 FIP	20	SP-	4.13	17.5%	13.8%	1.4%	.309	5.20	12.5%	0.2%	81	+1.07	4.04	141	75