Samuel Estevez — OGILVIE

Samuel EstevezOF DSL Marlins

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 184 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 5 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .200 / .200

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%8

BABIP260

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	185	152	33	5	0	0	25	65	5	18	6	217	346	250	596	33	371	35	14	286	80	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	60	48	9	2	1	1	10	18	2	8	4	188	350	333	683	146	276	30	17	321	103	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	185	161	24	3	0	0	16	95	5	18	6	149	247	168	415	19	325	51	9	193	17	-18	+1	—	—	+4	-1.3
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	60	52	6	1	1	0	6	25	2	8	4	115	233	173	406	58	212	42	10	205	25	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	185	161	24	3	0	0	16	95	5	18	6	149	247	168	415	19	353	51	9	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	185	152	33	5	0	0	25	65	5	18	6	217	346	250	596	33	371	35	14	286	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	60	52	6	1	1	0	6	25	2	8	4	115	233	173	406	58	222	42	10	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	60	48	9	2	1	1	10	18	2	8	4	188	350	333	683	146	276	30	17	321	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	185	162	24	3	0	0	16	95	5	18	6	148	247	167	414	19	325	51	9	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	60	52	6	1	1	0	6	25	2	8	4	115	233	173	406	58	212	42	10	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	185	162	24	3	0	0	16	95	5	18	6	148	247	167	414	19	325	51	9	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	60	52	6	1	1	0	6	25	2	8	4	115	233	173	406	58	212	42	10	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	MIA	—	34	30	5	0	1	1	2	16	1	2	0	167	242	333	576	167	286	47	6	201	22	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	MIA	—	34	29	6	0	1	1	3	11	1	2	0	207	303	379	682	172	278	32	9	298	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	MIA	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		266	40	0	234	45	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	MIA	—	39	35	6	0	1	1	2	18	1	2	0	171	237	314	551	143	294	46	5	205	25	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	152	137	25	4	1	2	12	49	2	4	1	182	258	270	528	88	268	32	8	245	52	-9	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
2027	20	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	52	47	8	1	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	170	250	255	505	85	261	33	8	230	52	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	52	47	8	1	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	170	250	255	505	85	241	33	8	230	32	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	99	12	0	12	50	212	12	12	0	168	248	250	498	82	239	33	8	230	32	-37	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	402	355	56	8	2	2	34	171	9	30	11	158	249	208	457	51	292	43	8	215	32	-9	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	90	13	3	3	55	276	15	49	18	157	249	206	454	49	290	42	8	215	32	-37	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Estevez (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	29→34	62→67	58	175/250/252	77	266	1	2	34%	8%	45	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→37	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	51	-2.2	202/266/283	81	296	5	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/261	67	295	4	7	33%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Ariel Montesino 2015 · A	19	38	36→40	53→50	41	181/239/249	69	257	3	16	30%	6%	38	-3.2	196/247/255	59	258	3	9	24%	6%	42	-2.9	189/241/241	52	247	3	7	23%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Alexander Benua 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	54→55	39	183/255/246	63	276	2	19	32%	6%	45	-2.7	194/261/278	84	298	6	14	34%	6%	54	-2.0	184/253/275	91	291	7	12	37%	7%	50	-0.8
✕Demetrio Nadal 2023 · A	19	42	36→30	55	47	197/281/261	64	262	3	17	24%	8%	59	-1.7	210/300/290	80	274	4	25	23%	8%	72	-0.7	193/293/271	78	257	5	32	24%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Michael Crouse 2010 · A	19	37→39	38→50	56→55	39	179/240/260	81	282	4	21	36%	7%	42	-2.9	188/253/309	121	310	11	20	40%	7%	58	-1.7	195/263/321	126	297	12	19	36%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/244/260	78	273	5	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	186/240/278	92	291	8	9	37%	6%	46	-2.6	178/231/275	98	279	10	10	38%	6%	40	-1.2
✕Neyfy Castillo 2019 · A	18	37→31	36→45	54→55	39	177/242/241	64	278	4	16	36%	6%	38	-3.2	182/246/274	92	300	8	13	39%	7%	47	-2.5	164/235/286	121	289	15	16	46%	7%	44	-1.5
✕Hans Montero 2023 · A	19	35→38	35→45	52→55	41	159/254/212	53	293	3	18	42%	9%	38	-3.2	175/263/264	89	295	8	16	39%	9%	53	-2.1	171/261/288	116	285	12	22	41%	9%	55	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2018 · A	19	44→29	36→45	52→50	43	203/273/273	70	297	3	14	30%	7%	57	-1.8	193/263/272	79	302	5	16	35%	8%	53	-2.1	201/267/335	134	314	13	17	38%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Antonio Tovar 2014 · A	18	40	34→30	53→45	47	187/263/237	50	262	2	14	27%	9%	45	-2.7	205/274/264	59	266	2	10	22%	8%	55	-1.9	206/272/262	56	259	3	9	20%	8%	53	-0.9
✕Kevonte Mitchell 2015 · A	19	47→38	35→45	60→50	41	217/275/282	65	309	2	20	29%	6%	59	-1.6	211/273/299	88	301	6	16	30%	7%	63	-1.4	175/232/288	113	253	13	10	35%	6%	44	-1.8
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	41	37→40	53→55	43	195/256/271	76	260	4	13	25%	6%	50	-2.3	197/266/280	83	273	6	17	28%	7%	56	-1.9	189/268/272	83	254	9	24	27%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	39→38	39→45	54→55	42	186/270/274	88	290	7	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	186/268/290	104	258	9	15	30%	8%	60	-1.6	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Christian Olivo 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	52→55	40	185/256/243	58	276	2	14	32%	6%	45	-2.7	185/253/249	64	274	4	16	32%	7%	45	-2.7	174/244/231	57	255	4	21	31%	7%	35	-1.6
✕Markus Brisker 2010 · A	19	39→36	35→40	52→55	38	184/234/234	51	283	3	22	34%	6%	33	-3.6	182/252/254	72	294	5	18	37%	8%	45	-2.7	161/246/235	74	266	5	23	38%	8%	37	-1.6
✕Wilson Amador 2016 · A	19	35	34→30	53→55	37	169/235/226	57	255	2	17	32%	5%	32	-3.6	190/238/259	69	289	3	16	33%	4%	40	-3.1	189/226/255	66	290	3	22	34%	3%	32	-1.0
✕Jose Vinicio 2011 · A	18	42→30	37→40	59→55	39	203/240/285	82	262	4	14	24%	4%	47	-2.6	205/239/279	74	281	4	20	27%	3%	45	-2.7	246/270/306	60	314	1	12	21%	3%	59	-0.6
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	63	-1.4	209/267/303	94	296	7	19	30%	6%	61	-1.5	204/264/295	91	289	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Yowelfy Rosario 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	53→45	40	186/251/280	95	295	4	7	36%	7%	51	-2.3	185/245/267	82	320	4	7	40%	6%	45	-2.7	131/183/181	50	249	3	5	46%	5%	0	-1.6