Samuel Estevez

OF DSL Marlins
Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 184 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Phillies …185.217/.346/.25001823—.151/.258/.170
202518ROKDSL Miami60.188/.350/.3331823—.118/.250/.176
202619ROKMIA34.207/.303/.3791212—.133/.212/.200
2027PROJMLE20MLBMIA144.192/.265/.2621451-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBMIA29.191/.266/.2680158-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Speed76
ISO75
BB%71
Chase%70
wOBA46
wRC+38
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsIsmael Alcantara (age 20) · George Feliz (age 20) · Neyfy Castillo (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 29 proj PA
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .263 / .260
PA29
HR0
K%33
BB%8
ISO71
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +0.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 185152 33500 25655 186 217346250596 33371 3514 286 23 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Miami — 6048 9211 10182 84 188350333683 146276 3017 321 23 — — — — — —
202619 ROKDSL Marlins — 3429 6011 3111 20 207303379682 172278 329 298 12 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 185159 24300 18805 186 151258170428 19277 4310 202 23 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 6051 6110 7212 84 118250176426 59176 3512 202 23 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 3430 4010 2131 20 133212200412 67178 386 186 12 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 185159 24300 18805 186 151258170428 19296 4310 202 23 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Phillies Red — 185152 33500 25655 186 217346250596 33371 3514 286 23 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 6051 6110 7212 84 118250176426 59200 3512 202 23 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Miami — 6048 9211 10182 84 188350333683 146276 3017 321 23 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 3430 4010 2131 20 133212200412 67222 386 186 12 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWDSL Marlins — 3429 6011 3111 20 207303379682 172278 329 298 12 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 185160 24300 18805 186 150258169427 19277 4310 202 23 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 6051 6110 7212 84 118250176426 59176 3512 202 23 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 3431 4010 2131 20 129212194406 65178 386 186 12 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 185160 24300 18805 186 150258169427 19277 4310 202 23 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 6051 6110 7212 84 118250176426 59176 3512 202 23 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 3431 4010 2131 20 129212194406 65178 386 186 12 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEMIA 0% 144130 25411 11472 41 192265262527 71287 338 244 51 -8 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEMIA 34% 8376 15211 6271 20 197271280551 83289 337 253 58 -4 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.3
202821 MLB CTXMIA 34% 2927 5100 290 10 191266268534 77280 317 247 58 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2927 5100 290 10 185241222464 37278 317 247 31 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650605 1122200 452020 220 185242221463 36278 317 247 31 -33 +4 +0 -4 +14 -1.8
Career— MLE — 391343 54731 351509 3110 157253204457 47272 389 215 31 -6 +1 +0 -1 +2 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 901252 5824915 5217 158253207461 49272 389 215 31 -34 +3 +0 -4 +14 -2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Marlins · 34 PAwOBA .300 → .186 (−113)K% 32.4% → 39.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.35%÷1.000×1.220——39.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.82%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9956.15%
HBP% /PA2.94%—×0.700—×0.9952.05%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.000×0.680—×0.99515.04%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9950.00%
Triples /BIP5.56%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9953.32%
Home runs /BIP5.56%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9952.60%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .300 → .186; ISO .172 → .089; BABIP .278 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Miami · 60 PAwOBA .313 → .202 (−111)K% 30.0% → 35.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.00%÷1.040×1.220——35.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷0.978×0.700—×1.00812.01%
HBP% /PA3.33%—×0.700—×1.0082.35%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷0.978×0.680—×1.00811.67%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.026×0.600—×1.0083.93%
Triples /BIP3.33%÷1.088×0.600—×1.0081.85%
Home runs /BIP3.33%÷1.423×0.470—×1.0081.11%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 118, K 108, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .313 → .202; ISO .146 → .069; BABIP .276 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Phillies Red · 185 PAwOBA .283 → .202 (−81)K% 35.1% → 43.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.14%÷0.989×1.220——43.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.51%÷0.983×0.700—×1.0229.84%
HBP% /PA2.70%—×0.700—×1.0221.93%
Singles /BIP32.18%÷0.919×0.680×1.017×1.02224.79%
Doubles /BIP5.75%÷1.013×0.600×1.017×1.0223.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.071×0.600×1.017×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.913×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 84, 2B 103, 3B 114, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .283 → .202; ISO .033 → .019; BABIP .371 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).