Merphy Hernandez

Merphy HernandezOF FCL Twins

Age 19 L/L 5'11" / 150 lbs ROK BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.7 · 2033

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .290 / .332

PA58

HR1

K%28

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

43↗48

PWR

33↗38

SPD

75↗80

EYE

53↗58

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.7peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.6	$25M	+$24M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.7	$27M	+$26M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.7	$27M	+$26M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.6	$27M	+$22M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+2.4	$26M	+$18M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+2.1	$23M	+$13M
Totals		$27M		$155M	+$128M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	190	167	33	3	4	2	17	43	3	36	2	.198	.283	.299	.583	.102	.248	23	9	.250	50	-11	+6	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2025	18	ROK	FCL Twins	54	46	5	1	1	0	5	19	3	8	5	.109	.241	.174	.415	.065	.185	35	9	.193	6	-6	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	MIN	58	52	11	2	0	1	5	16	1	2	0	.212	.293	.308	.601	.096	.289	28	9	.284	75	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	MIN	148	131	30	5	1	4	14	39	2	5	1	.229	.313	.374	.687	.145	.296	26	9	.304	91	-2	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2028	21	MLB 28%	MIN	292	257	61	11	2	8	29	74	4	11	2	.237	.324	.389	.713	.152	.297	25	10	.317	101	+0	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.8
2029	22	MLB 48%	MIN	399	349	85	15	3	12	42	98	5	15	3	.244	.333	.407	.740	.163	.297	25	11	.325	107	+3	+2	+0	-2	+11	1.4
2030	23	MLB 65%	MIN	471	412	100	17	3	15	50	113	6	17	4	.243	.333	.408	.741	.165	.297	24	11	.331	111	+6	+2	+0	-3	+13	1.9
2031	24	MLB 82%	MIN	518	449	110	19	3	17	57	123	7	19	4	.245	.339	.414	.753	.169	.297	24	11	.335	115	+8	+2	+0	-3	+15	2.3
2032	25	MLB	MIN	547	474	117	20	4	18	61	129	7	20	4	.247	.341	.420	.761	.173	.298	24	11	.338	117	+10	+2	+0	-3	+15	2.6
2033	26	MLB	MIN	562	486	121	21	4	19	64	133	7	20	4	.249	.345	.426	.771	.177	.299	24	11	.340	118	+12	+2	+0	-3	+16	2.7
2034	27	MLB	MIN	567	489	121	21	4	19	65	134	8	20	4	.247	.345	.423	.769	.176	.299	24	11	.340	118	+12	+2	+0	-3	+16	2.7
2035	28	MLB	MIN	566	489	121	21	4	19	65	135	7	20	4	.247	.344	.423	.767	.176	.298	24	11	.339	117	+11	+2	-1	-3	+16	2.6
2036	29	MLB	MIN	558	481	116	20	3	18	65	135	7	19	3	.241	.340	.407	.747	.166	.297	24	12	.337	116	+10	+3	-1	-3	+16	2.4
2037	30	MLB	MIN	549	473	113	19	3	17	64	135	7	19	3	.239	.338	.400	.738	.161	.296	25	12	.333	113	+8	+3	-2	-3	+16	2.1
2038	31	MLB	MIN	536	462	110	19	3	17	62	134	7	17	2	.238	.337	.403	.740	.165	.295	25	12	.330	111	+6	+3	-3	-3	+15	1.9
2039	32	MLB	MIN	518	447	104	18	3	15	60	132	6	16	1	.233	.331	.387	.718	.154	.293	25	12	.325	107	+4	+3	-4	-3	+15	1.5
2040	33	MLB	MIN	489	424	97	16	3	14	56	128	6	15	1	.229	.327	.380	.707	.151	.291	26	11	.319	103	+1	+3	-4	-3	+14	1.1
2041	34	MLB	MIN	442	383	85	14	2	12	51	119	5	14	0	.222	.321	.363	.684	.141	.290	27	12	.313	98	-1	+3	-5	-3	+13	0.7
2042	35	MLB	MIN	388	336	73	12	2	10	44	109	5	13	0	.217	.317	.354	.671	.137	.287	28	11	.305	92	-4	+3	-6	-2	+11	0.2
2043	36	MLB	MIN	328	284	61	10	2	8	37	95	4	11	0	.215	.314	.349	.662	.134	.284	29	11	.296	85	-6	+2	-6	-2	+9	-0.2
2044	37	MLB	MIN	264	230	46	7	1	6	29	79	3	9	0	.200	.298	.317	.615	.117	.281	30	11	.286	77	-7	+2	-7	-2	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8444	7321	1720	291	55	251	942	2122	110	326	47	.235	.331	.393	.724	.158	.294	25	11	.324	106	+56	+46	-38	-51	+239	25.7
/ 162G	—			650	564	131	22	4	19	73	163	8	25	4	.232	.329	.387	.715	.154	.291	25	11	.324	106	+4	+3	-3	-4	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	190	156	43	4	6	2	28	30	3	36	2	.276	.396	.417	.812	.141	.323	16	15	.362	135	+8	+6	—	—	+5	2.0
2025	18	ROK	FCL Twins	54	43	7	2	1	0	8	13	3	8	5	.163	.333	.256	.589	.093	.233	24	15	.289	79	-1	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Merphy Hernandez (OGILVIE)	19	43→48	33→38	75→80	58	.214/.290/.332	.118	.289	1	2	28%	9%	75	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	45→55	42→45	57→70	45	.220/.273/.329	.110	.277	8	17	23%	7%	66	-0.6	.218/.270/.313	.095	.291	8	18	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
●Esteury Ruiz 2019 · A	20	44→54	43→50	58→70	37	.212/.260/.329	.117	.307	9	25	33%	5%	60	-1.0	.203/.254/.314	.111	.301	11	30	34%	5%	54	-1.4	.264/.338/.396	.132	.327	13	74	22%	6%	108	+1.6
✕Franchy Cordero 2014 · A	19	46→53	38→55	57→50	39	.211/.266/.297	.086	.326	5	13	35%	7%	53	-1.5	.209/.251/.287	.078	.321	5	13	35%	5%	44	-2.1	.230/.301/.392	.162	.321	18	12	32%	8%	92	+0.8
●Danny Santana 2010 · A	19	43→53	39→60	59→55	41	.206/.248/.302	.096	.264	5	14	24%	5%	47	-1.9	.212/.248/.305	.093	.289	6	15	28%	4%	48	-1.9	.244/.288/.452	.208	.303	27	22	29%	5%	102	+1.2
●Eddie Rosario 2011 · A	19	46→55	42→60	54→50	44	.225/.267/.327	.102	.272	9	18	21%	5%	63	-0.9	.247/.286/.406	.159	.303	17	13	24%	5%	92	+1.2	.277/.313/.475	.198	.296	27	7	17%	5%	116	+2.8
✕Taylor Trammell 2018 · A	20	46	41→55	56→55	44	.219/.278/.321	.102	.303	8	21	29%	7%	66	-0.6	.206/.279/.299	.093	.299	8	19	31%	9%	61	-1.0	.205/.299/.385	.179	.274	22	23	32%	11%	90	+0.6
✕Nick Williams 2013 · A	19	47→56	38→55	56→45	37	.221/.269/.307	.086	.325	5	13	32%	5%	58	-1.2	.227/.265/.371	.144	.335	14	8	35%	3%	73	-0.1	.244/.299/.409	.164	.325	20	4	30%	5%	95	+1.1
✕Rey Fuentes 2011 · A	20	45→55	37→40	58→60	37	.217/.256/.291	.074	.290	4	24	26%	4%	48	-1.9	.222/.271/.302	.080	.313	5	27	29%	5%	57	-1.2	.270/.319/.363	.092	.348	8	33	23%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Jonatan Clase 2022 · A	20	45	40→50	59→65	46	.211/.287/.307	.096	.305	7	25	31%	9%	66	-0.6	.205/.280/.351	.146	.305	15	39	35%	9%	76	+0.0	.201/.277/.352	.150	.289	16	47	34%	9%	72	-0.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	40→50	41→45	56→55	44	.195/.266/.289	.094	.272	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.217/.283/.315	.098	.299	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
●Jesús Sánchez 2016 · A	18	48→53	41→60	55→50	43	.231/.272/.333	.102	.278	7	8	20%	5%	66	-0.6	.243/.274/.369	.126	.307	11	6	24%	4%	76	+0.1	.247/.314/.450	.203	.306	25	4	27%	8%	110	+1.8
●Michael Saunders 2007 · A	20	45→52	39→55	54→55	43	.210/.273/.299	.088	.305	6	15	31%	8%	58	-1.2	.234/.295/.362	.128	.331	12	16	31%	7%	84	+0.6	.251/.327/.433	.182	.309	19	17	24%	10%	112	+1.9
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	39→49	38→45	58→55	45	.188/.259/.276	.088	.265	5	16	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.210/.284/.296	.086	.280	6	17	25%	8%	63	-0.9	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Abraham Almonte 2010 · A	21	44→53	40→55	57→55	41	.212/.255/.308	.095	.272	7	19	25%	5%	52	-1.6	.230/.277/.327	.097	.302	5	21	24%	6%	66	-0.6	.232/.330/.424	.192	.279	22	11	24%	12%	111	+1.5
✕Manuel Margot 2014 · A	19	45→53	40→50	56→60	51	.215/.281/.308	.093	.243	6	19	14%	7%	64	-0.8	.233/.275/.345	.112	.266	9	26	16%	5%	70	-0.3	.243/.300/.388	.144	.285	13	20	19%	7%	88	+0.8
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	44→48	39→55	57→55	44	.210/.262/.301	.091	.273	5	14	24%	6%	53	-1.5	.232/.267/.327	.095	.306	7	15	25%	4%	62	-0.9	.232/.275/.381	.148	.306	15	25	28%	5%	78	+0.2
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	45	38→45	58→60	42	.206/.279/.289	.084	.317	4	19	34%	8%	59	-1.1	.196/.258/.288	.092	.320	7	28	38%	7%	50	-1.8	.220/.298/.337	.116	.314	13	41	32%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2009 · A	20	42→52	41→40	58→55	44	.205/.263/.306	.100	.258	7	20	23%	6%	56	-1.3	.230/.295/.307	.077	.279	5	20	18%	7%	69	-0.4	.236/.307/.299	.062	.282	4	22	16%	8%	69	-0.3
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A	20	46→56	39→50	53→50	46	.218/.277/.306	.088	.285	6	12	25%	7%	61	-1.0	.245/.301/.388	.143	.311	15	11	25%	7%	93	+1.3	.260/.330/.404	.144	.327	14	8	23%	9%	106	+1.8
●Riley Greene 2021 · A	20	44→54	44→60	53→50	39	.215/.271/.330	.115	.305	11	9	32%	6%	66	-0.6	.252/.315/.404	.152	.357	15	10	31%	8%	103	+1.9	.263/.332/.466	.203	.338	25	5	28%	9%	124	+3.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)