Fernando Duarte

P DSL Braves

Age 20 RHP 6'6" / 180 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	ROKATL	9	2	15	9.00	6.77	14.8%	27.2%	—	K 10.1% · BB 34.0% · FIP 7.64
2025	18	ROKATL	6	1	17	8.31	4.60	9.9%	17.3%	—	K 6.7% · BB 21.6% · FIP 5.27
2027PROJ	20	MLBATL	10	0	10	5.58	5.58	20.6%	17.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBATL	10	0	10	5.28	5.17	21.3%	14.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsWill Kobos (age 20) · Denny Larrondo (age 19) · Over Galue (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.58

FIP5.58

K%20.6%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%3.2%

Proj IP10

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	9	2	15	81	12	22	1	22%	1.7	10.1%	34.0%	-23.9%	2.0%	9.00	7.64	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	9	2	15	81	12	22	1	22%	1.7	10.1%	34.0%	-23.9%	2.0%	9.00	7.64	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	9	2	15	81	12	22	1	22%	1.7	14.8%	27.2%	-12.3%	1.2%	9.00	6.77	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	6	1	17	81	8	14	0	17%	2.9	6.7%	21.6%	-14.9%	0.0%	8.31	5.27	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	6	1	17	81	8	14	0	17%	2.9	6.7%	21.6%	-14.9%	0.0%	8.31	5.27	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	6	1	17	81	8	14	0	17%	2.9	9.9%	17.3%	-7.4%	0.0%	8.31	4.60	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ATL	10	0	10	42	9	7	1	0%	1.0	20.6%	17.4%	3.2%	3.0%	5.58	5.58	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	19	0	20	84	18	13	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	14.9%	6.3%	2.9%	5.28	5.17	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	14.9%	6.3%	2.9%	5.28	5.17	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.1	21.3%	14.9%	6.3%	2.9%	5.28	4.79	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	122	20	0%	1.1	21.3%	14.9%	6.3%	2.9%	5.28	4.79	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		15	3	32	162	14	45	2	20%	2.2	8.4%	27.8%	-19.4%	1.0%	8.63	6.45	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	19	200	1002	84	278	10	20%	2.2	8.4%	27.8%	-19.4%	1.0%	8.63	6.45	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Fernando Duarte (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.58	20.6%	17.4%	3.0%	—	5.17	21.3%	6.3%	20	-0.41	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	89
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	86
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	86
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	82
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	82
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	81
Nicolas Cruz R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	20	SW	4.84	19.2%	16.1%	2.4%	.437	3.32	20.4%	11.4%	117	-1.52	3.01	194	81
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	80
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	80
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	79
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	79
Sunayro Martina R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	20	SW	4.57	16.3%	16.9%	1.3%	.305	5.69	13.9%	-4.9%	71	+1.12	4.57	118	79
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	79
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	78
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	78
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	78
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	78
Yehizon Sanchez R 2021 · 5.88 FIP	20	SW	5.88	18.1%	16.7%	4.0%	.417	6.18	13.4%	1.7%	217	+0.30	3.40	359	78
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	78
Angel Peralta R 2024 · 6.70 FIP	17	SW	6.70	19.0%	29.7%	2.6%	.200	4.28	15.9%	2.0%	84	-2.42	3.81	107	78