Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 12 | 12 | 51 | 214 | 39 | 16 | 6 | 100% | 4.2 | 12.4% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.33 | 4.80 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 12 | 12 | 51 | 214 | 39 | 16 | 6 | 100% | 4.2 | 18.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 5.33 | 4.05 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 9 | 9 | 41 | 168 | 39 | 11 | 7 | 100% | 4.6 | 15.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.83 | 7.20 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 9 | 9 | 41 | 168 | 39 | 11 | 7 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.2% | 6.5% | 16.7% | 4.2% | 4.83 | 4.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 7 | 5 | 19 | 98 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 71% | 2.7 | 14.6% | 12.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 11.09 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | COL | 5 | 5 | 26 | 111 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.3 | 14.8% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.28 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.8% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.28 | 5.28 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | COL | — | — | 45 | 209 | 37 | 21 | 6 | — | — | 17.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 7.69 | 5.19 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | COL | 6 | 6 | 28 | 117 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 5.11 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | COL | 3 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 16.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 5.11 | 5.06 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | 57 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 4.5 | 16.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 5.11 | 4.68 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 133 | 88 | 29 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 5.11 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 28 | 26 | 110 | 480 | 67 | 46 | 22 | 93% | 3.9 | 14.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.12 | 5.69 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 47 | 200 | 870 | 122 | 84 | 41 | 93% | 3.9 | 14.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.12 | 5.69 | -0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marcos Pimentel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.28 | 14.8% | 10.1% | 3.2% | — | 5.06 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 28 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Wilkel Hernandez R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.02 | 13.8% | 10.4% | 3.2% | .281 | 3.74 | 15.4% | 8.3% | 101 | -1.28 | 3.34 | 587 | 88 |
| Jairo Garcia R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.47 | 16.4% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .298 | 5.25 | 10.1% | -1.9% | 96 | +0.78 | 3.88 | 148 | 86 |
| Logan Sendelbach R 2028 · 5.31 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.31 | 11.4% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .300 | 4.63 | 12.8% | 4.3% | 297 | -0.68 | 4.06 | 340 | 85 |
| Moises Castillo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 85 |
| Eddy Yean R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.56 | 16.8% | 10.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 4.56 | 17.7% | 3.4% | 120 | -0.00 | 3.75 | 435 | 85 |
| Osman Gutierrez R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.23 | 13.6% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .322 | 5.29 | 14.6% | 1.7% | 143 | +1.06 | 4.23 | 189 | 85 |
| Arlinthon De Dios R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.15 | 13.0% | 11.6% | 3.1% | .339 | 3.76 | 16.1% | 4.6% | 36 | -1.39 | 3.76 | 123 | 85 |
| Randry De Leon R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.64 | 18.0% | 11.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 4.99 | 20.4% | 1.4% | 59 | +0.35 | 4.37 | 132 | 85 |
| Kevin Velasco R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.54 | 14.8% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .327 | 5.35 | 20.5% | -1.3% | 15 | +0.81 | 2.18 | 116 | 85 |
| Reidis Sena R 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.17 | 13.3% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .282 | 5.31 | 18.7% | 3.2% | 44 | +1.14 | 3.09 | 254 | 84 |
| Mauricio Veliz R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.14 | 12.1% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .307 | 4.85 | 12.1% | 1.0% | 189 | -0.29 | 4.54 | 282 | 84 |
| Tyler Driver R 2025 · 5.31 FIP | 18 | SP- | 5.31 | 14.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% | .281 | 5.42 | 15.0% | 2.0% | 100 | +0.11 | 5.29 | 180 | 84 |
| Yohanse Morel R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.62 | 17.0% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .350 | 5.11 | 16.2% | 2.7% | 96 | +0.49 | 3.33 | 263 | 84 |
| Jhon Peluffo R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.69 | 13.5% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .293 | 5.20 | 13.5% | 4.2% | 257 | +0.51 | 3.46 | 363 | 84 |
| Blake Wolters R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.56 | 13.8% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .308 | 5.87 | 16.2% | -1.6% | 115 | +1.31 | 4.56 | 171 | 83 |
| Luis Ghisays R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.86 | 16.5% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .266 | 6.74 | 14.7% | 0.0% | 22 | +1.88 | 4.86 | 106 | 83 |
| Alex Vallecillo R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.47 | 15.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .208 | 4.83 | 17.8% | 4.0% | 112 | +0.36 | 4.47 | 152 | 82 |
| Alejandro Manzano R 2027 · 5.12 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.12 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | .347 | 4.69 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 199 | -0.43 | 4.15 | 269 | 82 |
| Alex Scherff R 2027 · 5.37 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.37 | 13.9% | 10.0% | 4.0% | .321 | 4.55 | 16.6% | 5.2% | 146 | -0.82 | 3.17 | 291 | 82 |
| Tyler Gough R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.76 | 13.4% | 13.3% | 3.8% | .297 | 3.61 | 19.1% | 6.1% | 129 | -2.15 | 2.65 | 159 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 15.7% | 10.0% | 1.23 | 5.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |