Gerardo Salas
P
Peoria Chiefs
Age 23
RHP
6'0" / 189 lbs
A+
peak 0.6 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 125
ERA5.54
FIP5.54
K%15.0%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%4.6%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 111 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | 12 | 5 | 19 | 73 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 42% | 1.6 | 15.8% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 1.8% | 2.89 | 3.41 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | 12 | 5 | 19 | 73 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 42% | 1.6 | 23.3% | 4.1% | 19.2% | 1.4% | 2.89 | 2.46 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 11 | 10 | 47 | 185 | 48 | 8 | 4 | 91% | 4.3 | 17.6% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 3.61 | 3.84 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 11 | 10 | 47 | 185 | 48 | 8 | 4 | 91% | 4.3 | 25.9% | 4.3% | 21.6% | 2.2% | 3.61 | 2.68 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 12 | 58 | 259 | 52 | 22 | 6 | 86% | 4.1 | 14.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.19 | 5.00 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 12 | 58 | 259 | 52 | 22 | 6 | 86% | 4.1 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 4.19 | 3.79 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 22 | 22 | 113 | 454 | 119 | 25 | 9 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.4% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 2.62 | 3.61 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 22 | 22 | 113 | 454 | 119 | 25 | 9 | 100% | 5.2 | 26.2% | 5.5% | 20.7% | 2.0% | 2.62 | 2.69 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 25 | 19 | 97 | 444 | 90 | 39 | 15 | 76% | 3.9 | 15.6% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.10 | 6.30 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 25 | 19 | 97 | 444 | 90 | 39 | 15 | 76% | 3.9 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 8.10 | 4.47 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 25 | 0 | 43 | 191 | 39 | 20 | 10 | 0% | 1.7 | 15.7% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.70 | 6.89 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | STL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 289 | 43 | 30 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.54 | 5.54 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.0% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.54 | 5.54 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | STL | — | — | 111 | 480 | 82 | 50 | 21 | — | — | 17.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.60 | 6.06 | -0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.0% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.54 | 5.17 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | STL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 50 | 30 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.34 | 5.29 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | STL | 68 | 0 | 71 | 300 | 53 | 29 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 5.20 | 5.15 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | STL | 68 | 0 | 71 | 300 | 55 | 29 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 5.12 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | STL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 29 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 5.10 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | STL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 52 | 29 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 5.15 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | STL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.34 | 5.29 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | STL | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 35 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 5.20 | 5.15 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | STL | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 43 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 5.12 | 5.09 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | STL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 47 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 5.10 | 5.11 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | STL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 46 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 5.15 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 242 | 0 | 254 | 1074 | 194 | 106 | 38 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 5.16 | 4.77 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 153 | 83 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 5.16 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 109 | 68 | 377 | 1606 | 268 | 138 | 64 | 62% | 3.5 | 16.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 4.75 | 4.98 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 36 | 200 | 853 | 142 | 73 | 34 | 62% | 3.5 | 16.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 4.75 | 4.98 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gerardo Salas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.54 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 3.7% | — | 5.18 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 212 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.58 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .263 | 4.63 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 228 | +0.05 | 3.57 | 389 | 88 |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 88 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 86 |
| Dawson Netz R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 86 |
| Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.91 | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .348 | 3.83 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 135 | -1.08 | 3.22 | 218 | 86 |
| Cade Winquest R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.36 | 17.9% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .299 | 3.91 | 20.0% | 9.6% | 158 | -0.45 | 3.34 | 236 | 86 |
| Connor Johnstone R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.49 | 15.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% | .272 | 4.58 | 12.9% | 7.9% | 166 | +0.09 | 3.90 | 319 | 84 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 84 |
| Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.91 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .354 | 3.46 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 89 | -1.45 | 3.06 | 165 | 84 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2028 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 83 |
| Chance Huff R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.78 | 11.8% | 11.4% | 4.1% | .312 | 5.14 | 15.7% | -0.0% | 151 | -0.64 | 4.35 | 235 | 83 |
| Michael Santos R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.50 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .289 | 4.91 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 49 | +0.41 | 2.26 | 276 | 83 |
| Grant Ford R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 82 |
| Jacob Cravey R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.13 | 15.7% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 7.57 | 11.0% | -7.2% | 28 | +2.44 | 5.13 | 204 | 82 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 82 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 82 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2029 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 81 |
| Holden Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 15.8% | 11.0% | 3.1% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 114 | 81 |
| Justin Dillon R 2027 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .265 | 4.34 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 124 | -0.89 | 3.63 | 239 | 81 |
| Jheyson Caraballo R 2024 · 5.25 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.25 | 11.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 101 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 70 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 1.38 | 5.24 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |