Gabriel Cesa — OGILVIE

Gabriel CesaOF FCL Braves

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 166 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION161 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .200 / .143

PA15

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP260

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	152	128	21	3	0	0	20	45	3	12	5	164	291	188	479	23	250	30	13	239	48	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	118	97	29	3	3	1	16	23	3	4	4	299	414	423	836	124	378	19	14	373	139	+5	-1	—	—	+3	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	152	135	15	2	0	0	13	63	3	12	5	111	205	126	331	15	197	41	9	159	-6	-19	+0	—	—	+3	-1.6
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	118	102	23	2	2	1	11	33	3	4	4	225	319	314	633	88	301	28	9	273	71	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	152	135	15	2	0	0	13	63	3	12	5	111	205	126	331	15	205	41	9	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	152	128	21	3	0	0	20	45	3	12	5	164	291	188	479	23	250	30	13	239	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	118	102	23	2	2	1	11	33	3	4	4	225	319	314	633	88	319	28	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	118	97	29	3	3	1	16	23	3	4	4	299	414	423	836	124	378	19	14	373	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	152	135	15	2	0	0	13	63	3	12	5	111	205	126	331	15	197	41	9	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	118	103	23	2	2	1	11	33	3	4	4	223	319	311	630	87	301	28	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	152	135	15	2	0	0	13	63	3	12	5	111	205	126	331	15	197	41	9	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	118	103	23	2	2	1	11	33	3	4	4	223	319	311	630	87	301	28	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ATL	—	161	139	18	1	1	0	15	68	5	8	1	129	239	151	390	22	247	42	9	186	12	-17	+1	+0	-1	+3	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	ATL	—	161	130	24	1	2	0	24	47	5	8	1	185	333	223	556	38	282	29	15	273	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	ATL	0%	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	143	343		260	33	7	229	41	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	19	ROK MLE	ATL	—	176	153	20	1	1	0	16	73	5	8	1	131	236	150	386	20	244	41	9	190	15	-18	+1	+0	-1	+4	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	222	197	36	5	2	2	19	71	4	5	1	183	268	259	527	76	265	32	9	245	52	-13	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
2027	20	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	76	69	13	2	1	1	6	24	1	2	0	188	263	290	553	101	265	32	8	233	52	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	76	69	13	2	1	1	6	24	1	2	0	188	263	290	553	101	273	32	8	233	39	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	112	17	9	9	51	205	9	17	0	190	265	295	560	105	274	32	8	233	39	-37	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	507	448	76	9	4	3	44	172	10	21	10	170	259	228	487	58	264	34	9	225	39	-14	+1	+0	-1	+5	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	98	12	5	4	56	221	13	27	13	171	260	230	490	59	266	34	9	225	39	-38	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Cesa (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	29→34	52→57	57	169/253/229	60	260	1	3	33%	8%	41	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ariel Montesino 2015 · A	19	38	36→40	53→50	41	181/239/249	69	257	3	16	30%	6%	38	-3.2	196/247/255	59	258	3	9	24%	6%	42	-2.9	189/241/241	52	247	3	7	23%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→30	39→45	51→50	48	178/255/268	89	228	6	13	24%	8%	50	-2.3	175/249/266	91	260	6	10	32%	8%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	37→40	38→45	49→50	40	178/244/259	80	265	5	10	33%	6%	43	-2.8	190/263/291	101	272	9	13	31%	8%	58	-1.7	175/255/268	93	250	8	18	31%	9%	48	-1.4
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	36	39→45	49→50	41	180/246/264	84	259	7	12	32%	7%	46	-2.6	198/245/300	102	329	8	12	40%	5%	53	-2.1	176/236/282	105	327	9	25	46%	5%	44	-0.6
✕Jhonny Piron 2023 · A	19	36	40	47→55	44	178/261/262	84	267	8	11	34%	9%	51	-2.2	184/251/255	71	292	4	9	36%	7%	45	-2.7	123/190/157	34	205	0	12	37%	5%	-1	-1.3
✕Adalfi Almonte 2015 · A	19	39	40	48→50	46	190/275/287	97	268	7	12	30%	8%	63	-1.4	195/296/271	76	287	5	12	30%	10%	67	-1.1	169/295/221	52	258	3	14	31%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	42	179/250/257	78	271	5	10	34%	8%	46	-2.6	184/236/265	81	290	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Felix Abreu 2017 · A	19	38	37→30	51→45	43	185/251/257	72	261	4	8	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/259/264	62	276	3	8	26%	5%	49	-2.4	202/251/235	33	269	0	8	23%	4%	36	-1.1
✕Ignacio Valdez 2014 · A	19	38	36→45	49→50	39	180/242/249	69	280	3	11	35%	7%	40	-3.1	173/238/275	102	269	8	7	37%	7%	45	-2.7	141/208/262	122	210	12	5	38%	6%	30	-1.2
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→37	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	51	-2.2	202/266/283	81	296	5	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/261	67	295	4	7	33%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	38	184/237/267	83	263	7	6	32%	5%	42	-2.9	198/237/320	122	278	14	7	33%	4%	55	-2.0	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	61	-0.3
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2018 · A	19	36	37→40	46→50	43	170/272/245	75	268	5	9	35%	8%	53	-2.1	177/263/273	96	284	8	9	38%	7%	55	-1.9	147/225/231	84	286	8	19	48%	6%	29	-1.2
✕Wander Valdez 2019 · A	19	40	39→40	49→45	43	195/255/286	91	271	5	7	29%	7%	53	-2.1	201/260/300	99	318	9	6	37%	7%	58	-1.7	166/233/259	93	292	11	5	44%	7%	37	-0.8
✕Javier Gutierrez 2010 · A	19	37	39→40	51→45	44	180/264/267	87	259	6	7	31%	8%	54	-2.0	203/282/290	87	282	6	7	28%	8%	65	-1.2	190/282/266	76	253	5	5	25%	10%	57	-0.5
✕Romer Cuadrado 2017 · A	19	38→35	39→40	45	41	185/253/265	81	284	6	8	35%	8%	48	-2.5	202/259/295	93	321	8	7	37%	6%	57	-1.8	197/252/288	92	310	8	5	37%	6%	50	-1.6
✕Miguel Alfonzo 2007 · A	19	37	36→40	46→50	41	176/244/239	63	271	3	9	34%	7%	38	-3.2	198/270/274	76	314	6	10	36%	7%	57	-1.8	192/269/265	73	315	7	9	38%	7%	53	-0.9
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	41	37→40	53→55	43	195/256/271	76	260	4	13	25%	6%	50	-2.3	197/266/280	83	273	6	17	28%	7%	56	-1.9	189/268/272	83	254	9	24	27%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Alfredo Balbuena 2018 · A	19	40	38→45	49→50	44	193/251/271	78	249	5	11	24%	6%	49	-2.4	205/261/304	99	258	7	13	22%	6%	59	-1.6	203/259/312	110	245	9	15	21%	6%	60	-0.6
✕Ozziel Sanchez-Galan 2017 · A	19	38	36→30	50	47	180/266/243	63	253	3	10	28%	9%	49	-2.4	196/266/277	81	293	4	7	32%	7%	55	-1.9	175/243/259	84	266	3	3	33%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Angel Lopez 2019 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	180/250/262	83	250	5	10	29%	7%	47	-2.6	196/269/286	90	267	7	11	27%	7%	59	-1.6	174/260/260	85	229	8	15	26%	8%	50	-1.0