Jean Robles P FCL Nationals
Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148139vR 130
ERA5.76
FIP5.76
K%16.0%
BB%16.2%
K-BB%-0.2%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP
K: -1.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: -5.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: -5.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-6CONTACTSTAM: +1.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -1.15 (46 IP)-1.2WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL2525
CMD3030
K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202417ROKDSL Nationals14027125301410%2.016.3%14.0%2.3%0.8%3.953.93
202417ROKDSL Nationals14027125301410%2.024.0%11.2%12.8%0.8%3.952.92
202518ROKDSL Nationals1211421914526392%3.516.0%17.0%-1.0%1.4%5.314.66
202518ROKDSL Nationals1211421914526392%3.523.6%13.6%9.9%1.6%5.313.74
▸ 2026 Season
202619ROKFCL Nationals95241122220456%2.713.4%22.3%-9.0%5.0%5.627.54-0.8
ROS19MLBWSH55229415153100%4.416.0%16.2%-0.2%2.9%5.765.76-0.3
ROS19MLBWSH016.0%16.2%-0.2%2.9%5.765.76
2026 TOT19MLBWSH462063735718.0%17.1%0.9%3.3%5.696.69-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720MLBWSH55239817143100%4.717.4%14.6%2.8%2.8%5.505.42-0.2
202720MLBWSH221146871100%5.517.4%14.6%2.8%2.8%5.505.42-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career221148871100%5.717.4%14.6%2.8%2.8%5.505.04-0.1
/ 200 IP393920084414012217100%5.117.4%14.6%2.8%2.8%5.505.04+0.9
Career3516944286675946%2.715.4%17.5%-2.1%2.2%5.005.20+0.1
/ 200 IP75342009141411602046%2.715.4%17.5%-2.1%2.2%5.005.20+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jean Robles (OGILVIE) 5.76 16.0%16.2%2.9% 5.42 17.4%2.8%23 -0.34
Yosber Sanchez R 2025 · 5.58 FIP 18 SP- 5.58 14.6%14.9%3.3%.315 4.61 20.2%-5.2%13 -0.97 3.21 182 91
Joseph Hernandez R 2025 · 5.37 FIP 18 SW 5.37 15.6%15.0%3.1%.296 4.54 24.7%8.0%31 -0.83 4.54 260 87
Marwys Cabrera R 2026 · 5.46 FIP 19 SP- 5.46 14.6%20.1%1.9%.311 5.42 13.5%-4.9%28 -0.04 3.68 131 86
Jaydenn Estanista R 2026 · 4.85 FIP 19 SP- 4.85 18.1%19.2%1.6%.254 5.34 21.0%2.6%109 +0.49 4.51 205 85
Luis Rujano R 2027 · 4.72 FIP 20 SW 4.72 17.1%16.6%1.8%.309 4.90 17.0%0.4%125 +0.18 4.67 178 85
Maiker Manuel R 2026 · 5.12 FIP 19 SP- 5.12 12.3%15.2%2.1%.329 4.59 15.2%6.7%101 -0.53 4.56 148 85
Chris Viall R 2027 · 5.86 FIP 20 SP- 5.86 18.9%21.9%2.9%.314 5.11 21.3%5.8%88 -0.75 4.97 108 84
Janser Lara R 2026 · 5.61 FIP 19 SP- 5.61 20.1%17.3%3.7%.354 5.01 17.9%4.8%118 -0.60 2.86 208 84
Junior Mieses R 2026 · 4.87 FIP 19 SP- 4.87 19.9%19.2%1.9%.296 6.25 18.9%-1.2%134 +1.38 4.87 236 84
Keegan Zinn R 2026 · 6.44 FIP 19 SP- 6.44 19.1%19.5%4.5%.318 5.68 18.3%-2.8%93 -0.76 4.79 126 84
Gillian Wernet R 2026 · 5.46 FIP 19 SP- 5.46 11.2%16.6%2.2%.295 3.65 107 84
Mason Denaburg R 2026 · 4.98 FIP 19 SP- 4.98 12.8%17.3%1.4%.328 4.88 16.3%-0.1%39 -0.10 4.45 151 83
Jeffrey German R 2026 · 4.59 FIP 19 SP- 4.59 13.6%15.5%1.2%.331 3.32 123 83
Reibyn Corona R 2026 · 4.94 FIP 19 SP- 4.94 17.0%13.1%2.9%.290 5.61 14.5%1.7%63 +0.67 4.38 190 83
Erick Reynoso R 2027 · 6.52 FIP 20 SP- 6.52 10.7%20.4%3.2%.305 6.42 14.7%-7.7%135 -0.10 5.76 168 83
Chad Bryant R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 19 SP- 4.96 12.8%13.3%2.3%.345 5.27 14.4%-4.5%49 +0.31 3.93 136 83
Miguel Vinicio R 2026 · 5.69 FIP 19 SP- 5.69 13.8%14.2%3.5%.327 3.98 16.9%1.4%47 -1.71 3.63 164 82
Miguel Ramirez R 2026 · 5.20 FIP 19 SP- 5.20 12.7%18.9%1.4%.279 3.02 13.8%8.7%84 -2.18 2.40 126 82
Angel Rivero R 2026 · 5.06 FIP 19 SP- 5.06 19.9%16.7%2.8%.325 2.60 105 82
Yeriel Santos R 2026 · 5.59 FIP 19 SW 5.59 17.4%22.9%1.9%.239 5.52 15.7%-0.2%249 -0.07 4.40 324 82