Raily Liriano — OGILVIE

Raily LirianoOF ACL D-backs

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION144 act + 96 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .240 / .303

PA96

HR2

K%32

BB%5

BABIP250

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	163	16	5	0	1	17	112	4	10	4	98	201	147	348	49	278	60	9	164	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	155	28	9	0	1	25	79	4	10	4	181	310	258	568	77	342	42	13	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	215	193	34	9	1	2	11	91	6	23	8	176	243	264	507	88	308	42	5	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	215	187	53	13	2	4	17	56	6	23	8	283	362	439	800	155	374	26	8	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	ARI	—	144	130	19	4	1	6	7	56	6	6	2	146	224	331	555	185	188	39	5	230	35	-11	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
YTD	19	ROK	ARI	—	144	125	28	7	1	8	12	39	6	6	2	224	322	488	810	264	253	27	8	353	129	+5	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.8
ROS	19	ROK	ARI	0%	96	89	16	3	1	2	5	31	2	3	1	180	240	303	543	124	257	32	5	247	47	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
ROS	19	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		259	—	—	234	37	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	ARI	—	144	131	19	4	1	6	7	56	6	6	2	145	224	328	552	183	186	39	5	230	35	-11	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
TOT	19	ROK	ARI	—	240	219	35	7	2	8	12	87	8	9	3	160	230	320	550	160	216	36	5	237	40	-16	+1	+0	-1	+7	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	ARI	34%	278	254	48	10	1	6	17	86	5	6	2	189	254	307	561	118	263	31	6	257	55	-14	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.8
2028	21	MLB	ARI	48%	392	357	71	15	2	9	25	118	7	9	3	199	265	328	593	129	266	30	6	266	62	-17	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.8
2027	20	MLB	ARI	34%	96	88	18	4	1	2	6	30	2	2	1	205	271	341	612	136	265	31	6	246	46	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	21	MLB	ARI	48%	190	173	34	7	1	4	12	57	3	4	1	197	261	318	579	121	268	30	6	255	53	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	286	262	52	11	2	6	18	87	5	6	2	198	264	324	589	126	271	30	6	252	51	-16	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	119	25	5	14	41	198	11	14	5	200	265	329	594	129	273	30	6	252	51	-36	+1	+0	-4	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	1169	1056	185	42	5	20	75	438	24	51	18	175	246	281	527	106	271	37	6	237	40	-80	+3	+0	-7	+33	-5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	103	23	3	11	42	244	13	28	10	175	246	281	527	106	272	38	6	237	40	-44	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	155	28	9	0	1	25	79	4	10	4	181	310	258	568	77	342	42	13	268	63	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	215	187	53	13	2	4	17	56	6	23	8	283	362	439	800	155	374	26	8	350	126	+6	+1	—	—	+6	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	480	9	11	199	258	312	-3	+0	-1.4	-0.7
	/162	664	12	15	199	258	312	-4.0	+0.0	-1.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Raily Liriano (OGILVIE)	19	40	35	60	25	160/230/320	160	216	8	9	36%	5%	40	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	58	-1.2	209/266/303	94	295	7	19	30%	6%	56	-1.3	202/262/292	90	286	7	25	30%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Miguel Ugueto 2022 · A	19	45	41→45	53→55	38	219/259/325	106	300	7	11	29%	5%	58	-1.2	205/237/291	86	294	5	13	31%	4%	40	-2.4	215/247/315	101	273	7	22	23%	3%	49	-0.8
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2008 · A	19	43	38→40	51→55	43	206/267/289	83	283	5	15	28%	7%	53	-1.5	198/260/279	81	282	5	9	29%	7%	47	-1.9	181/244/263	82	261	4	5	30%	6%	35	-0.6
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 · A	19	40→50	42→40	56→55	40	199/252/310	111	278	8	14	30%	6%	52	-1.6	223/287/308	85	277	6	19	20%	7%	66	-0.6	232/302/304	72	281	5	22	18%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Edwin Ventura 2017 · A	19	48	37→30	54→55	41	225/280/299	74	293	4	12	24%	5%	61	-1.0	192/240/242	50	258	2	14	25%	5%	28	-3.2	167/212/188	21	225	0	20	24%	4%	1	-1.5
✕Maximo Acosta 2022 · A	19	43→51	39→45	53→55	37	206/252/296	90	300	6	14	32%	5%	48	-1.9	218/266/313	95	290	8	24	26%	5%	59	-1.1	221/269/319	97	285	9	27	25%	5%	58	-0.9
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/245/263	80	272	5	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	188/242/284	96	295	9	9	37%	6%	41	-2.3	186/239/293	108	289	12	10	38%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Olivber Moreno 2019 · A	18	40	36→40	52→50	41	192/248/253	61	272	3	13	29%	6%	36	-2.7	198/268/274	76	279	6	11	29%	7%	50	-1.7	203/284/283	80	254	7	13	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	58	-1.2	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	42	38→40	50	41	201/262/277	76	283	5	10	30%	6%	48	-1.9	215/262/322	107	272	10	12	24%	4%	59	-1.1	232/279/339	107	279	9	10	20%	4%	66	-0.2
✕Israel Mota 2015 · A	19	41	41→45	49→50	39	203/254/303	100	281	9	10	30%	5%	51	-1.7	194/249/286	92	291	7	8	34%	6%	45	-2.1	139/226/244	105	204	11	5	36%	7%	26	-0.7
✕Zac Law 2015 · A	19	44	36→40	54→50	41	206/257/278	72	272	3	9	24%	5%	45	-2.1	209/252/297	88	268	7	11	24%	4%	48	-1.9	207/256/280	73	270	5	12	24%	4%	45	-0.9
✕Mishael Deson 2022 · A	20	47	39→30	53→55	40	226/267/310	84	303	7	17	27%	5%	57	-1.2	224/283/287	63	358	5	11	36%	7%	59	-1.1	219/286/248	30	366	3	11	38%	8%	48	-1.0
✕Sergio Garcia 2010 · A	19	40	39→45	52→60	40	195/248/284	89	274	6	20	30%	6%	43	-2.2	193/245/291	98	271	10	23	31%	6%	44	-2.1	231/255/354	123	300	13	17	28%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Darlin Moquete 2019 · A	19	45	36→45	54→55	42	213/263/282	68	283	3	18	25%	6%	48	-1.9	239/295/332	93	300	7	18	22%	6%	76	+0.0	204/261/325	121	257	15	15	26%	6%	59	-0.4
✕Raylin Heredia 2023 · A	19	40	40→50	53→50	33	190/237/289	98	310	6	9	39%	5%	40	-2.4	198/253/306	108	335	9	11	41%	6%	52	-1.6	208/247/353	144	311	17	12	38%	4%	58	-0.6
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1