Raily Liriano
OF ACL D-backs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Arizona B… | 188 | .181/.310/.258 | 1 | 10 | 3 | — | .099/.212/.130 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKDSL Arizona R… | 215 | .283/.362/.439 | 4 | 23 | 29 | — | .167/.238/.250 |
| 2026 | 19 | ROKARI | 138 | .213/.299/.418 | 5 | 6 | 22 | — | .135/.204/.262 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBARI | 248 | .192/.251/.284 | 3 | 5 | 51 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBARI | 43 | .204/.264/.311 | 1 | 1 | 57 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Arizona Black | — | 188 | 155 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 79 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 181 | 310 | 258 | 568 | 77 | 342 | 42 | 13 | 268 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Arizona Red | — | 215 | 187 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 6 | 23 | 8 | 283 | 362 | 439 | 800 | 155 | 374 | 26 | 8 | 350 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 138 | 122 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 213 | 299 | 418 | 717 | 205 | 276 | 30 | 7 | 317 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Arizona Black | — | 188 | 161 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 96 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 99 | 212 | 130 | 342 | 31 | 215 | 51 | 10 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Arizona Red | — | 215 | 192 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 72 | 6 | 23 | 8 | 167 | 238 | 250 | 488 | 83 | 232 | 33 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 138 | 126 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 60 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 135 | 204 | 262 | 466 | 127 | 205 | 43 | 4 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Arizona Black | — | 188 | 161 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 96 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 99 | 212 | 130 | 342 | 31 | 232 | 51 | 10 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Arizona Black | — | 188 | 155 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 79 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 181 | 310 | 258 | 568 | 77 | 342 | 42 | 13 | 268 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Arizona Red | — | 215 | 192 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 72 | 6 | 23 | 8 | 167 | 238 | 250 | 488 | 83 | 246 | 33 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Arizona Red | — | 215 | 187 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 6 | 23 | 8 | 283 | 362 | 439 | 800 | 155 | 374 | 26 | 8 | 350 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 138 | 126 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 60 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 135 | 204 | 262 | 466 | 127 | 219 | 43 | 4 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs | — | 138 | 122 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 213 | 299 | 418 | 717 | 205 | 276 | 30 | 7 | 317 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Arizona Black | — | 188 | 163 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 96 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 98 | 212 | 129 | 341 | 31 | 215 | 51 | 10 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Arizona Red | — | 215 | 195 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 72 | 6 | 23 | 8 | 164 | 238 | 246 | 484 | 82 | 232 | 33 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 138 | 126 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 60 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 135 | 204 | 262 | 466 | 127 | 205 | 43 | 4 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Arizona Black | — | 188 | 163 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 96 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 98 | 212 | 129 | 341 | 31 | 215 | 51 | 10 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Arizona Red | — | 215 | 195 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 72 | 6 | 23 | 8 | 164 | 238 | 246 | 484 | 82 | 232 | 33 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 138 | 126 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 60 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 135 | 204 | 262 | 466 | 127 | 205 | 43 | 4 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | ARI | 0% | 248 | 228 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 78 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 192 | 251 | 284 | 535 | 91 | 274 | 31 | 6 | 243 | 51 | -15 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | ARI | 34% | 124 | 113 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 258 | 299 | 557 | 101 | 276 | 31 | 6 | 252 | 57 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | ARI | 34% | 43 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 264 | 311 | 574 | 107 | 287 | 30 | 7 | 259 | 57 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 43 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 279 | 333 | 612 | 128 | 280 | 30 | 7 | 259 | 28 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 121 | 30 | 0 | 15 | 45 | 197 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 205 | 278 | 332 | 611 | 127 | 280 | 30 | 7 | 259 | 28 | -33 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 736 | 658 | 100 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 288 | 18 | 44 | 16 | 152 | 230 | 236 | 466 | 84 | 247 | 39 | 7 | 209 | 28 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 89 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 254 | 16 | 39 | 14 | 153 | 231 | 238 | 469 | 84 | 249 | 39 | 7 | 209 | 28 | -35 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKACL D-backs · 138 PAwOBA .311 → .201 (−110)K% 30.4% → 43.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.43% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 43.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 4.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.62% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.962 | ×1.008 | 11.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.962 | ×1.008 | 6.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.962 | ×1.008 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 4.91% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .311 → .201; ISO .205 → .130; BABIP .276 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Arizona Red · 215 PAwOBA .347 → .211 (−137)K% 26.0% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.05% | ÷0.944 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.91% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 5.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.79% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.95% | ÷1.013 | ×0.680 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 16.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.92% | ÷0.922 | ×0.600 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.134 | ×0.600 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.05% | ÷1.121 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.29% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 127, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .347 → .211; ISO .155 → .078; BABIP .374 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Arizona Black · 188 PAwOBA .267 → .173 (−94)K% 42.0% → 50.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 42.02% | ÷1.009 | ×1.220 | — | — | 50.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.30% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 9.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.68% | ÷1.015 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 15.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.84% | ÷0.966 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 7.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.899 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.70% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 97, K 102, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .267 → .173; ISO .077 → .042; BABIP .342 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).