Raily Liriano — OGILVIE

Raily LirianoOF ACL D-backs

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION138 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .250 / .267

PA16

HR0

K%31

BB%6

BABIP272

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	155	28	9	0	1	25	79	4	10	4	181	310	258	568	77	342	42	13	268	67	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	215	187	53	13	2	4	17	56	6	23	8	283	362	439	800	155	374	26	8	350	123	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	164	16	5	0	1	16	113	4	10	4	98	196	146	342	49	251	60	9	160	-6	-24	+0	—	—	+4	-2.0
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	215	193	34	8	1	2	11	85	6	23	8	176	243	259	502	83	279	40	5	226	39	-16	+1	—	—	+5	-1.0
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	164	16	5	0	1	16	113	4	10	4	98	196	146	342	49	278	60	9	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	155	28	9	0	1	25	79	4	10	4	181	310	258	568	77	342	42	13	268	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	215	193	34	8	1	2	11	85	6	23	8	176	243	259	502	83	291	40	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	215	187	53	13	2	4	17	56	6	23	8	283	362	439	800	155	374	26	8	350	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	166	16	5	0	1	16	113	4	10	4	96	196	145	340	48	251	60	9	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	215	196	34	8	1	2	11	85	6	23	8	173	243	255	498	82	279	40	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	166	16	5	0	1	16	113	4	10	4	96	196	145	340	48	251	60	9	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	215	196	34	8	1	2	11	85	6	23	8	173	243	255	498	82	279	40	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ARI	—	138	126	17	5	1	3	6	60	5	6	3	135	204	262	466	127	219	43	4	199	21	-13	+0	+0	-1	+3	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	ARI	—	138	122	26	8	1	5	10	42	5	6	3	213	299	418	717	205	276	30	7	317	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	ARI	0%	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	200	250	267	517	67	265	31	6	238	47	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	19	ROK MLE	ARI	—	154	141	20	6	1	3	7	65	5	6	3	142	209	262	472	121	230	42	5	203	24	-14	+0	+0	-1	+3	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	262	241	46	10	1	5	15	84	4	6	2	191	250	303	553	112	268	32	6	251	56	-14	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.9
2027	20	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	90	83	17	4	1	2	5	29	2	2	1	205	267	349	616	145	274	32	6	241	56	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	90	83	17	4	1	2	5	29	2	2	1	205	267	349	616	145	288	32	6	241	33	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	122	29	7	14	36	209	14	14	7	204	265	346	610	142	287	32	6	241	33	-34	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	681	613	99	24	2	8	43	287	14	39	14	162	233	246	479	85	278	42	6	218	33	-15	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	95	23	2	8	41	274	13	37	13	162	233	250	483	87	279	42	6	218	33	-34	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	274	4	6	197	252	297	-2	+0	-0.9	-0.4
/162	664	9	15	-4.0	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Raily Liriano (OGILVIE)	19	40	35	60	25	181/240/280	100	265	3	5	33%	5%	47	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	63	-1.4	209/267/303	94	296	7	19	30%	6%	61	-1.5	204/264/295	91	289	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	41	37→40	53→55	43	195/256/271	76	260	4	13	25%	6%	50	-2.3	197/266/280	83	273	6	17	28%	7%	56	-1.9	189/268/272	83	254	9	24	27%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Miguel Ugueto 2022 · A	19	45	41→45	53→55	38	218/258/323	105	299	6	11	29%	5%	62	-1.4	209/241/295	86	296	5	13	30%	4%	49	-2.4	209/242/305	95	266	6	22	23%	3%	51	-1.0
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→37	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	51	-2.2	202/266/283	81	296	5	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/261	67	295	4	7	33%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Israel Mota 2015 · A	19	41	41→45	49→50	39	203/254/303	100	281	9	10	30%	5%	57	-1.8	194/249/286	92	291	7	8	34%	6%	51	-2.2	139/226/244	105	204	11	5	36%	7%	34	-0.7
✕Zac Law 2015 · A	19	44→43	36→40	54→50	41	206/257/278	72	272	3	9	24%	5%	51	-2.2	208/251/295	87	267	7	11	24%	4%	53	-2.1	206/255/277	71	270	5	12	24%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Darlin Moquete 2019 · A	19	45	36→45	54→55	42	213/263/282	68	283	3	18	25%	6%	54	-2.0	238/294/331	93	299	7	18	22%	6%	78	-0.3	207/264/326	120	257	15	15	25%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Sergio Garcia 2010 · A	19	40	39→45	52→60	40	195/248/284	89	274	6	20	30%	6%	50	-2.3	189/240/278	89	271	9	23	32%	6%	46	-2.6	222/247/328	107	293	10	17	28%	3%	57	-0.8
✕Benny Montgomery 2022 · A	19	47→38	37→40	52→50	42	221/274/292	70	306	4	12	28%	6%	61	-1.5	216/272/321	105	346	9	12	38%	6%	68	-1.0	195/253/279	83	326	8	11	40%	6%	48	-1.6
✕Brayan Buelvas 2021 · A	19	43	39→45	50→55	41	202/262/298	95	295	5	12	32%	6%	59	-1.7	187/247/312	125	259	13	14	32%	6%	57	-1.8	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Nino Leyja 2010 · A	19	45→41	39→40	55	42	213/265/309	96	296	6	13	29%	6%	61	-1.5	197/248/271	74	307	4	14	35%	6%	47	-2.6	184/237/251	66	292	4	15	36%	6%	35	-1.5
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2008 · A	19	43	38→40	51→55	43	206/267/289	83	283	5	15	28%	7%	58	-1.7	198/260/279	81	282	5	9	29%	7%	53	-2.1	181/244/263	82	261	4	5	30%	6%	43	-0.7
✕Edwin Ventura 2017 · A	19	48	37→30	54→55	41	225/280/299	74	293	4	12	24%	5%	65	-1.2	192/240/242	50	258	2	14	25%	5%	36	-3.3	167/212/188	21	225	0	20	24%	4%	12	-1.5
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/244/260	78	273	5	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	186/240/278	92	291	8	9	37%	6%	46	-2.6	178/231/275	98	279	10	10	38%	6%	40	-1.2
✕Ariel Montesino 2015 · A	19	38	36→40	53→50	41	181/239/249	69	257	3	16	30%	6%	38	-3.2	196/247/255	59	258	3	9	24%	6%	42	-2.9	189/241/241	52	247	3	7	23%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Angel Molina 2017 · A	19	37	39→40	50→55	40	183/236/266	82	230	7	15	24%	4%	42	-2.9	195/240/284	89	253	7	8	25%	4%	47	-2.6	176/207/266	90	220	8	0	24%	2%	30	-1.1
✕Jose Ramos 2022 · A	19	41	42→40	51→55	40	201/255/312	111	283	9	11	31%	6%	59	-1.7	191/267/280	89	271	6	21	29%	8%	57	-1.8	193/287/265	72	281	6	28	30%	11%	59	-0.6
✕David Paisano 2008 · A	20	42→48	37→40	54→50	38	200/257/273	73	289	4	15	31%	5%	51	-2.2	207/260/284	77	291	4	12	29%	5%	55	-2.0	218/259/292	74	297	4	8	27%	4%	52	-1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps