Andy LugoIF
Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 22
R/R
6'0" / 160 lbs
A+
BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.6 · 2030
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .271 / .332
PA270
HR5
SB6
K%29
BB%6
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
45→45
SPD
50→50
EYE
40↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.9M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.1M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $8M | +$4M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 242 | 224 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 50 | 8 | 21 | 2 | .246 | .293 | .321 | .614 | .076 | .303 | 21 | 3 | .262 | 59 | -11 | +3 | +0 | +0 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 420 | 389 | 79 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 127 | 11 | 28 | 4 | .203 | .262 | .285 | .547 | .082 | .293 | 30 | 5 | .238 | 40 | -28 | +4 | +0 | +0 | +12 | -1.3 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 280 | 257 | 57 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 77 | 2 | 10 | 1 | .222 | .275 | .362 | .637 | .140 | .287 | 28 | 6 | .274 | 68 | -10 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 33 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .036 | .156 | .143 | .299 | .107 | .000 | 39 | 6 | .134 | -39 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | MIN | 237 | 217 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 70 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .203 | .264 | .327 | .591 | .124 | .272 | 30 | 6 | .264 | 60 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +7 | -0.3 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | MIN | 270 | 245 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 83 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .184 | .251 | .306 | .557 | .122 | .247 | 31 | 6 | .248 | 48 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +8 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | MIN | 317 | 287 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 81 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .206 | .274 | .331 | .605 | .125 | .264 | 26 | 7 | .278 | 71 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +9 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | MIN | 394 | 356 | 76 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 99 | 7 | 9 | 1 | .213 | .284 | .348 | .632 | .135 | .267 | 25 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 44% | MIN | 437 | 394 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 108 | 7 | 9 | 1 | .218 | .290 | .360 | .651 | .142 | .269 | 25 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 59% | MIN | 463 | 417 | 91 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 114 | 8 | 10 | 1 | .218 | .291 | .362 | .653 | .144 | .270 | 25 | 8 | .293 | 83 | -9 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | MIN | 473 | 425 | 93 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 117 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .219 | .294 | .360 | .654 | .141 | .270 | 25 | 8 | .293 | 83 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | MIN | 475 | 427 | 92 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 119 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .215 | .290 | .356 | .646 | .141 | .269 | 25 | 8 | .292 | 82 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | MIN | 470 | 422 | 92 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 119 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .218 | .293 | .360 | .654 | .142 | .268 | 25 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -11 | +2 | -1 | +0 | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 462 | 414 | 88 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 118 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .213 | .290 | .348 | .638 | .135 | .267 | 26 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -12 | +1 | -2 | +0 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 450 | 404 | 85 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 117 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .210 | .286 | .347 | .633 | .136 | .265 | 26 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -13 | +1 | -3 | +0 | +13 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 432 | 388 | 81 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 115 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .209 | .284 | .340 | .625 | .131 | .264 | 27 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -14 | +1 | -4 | +0 | +12 | -0.4 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 403 | 362 | 74 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 110 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .204 | .280 | .329 | .609 | .124 | .262 | 27 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -15 | +1 | -4 | +0 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 359 | 322 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 101 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .196 | .272 | .307 | .580 | .112 | .260 | 28 | 8 | .267 | 62 | -15 | +1 | -5 | +0 | +10 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6314 | 5705 | 1215 | 262 | 28 | 139 | 453 | 1642 | 111 | 152 | 14 | .213 | .284 | .342 | .626 | .129 | .272 | 26 | 7 | .280 | 72 | -198 | +25 | -20 | +0 | +179 | -1.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 587 | 125 | 27 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 169 | 11 | 16 | 1 | .213 | .283 | .341 | .624 | .128 | .273 | 26 | 7 | .280 | 72 | -20 | +3 | -2 | +0 | +18 | -0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 242 | 220 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 8 | 21 | 2 | .318 | .372 | .414 | .786 | .095 | .366 | 14 | 5 | .351 | 126 | +7 | +3 | — | — | +7 | 1.8 |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 79 | 71 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .225 | .291 | .282 | .573 | .056 | .314 | 25 | 6 | .265 | 61 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Salem Red Sox | 341 | 306 | 83 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 68 | 9 | 25 | 3 | .271 | .346 | .392 | .738 | .121 | .340 | 20 | 8 | .334 | 114 | +5 | +4 | — | — | +10 | 1.9 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 280 | 248 | 70 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 59 | 2 | 10 | 1 | .282 | .348 | .464 | .812 | .181 | .339 | 21 | 9 | .353 | 128 | +9 | +2 | — | — | +8 | 1.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Andy Lugo (OGILVIE) | 22 | 50 | 45 | 50 | 35 | .213/.271/.332 | .119 | .288 | 5 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 67 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Ryan LaMarre 2011 · A |
22 | 49→52 | 42→45 | 49→60 | 41 | .236/.297/.341 | .105 | .308 | 10 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .233/.292/.318 | .085 | .312 | 7 | 27 | 26% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .237/.308/.373 | .136 | .335 | 13 | 23 | 31% | 7% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
●Felix Reyes 2022 · A |
21 | 42→52 | 43→50 | 49→45 | 38 | .205/.269/.316 | .111 | .287 | 11 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .203/.244/.316 | .113 | .258 | 13 | 7 | 26% | 4% | 50 | -1.7 | .241/.274/.386 | .144 | .275 | 17 | 8 | 19% | 4% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Matthew Lugo 2023 · A |
22 | 46→48 | 45→55 | 52→50 | 40 | .229/.272/.355 | .127 | .290 | 13 | 13 | 26% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .217/.264/.360 | .143 | .297 | 15 | 14 | 31% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.254/.354 | .151 | .293 | 16 | 14 | 35% | 5% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Christopher Bostick 2015 · A |
22 | 43→53 | 44→45 | 52→55 | 40 | .212/.265/.333 | .122 | .290 | 10 | 15 | 30% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .222/.269/.335 | .113 | .294 | 9 | 15 | 26% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .235/.286/.345 | .110 | .306 | 9 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 |
|
✕Christian Villanueva 2013 · A |
22 | 44→45 | 44→55 | 48→50 | 39 | .218/.271/.331 | .113 | .279 | 11 | 13 | 26% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .211/.259/.351 | .140 | .267 | 15 | 6 | 27% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .222/.280/.396 | .173 | .255 | 23 | 3 | 23% | 6% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
✕Ty Wright 2008 · A |
23 | 47→55 | 43→45 | 51→45 | 42 | .229/.275/.335 | .106 | .297 | 11 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .250/.296/.354 | .104 | .300 | 10 | 7 | 19% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .255/.296/.373 | .118 | .291 | 12 | 5 | 16% | 4% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Barrett Barnes 2014 · A |
23 | 42→52 | 44→45 | 50 | 38 | .211/.258/.320 | .110 | .290 | 12 | 13 | 31% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .219/.283/.340 | .121 | .286 | 12 | 14 | 26% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .220/.296/.347 | .127 | .310 | 12 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A |
22 | 45→48 | 42→50 | 51→50 | 43 | .218/.284/.328 | .110 | .300 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.275/.332 | .128 | .317 | 14 | 12 | 38% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .220/.308/.345 | .126 | .328 | 13 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Destin Hood 2012 · A |
22 | 48→52 | 42→50 | 49→50 | 41 | .231/.282/.345 | .114 | .308 | 9 | 10 | 27% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .222/.268/.323 | .101 | .308 | 7 | 9 | 29% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .234/.270/.374 | .140 | .308 | 14 | 10 | 28% | 4% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Corey Julks 2019 · A |
23 | 46→51 | 43→55 | 51→55 | 43 | .223/.282/.339 | .116 | .305 | 10 | 18 | 29% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .212/.274/.319 | .107 | .296 | 9 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .226/.287/.383 | .158 | .285 | 19 | 21 | 27% | 7% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
✕German Duran 2007 · A |
22 | 46→49 | 45→50 | 46→45 | 42 | .231/.273/.358 | .127 | .286 | 13 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .233/.276/.377 | .144 | .275 | 16 | 9 | 21% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.267/.365 | .142 | .257 | 16 | 6 | 20% | 5% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Chris Nelson 2008 · A |
22 | 44→54 | 46→50 | 52→50 | 41 | .222/.269/.358 | .136 | .276 | 13 | 12 | 24% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .225/.279/.355 | .130 | .281 | 12 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .257/.301/.387 | .130 | .311 | 13 | 7 | 21% | 5% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Sean Henry 2008 · AA |
22 | 46→56 | 45→50 | 51→55 | 45 | .228/.282/.355 | .127 | .284 | 11 | 17 | 24% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .246/.297/.373 | .127 | .299 | 11 | 17 | 21% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .254/.304/.376 | .121 | .306 | 11 | 18 | 20% | 5% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Ryan Vilade 2021 · A |
22 | 46→49 | 40→50 | 50 | 45 | .221/.277/.315 | .094 | .283 | 7 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .218/.276/.306 | .088 | .286 | 6 | 11 | 24% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .223/.288/.359 | .136 | .294 | 14 | 13 | 28% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
●Junior Lake 2012 · AA |
22 | 45→55 | 42→50 | 53→55 | 35 | .221/.259/.328 | .107 | .313 | 10 | 18 | 32% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .235/.278/.359 | .124 | .325 | 12 | 20 | 30% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .231/.302/.371 | .140 | .285 | 15 | 19 | 24% | 8% | 87 | +0.5 |
|
✕Hudson Haskin 2022 · A |
23 | 48→46 | 41→45 | 52→50 | 41 | .225/.299/.325 | .099 | .312 | 7 | 17 | 28% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .225/.308/.346 | .121 | .313 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .215/.308/.330 | .115 | .308 | 11 | 17 | 31% | 7% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Ryan McKenna 2018 · A |
21 | 43→53 | 42→50 | 52→55 | 39 | .210/.265/.317 | .107 | .297 | 9 | 12 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .226/.289/.332 | .106 | .311 | 9 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .218/.295/.357 | .140 | .319 | 16 | 13 | 34% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Kyle Isbel 2019 · A |
22 | 47→51 | 43→50 | 53→55 | 41 | .229/.276/.346 | .117 | .306 | 10 | 18 | 28% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .218/.268/.346 | .128 | .286 | 13 | 17 | 28% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .226/.284/.366 | .140 | .280 | 13 | 19 | 24% | 6% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Yancarlo Angulo 2009 · AAA |
22 | 43→53 | 45 | 53→55 | 42 | .214/.280/.345 | .130 | .280 | 13 | 14 | 28% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .215/.272/.314 | .099 | .270 | 8 | 19 | 22% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .246/.302/.357 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 4% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Matt Fiedler 2017 · A |
22 | 48 | 41→45 | 50 | 44 | .233/.283/.340 | .106 | .292 | 8 | 9 | 22% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .223/.278/.324 | .101 | .288 | 8 | 8 | 24% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .214/.271/.315 | .101 | .272 | 10 | 8 | 24% | 6% | 59 | -0.3 |