Neiker Palacios
P
ACL D-backs
Age 19
RHP
6'1" / 170 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION22 act + 12 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
K%22.8%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Arizona Black | 13 | 2 | 20 | 100 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 15% | 1.5 | 12.9% | 21.3% | -8.3% | 3.3% | 10.53 | 6.50 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Arizona Black | 13 | 2 | 20 | 100 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 15% | 1.5 | 19.0% | 17.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 10.53 | 5.74 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 6 | 2 | 22 | 98 | 24 | 12 | 1 | 33% | 3.7 | 16.7% | 15.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.68 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | ARI | 11 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.48 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 34 | 147 | 35 | 17 | 2 | — | — | 23.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 1.7% | 3.96 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | ARI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | ARI | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 3.96 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 19 | 4 | 42 | 198 | 29 | 36 | 5 | 21% | 2.2 | 14.8% | 18.3% | -3.5% | 2.4% | 6.91 | 5.47 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 19 | 200 | 950 | 140 | 174 | 22 | 21% | 2.2 | 14.8% | 18.3% | -3.5% | 2.4% | 6.91 | 5.47 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Neiker Palacios (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.34 | 23.2% | 13.8% | 20 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2029 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 82 |
| Layonel Ovalles R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.63 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 2.2% | .333 | 4.52 | 17.4% | 3.0% | 146 | +0.89 | 2.60 | 227 | 82 |
| Jose Vasquez R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.20 | 21.9% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .359 | 6.76 | 14.4% | -12.1% | 45 | +2.56 | 4.20 | 102 | 80 |
| Ricardo Brizuela R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.86 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 1.8% | .375 | 4.52 | 16.0% | 7.1% | 208 | +0.66 | 3.35 | 246 | 80 |
| Harold Cortijo R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.46 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .309 | 5.87 | 13.5% | 2.2% | 73 | +1.41 | 4.13 | 179 | 80 |
| Osiris German R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.26 | 20.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.25 | 26.3% | 15.5% | 59 | -1.01 | 3.11 | 187 | 80 |
| Anderson Cardenas R 2025 · 5.23 FIP | 18 | SW | 5.23 | 19.5% | 11.9% | 4.1% | .235 | 3.34 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 38 | -1.89 | 3.34 | 109 | 79 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 79 |
| Saul Teran R 2027 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 79 |
| Brandon Komar R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 78 |
| Joangel Gonzalez R 2027 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.42 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .312 | 4.91 | 19.4% | 3.4% | 93 | +0.49 | 3.96 | 127 | 78 |
| Jake Elliott R 2028 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 78 |
| Eccel Correa R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 78 |
| Leury Tejada R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.03 | 16.5% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .286 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 6.2% | 39 | +1.03 | 4.03 | 183 | 78 |
| Luis Aguilar R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.54 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .356 | 4.26 | 16.7% | 6.7% | 111 | -0.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 78 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2029 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 77 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2029 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 77 |
| Jose Martinez R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.47 | 18.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | .305 | 4.20 | 18.1% | 8.2% | 55 | -0.27 | 2.85 | 122 | 77 |
| Denis Reguillo R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.33 | 17.6% | 11.6% | 4.1% | .358 | 5.23 | 10.7% | -8.3% | 52 | -0.10 | 3.78 | 109 | 77 |
| Chris Gau R 2028 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 77 |