Neiker Palacios — OGILVIE

Neiker Palacios P ACL D-backs

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 123

ERA5.61

FIP5.61

K%20.4%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%3.0%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	13	2	20	100	19	17	3	15%	1.5	12.9%	21.3%	-8.3%	3.7%	10.53	6.72	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	13	2	20	100	19	17	3	15%	1.5	12.9%	21.3%	-8.3%	3.7%	10.53	6.72	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	13	2	20	100	19	17	3	15%	1.5	19.0%	17.0%	2.0%	3.0%	10.53	5.74	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	9	4	31	134	34	15	1	44%	3.4	15.7%	15.0%	0.7%	1.3%	2.64	4.39	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	9	4	31	134	34	15	1	44%	3.4	15.7%	15.0%	0.7%	1.3%	2.64	4.39	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	ARI	7	2	25	108	25	13	1	29%	3.5	23.1%	12.0%	11.1%	0.9%	3.28	3.18	—
2026	19	A RAW	ARI	2	2	6	26	9	2	0	100%	3.0	34.6%	7.7%	26.9%	0.0%	0.00	1.15	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ARI	30	0	32	133	28	20	4	0%	1.1	21.2%	14.9%	6.3%	3.0%	5.31	5.20	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	ARI	14	0	15	63	13	9	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	14.9%	6.3%	3.0%	5.31	5.20	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	14	10	2	0%	1.0	21.2%	14.9%	6.3%	3.0%	5.31	4.82	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	129	26	0%	1.1	21.2%	14.9%	6.3%	3.0%	5.31	4.82	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		22	6	50	234	34	41	5	27%	2.3	14.5%	17.7%	-3.2%	2.3%	5.72	5.39	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	24	200	930	135	165	22	27%	2.3	14.5%	17.7%	-3.2%	2.3%	5.72	5.39	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Neiker Palacios (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	20.4%	17.4%	3.0%	—	5.20	21.2%	6.3%	32	-0.41	—	—	—
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	89
Edinzo Marquez R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	17	SW	4.97	20.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.250	3.90	13.2%	0.4%	119	-1.07	3.26	188	88
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	87
Anthony Cruz R 2022 · 5.38 FIP	19	SW	5.38	16.7%	16.6%	2.9%	.237	4.19	18.2%	5.6%	180	-1.19	3.32	272	85
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	85
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	85
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	84
Yorman Galindez R 2022 · 4.93 FIP	19	SW	4.93	19.1%	18.3%	2.1%	.374	3.77	22.9%	6.2%	96	-1.16	3.63	201	82
Sandy Ozuna R 2023 · 5.42 FIP	17	SW	5.42	15.1%	17.4%	2.5%	.303	4.77	18.3%	7.9%	71	-0.65	3.03	103	82
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	81
Josue Panacual R 2021 · 4.81 FIP	19	SW	4.81	17.5%	15.6%	2.2%	.286	4.41	14.2%	0.8%	91	-0.40	4.41	164	81
Joseph Hernandez R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	18	SW	5.37	15.6%	15.0%	3.1%	.296	4.39	24.7%	8.0%	31	-0.98	4.39	260	81
Eliazar Dishmey R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	18	SW	6.05	17.9%	15.1%	4.6%	.302	3.83	21.9%	9.2%	268	-2.22	3.40	311	80
Ben Peoples R 2019 · 6.28 FIP	18	SW	6.28	21.8%	27.5%	2.8%	.227	4.51	23.0%	9.1%	103	-1.77	3.56	362	80
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	79
Doimil Perez R 2023 · 5.95 FIP	19	SU	5.95	17.8%	14.7%	4.5%	.322	5.36	16.6%	-2.0%	47	-0.59	3.32	139	79
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	79
Jesus Rivero R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	21.6%	23.3%	1.0%	.254	4.21	21.8%	2.6%	87	-0.54	4.09	146	78
Junior Pina R 2022 · 5.93 FIP	19	SW	5.93	15.7%	22.4%	2.4%	.263	6.65	9.7%	-20.4%	26	+0.72	4.72	115	78
Andinson Ferrer R 2023 · 4.72 FIP	19	SW	4.72	17.4%	13.7%	2.5%	.287	4.64	21.7%	2.1%	34	-0.08	4.04	101	78