Gerinton Mendez — OGILVIE

Gerinton Mendez P FCL Marlins

Age 19 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.20

FIP5.20

K%20.5%

BB%14.5%

K-BB%5.9%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	9	0	16	77	21	19	2	0%	1.8	18.5%	30.8%	-12.3%	3.9%	5.06	7.56	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	9	0	16	77	21	19	2	0%	1.8	18.5%	30.8%	-12.3%	3.9%	5.06	7.56	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	9	0	16	77	21	19	2	0%	1.8	27.3%	24.7%	2.6%	2.6%	5.06	5.66	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	7	38	155	37	15	2	64%	3.5	16.2%	12.1%	4.1%	1.3%	2.61	3.98	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	7	38	155	37	15	2	64%	3.5	16.2%	12.1%	4.1%	1.3%	2.61	3.98	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	7	38	155	37	15	2	64%	3.5	23.9%	9.7%	14.2%	1.3%	2.61	3.02	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	22	5	40	192	50	40	5	23%	1.8	18.4%	25.2%	-6.7%	3.5%	6.30	6.65	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	22	5	40	192	50	40	5	23%	1.8	18.4%	25.2%	-6.7%	3.5%	6.30	6.65	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	MIA	10	5	21	97	27	16	2	50%	2.1	27.8%	16.5%	11.3%	2.1%	5.14	3.97	—
2026	19	A RAW	MIA	12	0	19	95	23	24	3	0%	1.6	24.2%	25.3%	-1.1%	3.2%	7.58	5.99	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIA	39	0	41	174	37	22	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.8%	8.4%	2.9%	4.98	4.89	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	MIA	19	0	20	84	18	11	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.8%	8.4%	2.9%	4.98	4.89	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	0	20	86	18	11	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.8%	8.4%	2.9%	4.98	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	109	20	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.8%	8.4%	2.9%	4.98	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		42	12	94	424	75	91	12	29%	2.2	17.6%	21.4%	-3.8%	2.8%	4.60	5.84	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	26	200	902	159	193	25	29%	2.2	17.6%	21.4%	-3.8%	2.8%	4.60	5.84	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gerinton Mendez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	20.5%	14.5%	2.9%	—	4.89	21.2%	8.4%	41	-0.31	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	87
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	86
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	86
Johzan Oquendo R 2021 · 4.22 FIP	20	SW	4.22	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.57	3.62	187	85
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	84
Raimon Gomez R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	19	SW	4.90	17.3%	13.6%	2.8%	.265	3.28	19.5%	8.0%	48	-1.62	3.28	103	83
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	83
Anthony Cruz R 2022 · 5.38 FIP	19	SW	5.38	16.7%	16.6%	2.9%	.237	4.19	18.2%	5.6%	180	-1.19	3.32	272	82
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	82
Ricardo Brizuela R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	19	SW	4.03	20.1%	11.6%	2.1%	.375	4.39	16.0%	7.1%	208	+0.36	3.20	246	82
Alimber Santa R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	18	SW	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.08	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.23	3.32	274	82
Edinzo Marquez R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	17	SW	4.97	20.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.250	3.90	13.2%	0.4%	119	-1.07	3.26	188	82
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	82
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	19	SP-	4.26	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.98	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.72	4.26	149	81
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	81
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.01	538	81
Joseph Hernandez R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	18	SW	5.37	15.6%	15.0%	3.1%	.296	4.39	24.7%	8.0%	31	-0.98	4.39	260	81
Doimil Perez R 2023 · 5.95 FIP	19	SU	5.95	17.8%	14.7%	4.5%	.322	5.36	16.6%	-2.0%	47	-0.59	3.32	139	81
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	282	81
Josue Panacual R 2021 · 4.81 FIP	19	SW	4.81	17.5%	15.6%	2.2%	.286	4.41	14.2%	0.8%	91	-0.40	4.41	164	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	21.0%	13.3%	1.12	5.05
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99