Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Reds | 8 | 0 | 16 | 69 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 11.8% | 14.5% | -2.7% | 0.0% | 1.12 | 3.94 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Reds | 8 | 0 | 16 | 69 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 17.4% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 1.12 | 3.10 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 12 | 9 | 29 | 127 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 75% | 2.4 | 10.2% | 14.8% | -4.6% | 1.1% | 3.41 | 4.73 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 12 | 9 | 29 | 127 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 75% | 2.4 | 15.0% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 3.41 | 3.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | ACL Reds | 10 | 1 | 21 | 97 | 27 | 13 | 0 | 10% | 2.1 | 18.9% | 16.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 5.06 | 3.62 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CIN | 14 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.44 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 36 | 159 | 41 | 19 | 2 | — | — | 25.6% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 1.1% | 4.81 | 3.96 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.86 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 30 | 10 | 66 | 293 | 39 | 45 | 1 | 33% | 2.2 | 13.5% | 15.4% | -1.9% | 0.5% | 3.39 | 4.18 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 30 | 200 | 883 | 119 | 136 | 4 | 33% | 2.2 | 13.5% | 15.4% | -1.9% | 0.5% | 3.39 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jhan Almeida (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.24 | 23.2% | 14.1% | 20 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Cole Stapler R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 82 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 82 |
| Carson Rudd R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 81 |
| Breidy Encarnación R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.48 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 1.9% | .222 | 3.47 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 67 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 164 | 81 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 81 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 80 |
| Brendan Collins R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 80 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 80 |
| Franco Aleman R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 80 |
| Daniel Bies R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 80 |
| Simon Mathews R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 79 |
| Juan Mendez R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 79 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 79 |
| Chris Powell R 2027 · 3.31 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.31 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 0.9% | .320 | 3.63 | 17.8% | 11.8% | 62 | +0.32 | 3.31 | 102 | 78 |
| Wilmer Ortega R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.86 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .304 | 5.83 | 16.1% | 1.8% | 30 | +1.97 | 3.62 | 158 | 78 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 78 |
| Luis Romero R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 78 |
| Clark Beeker R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 78 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 78 |
| Anthony Cruz R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.61 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .192 | 5.46 | 16.2% | 1.7% | 148 | +1.85 | 3.26 | 245 | 78 |