Jhan Almeida — OGILVIE

Jhan Almeida P ACL Reds

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 116

ERA5.23

FIP5.23

K%18.4%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%4.9%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	8	0	16	69	12	8	0	0%	2.0	11.8%	14.5%	-2.7%	0.0%	1.12	3.94	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	8	0	16	69	12	8	0	0%	2.0	11.8%	14.5%	-2.7%	0.0%	1.12	3.94	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	8	0	16	69	12	8	0	0%	2.0	17.4%	11.6%	5.8%	0.0%	1.12	3.10	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	12	9	29	127	19	15	1	75%	2.4	10.2%	14.8%	-4.6%	1.1%	3.41	4.72	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	12	9	29	127	19	15	1	75%	2.4	10.2%	14.8%	-4.6%	1.1%	3.41	4.72	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	12	9	29	127	19	15	1	75%	2.4	15.0%	11.8%	3.1%	0.8%	3.41	3.79	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	11	1	23	107	27	14	1	9%	2.1	17.2%	16.4%	0.8%	1.3%	5.01	4.44	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	11	1	23	107	27	14	1	9%	2.1	17.2%	16.4%	0.8%	1.3%	5.01	4.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	CIN	11	1	23	107	27	14	1	9%	2.1	25.2%	13.1%	12.1%	0.9%	5.01	3.14	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CIN	26	0	27	116	23	14	3	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.8%	8.3%	2.9%	4.96	4.84	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	CIN	12	0	13	55	11	6	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.8%	8.3%	2.9%	4.96	4.84	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	57	11	7	2	0%	1.0	20.1%	11.8%	8.3%	2.9%	4.96	4.46	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	104	30	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.8%	8.3%	2.9%	4.96	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		31	10	68	303	39	46	3	32%	2.2	13.0%	15.3%	-2.2%	0.9%	3.42	4.44	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	29	200	887	115	135	8	32%	2.2	13.0%	15.3%	-2.2%	0.9%	3.42	4.44	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jhan Almeida (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	18.4%	13.5%	2.9%	—	4.84	20.1%	8.3%	27	-0.39	—	—	—
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	90
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	88
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	85
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	83
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.01	538	82
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	82
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	81
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	81
Matthew Swain R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	21	SW	4.37	15.9%	13.9%	1.6%	.362	5.19	20.6%	7.5%	115	+0.82	4.37	175	81
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	80
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	80
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	80
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	80
Luis F. Castillo R 2016 · 4.51 FIP	21	SU	4.51	16.7%	10.5%	2.7%	.337	3.50	19.7%	12.3%	96	-1.01	2.95	254	79
Francisco Moreno R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	21	SU	4.36	14.9%	11.5%	1.9%	.297	6.32	9.9%	-2.0%	84	+1.96	3.88	162	79
Cre Finfrock R 2018 · 4.27 FIP	22	SW	4.27	17.9%	16.5%	1.1%	.286	4.63	23.0%	11.3%	38	+0.36	4.27	103	79
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	79
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	79
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	79