Carlos Carra
P
Wilson Warbirds
Age 19
RHP
5'11" / 181 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION65 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 114
ERA5.01
FIP5.01
K%16.7%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%6.4%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 86 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 98 | 27 | 16 | 0 | 75% | 2.7 | 18.7% | 20.4% | -1.7% | 0.0% | 1.66 | 4.10 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 98 | 27 | 16 | 0 | 75% | 2.7 | 27.6% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 1.66 | 2.82 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 52 | 225 | 55 | 12 | 4 | 43% | 3.7 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 4.30 | 4.46 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 52 | 225 | 55 | 12 | 4 | 43% | 3.7 | 24.4% | 5.3% | 19.1% | 1.8% | 4.30 | 2.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | A | Wilson Warbirds | 16 | 10 | 65 | 300 | 72 | 41 | 11 | 62% | 4.1 | 17.8% | 16.1% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 6.34 | 6.26 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | MIL | 3 | 3 | 21 | 87 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.9 | 16.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 5.01 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 5.01 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 86 | 387 | 87 | 50 | 14 | — | — | 22.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 6.02 | 5.96 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | MIL | 3 | 3 | 22 | 92 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 7.2 | 17.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | MIL | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 17.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.3 | 17.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.44 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 30 | 30 | 200 | 844 | 150 | 75 | 19 | 100% | 6.7 | 17.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.44 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 38 | 22 | 139 | 623 | 109 | 85 | 22 | 58% | 3.7 | 17.4% | 13.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.84 | 5.27 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 32 | 200 | 894 | 156 | 123 | 31 | 58% | 3.7 | 17.4% | 13.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.84 | 5.27 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carlos Carra (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.01 | 16.7% | 10.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.82 | 17.9% | 8.0% | 22 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Mike Garcia R 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.11 | 17.7% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 125 | 84 |
| Anthony Escobar R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.44 | 15.1% | 9.7% | 2.5% | .263 | 5.33 | 14.2% | -3.5% | 23 | +0.89 | 3.07 | 122 | 84 |
| Alejandro Manzano R 2027 · 5.12 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.12 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | .347 | 4.69 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 199 | -0.43 | 4.15 | 269 | 83 |
| Adolfo Oviedo R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.98 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .272 | 4.74 | 13.4% | 8.0% | 90 | +0.76 | 3.79 | 201 | 83 |
| Miguel Rondon R 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.47 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .361 | 8.04 | 18.1% | 2.1% | 88 | +3.57 | 2.62 | 179 | 83 |
| Steven Fuentes R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.60 | 12.1% | 10.1% | 2.3% | .319 | 3.98 | 16.7% | 10.2% | 131 | -0.62 | 2.36 | 359 | 83 |
| Reibyn Corona R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.94 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | .290 | 5.61 | 14.5% | 1.7% | 63 | +0.67 | 4.38 | 190 | 83 |
| Kevin Velasco R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.54 | 14.8% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .327 | 5.35 | 20.5% | -1.3% | 15 | +0.81 | 2.18 | 116 | 83 |
| Edwin Jimenez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.12 | 19.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .330 | 4.67 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 277 | +0.55 | 4.12 | 386 | 82 |
| Starlyn Castillo R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.18 | 16.4% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .271 | 4.75 | 15.3% | 0.9% | 117 | +0.57 | 4.18 | 138 | 82 |
| Luis Ojeda R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.45 | 12.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .344 | 5.39 | 12.1% | 3.7% | 92 | +0.94 | 4.45 | 131 | 82 |
| Edward Escoboza R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.73 | 15.3% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .345 | 4.05 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 157 | -0.68 | 3.44 | 213 | 82 |
| Samuel Mejia R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.90 | 13.9% | 8.7% | 1.6% | .265 | 4.73 | 20.0% | 11.7% | 97 | +0.83 | 2.81 | 216 | 82 |
| Gilberto Batista R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.99 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 1.6% | .308 | 5.50 | 14.5% | 4.3% | 149 | +1.51 | 3.97 | 227 | 82 |
| Bryan Polanco R 2027 · 5.33 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.33 | 18.2% | 14.3% | 3.5% | .248 | 5.50 | 13.0% | 1.2% | 243 | +0.17 | 5.24 | 347 | 82 |
| Xiomer Guacache R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.41 | 16.3% | 10.5% | 2.5% | .255 | 4.95 | 12.6% | 0.1% | 102 | +0.54 | 4.41 | 169 | 81 |
| Joel Díaz R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 18 | SP- | 5.57 | 15.3% | 11.9% | 4.1% | .335 | 5.17 | 16.2% | 8.2% | 174 | -0.40 | 1.98 | 308 | 81 |
| Gabriel Chinchilla R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.10 | 17.9% | 14.4% | 3.1% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 113 | 81 |
| Alexander Vizcaíno R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.40 | 11.8% | 10.4% | 3.6% | .321 | 4.88 | 17.3% | 7.0% | 220 | -0.52 | 3.96 | 273 | 81 |
| Christian Fernandez R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.0% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 324 | 81 |