Andres Herrera

P ACL Rockies

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKCOL	13	0	20	7.32	5.13	13.3%	13.3%	—	K 9.1% · BB 16.7% · FIP 6.14
2026	20	ROKCOL	5	5	14	7.24	6.17	24.6%	18.0%	—	K 16.7% · BB 22.5% · FIP 8.32
2027PROJ	21	MLBCOL	9	0	9	5.61	5.61	19.9%	16.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBCOL	10	0	10	5.28	5.14	21.3%	14.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsJordan Brink (age 23) · Tanner Cooper (age 21) · Juan Mendez (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 123

ERA5.61

FIP5.61

K%19.9%

BB%16.8%

K-BB%3.1%

Proj IP9

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	1	14	68	9	10	2	8%	1.2	9.0%	18.4%	-9.4%	4.0%	9.64	6.85	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	1	14	68	9	10	2	8%	1.2	9.0%	18.4%	-9.4%	4.0%	9.64	6.85	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	12	1	14	68	9	10	2	8%	1.2	13.2%	14.7%	-1.5%	2.9%	9.64	5.81	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	13	0	20	105	14	14	2	0%	1.5	9.1%	16.7%	-7.6%	3.1%	7.32	6.14	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	13	0	20	105	14	14	2	0%	1.5	9.1%	16.7%	-7.6%	3.1%	7.32	6.14	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	13	0	20	105	14	14	2	0%	1.5	13.3%	13.3%	0.0%	1.9%	7.32	5.13	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	5	5	14	61	15	11	3	100%	2.7	16.7%	22.5%	-5.8%	6.9%	7.24	8.32	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	5	5	14	61	15	11	3	100%	2.7	16.7%	22.5%	-5.8%	6.9%	7.24	8.32	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	5	5	14	61	15	11	3	100%	2.7	24.6%	18.0%	6.6%	4.9%	7.24	6.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	COL	9	0	9	38	8	6	1	0%	1.0	19.9%	16.8%	3.1%	3.1%	5.61	5.61	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	19	0	20	84	18	12	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	14.3%	7.0%	3.0%	5.28	5.14	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	14.3%	7.0%	3.0%	5.28	5.14	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.1	21.3%	14.3%	7.0%	3.0%	5.28	4.76	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	122	20	0%	1.1	21.3%	14.3%	7.0%	3.0%	5.28	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		30	6	47	234	26	44	10	20%	1.6	11.0%	18.7%	-7.7%	4.3%	7.99	6.91	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	25	200	989	109	185	43	20%	1.6	11.0%	18.7%	-7.7%	4.3%	7.99	6.91	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andres Herrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	19.9%	16.8%	3.1%	—	5.14	21.3%	7.0%	20	-0.47	—	—	—
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	84
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	83
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	82
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	82
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	81
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	80
Sunayro Martina R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	20	SW	4.57	16.3%	16.9%	1.3%	.305	5.69	13.9%	-4.9%	71	+1.12	4.57	118	80
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	79
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	79
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	78
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	78
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	78
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	78
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	77
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	77
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	77
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	77
Yovanny Cabrera R 2022 · 6.15 FIP	21	SU	6.15	17.5%	19.5%	3.8%	.274	4.91	18.2%	1.9%	128	-1.24	4.39	243	77
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	77
Nicolas Cruz R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	20	SW	4.84	19.2%	16.1%	2.4%	.437	3.32	20.4%	11.4%	117	-1.52	3.01	194	77