Andres Herrera — OGILVIE

Andres Herrera P ACL Rockies

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 121

ERA5.50

FIP5.50

K%18.3%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%3.2%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	1	14	68	9	10	2	8%	1.2	9.0%	18.4%	-9.4%	4.0%	9.64	6.85	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	1	14	68	9	10	2	8%	1.2	9.0%	18.4%	-9.4%	4.0%	9.64	6.85	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	12	1	14	68	9	10	2	8%	1.2	13.2%	14.7%	-1.5%	2.9%	9.64	5.81	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	13	0	20	105	14	14	2	0%	1.5	9.1%	16.7%	-7.6%	3.1%	7.32	6.14	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	13	0	20	105	14	14	2	0%	1.5	9.1%	16.7%	-7.6%	3.1%	7.32	6.14	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	13	0	20	105	14	14	2	0%	1.5	13.3%	13.3%	0.0%	1.9%	7.32	5.13	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	5	5	14	61	15	11	3	100%	2.7	16.7%	22.5%	-5.8%	6.9%	7.24	8.32	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	5	5	14	61	15	11	3	100%	2.7	16.7%	22.5%	-5.8%	6.9%	7.24	8.32	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	COL	5	5	14	61	15	11	3	100%	2.7	24.6%	18.0%	6.6%	4.9%	7.24	6.01	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	19	0	20	84	17	11	2	0%	1.1	19.6%	13.2%	6.4%	2.9%	5.22	5.12	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	COL	10	0	10	42	8	6	1	0%	1.0	19.6%	13.2%	6.4%	2.9%	5.22	5.12	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	8	5	1	0%	1.1	19.6%	13.2%	6.4%	2.9%	5.22	4.74	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	102	20	0%	1.1	19.6%	13.2%	6.4%	2.9%	5.22	4.74	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		30	6	47	234	26	44	10	20%	1.6	11.0%	18.7%	-7.7%	4.3%	7.99	6.91	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	25	200	989	109	185	43	20%	1.6	11.0%	18.7%	-7.7%	4.3%	7.99	6.91	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andres Herrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.50	18.3%	15.1%	3.0%	—	5.12	19.6%	6.4%	20	-0.38	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	87
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	86
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	86
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	82
Matthew Swain R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	21	SW	4.37	15.9%	13.9%	1.6%	.362	5.19	20.6%	7.5%	115	+0.82	4.37	175	82
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	82
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	81
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	282	81
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	80
David Landeta R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	20	SU	5.04	14.5%	15.3%	2.2%	.353	3.86	16.8%	-0.4%	64	-1.18	3.64	111	80
Sandy Ozuna R 2023 · 5.42 FIP	17	SW	5.42	15.1%	17.4%	2.5%	.303	4.77	18.3%	7.9%	71	-0.65	3.03	103	80
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	80
Alejandro Méndez R 2021 · 5.70 FIP	20	SU	5.70	14.6%	14.5%	3.6%	.321	5.60	15.8%	-7.5%	91	-0.10	4.65	136	80
Doimil Perez R 2023 · 5.95 FIP	19	SU	5.95	17.8%	14.7%	4.5%	.322	5.36	16.6%	-2.0%	47	-0.59	3.32	139	80
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	79
Edinzo Marquez R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	17	SW	4.97	20.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.250	3.90	13.2%	0.4%	119	-1.07	3.26	188	79
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	79
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	79
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	78