Merlin Bido

P FCL Red Sox

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 174 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKBOS	11	5	32	4.83	3.79	22.6%	20.4%	—	K 15.4% · BB 25.5% · FIP 5.04
2026	20	ROKBOS	13	1	25	8.28	6.58	22.2%	31.0%	—	K 15.1% · BB 38.7% · FIP 7.94
2027PROJ	21	MLBBOS	16	0	17	5.97	5.97	19.4%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBBOS	14	0	15	5.55	5.39	20.9%	16.6%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsHansel Rosario (age 21) · Keegan Collett (age 21) · Radhames Liz (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147138vR 130

ERA5.97

FIP5.97

K%19.4%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.6%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	12	6	41	168	33	18	1	50%	3.4	13.4%	13.4%	-0.0%	0.9%	4.17	4.15	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	12	6	41	168	33	18	1	50%	3.4	13.4%	13.4%	-0.0%	0.9%	4.17	4.15	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	12	6	41	168	33	18	1	50%	3.4	19.6%	10.7%	8.9%	0.6%	4.17	3.12	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	11	5	32	137	31	28	0	45%	2.9	15.4%	25.5%	-10.2%	0.0%	4.83	5.04	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	11	5	32	137	31	28	0	45%	2.9	15.4%	25.5%	-10.2%	0.0%	4.83	5.04	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	11	5	32	137	31	28	0	45%	2.9	22.6%	20.4%	2.2%	0.0%	4.83	3.79	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	13	1	25	126	28	39	2	8%	1.9	15.1%	38.7%	-23.6%	2.2%	8.28	7.94	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	13	1	25	126	28	39	2	8%	1.9	15.1%	38.7%	-23.6%	2.2%	8.28	7.94	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	13	1	25	126	28	39	2	8%	1.9	22.2%	31.0%	-8.7%	1.6%	8.28	6.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	BOS	16	0	17	72	14	14	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	20.0%	-0.6%	2.9%	5.97	5.97	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	28	0	30	126	26	21	4	0%	1.1	20.9%	16.6%	4.3%	2.9%	5.55	5.39	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	14	0	15	63	13	11	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	16.6%	4.3%	2.9%	5.55	5.39	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	13	10	2	0%	1.0	20.9%	16.6%	4.3%	2.9%	5.55	5.00	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	136	27	0%	1.1	20.9%	16.6%	4.3%	2.9%	5.55	5.00	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		36	12	98	431	63	106	4	33%	2.7	14.5%	24.7%	-10.1%	1.0%	5.44	5.54	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	25	200	883	128	218	9	33%	2.7	14.5%	24.7%	-10.1%	1.0%	5.44	5.54	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Merlin Bido (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.97	19.4%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.39	20.9%	4.3%	30	-0.58	—	—	—
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	87
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	84
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	83
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	82
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	82
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	81
Bryant Salgado R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	21	SW	5.65	14.2%	20.4%	2.1%	.219	4.83	15.9%	3.5%	89	-0.82	4.83	110	80
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	80
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	79
Geison Urbaez R 2021 · 5.03 FIP	21	SW	5.03	14.1%	18.2%	1.5%	.322	4.71	15.5%	4.7%	112	-0.32	4.04	241	79
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	79
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	79
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	78
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	78
Yovanny Cabrera R 2022 · 6.15 FIP	21	SU	6.15	17.5%	19.5%	3.8%	.274	4.91	18.2%	1.9%	128	-1.24	4.39	243	78
Patrick Murphy R 2016 · 6.18 FIP	21	SW	6.18	14.9%	16.7%	4.1%	.339	3.85	16.1%	6.7%	319	-2.33	3.08	556	78
Aneuris Rodriguez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	20	SW	5.22	16.0%	18.8%	2.0%	.310	6.65	14.6%	-15.5%	14	+1.43	3.15	118	78
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	78
Jared Kelley R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	21	SW	5.03	18.9%	19.4%	1.9%	.365	4.90	16.4%	0.7%	99	-0.13	4.25	250	78