Eli Willits

SS Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 19 S/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #7MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP57ETA2028MLB%11%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	AWSH	58	.300/.397/.360	0	2	74	—	.250/.328/.308
2026	18	A+WSH	289	.230/.394/.420	7	31	80	—	.190/.300/.347
2026	18	AWSH	232	.300/.422/.500	6	29	106	—	.244/.339/.403
2027PROJ11% MLB	19	MLBWSH	34	.238/.330/.385	1	1	104	0.2
2028PROJ63% MLB	20	MLBWSH	362	.244/.337/.400	10	12	111	1.9
2029PROJ81% MLB	21	MLBWSH	482	.248/.342/.412	14	15	115	2.8

Next 3 projected WAR 4.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$9M2032Arb-2$16M2033Arb-3$24M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed97

Chase%92

BB%91

K%77

Whiff%72

wRC+71

Career WAR11 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 75, comp-based) · star 36% · didn't stick 40%

CompsEvan Carter (age 20) · Adael Amador (age 21) · Jackson Chourio (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†104

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .330 / .385

PA34

HR1

K%24

BB%12

BABIP290

ISO133

MLB%11%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$104M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 59 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT59

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$14M	+$13M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.8	$21M	+$20M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.4	$27M	+$26M
2031	Arb-1	$9M	+3.7	$28M	+$22M
2032	Arb-2	$16M	+3.8	$28M	+$18M
2033	Arb-3	$24M	+3.8	$26M	+$13M
Totals		$52M		$143M	+$112M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	50	15	1	1	0	7	12	1	2	0	300	397	360	757	60	395	21	12	350	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	17	14	5	1	0	1	3	4	0	2	0	357	471	643	1.113	286	444	24	18	481	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	289	226	52	12	5	7	54	55	7	31	8	230	394	420	814	190	273	19	19	368	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	232	190	57	14	3	6	38	54	2	29	7	300	422	500	922	200	386	23	16	405	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	52	13	1	1	0	5	17	1	2	0	250	328	308	635	58	361	29	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	17	15	5	1	0	1	2	5	0	2	0	333	412	600	1.012	267	431	29	12	408	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	289	248	47	10	4	7	32	72	7	31	8	190	300	347	646	157	231	25	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	232	201	49	11	3	5	27	74	2	29	7	244	339	403	742	159	351	32	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	52	13	1	1	0	5	17	1	2	0	250	328	308	635	58	371	29	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	50	15	1	1	0	7	12	1	2	0	300	397	360	757	60	395	21	12	350	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	538	463	100	22	7	12	62	150	9	62	15	216	320	371	692	156	289	28	12	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	538	430	114	27	8	14	95	113	9	62	15	265	408	463	871	198	327	21	18	387	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	52	13	1	1	0	5	17	1	2	0	250	328	308	635	58	361	29	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	538	462	100	22	7	12	62	150	9	62	15	216	320	372	693	156	289	28	12	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	58	52	13	1	1	0	5	17	1	2	0	250	328	308	635	58	361	29	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	538	462	100	22	7	12	62	150	9	62	15	216	320	372	693	156	289	28	12	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	WSH	11%	586	510	121	24	5	14	63	131	8	20	5	238	331	388	719	149	291	22	11	323	104	+3	+2	+2	+6	+13	1.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	19	MLB CTX	WSH	11%	34	30	7	1	0	1	4	8	0	1	0	238	330	385	715	147	290	24	12	321	104	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	WSH	63%	577	501	122	24	5	15	63	125	8	19	5	245	338	404	742	159	293	22	11	332	111	+7	+2	+2	+6	+13	3.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	WSH	81%	597	518	129	25	5	17	65	126	9	19	4	249	342	416	758	167	294	21	11	338	115	+11	+2	+2	+6	+13	3.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	WSH	87%	615	534	135	26	5	19	67	127	9	18	4	252	345	424	769	173	294	21	11	342	118	+13	+2	+3	+7	+13	3.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	WSH	89%	627	545	139	27	5	20	68	128	9	18	4	254	346	430	776	176	295	20	11	345	119	+15	+2	+4	+7	+14	4.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	WSH	88%	634	551	140	27	5	20	69	129	9	17	4	255	347	433	780	178	295	20	11	346	120	+15	+2	+5	+7	+14	4.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	WSH	88%	639	555	142	27	5	21	70	130	9	17	4	255	348	434	782	179	295	20	11	347	121	+16	+2	+5	+7	+14	4.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	WSH	87%	642	558	142	27	5	21	70	130	9	16	4	255	348	434	782	179	295	20	11	347	121	+16	+2	+5	+7	+14	4.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	WSH	86%	639	555	142	27	5	21	70	131	9	15	4	254	347	432	778	177	295	21	11	346	120	+15	+1	+5	+7	+14	4.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	WSH	85%	633	550	139	27	5	20	69	131	9	14	4	252	345	427	772	175	294	21	11	343	118	+14	+1	+4	+7	+14	4.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	WSH	82%	621	541	135	26	4	19	67	130	8	13	3	250	342	421	763	171	293	21	11	340	116	+12	+1	+3	+7	+13	3.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	WSH	81%	610	531	131	25	4	18	66	130	8	11	4	247	339	413	752	166	292	21	11	335	113	+10	+1	+2	+7	+13	3.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	WSH	87%	595	519	126	24	4	17	64	129	7	9	4	243	334	404	738	160	289	22	11	330	109	+7	+0	+1	+6	+13	2.8
2040	32	MLB MLE	WSH	91%	577	504	121	23	4	16	61	128	7	8	5	238	328	391	719	153	286	22	11	322	104	+3	-0	+1	+6	+13	2.2
2041	33	MLB MLE	WSH	94%	547	479	110	20	3	14	57	124	6	7	9	232	321	375	697	144	281	23	10	313	98	-1	-2	-0	+6	+12	1.4
2042	34	MLB MLE	WSH	89%	499	440	98	17	3	12	51	117	5	6	16	223	312	357	669	133	275	23	10	302	90	-6	-5	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	WSH	63%	362	315	76	15	2	10	39	78	5	12	3	244	337	400	738	157	292	22	11	330	111	+5	+1	+1	+4	+8	1.9
2029	21	MLB CTX	WSH	81%	482	419	104	21	3	14	53	102	7	15	4	248	342	412	754	165	293	21	11	337	115	+9	+1	+2	+5	+10	2.8
2030	22	MLB CTX	WSH	87%	534	463	115	23	3	16	58	110	8	16	4	251	344	421	765	170	293	21	11	341	118	+11	+2	+3	+6	+12	3.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	WSH	89%	557	483	123	24	4	18	61	114	8	16	4	253	346	427	772	174	294	20	11	343	119	+13	+2	+3	+6	+12	3.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	WSH	88%	557	484	122	24	3	18	60	113	8	15	4	254	346	430	776	176	294	20	11	345	120	+13	+1	+4	+6	+12	3.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	WSH	88%	559	485	123	24	3	18	61	114	8	14	3	255	347	431	778	177	294	20	11	346	121	+14	+2	+4	+6	+12	3.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	WSH	87%	561	487	123	24	3	18	61	114	8	14	3	254	347	431	778	177	294	20	11	346	121	+14	+2	+4	+6	+12	3.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	WSH	86%	547	474	121	24	3	18	60	112	8	13	3	253	346	429	775	175	294	20	11	344	120	+13	+1	+4	+6	+12	3.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	WSH	85%	537	466	117	23	3	17	59	111	7	12	3	252	344	424	768	172	293	21	11	342	118	+12	+1	+3	+6	+12	3.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	WSH	82%	512	444	112	22	3	16	56	107	7	10	3	250	342	418	760	169	292	21	11	339	116	+10	+1	+3	+5	+11	3.0
2038	30	MLB CTX	WSH	81%	495	433	107	21	3	15	53	105	6	9	3	247	338	411	749	164	291	21	11	334	113	+8	+1	+2	+5	+11	2.7
2039	31	MLB CTX	WSH	87%	520	453	110	21	3	15	56	113	6	8	3	243	334	401	735	158	288	22	11	329	109	+6	+0	+1	+6	+11	2.5
2040	32	MLB CTX	WSH	91%	526	459	109	21	3	14	56	116	6	7	5	238	328	389	716	151	285	22	11	321	104	+3	-1	+1	+6	+11	2.0
2041	33	MLB CTX	WSH	94%	512	448	104	19	3	13	53	116	6	6	8	231	321	373	694	142	280	23	10	312	98	-1	-2	-0	+5	+11	1.3
2042	34	MLB CTX	WSH	89%	445	391	87	16	2	10	46	104	5	5	14	223	311	354	666	132	274	23	10	301	90	-5	-5	-1	+5	+10	0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	7706	6704	1653	322	44	230	832	1629	103	172	67	247	339	411	749	164	291	21	11	335	112	+123	+8	+33	+83	+167	42.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	139	27	4	19	70	137	9	15	6	246	338	409	747	163	291	21	11	335	112	+10	+1	+3	+7	+14	3.6
Career	—	MLE		—	9968	8675	2131	408	78	290	1078	2154	135	282	96	246	338	411	749	165	293	22	11	334	112	+147	+11	+40	+100	+203	51.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	139	27	5	19	70	140	9	18	6	246	338	412	750	166	293	22	11	334	112	+10	+1	+3	+7	+14	3.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Kinslerlast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA	12.5	8,299	257	243	269	337	440	+30	+66	53.0	44.4
/162	664	21	19	+2.4	+5.3	4.2	pk7: 36
#2Pee Wee Reese'40-'58 * career totals — 16 seasons, 9,470 PA	14.3	9,470	126	232	261*	354*	395*	+98	+76	52.2	43.6
/162	664	9	16	+6.9	+5.4	3.7	pk7: 35
#3Rafael Furcal'00-'14 * career totals — 13 seasons, 7,236 PA	10.9	7,236	113	314	272*	335*	394*	+76	+92	40.9	35.6
/162	664	10	29	+7.0	+8.5	3.8	pk7: 30
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	11.7	7,740	231	175	249	337	416	+80	+47	42.9	34.4
/162	664	20	15	+6.8	+4.0	3.7	pk7: 26
#4Ray Chapman'12-'20 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,590 PA	6.9	4,590	17	233	273*	350*	455*	+46	+33	31.4	30.2
/162	664	2	34	+6.7	+4.8	4.5	pk7: 29
#5Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	7.4	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
/162	664	26	14	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#6Freddy Parent'01-'11 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,563 PA	8.4	5,563	20	184	262*	327*	420*	+51	+27	29.0	27.5
/162	664	2	22	+6.1	+3.2	3.5	pk7: 26

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eli Willits (OGILVIE)	19	43→59	36→47	59	54	236/328/384	148	291	8	11	22%	11%	104	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	48→55	46→50	55	52	233/315/374	141	290	12	21	23%	10%	96	+1.0	239/326/389	150	309	14	21	25%	10%	103	+1.6	237/330/391	154	306	15	24	25%	10%	104	+0.9
✕Adael Amador 2024 · AA	21	52→56	48→50	49→55	54	257/333/399	142	291	15	16	17%	9%	109	+2.0	235/310/364	129	275	14	21	19%	9%	92	+0.7	231/310/357	126	266	13	22	18%	9%	88	+0.4
●Jackson Chourio 2024 · AAA	20	48→57	50→60	56→55	41	243/288/398	155	310	17	24	27%	6%	91	+0.7	267/311/444	177	322	20	22	23%	6%	111	+2.1	275/322/461	186	325	22	23	22%	6%	120	+2.7
●Luke Keaschall 2024 · A	21	49→58	44→45	56→55	46	237/309/366	129	311	10	16	26%	8%	92	+0.7	257/344/386	129	308	12	23	20%	9%	110	+2.1	267/360/392	125	312	12	25	17%	9%	117	+2.0
✕Alen Hanson 2013 · A	20	49→53	46→50	56→60	45	241/296/389	148	299	11	20	23%	7%	92	+0.7	244/285/377	133	308	10	22	23%	5%	84	+0.2	253/288/390	138	302	12	30	20%	4%	87	+0.3
●Ozzie Albies 2018 · MLB	21	55→62	43→60	59→55	45	266/313/393	127	322	9	21	20%	6%	99	+1.2	271/318/452	181	308	19	15	18%	6%	115	+2.4	273/324/485	212	301	24	15	18%	6%	126	+2.7
●Wander Franco 2021 · A	20	55→60	45→55	47→55	53	268/323/398	130	287	11	10	12%	8%	104	+1.6	274/329/434	160	298	14	14	13%	7%	114	+2.4	280/337/455	175	300	16	20	12%	7%	122	+2.2
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Jackson Holliday 2024 · AAA	20	58→62	45→50	53→50	55	271/356/407	136	361	10	15	26%	12%	118	+2.6	239/321/373	134	312	13	14	25%	10%	98	+1.2	227/308/354	128	289	14	14	25%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Edwin Arroyo 2023 · A	19	48→58	47→45	55→50	40	230/290/370	140	327	13	14	32%	6%	86	+0.3	233/286/359	126	312	10	16	27%	6%	82	-0.0	244/294/361	117	313	9	15	24%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Jett Williams 2024 · AA	20	44→48	45→50	60→55	54	209/324/338	129	296	11	25	30%	12%	93	+0.8	216/310/345	129	299	10	23	28%	11%	88	+0.4	214/300/348	134	288	11	26	27%	10%	82	+0.0
●Kevin McGonigle 2024 · A	19	51→57	39→50	47→50	54	240/319/330	90	294	6	15	20%	10%	87	+0.4	261/339/405	144	289	14	15	14%	10%	112	+2.2	271/359/435	164	294	17	13	14%	12%	126	+2.5
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	55→52	47→55	59→50	43	262/316/407	145	351	12	16	28%	7%	103	+1.6	243/307/405	162	320	16	12	28%	7%	101	+1.4	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
●B.J. Upton 2005 · MLB	20	51→60	48→60	52→60	48	249/316/400	151	316	15	13	25%	8%	103	+1.5	268/339/415	147	343	15	32	24%	9%	114	+2.3	264/354/415	151	338	15	35	24%	12%	120	+2.9
✕Colt Emerson 2024 · A	19	56→51	43→45	54→50	49	261/343/383	122	348	9	14	26%	9%	109	+2.0	239/321/362	123	313	11	13	25%	9%	96	+1.0	231/311/363	132	302	13	14	26%	8%	91	+0.5
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	54→64	42→50	54→55	49	259/332/371	113	319	9	12	21%	8%	101	+1.4	276/340/405	129	329	12	17	19%	7%	112	+2.2	277/343/400	124	329	12	18	19%	7%	109	+1.7
✕Harry Ford 2023 · A	20	48→53	46→45	53→55	51	224/330/360	136	328	13	14	32%	11%	99	+1.3	225/334/351	126	300	12	18	26%	12%	99	+1.3	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
✕Fernando Flores 2012 · AAA	20	51	42→40	57→40	46	247/304/354	107	301	9	20	21%	6%	86	+0.3	241/273/328	87	294	6	8	19%	4%	68	-1.0	261/290/349	89	310	6	2	18%	3%	78	-0.2
●Jaff Decker 2009 · A	19	54→52	44→55	53→55	59	251/357/373	122	334	10	10	25%	14%	112	+2.2	237/331/406	169	317	19	8	29%	11%	110	+2.1	221/316/399	177	291	21	8	30%	11%	102	+1.2
●Jean Segura 2011 · AAA	21	56→62	43→50	60	44	270/306/388	118	314	9	23	17%	5%	95	+0.9	268/304/377	109	315	8	29	17%	4%	91	+0.7	302/347/439	137	334	13	24	13%	5%	123	+3.2

Eli Willits

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps